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Panic Room | Round 16

Published by Fozdaddy on

My word, am I panicking now. After a projected score of 2510 before the round started, I forgot to correctly set my loop that I had just traded in and copped CCJ’s 5 instead of looping him with Dev Robertson. On top of that, Dusty and Short apparently suck at football and Richmond will miss the finals.

Newz you can Uze

Gryan Miers and Rhys Stanley have been recalled for Geelong’s Friday night clash with Essendon. Shaun Higgins and Esava Ratugolea have been managed, while Mark O’Connor is out injured. Tom Cutler and Will Snelling come back into the Essendon lineup, while Matt Guelfi and Brandon Zerk-Thatcher are dropped. O’Connor’s absence may mean no attention to Merrett or Parish? Hopefully.

Melbourne has made no changes for its clash against the Giants, however GWS has recalled Tom Green and Shane Mumford, whilst dropping Kieran Briggs and Matt de Boer. I can’t wait to see Green plying his trade in brown and gold next season.

Luke Pedlar will make his debut for Adelaide on Saturday, with Billy Frampton and Nick Murray returning to the side. Darcy Fogarty, Shane McAdam and Will Hammill have been dropped. Jarrod Berry and Grant Birchall return for James Madden and Jaxon Prior, who’s absences will hurt coaches using them for cover.

Nat Fyfe will make his return from that shoulder injury, with goat Matt Taberner out with injury. Tom Williamson and Levi Casboult return for the Blues, with Sam Docherty injured for potentially the rest of the season, and Zac Williams suspended this week.

Connor Nash will make his return to Hawthorn’s senior lineup alongside Damon Greaves, with Will Day, Chad Wingard and Denver Grainger-Barrass out injured. Day is apparently in a moonboot, but Hawthorn said it should just be this week. Who do you trust more, Clarko or Tom Browne? Leave your answer in the comments below. Riley Bonner replaces Dylan Williams for Shaun Burgoyne’s 400th.

Hayden McLean, Colin O’Riordan, Callum Sinclair, and Sam Wicks have been brought into Sydney’s squad, with just Kaiden Brand listed as out at this stage. Luke Foley, Jamaine Jones, Zac Langdon, Nathan Vardy and Alex Witherden have been named in the 25, with Jackson Nelson and Liam Ryan out.

Beau McCreery is out for Collingwood with an injury, with one of Jordan De Goey, Max Lynch, Finlay Macrae and Trey Ruscoe to replace him. Nick Coffield has come out, with Jack Billings, Paul Hunter, Dean Kent, Jack Lonie brought into the extended squad.

Patrick Lipinski, Josh Schache, Jordan Sweet and Lewis Young have been brought into the Bulldogs squad for the clash with North, with Ryan Gardner confirmed out. Tom Campbell, Kyron Hayden, Jared Polec and Bailey Scott may return, while Eddie Ford could debut. Lachie Young and Atu Bosenavulagi have been confirmed out.

When a price breaks, it don’t Breakeven

What am I s’posed to do, when Imma lose some cash from holding you:

  • 188 – Tim Kelly
  • 177 – Jarrod Berry
  • 168 – Tom Hawkins
  • 162 – Darcy Parish
  • 162 – Rowan Marshall

What am I s’posed to say, when you’re making coin by scoring okay:

  • -99 – Ned Reeves
  • -54 – Tom Highmore
  • -54 – Luke Foley
  • -39 – Lachie Bramble
  • -20 – Luke Edwards

Oh Captain my Captain

Marcus Bontempelli

Bontempelli has been in some seriously good form this season. His ceiling is as high as ever, but his floor doesn’t seem to be as low as it once was. The Dogs will play North Melbourne, and it’s expected for the midfielders to have a day out. Bont’s form against North is actually quite patchy; he scored 82 against them in round three, 55 last season and just one ton in his last four games against the Kangaroos. He has scored at least 107 in every game since that round three clash, and hasn’t dropped below 125 since round seven.

