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SuperCoach Panic Room: Round 22

Published by Kev on

Just two weeks to go, folks! SuperCoach prelim finals are here to decide if you will be removing the stone of shame and attaching the stone of (potential) triumph!

this could be you

For the penultimate podcast of 2019, Patch and Lek discussed some stuff and things, Patch yells and rants for a bit… standard stuff really. After Essendon’s “effort” against the Dogs on the weekend his eye is twitching a lot more and he yells in his sleep. Barron has a look at rookie prospects for Port, Richmond, and St Kilda this week. Damo heard you like graphs so he’s gone graph crazy in his captain’s article. And finally, Statty Matty has flexed his throbbing statistical muscles this week in the cheat sheet. I needed a cold shower after laying eyes on it.

Firstly, an apology that it’s taken me 22 weeks to realise I could have been using this Simpsons meme. I blame Patch for the oversight. For tonight, nothing like a dead rubber on a Friday night to get you excited about footy. Luckily the cricket is on. The Dees have been hit hard at both ends of park. SuperCoach wise, if you’ve held onto Marty Hore he is back tonight and there’s a debut for the oddly priced Kade Chandler (MID – 108.4k). Jayden Hunt may be kicking around in a few draft teams, he has been dropped. Zak Jones is out injured for the Swans. 

The good times continue on Saturday with Carlton taking on St Kilda. Patrick Cripps’ 100th game is about the most exciting thing happening here. If you picked up Sam Menegola late in the season hoping he’d be a POD for your draft team he is out this week against the Lions. ROB is BACK this week, however, Sam Jacobs has kept his spot in the team to create an interesting ruck dynamic. John Noble will play his second game for the Pies in their only change. Essendon have chucked a spanner into the midfielder bench works by dropping Dylan Clarke against Freo. A fair bit of experience returns with Hurley, Parish, Saad, and Francis all back in. One popular Power rookie will replace the other – Zak Butters is in for Xavier Duursma. Scott Lycett is still on the outs. 

On Sunday, a HUGE game between the Tigers and the Eagles has seen Dusty and, interestingly, Ivan Soldo, return to the Tigers team. Chol owners should be nervous when the side is finalised this evening. Jake Aarts (106.9k) and Marlion Picket (102.4k) have made the team sheet. West Coast have added Jarrod Cameron to their squad, among others. Some handy cavalry arriving at the right time for the Giants: Josh Kelly and tagger extraordinaire Matt de Boer have been named. Although Jeremy Cameron will again miss with injury. Rhylee West could play his second game for the Dogs, and Callum Porter (MID – 123.9k) could debut. Roughie gets a farewell at the G in the final game on Sunday. Returning alongside him will be Ben McEvoy and Jack Gunston. The Suns have lost Anthony Miles to injury.   

The House of Evil

Well Footywire hasn’t even bothered to update their breakeven list so the House will be boarded up and the keys forgotten about until round 3, 2020.

Smooth Kevy’s Lock of the Week

Honestly if you’ve got trades at this point, bravo! With Josh Kelly back for the Giants this week will Toby Greene’s #blessed run in the midfield come to an end? If you think it will and have no cash in the bank, a jump to James Worpel is on the cards. Despite a season average of 96 he has exploded in the past 5 weeks with an average of 119 and a three round average 127. He faces the leaky Gold Coast midfield midfield this week. He should have no problems in delivering another 3-figure score.

Hey Now, You’re a Draftstar

Brisbane v Geelong.1 v 2 on the ladder. If you think a battle between these two teams would be televised on free-to-air you’d be sadly mistaken, but we still have Draftstars to get us through.

RUC

Stef Martin should be able to dictate terms in this matchup. Despite Esava being named as starting ruck it was Mark Blicavs that attended a majority of ruck contests last week against North (59 v Esava’s 26). Oscar McInerney’s ruck involvement increased dramatically last week, attending 63 ruck contests to Martin’s 73, and Geelong have given up an average of 93 to rucks this year. He’s an option if you want to same some cash instead of Stef.   

