Panic Room | Round 19
G’day community, Dyl here, stepping in for the busy Fozdaddy this week.
COVID-19 is wreaking havoc across the nation so I’m sure there’s panic setting in amongst the community. We’ve got players isolating because they’ve visited COVID hotspots, injuries galore and the ongoing rookie roulette continues. Hopefully some of this can be of some help!
Newz you can Uze
Port Adelaide will welcome back their trio of talented youngsters from the 2018 draft – Zak Butters, Connor Rozee and Xavier Duursma. Jarrod Lienert, Martin Frederick and Sam Mayes are out. Collingwood will debut untried pair Jack Ginnivan and Anton Tohill under Friday night lights, whilst popular rookie Finlay Macrae is back for his sixth game of the season. Caleb Poulter is now in the 22 after being the medical sub last week against Carlton. Callum Brown, Chris Mayne, Josh Thomas and Will Hoskin-Elliott have all been struck by injury.
Carlton co-captain Patrick Cripps is back from his one-week layoff and is replacing Harry McKay, who has just been ruled out this afternoon. Seems Ben’s mind games have got to him! In all seriousness though, he has a toe injury. Ben Cunnington, Jed Anderson and Atu Bosenavulagi (medi-sub last week) are the inclusions for North, replacing Jack Mahony, Robbie Tarrant and Charlie Lazzaro.
James Harmes comes in for Aaron vandenBerg for Melbourne. The Bulldogs have lost superstar Josh Dunkley (COVID-19 Isolation) and have dropped Hayden Crozier and Lachlan McNeil. The reinforcements are Tom Liberatore, Mitch Hannan and Josh Schache. Harmes tagged Libba to great effect earlier in the season and I suspect this will happen again given how well it worked.
For the QClash, Callum Ah Chee and Jarrod Berry are in for Jaxon Prior and Keidean Coleman for Brisbane, whilst Oleg Markov and Rory Atkins are into the 22 for Brandon Ellis and Nick Holman for the Suns.
West Coast have made four changes for their match against the Saints. Jake Waterman, Josh J. Kennedy, Xavier O’Neill and Mark Hutchings are in for Bailey J. Williams, Jack Petruccelle, Luke Edwards and Luke Shuey. St Kilda bring in Nick Coffield, Oscar Clavarino and Paul Hunter for Daniel McKenzie, Tom Highmore and Rowan Marshall. Highmore and Marshall are particularly relevant, with 36% and 6% ownership across the league.
Billy Frampton, Tom Doedee and Lachie Sholl replace David Mackay, James Rowe and Nick Murray for Adelaide. The Hawthorn reinforcements are Blake Hardwick, Chad Wingard and Jack Scrimshaw, as Damon Greaves, Emerson Jeka and Shaun Burgoyne make way.
Sydney are set to welcome back the injury-riddled Sam Reid alongside Ben Ronke as Dylan Stephens and Joel Amartey are out. Hayden Young, Lloyd Meek, Brandon Walker and Matt Taberner are the inclusions for Fremantle, who will be without Rory Lobb, Sam Switkowski, Blake Acres and Ethan Hughes.
Experienced duo Gary Rohan and Lachie Henderson are the ins for Geelong, who have omitted Quinton Narkle and managed Brad Close. The Tigers will be without the durable superstar Dustin Martin following a severe kidney injury and have also lost Kamdyn McIntosh to injury. Jack Ross and Shane Edwards are their replacements.
Essendon will be boosted by the return of Dylan Shiel and David Zaharakis, with Alec Waterman and Matt Guelfi the two who make way. GWS’ team news will be interesting to follow all weekend with doubts over Josh Kelly‘s fitness. He has been named but is ‘touch and go’ for the match. Lachie Whitfield, Shane Mumford and Lachie Ash return for the Giants, with Jeremy Finlayson, Callan Ward and Matt Flynn out. Ward being ‘managed’ screams late in for Jelly… watch this space.
When a price breaks, it don’t Breakeven
What am I s’posed to do, when Imma lose some cash from holding you:
- 186 – Jack Scrimshaw
- 183 – Darcy Parish
- 182 – Lachie Whitfield
- 180 – Dayne Zorko
- 178 – Jarrod Berry
What am I s’posed to say, when you’re making coin by scoring okay:
- -38 – Rhyan Mansell
- -36 – Lachlan Bramble
- -35 – Max Lynch
- -26 – Trey Ruscoe
- -26 – Ned Reeves
Oh Captain my Captain
The Pies big man features a lot in captaincy columns on the SuperCoach scene and this week is no different. Grundy scored 138 last time he faced Port Adelaide and is the ideal candidate for the VC in the Friday night game. Scott Lycett has a tendency to leak points to other rucks as well, examples include Rowan Marshall (127), Jonathon Ceglar (113) in recent weeks.
The MAN OF STEELE should be considered as a captaincy option this week. He scored 150 against the Eagles in Round 4 and is probably the most in-form player of the competition in the last six or so weeks. He has a seven-game average of 142+ and has not dropped below 126 since Round 10.
The Bont is my Brownlow fancy at this stage of the season and he can do it all. He doesn’t rely on any one stat category for his scoring, which means his floor is relatively high (only four scores under 100 all year). Those four scores game against sides who are right down the bottom of the ladder – 2 x North, Collingwood and Gold Coast. Does Bont’s output drop off when there’s “less” for him to do? The multiple scoring avenues also means his ceiling is unreal, 76% of the time this season he has scored 107+. I expect the big matchup against Melbourne to result in a return to scoring levels of the Bont of Round 8-15, where he averaged a whopping 145.
I felt obliged to include Walshy in this segment following his 193-point effort last week. This kid is really special. Walsh’s monster score wasn’t a once off though, he’s in a rich vein of form with his last four weeks being at an average of 155. My one concern is because he has been SO GOOD, North might utilise a tag on him. He’ll probably still kill it, but just be aware a tag could be on the cards.
I feel like Lyons always has a point to prove when he faces the Suns, a side who controversially delisted him earlier in his career. I don’t think Lyons is as likely as some of the above players to go huge, but he has been one of the most consistent players in 2021. 138, 114, 113, 142 are his last four scores verses the Gold Coast.