Jack Macrae

If you’re not going with Bont, you should go with Macrae. He didn’t set the world on fire against North in round three either, with a score of 108, and his two previous scores were only 90 and 105. But Macrae is averaging 126.5 on the year, 131.4 over his last five games and is fresh off the 137 last week. Expect a big score.

Dayne Zorko

Dayne Zorko is in the best SuperCoach form of the season at the moment. He has a three-round average of 152.7 and a five-round average of 143. Up against the Crows with Neale on the sidelines, chances are Zorko plays more midfield this week. He hasn’t had many CBAs in recent weeks, but his tackling pressure and score involvements have led to these mammoth scores. He only has a three-round average against the Crows of 91.3, but that includes an injury-affected 47.

Jack Ziebell

Jack Ziebell has become a reliable captaincy smokey this season with some good scores and consistent points. There’s no true data from previous seasons to suggest the scoring continues, but he did score 155 against the Western Bulldogs in round three. His serious defensive liabilities aren’t a factor in SuperCoach because he’s there just to kick the ball forward.

Max Gawn

Max Gawn has been somewhat underwhelming this year, yet he still averages 124.8. He faces GWS this week, who will ruck two of Flynn, Briggs and Mumford. He scored 163 earlier in the season against Flynn, and dropped a 150, 149 and 156 in his three games prior to this year. Gawn actually hasn’t cracked 140 since round six, but expect that to change.

Josh Bruce

I never thought I’d write this name in captaincy recommendations, but Josh Bruce is a bit of a meme selection. After his dominant performance in round three when he kicked 10 goals, Bruce said he loved playing North Melbourne. And who wouldn’t? He’s averaging 68.5 on the year, but he’s scored 172, 138 and 138 in his last three against the Kangaroos. I’m just saying, how crazy do you have to be?


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Damo

I think a Zorko into a Macrae is the way to go this week for me!
Great work as usual Foz.

Lekdog

Gawn into Titch for me!

JohnDJ59.Black Flag

Max or Zorko into Bont for me.

JohnDJ59.Black Flag

My main panic is that I virtually have next to no trades left for various reasons and in my fwd line I still have Impey, Briggs, who has been dropped and my E, CCJ scored 5 last night, which is nearly the same as a donut. I could trade out Impey for one of Danger, Greene or Dale, but was planning on waiting till next week to do that trade.

Derek

What are you waiting for. Don’t think Impey is coming back?

JohnDJ59.Black Flag

I was still deciding who to get Derek, plus Dale should drop in price after this round and is less likely to be injured compared to Danger and Greene.

JohnDJ59.Black Flag

I ended up going Impey to Danger, he better not get injured.

Derek

I got Danger as well, but I also have his mate Cameron

JohnDJ59.Black Flag

Very happy with my trade now.

Kat

Looking the goods tonight

JohnDJ59.Black Flag

A good time to get on.

Russty_

Well done on Danger, bad luck with Cameron, apparently his hammy was a bit iffy before he started the game.

FIGJAM

Any newz on Neale?

David C

Expecting him to be a late out

dontblushbaby

Teams were updated at approx 4.15 and he still named ?

dontblushbaby

# Neale

Josh

CCJ going down really stuffs me around here. If I go Impey to danger this week I’ll be tight on cash to bring in a D6 next week. I could bring in Mills this week and then should have more freedom picking an F6 between 450-500k which gives me another week to watch danger, marshall and even butters (in the SANFL), but this means I would have to take CCJ’s 5 points

SamuraiPizzaCat

I have CCJ looped. Question is do I trade Madden to a sub $368,000 forward to avoid his 5 points or just cop it and stick with the plan to go one up, one down next week.
Not a lot that price range, looking at maybe Heeney, McLean or JJK.

JohnDJ59.Black Flag

Madden is only supposed to be out for 1-2 weeks, I’d hold.

Kat

Oh boy. Looks like I won’t be able to afford Danger now. I need him to slow down second half

Derek

What about that Parish boy

dontblushbaby

Still in only 9% of teams, I literally tossed a coin between him & Merrett , but came up Merrett

Russty_

He’s gone from fairly average to uber elite this year, took him awhile though.