DEF

Both teams have been pretty stingy against medium defenders this year and across the last 5 weeks, so I’m gun shy about going too hard at the premium options. As mentioned in the rucks, Mark Blicavs attended a fair share on contests and managed a score of 85 against Goldstein. I like him here to reach 8-9x value on his price. Mark O’Connor returns this week and has hovered around 8x in his past 4 games. Darcy Gardiner and Noah Answerth (also a mid) are another two guys that could far excel their price tags. Of the two, I prefer Answerth.

FWD

Quinton Narkle probably won’t smash out a 93 again but he had 4 CBA’s against North and his role shouldn’t change this week. Charlie Cameron is the man in form, booting 6 and 4 goals in his past two games, he has, however, not reached a Draftstars 100 in either. With Sam Menegola out it could see a bump for other Geelong forwards. Gaz’s recent floor over the past 5 weeks is 8x value and we all know the ceiling he has when he gets going. Mitch Robinson and Patrick Dangerfield (both mids) are also great plays. 

MID

Brisbane concede 124 points per game to the oppositions number 1 mid both across the entire season and the past 5 weeks. I’ve mentioned Danger already but Tim Kelly’s price is 13.7k and looks a good bet here. He had been teasing with 90’s across the last month and finally hit 3 figures last 3 week. Geelong have actually been pretty good in limiting opposition mids, but the ceilings of Dayne Zorko and Jarryd Lyons are exactly what you need on single slates. Both have pulled some massive numbers at the Gabba this season. The wheels have fallen off Lachie Neale a bit in recent times, but at 13.4k his potential ceiling is off the charts. Mitch Duncan keeps on keeping on. He hasn’t had a huge slate breaking score, but he’s consistent and his scores don’t seem to be tied to Geelong’s indifferent form recently. You could snaffle him at low ownership with the other high priced options around. 


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TommyC99

Hey Kev, love ya work once again!

So i've got 2 trades left with a complete team. Which option would you go with? Only got 27k in the bank so straight swapping not easy.

1. Bank the trade/s this week in the event of injuries next week
2. Paint the fence to get an D7/F7 to loop player (after downgrading Clarke – Noble i'd have 472k for a defender OR 439k for a fwd)

SC_Kev7

Cheers, Tommy. With a full team and no problems I'd be tempted to hold. Never know when you'll get hit with a late out

Frank234

Two trades left, in prelim final playing for leagues, have both Lycett and Jeremy Cameron (have 7 premo Fs). Need to trade out both and bring in one defender (move Burgess to D7) and one forward. Money no issue, have about $1.2m so spend, so can literally get the best options available. Will have no trades for Grand Final which is a bit of a concern, but don't really have a choice.

I'm currently leaning Whitfield/Dunkley

Russty_

Go for it Frank…all or nothing now. Hopefully you have cover on all lines just in case?

Frank234

Cheers Russty.

Everything but Ruck, had Lycett for that reason but that didn't work out.

Any better than Dunkley/Whitfield?

Russty_

Probably not although dunks could get tagged, Worpel's flying if you don't have him.
I had Lycett too Frank, who would've thought he'd get dumped for Ladhams.

Blue

I've ended up having 4 trades left.
I traded Sloane to Trelor but not sure what to do with the other trade.
Team is full premo with Rockcliff on the bench.
Thinking of holding and seeing what happens and then trade Rocky ($457K) down to a cheapy so I've got money in the bank if I make a GF.
Any suggestions?

Russty_

Hi Blue, great job this year!…I suggest you go on and win this week, and tell me how you got a full premo team with 4 trades left lol, so I can copy you next year 🙂

Blue

Thanks Russty. I got lucky with allot of mid priced gambles like Worpel, Hore, Walsh, Sheed etc and fallen premos like Darling, Houli plus starting with Grundy & Gawn.

Beezneez

I've also got 4 trades left, am full premo and haven't traded since round 18. Will downgrade Clarke for cash and will use the other trade to match my opponent if necessary.

Stupid Coach

Great work again Kev. Down to my very last trade and unfortunately have very little cash (18k) to work with. My team is as follows:

B: Lloyd, Laird, Sicily, Stewart, Williams, Whitfield, Wilkie, Lloyd
M: Cripps, Mcrae, Merrett, Sloane, Oliver, Bont, Neale, Duncan, J Cameron (WC), Bewley, Langlands
R: Gawn, Goldy, Sweet
F: Danger, T Kelly, Heeney, Marshall, Robinson, Hill, Young, Gardener

I would appreciate any advice of where my last trade would be best used – upgrade Wilkie, downgrade Cameron/Bewley/Langlands or upgrade/downgrade Hill in the forward line.

