2022 Pocket Profile: Carlton
IT’S LEKDOG. WE HAVE AN ARTICLE FROM LEKDOG! Of course it’s about Carlton. Who else were we going to get to do the Carlton Pocket Profile? Nobody, that’s who. It was always going to be Lekdog.
Carlton went shopping again in the 2021 off-season, trading for Adam Cerra ($490,200 MID), Lewis Young ($332,000 DEF/RUC) and signing free agent George Hewett ($399,000 DEF/MID).
The club is desperate to play finals footy yet we’re still not sure who is even in their best-22.
Some tough luck on the injury front, a shock retirement from Liam Jones and a complete overhaul of the coaches department leaves a lot of questions that can only be answered with the benefit of time.
The Blues are a confusing bunch in terms of Supercoach in 2022 and there’s sure to be a whole lot of surprises to come, let us know in the comments who we missed!
Sam Walsh ($637,100 MID)
After averaging 117 points per game and finishing as the 9th highest scorer in Supercoach for 2021, Sam Walsh enters his fourth year in the AFL as a rolled-gold midfield premium.
Savvy coaches out there would have locked in Walsh last season after he averaged 118 coming out of the bye in 2020. Apply the same logic again and you’ll see that Walsh averaged 120.1 coming out of the bye in 2021.
With an entirely new coaching staff in place we might see Patrick Cripps bounce back (particularly under Michael Voss who has been credited for Ollie Wines incredible development) and with midfield inclusions in Adam Cerra and George Hewett there are reasons to think Walsh might decline slightly in 2022, but as the age-old JR adage goes “good players don’t steal points from other good players.”
There may be some hesitation for coaches when they see Walsh’s price tag but it certainly looks like he’ll be worth every cent.
Marc Pittonet ($462,700 RUC)
Marc Pittonet is probably too expensive to consider in Supercoach Classic but he’s certainly someone I’ll be looking at in drafts as a breakout contender.
Pittonet averaged 85 points per game across his 13 games in 2021 including four scores of 100+ and four scores of 73 or less…not the sort of consistency we’re after but certainly something that can be turned around.
To put it politely, Carlton’s midfield structure was non-existent in 2021 and subsequently Pittonet struggled to find his teammates with his hitouts, despite being ranked 9th in hitouts per game with 29.2.
Pittonet is ranked 6th in the AFL for Hitouts to Advantage per game but is ranked 36th in Hitouts to Advantage % (higher than Grundy and Gawn but lower than Naitanui and Darcy) meaning there is some room for improvement.
If we consider a deeper midfield for Carlton with Cerra, Walsh, Hewett and Cripps all as permanent fixtures, plus a new coaching staff who may actually have a structure in the midfield, then Pittonet should be able to secure a few more hitouts to advantage each game…even if it’s accidental.
At 5 point per hitout to advantage in Supercoach, he only needs to convert three more per game to suddenly become a 100 point player, four more and he’s a top-five ruckman in the game.
Charlie Curnow ($224,300 FWD)
If we take a look at the forwards available to us in 2022 and rank them by total points scored from 2021 we’ll see that teammates Joe Daniher (9th) and Lincoln McCarthy (11th) essentially ended up being keeper selections despite averaging just 79.1 and 77.5 respectively.
Why are these players relevant? Well it essentially goes to show that if you have a modicum of talent and can stay on the park you’ll be a successful Supercoach forward line selection.
I’ve spent all preseason trying to find the Jack Ziebell of 2022 when I should’ve been finding the Joe Daniher of 2022.
Charlie Curnow, if we’re lucky, is the Joe Daniher of 2022.
With a starting price $9k lower than Daniher’s 2021 starting price and having missed essentially the same amount of time with injuries as Daniher over the last few years, we know what the template for success looks like.
To be a successful selection Curnow simply needs to stay on the park and return an average north of 70 points per game, admittedly something he hasn’t done since he averaged 77.5 in 2018.
Brodie Kemp ($156,800 DEF)
Carlton is desperate to play finals and given their recruiting over the last couple of years I don’t think we’ll see too many rookie priced players break into the side in 2022.
One player that I do think has an opportunity to play is Brodie Kemp who broke into the side late in 2021 and despite showing some flair produced scores of just 20 and 52.
With the retirement of Liam Jones I believe we will see Jacob Weitering and Lewis Young fill both key defensive posts but there still remains a void of significance in the Blues’ backline in the form of a third tall.
Kemp should get first crack at this void and if he can solidify a spot should be able to generate a little bit of cash for us in 2022.
Patrick Cripps ($454,800 MID)
Many considered Cripps’ a lock in 2021 at his ‘bargain basement’ price of $523,700…it didn’t go well and now you can select him at close to $100k cheaper.
There will be hype around the midfield additions the Blues have made, there will be hype around Michael Voss’ midfield tactics and there will be hype around the return of Tim Clarke who helped to develop Cripps into his best 2018 form.
Don’t believe the hype.
I’ve even mentioned it in this article but believe me when I say Cripps is a player we can trade into later if need be, not someone we need to start in our sides.
Thanks Lekdog! I’m sure most of you are already following him on Twitter but if not you can do so here. He mostly tweets about Sleeves, and Carlton, and Carlton players in sleeves. #sleevewatch