One Touch Wonder

Finally got a SHARK MOVE right. Put VC on Dangerfield this week

Russty_

Good stuff OTW…nice legup.

Kat

Well done OTW. I’m jealous my decision to wait til next week to get him has been a terrible decision.

Derek

What happened to Cameron. This year is beyond a joke!

dontblushbaby

Right Hamstring

Derek

He was 54 at half time.

Got Gray and Cameron after R12 to get me through the byes. I should have known better.

Keenbutclueless

Took the VC off Danger and put it on Merrett. The mixed emotions of seeing him go big!

Russty_

Sliding doors ay?…at least you have em both mate.

TRIGGA HAPPY

Geez parish is good at footy. Goes in hard, knows where the ball is going, the ball seems to follow him, quick with his hands and barely wastes a disposal!

Bloody brilliant. 👏

Russty_

Yeah mate he’s gone to another level this year, he’s in the Bont, Macrae, Oliver category now. Would’ve been nice to start him this year at 465k.

TRIGGA HAPPY

Agree. On fire team picked him up for just over $500k. Two ins this week for this team. Danger and Ridley. Could be 300 pts of ins there. 🙉

Russty_

Noice man….I have Parish as my VC in draft Jock’s Jungleland this week, Robbie Gray as Captain lol

Derek

And I’ve been try all week to trade Danger (and Wines) to Gawn. Let’s see if he is still in the trade table next week

Russty_

Oh well now it can be Danger to Gawn…Danger’s stocks just went up.

Derek

I guess we all wait to see what happens when Shiel returns

TRIGGA HAPPY

1 trade this week.

Poulter – Danger. ✅

Shake n bake

Did the same

TRIGGA HAPPY

He’s been building and was due for a big one, timing was right.

✅ for you too shakers.

dontblushbaby

Impey – Danger

TRIGGA HAPPY

Perfect trade DBB.

✅ for u. 😂

Derek

RGray – Danger

TRIGGA HAPPY

holty01

Impey -Danger 🥳

K.Sinny

Impey > Danger last week and had the VC on him.

TRIGGA HAPPY

✅ ✅

JohnDJ59.Black Flag

Impey to Danger 10 minutes before the game started.

holty01

Haven’t been on here much lately but just logged on to see how everyone is doing? I was so rapped thinking I would be 1 of only a few to grab Danger this week but scrolling down it seems everyone got him. 😂 Nice work community.
I was also grabbing Grundy this week but with Docherty going down as well as Impey, needed them replaced which means I will struggle to get Grundy back in this season and had to play CCJ as Docherty needed to be replaced. It’s been a very tough year for SC

Derek

I had a quick look at my opponents. 4/9 have Danger.

Between both Danger & CCJ they scored 190.

holty01

I did the same as you Derek if I wanted Grundy I needed to move CCJ to the forward line before the bounce. Not sure if Grundy would have been traded in but I didn’t have to think about it after the bounce Thursday

Derek

i probably would have got Grundy instead of Danger this week if I was thinking.

with CCJ only scoring 5pts, I’ve done a few calculations and not sure if I can get Grundy next week without doing another trade this week (madden to walker). Low on trades. Might be poor man’s R2 for me

if I don’t have a good week, I’m probably out of finals race in my leagues

Shake n bake

9 out of 10 teams have Danger I’m playing!!

JohnDJ59.Black Flag

6/10 have Danger and one of them had the VC on Parish.

Lazza

5 of 8 of my opponents had Danger.. 2 of those 3 didn’t have CCJ .. I had both.. fortunately one of those who didn’t have Danger is in a money league..
trading CCJ and Thilthorpe to Grundy next week.. as long as he doesn’t go higher than 120 .. $$$$

Lekdog

EVERYONE EXCEPT ME GRABBED HIM

Derek

Yeah, what is his story with his TOG. Did Danger effect him that much?

Derek

Guthrie

Russty_

Guthrie was doing his best impression tonight of a bucket of Pus.

Lazza

Maybe he is colour blind Russty… thought that red sash was yellow.. was in cruise mode..