Thanks community.

Derek

You would think there was a reasonable chance that just one of; Duursma, Oskar, Bewley or DClarke would play this week.

Russty_

Are you getting a donut if they don't Derek?…Duursma's injured I think.

John

Do I stick the VC on Cripps, Gawn or Grundy?

Mikee

Great work as usual!<img src=&quotcomment image" width="1"/>

Lazza

Who does De Boer go to .. Macrae or Dunkley?

dontblushbaby

3 trades and 368k – 3 Cash Leagues

I have 2 options that I am looking at :

1- Trade Burgess to Lloyd – D7 tonight & Tiger Lynch to Worpel F6
2. Trade Tiger Lynch to Dunkley F6 – Burgess to either Blicavs, Rich or Stewart as a D7 with rest of my backs

I am 10k short to do Dunkley and Lloyd

Your help would be appreciated

TIA Gents

Russty_

Hey dbb, although Lloyd is one of the best he's only averaged 86 for the last 3 games, you'd have to hope he brings something big if you get him, I reckon Stewart will probs score equal or better than that, but overall, I reckon getting Lloyd and Worpel is what i'd do.
Dunks and Stewart also a good option, sorry I'm not helping much.

redherringfc

Canyou just do 1 trade as an upgrade. Hold the last 2 for next week (and hope there is a next week).

Shake_n_bake

2 trades left with no trades to do 🤔

Russty_

I'll take em if you're giving em away mate!…well done .

Shake_n_bake

I’ll loop Kennedy tonight if he goes under say 95 l might trade Clarke from the bombers.

Brn

I'm the same. I'm just using them for the sake of it. Will better the team a bit, and with my decent cover it will net me the most points even if a gun is out next week

Danny Boy

Is Taranto better with or without Kelly?

flip

3 trades and only $45k. Cash league.
trade sloane and a cow to anyone i want in any position or
slay 2 rookies and get dusty as a 9th mid (or one of me Fwd/mids)
will leave me with $2k'ish. (got grawndy already)

Russty_

Sloane's playing this week…maybe downgrade a rookie this week for the moolah and save 2 for next week?

Russty_

Nank is out of the Tigers game so Chol might be safe for this week.

Russty_

Good luck to all my opponents this week, although I don't think you'll need much luck.
In my major prelims I'm up against…

Rat Pack : Random Cliche
Up There Cazaly : Beveridge FC
Jolly Jockers : Carlton's Premiers
Trigs happy Place: Moustachio
JR Championship 1 : Dow Jones

Minor Prelims…
JR Megaleague : Tophawks
Sons of Anarchy: Barron's Peligro Abejas

Hey if I flop on my ass this week at least I got this far.
Who are you all up against this week in your matchups?

JohnDJ59

Minor Prelims. The Rat Pack-The Blacksheep. Holy Grail-Wizard Chokers. I have no hope since I will be fielding two donuts and since they are minor prelims it doesn't really matter anyway.

Russty_

Bummer about the donuts John, I assume Duursma is one of them?

JohnDJ59

Right on Russty, Duursma, Stack, Clarke out and J.Kelly will come off the bench for Duursma.

Russty_

Rough week John losing 3 but gaining 1, you must be pretty disappointed with that as it's so unexpected, come back strong next year mate!

JohnDJ59

Sure will. I've learnt my lesson.

Shake_n_bake

Made 4 prelims. You play my workmate in Cazaly Russty. You have to win alright!!!!!

Russty_

I'll try mate with my rag tag bunch of lahoosers lol

shane

Name me the highest scoring player in the positions this week
1.Mid
2.Defender

Derek

Lloyd will do whatever he likes tonight.

Melbourne has the worst team efficiency going into attack. There won’t be any real pressure by the Melbourne forwards. Lloyd has been quiet, he will bounce back.

