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2020 Supercoach Score Breakdown

Published by Barron Von Crow on

With Supercoach set to open tomorrow, I’m sure there are plenty of you eager to get started on your very first lineups for the 2021 season. One thing we always look for in Supercoach is the “next big thing”, that guy who is ready to break out and become a great Supercoach player for us. One way to analyze this is to look at Supercoach scores in blocks of the year. A young player may have started poorly in the year, but came home strong with a flurry, almost like they were two different players!

So what we have here is each and every player, with their 2020 season broken down into 3 chunks, rounds 1-6, round 7-12 and rounds 13-18, as well as Finals if they played, as well as their SC position and starting price.

This is all just about having more information in the hopes you can make better decisions about your starting selections. Not only is this information useful in finding players who had hot end of season form that we hope will continue into 2021, but it’s also useful to see a whole season overview on players for when it comes to starting selections and also trading performing/non-performing players. Would you consider Mitch Duncan more knowing he averaged 129 SCPoints over the finals? Or when it comes to trading, Lachie Whitfield averaged 83.8 SCPoints over his first 6 games, but then had averages of 116 and 115 over his next two blocks of 12 combined games. These sort of things give you ideas about trading non-performing premiums early and the ramifications it can have or also the comebacks they could have if you decide to take a risk on bringing a fallen premium in.

This has all been collated into a simple spreadsheet, separated by each team, the link can be found below

Hopefully this is of some use to all you in the Community, 2021 Supercoach is just getting started, so look out for more exciting content coming up from the Jock Reynolds crew!


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Whitey

Brilliant, just brillaint. Thanks so much Baron.

Lekdog

He’s the best!

Jim Sykes

Hey guys.
I’m looking at my M2 to M5 of Walsh, Cripps, Rowell and Taranto and I get the feeling that I’m one uber premium short.
But then I look at the top end of town for mids and see 3 Bulldogs and 2 Demons in the top 8.
Does this bother anyone else risk wise?
I have Lachie at 1 and I don’t particular trust a repeat year by Steele.
Cheers.

Steeeve

My first draft has only 4 midfield ‘premos’ — Neale, Oliver, Cripps and Rowell. Makes me very nervous but might be the game I have to play if I want to start Gawn and Grundy.
I agree about Steele. I think he can go big again but hard to tell when his break-out year was in shortened quarters. I’d rather go with guys I can trust (yes, Rowell counts haha). I feel similarly about Petracca. But have no issues with Oliver, he has runs on the board. And halfway through last season he started backing himself to run and carry and deliver the footy, and his scoring exploded. I can see him adding more of that to his game.

Russty_

Reckon I’ll start Steele, last year was the first year he was let off the leash from tagging and consequently showed what he can really do, he may not average quite as high as 122 but I still think he’ll be up there among the best.

Russty_

Hi John. nice to see you around again mate…no I didn’t receive it…I did change my email awhile ago, not sure if that’s why, if you give me the code I’ll enter manually.

Russty_

Cheers bud, glad you’re going around again, it couldn’t be any worse than last year haha…the lack of preseason games sucks as we won’t be able to see our potential rook starters in action much, I’ll join up now mate, thanks for the invite 🙂

Russty_

Not a bad strategy John, the younger they are, the less injury chance, and further development is always a bonus, Walsh could go big this year. For me it was either Steele or Petracca so I chose Steele but I would like to have both.
Petracca was hard to obtain last season and I had to pay premium.

David

This is valuable info and a lot of work has gone into producing it, thank you. Years ago when this site was young this type of breakdown was produced by Higgo regularly and it was invaluable because we were able to easily identify the players that were inclined to ‘coast’ for the first few weeks or ‘drop-off’ in the last few weeks. We can’t safely make those determinations based on a single seasons data so, be smart and keep this spreadsheet.
If using this spreadsheet you identify a Premo that had a really slow start to the season you can easily check previous seasons for that player using fanfooty or similar.
Also, it makes things easier if you un-merge the merged cells because then you will be able to sort the data.
Thanks again Barron and good luck to all for 2021

Russty_

It’s fine Barron if it’s for the greater good 😉

Lekdog

I have also undone the merged cells in my own saved version to help sort!

David

This demonstrates the Value of Barrons Data
Jake Lloyd
In 2020 after 6 rounds his ave was 109.8 ranked equal 5th defender with mills. He finished with a seasons ave of 122
So, is Lloyd a slow starter?