David C

Fyfe out again

David C

Got that wrong.

The G Train

Was going to trade Traecy to Danger but after CCJ injury decided to hold and bring him in for CCJ next week. Figured he wouldn’t get too more than his BE, how wrong I was. Anyone have an idea on how much Dangers price will increase next week.

JohnDJ59.Black Flag

38k

The G Train

Thanks

Kat

That was my thinking as well to trade CCJ to Danger next week. Massive fail

Hedski

I’m going CCJ to Grundy next week and holding Treacey (was going to do the opposite), traded Cripps to Danger last night.

TRIGGA HAPPY

Want a laugh?
This from the so called experts at the heraldsun b4 last nights game.

Danger b/e 100
Chance of hitting b/e 2%
Projected price change -$11k

😂🤣😂🤣😂🤣😂🤣😂🤣😂🤣🤣🤣

Reality.
Chance of hitting b/e 100%
Projected price change $40k.

🙈

JugHead

Yep. We can’t base all our moves strictly on maths.
In round 7, Gawns projection was 178. Nobody thought that was realistic, but plenty of us put the captaincy on him expecting 130-140. He then nailed his lowest score for the year of 63.

holty01

It is amusing. What’s even more amusing for myself is the only reason I bought in Danger over a few other options was his BE was the lowest. If Marshall and Grundy’s were lower, they would have been selected. I was very lucky

David C

And there it is, Neale a late out.

TRIGGA HAPPY

DIdnt get on the plane apparently.

holty01

Well it was Whitfield or Mills in for Docherty this week but after doing the maths, the only way to get Grundy now is by getting a bargain defender as trades are now running low with a few injuries these last few weeks. Haynes is looking an option. I know Mills and Whitfield are better options then Haynes but the points difference between Grundy and the rest of the rucks I think outweigh the others

Lazza

Similar scenario, but I went with Houston.. (already have Whitfield)..

gator59

You must’ve looked at my side Holty

PeteB

Being forced to trade Impey to Danger turned out ok. Not going to get the team where I want it to be though as I’m running out of trades. Jordan may just have to be my 22nd player on field at the end.

David C

Jordan tog is really low, Viney back maybe hurting him.

JugHead

His tog dropped for a few weeks earlier in the season too. It could be just load management for a kid in his first year. Compare that to some of the Sydney rookies who needed multiple weeks out for recovery. I think its a sign that the Dees want to keep playing him if they can, rather than just blood him, then put him in cotton wool for next year.

JohnDJ59.Black Flag

Decided I was going to have to keep Jordon at M8 a while back due to low trades, not much we can do about it.

Hedski

Zorko or Lyons VC?

Russty_

I’m going Zorko mate so maybe do the opposite?..lol

Hedski

Ha ha, Treacey it is….

Maverick

Ouch russty. The C on zorko and a lazy 29 at HT hope he lifts for you! I Haven’t seen any of the match. Is he injured? Only 2 touches and a goal… Copping a Tag?

Russty_

Oh wow haha that typifies my run this year, at least 99 ain’t a total disaster 🙂

Derek

How did he get to 99?

Hedski

Lots of tackles, kicked a couple of goals

Pman

Zorko, Laird or Mitchell for Captain (had Gawn as VC)?

JohnDJ59.Black Flag

A bit late, but Laird would be the best pick out of that bunch.

Derek

Zorko was lucky to get to 99

Derek

JR SURVIVOR CHAMPIONS GROUP

important information for everyone in the JR Survivor Group.

there will be 2 teams eliminated each week.

Pretty Average has immunity for Round 16

good luck fellas

Lazza

The Tiger boys let me down this week and my Survivor run hinges on Heeney 😬 .. it’s been fun .. 👏👏 … Just packing my scarf and beanie now Derek 🥲 …

Derek

Did you have CCJ in field?

Lazza

Yep… and Bolton..

Lazza

Heeney 2 SC points at qtr time 🙄

Derek

Heeney must have had a huge last quarter

Lazza

Yep… and Bolton too…

JohnDJ59.Black Flag

I might have to start looking at Laird as a VC option from now on.