My VC on Lloyd tonight

Fyfe at home vs Essendon, trouser stretching

Brn

Could work but most will be going gawn, and he will honestly get 140+

Brn

No clark. Agreed on fyfe

James Sykes

Prem final on the line, 1 trade left.

All 22 are playing and are loosely defined as premo.

So do I take a punt and try Laird to Whitfield as POD to my opponent?

Russty_

Stack axed to make room for dusty.

Brn

Best mid for 240k?

Using my last two trades and dont want to waste cash. For bench cover only.

Was thinking paddy dow. Thoughts?

Shake_n_bake

Just a shout out to all that were in up there Cazaly league… thank you. we’re inside the top 100 last 2 yrs just outside this year. Until next year see you all then. Good luck in the prelims to whom got there.

TOPHAWK1

Hi Shake! It's a brilliant league mate. Always fantastic to compete against the best coaches in the land. Hopefully get another opportunity next year to rattle a few cages! Cheers mate. TH

Brn

Is there a chance to finish top 10 if i am currently 50th?
Would really like some $$

Russty_

Depends on how many points in front the top 10 are Brn..have you checked the rankings?

Brn

Think it was about 300 points

Brn

Have been consistently good all year, but never a ' bam amazing move up the charts' which has been frustrating.

Russty_

Good luck moving up bud, great achievement being ranked so high, hard to gain ground now with many teams similar at this time of year but you never know if you have a few pods and they go nuts.

redherringfc

You’ll need to smash it over this round and next. Do you have trades for next week? If so, you’re a shot at it.

Good luck.

Brn

In other news, looks like gawn is up against allir at this stage… Wow. Lloyd a strong midfield time chance, which could be good or bad

Maverick_

I suspect Toby Greene is heading back to the forward line with de Boer and kelly back, guess it was nice while it lasted Toby.

Alex

Playing a cash league prelim and have 4 trades and no cash this week. I am using one trade to cash out D Clarke and I want to upgrade Answerth who unfortunately is still my D6 (thinking Newman or Darcy Byrne-Jones) or hold him for one more week and luxury upgrade Brad Crouch to either Heeney or Worpel (I was going to include Greene but I think his score may be hindered with Jelly's return). I will make enough cash from Clarke to make the other trade next week pending I have no injuries to deal with

Russty_

I would do the Clarke and Answerth thing this week, otherwise you could regret it if you come up 10 points short because of Answerth or he drops a stinker on you and gets 30

Alex

yeah I am 100% with that decision now. If we get smashed with injuries next week and I have to use my 2 trades next week on damage control and I don't upgrade Answerth now I will get stuck with him next week whereas being stuck with B Crouch could certainly be a lot worse. Plus both my potential opponents if I make the final have Newman too so it makes 1 less POD. Cheers mate

Russty_

Good luck for the week Alex

COREYSC

Oliver or Treloar?

Alex

I'd go Treloar, thinking of a using him as a sneaky POD Captains choice against Adelaide if Gawn fails tonight and I have both Oliver and Treloar

Russty_

Hope you went Treloar Corey, Oliver's getting tagged by Hewitt

Holty01

Good luck all for the round

Russty_

Same to you Holty…go well mate.

Sam_01

Cripps needs to stand up as C, I think I’ll pass on gawns vc

JohnDJ59

We were going to come second last either way, so no.

Maverick_

Well Gawn flopped..
Fyfe, crippa, dunks or Macrae.

De Boer will tag the bont won’t he?

Blue

hard call
I'm taking Gawn's score at the moment.
If you've got Bines as C then you can always change your mind later, depending on how you make up to your opponent.

Maverick_

Yeah only got 5 differentials and there not playing til adel Collingwood which is when grundy will play so doesn’t help unfortunately.. I think I’ll roll it on Fyfe

C_Grundy

Nah De Boer will go to Dunkley that's a much better match up for giants

hedski

Yeah good on ya Angus top scoring tonight.
WHERE HAVE YOU BEEN ALL YEAR WHEN I NEEDED YOU YA HELMET WEARING PRICK?????