  • 2019 after 6 rounds he ave 118 his season ave was 109
  • 2018 after 6 rounds he ave 91 his season ave was 112
  • 2017 after 6 rounds he ave 97 his season ave was 87 (injury 0 in rnd 19)
  • 2016 after 6 rounds he ave 80 his season ave was 85

No he isn’t a slow starter you need to start him in your SC team if you want a chance of winning

David

Luke Ryan seems popular but is he worth starting?
Based on LY NO

  1. He wasn’t top 10 after 1st 6 rounds
  2. he was ranked 2nd behind Lloyd for 2nd 6 rounds
  3. He was ranked 10th for final 6 rounds

Not so much a lock as a watch and see IMO

David

It might be a pattern with Ryan
In 2019 his season ave was 95. He ave 102 after 6 rounds, in his next 6 he ave 104, in the 3rd 6 games for 2019 he only ave 81 but that included an injury 48, delete the injury score and his 3rd block of games averaged 88.
On a very small sample size it appears that you should not Start Ryan or depend on him to perform during SC finals, if you have trades to burn it is definitely worth getting after round 6 and trading him out again before the byes.

Lekdog

Don’t think we can look at last year where Ryan had to play key defence. His upside is there, except him to be a top-6 defender but I won’t be starting myself.

David

Why so much love for Milera?
In 5 years he’s never played a full season
In 5 years his best ave is 83 and that was last year off 2 games.
If you look at his other years his first 2 or 3 are ok then he seriously sh!ts the bed. example 2019 ave 95 after 4 games but for the next 5 games he ave 8 coz he missed 4 of them, when he came back he ave 75 for 4 games then missed another, his 2nd comeback in 2019 he ave 67 over 8 games
People say Daniher is risky because of injury but Milera has only played 2 more games than Daniher since 2016 and has had twice as many injuries as Daniher in that period.
Daniher has only had 2 different injuries in that time and Milera has had 4 different injuries

gator59

Bang on the money with Milera David and others that aren’t in the mix also are Ziebell, Brown, Daniher because of injury history and they’re not in my opinion SC relevant,..
About the only other ones you could make a case for would be Cockatoo and Hutchings at there low starting price and I would still wouldn’t be over confident of them staying on the park.

Russty_

Hey Col, I’d be willing to take the risk on Ziebell or Daniher, only for the fact that they’re both going great guns at pre-season training..only as stepping stones though, not keepers. If they averaged 80 or so before trading them out, it’d be a win I feel…when you compare that score to a rook who will definitely shit the bed regularly with 30’s…ish.
Problem this season is, rooks only play one pre-season game so there will be some serious crap shooting decisions have to be made.

gator59

I like your way of thinking russty ,But it’s a big BUT I just don’t think they’ll be around for very long before they get injured..That’s the risk I’m willing to take with out starting them …Going to be a waste of trades in my opinion

Russty_

Nice observations David…I was considering Milera but you’re right, his record ain’t that flash, he is still only 23 though…. Cumming might be a better option or just none in that price range…always a risk.

Lazza (Raw Tiger)

Thanks Barron, great kickoff .. joined my fav leagues last night .. thanks for the invites Russty, John and Colin.. looking forward to 2021.. best of luck to all.. 🏆

gator59

You’re welcome Lazza, Great to have you back on board mate

Russty_

Onya Lazza, let’s have a great season mate.

TOPHAWK

G’day community!!
2021 SC has arrived! Happy days. Well, I have just trolled through Barron’s brilliant spreadsheet in the hunt for the next genuine break out contenders. Four blokes caught my eye. Jack Scrimshaw, Nick Coffield, Damon Greaves, and John Noble. All 4 are 23 years of age or less. I am not sure how these 4 fared during their pre seasons, but the bloke I really like is Nick Coffield. His improvement during the 2020 season was very very impressive. He is just 21 years old and provided he is injury free, and got through a decent preseason, his upside going into 2021 has got to make him a serious break out contender. He is priced at $426K with an average of 79.4 in 2020, perhaps he can lift his average to 90-95 this year. What do others think of these four break out contenders?
Cheers, Tophawk

Lekdog

I mentioned Noble in our Collingwood pod. I think he poised for some very good Supercoach scores this year.

Scrimshaw is filling a void of significance with no Sicily, very tempting at his price.

Coffield has the game style to suit SUoercoach but they’ve brought two more best 22 players into that side this year, I don;t think he gets there in 2021.

Greaves I’ll dig into a bit more.

Love it Tophawk!

Russty_

Hey TH…I think Coffield could get to those numbers this year, him and Clark have the potential to up their games this year, Geary going down with a broken leg also will put more responsibility on Coffield which could be a good thing. He’d probably be a fairly unique pick cause most people will probably go with Williams or Witherden in that price bracket.