Hedski

Tempted to take Lyons 123 before scaling as VC instead of going Bont….I am greedy though

JohnDJ59.Black Flag

It’s in that 120-125 range, I’d take it.

holty01

Gee Derek, maybe I shouldn’t have laughed when you mentioned Dow as a option. That was 1 of the best quarters by an individual I’ve seen all year.

Derek

I was seriously looking at him a couple of weeks ago when he was $198k.

there is still time. Might get him to replace Cameron and CCJ to Grundy next week

Derek

And the 3rd quarter we saw the real PDow

JugHead

He has faded badly in the second half all year. And thats rhe reason I cant select him. He has actually had several ok first halves. Just can’t seem to run out a full game

Derek

Walsh’s second half was something else. Must have been steeling all Dow’s points

Lekdog

I grabbed him the week he was $198k, reasonably happy

Derek

He must get a decent run in best 22 now

Derek

Thought I was going ok this week, until I remembered I had CCJ on field.

It will be a tale of those who had CCJ and those that didn’t

Looking down the list, I have 2 opponents headed for 2500+

I’m projected for about 2350, it’s going to be close in a few must win leagues. I think Shake might just have me in a couple of them

JohnDJ59.Black Flag

Out of my 10 games, I’m looking at 2 wins, 6 too close to call and 2 loses.

JohnDJ59.Black Flag

Out of the guys on here, I’m hoping for a win against Lazza in the ”Holy Grail” league and Hedski in ”TheSonsOfAnarchy” league. Too close to call are against Holty in ”A Graders” and Shake in ”The Rat Pack.” Trigga has me covered in the ”JR Mega League”, though it could come down to how Bont and Macrae, our two captains go again.

Last edited 3 months ago by JohnDJ59
Lazza

Had me pretty well covered JD.. my % took a hit everywhere..Sitting 7th in the Holy Grail on equal points with 3rd .. the weird thing is that I’m 2nd in one league and 18th in another .. go figure .. anyways, just happy to (just) survive another week in Derek’s Survivor League.. well done to you 👍

JohnDJ59.Black Flag

Hi Lazza, I think you have the ”Holy Grail” league mixed up with another one, you are 12th, just below me on 24pts.

Lazza

Whoops… it was Jock Straps 😬

JohnDJ59.Black Flag

Thanks Lazza, yes at least my expected wins turned out all right, it was my too close to call games against Holty and Shake that went against me.

Teague Train

I had CCJ and Flynn on the field and still expected to hit 2500
1901, with Bont, Macrae, Weightman, Steele, Hall and Ziebell left.

Derek

I need Lloyd to go large.

Why is he 67% TOG for first half?

JohnDJ59.Black Flag

He was stuck on the bench for over 10 minutes at one stage. I’m in the same boat Derek, thinking I should have traded in Mills in round 12 instead.

Derek

Mills has been great, but never became cheap enough. I started Lloyd.

One Touch Wonder

SHARK MOVE – Buddy in

Davo

That’s crazy, I love it! Hope it works out

Derek

Swans will want him to get to 1000 goals. Not a bad move

holty01

How we all travelling community? Think there will be some big scores this week as long as you didn’t have CCJ onfield like me and you get your captain selection right.

dontblushbaby

Projected – 2454 – however I have Heeney & he’s not scoring well atm,also have Macrae with the C

Derek

Heading for about 2360.

Locked in about 8 too close t call must win league games

Teague Train

1901 with CCJ and Flynn on field, still have Steele, Bont, Macrae, Weightman, Hall and Ziebell to come today
Touk the gamble on Touk VC and it paid off 🙂

holty01

Big score mate

JohnDJ59.Black Flag

Looking at a score in between 2,400 – 2,500 In my 10 league games I should win 6, lose 2 and 2 are in doubt.

JohnDJ59.Black Flag

Well done to Shake having the C on Steele, I think with that move, our game in ”The Rat Pack” league, just went from, in doubt/too close to call, to a win for you at this stage.

