Supercoach 2022 Ruck Analysis – Oscar McInerney

Published by Marto on

Hi community. My name is Marto from Bonbeach, and I’m crap at Supercoach. It’s been 11 years since my last top 1000 finish. 

God that feels good. I had to get that off my chest.  

You see, something has dawned on me. I’ve only just realised why things have gone off the rails. I’ve had a look through my teams of yesteryear, and I’ve had an incredible epiphany.  

I just pick really shit Supercoach options. That’s about it.  

That ends TODAY my fellow JR community members.   

From this day forth I shall not allow another player to take his place in my Supercoach team without having analysed the absolute crap out of him. 

Thanks very much for having me community I’m really looking forward to chewing the SC fat with you all in season 2022! 

My journey of over analysis begins today with my look at Oscar McInerney. 

In a season where we have scoring ruck beasts like Grundy, Gawn, Darcy and Nic Nat to choose from the numbers below don’t exactly jump off the page do they? 

Age 27 
Games 79 
Supercoach Price $509,300 
2021 Average 94.5 
100+ Scores 11 
Sub 80 Scores 

Hang about though. What that summary doesn’t tell you is that big Oscar grew a gigantic set of ruck aggots in the last part 2021. 

After averaging just 78 up until Brisbane’s round 13 bye McInerney went on to average 113 Supercoach points in his last 10 games.  

As you can see below, his 6 week Supercoach average had steadily improved up until that point, but this was different. This was a quantum leap. 

READ OUR BRISBANE LIONS POCKET PROFILE HERE

So what had changed? 

A closer look at his Supercoach scoring spread reveals that the number of hitouts to advantage that McInerney was winning had skyrocketed. 

With rucks scoring 5 Supercoach points for every hitout to advantage (HTA) this improvement in his ruck craft is really Supercoach relevant.     

Oscar had averaged just 37 Supercoach HTA points up until the bye. He came home earning an average of 60 HTA points per game in his last 10. 

But who did he come up against in the ruck? Did he have a soft run against rucking spuds? 

Nope.  

He faced Sean Darcy, Brodie Grundy, Nic Nat and Gawn in consecutive games from round 21 onwards, averaging 119 Supercoach points.  

So how does his price of $509,300 stack up?  

If you believe he can continue doing end-of-2021 things in 2022 you’re looking at some real value here.  

He’s priced to average his 2021 season average of 95. If he was priced based on his last 10 games you’d be paying about $606,000 for him. 

It’s interesting to see how he stacks up as an option against our favourite set and forget rucking Supercoach beast Max Gawn. 

You could read the above chart and believe that he’s made the leap from average ruckman to premium ruck.. but has he? 

Was his last 10 games a flash in the pan? 

When you track Oscar’s progression against established premium rucks you’ll see his emergence at this stage of his career, while sudden – isn’t unusual.  

This chart below tracks Gawn, Grundy and Goldstein’s cumulative average Supercoach scoring progress against McInerny’s in their first 79 games.  

It also tracks their progress in the 25 games after their 79th. They all improved during this period which bodes well for Oscar in 2022.  

He was picked up as a mature-ager as well. At 27 he’s in ruck prime time.. also a good thing.   

So what’s the catch? 

There might be a catch.. 

No other ruckman in the AFL attended more ruck contests than McInerney in the last 10 games of 2021.  

This gave him more opportunity than any other ruckman to earn those HTA points, and also the other points available to him being around stoppages.  

The departure of Stefan Martin at the end of 2020 together with the absence and then retirement of Archie Smith left Brisbane without much depth in the ruck department for most of 2021. 

While other ruckmen in the competition combined with a reasonable backup ruckman Big Oscar lumbered away all season as the primary ruckman with only minimal backup from Tom Fullarton who Brisbane used mainly up forward. 

Will that change in 2022? 

This is the BIG question I reckon.  

We’re less likely to see Oscar’s end of season 2021 output continue if Brisbane change structure and play a second legitimate ruckman. 

A drop in the number of ruck contests he attends is very likely to see a drop in his SC output, especially in HTA points.  

Could that happen? Could Brisbane play a second ruck? 

It’s Brisbane’s recruitment of Darcy Fort during the trade period that is the biggest risk to Oscar’s 2022 Supercoach Season. 

Reports suggest that he’ll slot straight into the list to become their 2nd best ruck option behind McInerney, possibly doing Tom Fullarton out of a game depending on how Brisbane structure up.  

Forts on Fort?  

Fort managed only 8 games in 3 seasons at Geelong, struggling in the pecking order behind a lot of big Cats.  

If he runs out for Brisbane in round 1 it will have been 611 days since his last AFL game. He’s a long toothed and robust of pant 28 years of age. 

He won Geelong’s Reserves B&F last year averaging 19 possessions and 20 hitouts.  

He also stacked up OK in his 5 games at AFL level in 2020;  

The verdict 

I’ll pass at this stage, unless it becomes clear that Darcy Fort isn’t up to playing alongside McInerney as a ruck partnership in the Lions best 22. 

If it looks as if Oscar gets to keep doing his thing solo, I reckon he’ll go close to becoming my R2.  

Looking forward to kicking this one around community.  

Does anyone have any insights into Darcy Fort, or Brisbane’s plans in the ruck in 2022? 

What are your thoughts on the Big O in Supercoach 2022? 

Marto 

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Seeker 11

Great stuff Marto. The Big O has been great value for me in Draft the last couple of years

Fatboyfat7

My R2 and I haven’t heard many others talking about him as an option. Good POD and I can’t see his value declining, it’s a low risk pick imo, any easy upgrade if he does t work out…

Lekdog

Love it Fat!

Russty

Hey Marto, nice detailed write-up sir…his last 9 games were very consistent and I reckon he averages 100 ish easy, not sure if he’s capable of banging out the big ole scores like Gawny and Grundy / Darcy can but anything around 100 from a ruck isn’t a fail, how do think Witts will go this year if he stays fit, is he capable of hitting scores around the 100 mark regularly?

Lekdog

Witts should be around the 100 mark I reckon

demonsdelight

HICKEY ?

derek

Witts will be a good option. I was really hoping his price was a bit cheaper

REB

I reckon Fort will gobble up some of his points. Saw a bit of him last year and can’t believe the Cats let him go. The tightarse option of Witts looks a better bet at R2 if you don’t go the set and forget type set up. Oscar seems a bet each way. At 500 you really want him to keep up with the big dogs. I’m not so sure he does that with Fort arriving at Brisvegas.

Lekdog

Good points REB! I think there’s plenty of guys you can make a case for this year and they all come out at “should I just pick Gawn and Grundy?”

Catzilla aka Chungus Schmelling

Nice piece Marto. From memory, I also thought JD was getting a bit of ruck time until injury?? Not sure if I just imagined this… Or if it would affect the Big O’s scoring… But JD’s scoring was definitely better when he was in there… Unless I really was dreaming… and just wanting that to be the case…
Oh JD. What a wonderful ‘tache you have.

Leroy

Pretty sure JD gave a ruck chop-out in the first half of the season until McStay went down. From there he was needed at home in the F50 much more, and Big O lumbered around to all those contests: Fullarton coming in offered even less as a back up ruck than Daniher.
Can easily see it reverting back again and as Marto says, anything like that takes the edge off Big Os scoring.

PhantasyFantom

Great insight. If we look at his performances against Max you see a 2 year ave of 65 and a 3 year ave of 50.
To understand how crap that is look at Pittonet who is 40k cheaper his 2 year ave against Max is 117