Derek

My two matches against Shake were over after CCJ. In serious trouble now for finals in Magnificant 7 and Up There Cazaly leagues.

Shake n bake

You could still go on a good run. CCJ definitely didn’t help.

JohnDJ59.Black Flag

It’s really close in ”Up There Cazaly”, I won my match and I only held my place in 9th spot, out of the 8 on % 5th-9th all on 32 pts. With you one game behind in 11th spot.

TRIGGA HAPPY

Bloody good teams that fill those spots.

JohnDJ59.Black Flag

Yes it’s going to be tough to break into the top eight, time is running out for 9th,10th, 11th. The ones already in there only have to keep winning, we need one or two of them to have a bad round to be any chance.

JohnDJ59.Black Flag

Ended up with 2,444 and 6/10 wins, could have been a different story if I’d kept the C on Steele, but ended up with my worst C score ever having it on Bont who decided to have a holiday. Only looking at one finals series, but will keep trying to take it up to the teams in the top 8, so they earn their spot.

Shake n bake

Close game John. Had capt on Steele my other choice which l nearly went with was Walsh but stuck with Steele. Thought today’s conditions would definitely suit him today.

JohnDJ59.Black Flag

Yes, having the C on Steele was a no-brainer really, up against the Pies, who have let most midfielders get some big scores this season, plus as you said the wet conditions suited Steele, not sure what I was thinking, Bont hadn’t scored that well against North for the last few games, he must just take it easy against them.

The Ranger

2350 for me with a donut and Sideys 33.

Derek

What happened to Sidebum?

FIGJAM

Pies fan here. He couldn’t get anywhere near it, not working hard enough. Looked like has given up on the season, concerning for his owners (including me)

TRIGGA HAPPY

Close in most of my matches such is the quality of the opposition.
Only league game i lost was to you ol mate holt though 2500 plus is a damn.fine score. 👏 Weightman propelled u to the win. 4 snags. Nice.

Teague Train

2622 with Flynn and CCJ on field, pretty happy with that effort, expecting some 2700+ scores this week though for the cash prize

Derek

Nice

dontblushbaby

Excelleent TT,how much did your go up by ?

Teague Train

Finished 264 for the week, rank changed by 4K spots

Russty_

Great score this week Teague.

dontblushbaby

Gee Heeney has been a disappointment, not just for SC but overall as a player , so inconsistent

Russty_

Can’t help thinking he must always be under some kind of injury cloud, he’s great when he’s firing but maybe his banged up body doesn’t allow it?

dontblushbaby

Who has the best value keeper to trade in this week R.Marshall or B.Dale ? at this stage I’m leaning towards RM at 30k less and with the DDP

PeteB

Any update on CCJs injury ? Need to decide on trading out him or Thilthorpe this week.

dontblushbaby

Calf strain,at least 2 weeks minimum, an excellent upgrade to Marshall if you can or want to

Russty_

Yeah I’m getting Marshall, thought about Amartey but he’s just another rookie who can go bad. Marshall’s body is a worry this year but I have nothing to lose.

derek

too cheap to ignore now

Russty_

I’m just going for it although I have bugger all to play for, will leave me with one trade lol, I just checked my history and I had to make 17 injury trades this season.

PeteB

Marshall’s on the radar. I think I’ll trade CCJ for Hawkins this week, and Thilthorpe for Marshall next week. Just concerned about Marshall’s injury this year. Seeing him get another week will give me more confidence.

What Bear

CCJ or Madden to Danger? CCJ leaves 30k Madden leaves 3K. Who has best job security after injury?

Russty_

ccj

FIGJAM

CCJ has high BE, will start losing money when he get’s back. Cash him in

Derek

The Big Boys came out to play this round

Lazza

Yeh, sure did, gonna take something dramatic to happen to be able to survive your Champions League with Holt and Champs churning them out.. I think I’ve just scraped in for another week .. thanks to Danger and Walsh.. CCJ on field, and Bont’s shadow as C almost sunk me..

derek

i think you are safe this week by about 2 kicks (12pts)

Russty_

Well done Lazza surviving another week.

holty01

Awesome work mate.