Swans2012

I wouldn’t say he has redeemed himself to me, but it’s a start, I’ll happily take his score this week and park missy Higgins on the bench…. how he got to that score is anyone’s guess, 24 disposals at 50%……

Swans2012

Next year We are both back in the eight Neil, I think it’s just so hard for you guys because you promised sooooo much last year…

dontblushbaby

Gawn went off late , didn't look good

loop

Bugga – just used my last trade in DT. Traded out Westhoff, my horrible ruck cover.
I dont worry too much about DT, just dag along and try to make the finals.
I traded Brayshaw in round 20.
Went Sicily to Whitfield in round 21.
Notice a pattern……
This week I'm playing the guy who is currently third overall, he was first up until last week. I decided to roll the dice and go out fighting, traded Westhoff to Ziebell and have put the C on Matt Crouch.
I guess if I lose Max wont be an issue next week anyway.

Daz

To take 119 or not as VC? If Gawn didn’t play the last round it would make for a spicier final round!

DavidC

A lot of donuts for those out of trades if he doesn't play. AFL website says hamstring tightness which does not sound good. Melbourne have no reason to risk him.

Derek

Unless you have Lycett as ruck cover…… oh yeah…

Blue

I'm taking Gawn's score.
If you've got Bines as C then you can always change your mind later, depending on how you make up to your opponent.

Stupid Coach

Last trade and very little cash left. Do I trade out Jarrod Cameron for Zac Bailey, Nash (Haw) or Narkle or do I hold on to the trade for next week in case Gawn does not play. Cameron is on my bench so it is not essential, however, it means that I play Hill on the field.

Laurie

Hi I need some urgent advice as this my last chance at staying in finals I have two trades left. I can either move dangerfield to FWD position and the best player I can afford is Josh Kelly (who I only traded out last week! ) or just trade out Setterfield to Worpel or Walters? Who should I bring in Kelly or Worpel? Need to some advice please

DavidC

Worpel has been in pretty good nick lately and plays the SUNS this week. Josh Kelly would be a big unique now. Worpel if you want to play it safe. Kelly for high risk high reward. Personally if I had just traded out Kelly I don't think I could bring myself to trade him straight back in again but that's just me.

Laurie

Thanks totally appreciate the help I’m just short of Fyfe and really didn’t want to bring Kelly as I wish I had traded him weeks ago. Worpel it is

Stupid Coach

I would trade Settlefield and bring in Worpel who is in very good form and playing the Suns at Marvel. He should get another decent score. Kelly is playing his first game in a while, is underdone and GWS may be cautious with him with finals approaching.

Blue

Worpel is in good form

dontblushbaby

Goodwins take on Gawn is that he had a tight hamstring and should be ok for next week

gareth

tossing up upgrading rocky to J.Lyons or J.Kelly any thoughts on these two ?

TOPHAWK1

Both guns. Depends how your midfield bench depth is. If you have decent cover get J Kelly as he is ultra premo but an ongoing injury risk. If you are light for cover I'd pick Lyons as he is durable and a proven scorer. Cheers. TH

redherringfc

Kelly.

Maverick_

kelly for me.. he only needs to roll round in 2nd gear get his 20-25 touches two goals and you'll be rewarded with 130+ SC points

s c tragic

Ah Heeney the forward that just keeps on giving, wouldn't you know he is my POD on the forward line.

TOPHAWK1

Heeney the perennial turd dropper.<img draggable="false" class="emoji" alt="💩" src="https://s.w.org/images/core/emoji/12.0.0-1/svg/1f4a9.svg"><img draggable="false" class="emoji" alt="💩" src="https://s.w.org/images/core/emoji/12.0.0-1/svg/1f4a9.svg"><img draggable="false" class="emoji" alt="💩" src="https://s.w.org/images/core/emoji/12.0.0-1/svg/1f4a9.svg"><img draggable="false" class="emoji" alt="😂" src="https://s.w.org/images/core/emoji/12.0.0-1/svg/1f602.svg"><img draggable="false" class="emoji" alt="😂" src="https://s.w.org/images/core/emoji/12.0.0-1/svg/1f602.svg"><img draggable="false" class="emoji" alt="😂" src="https://s.w.org/images/core/emoji/12.0.0-1/svg/1f602.svg"&gt;

TOPHAWK1

Tophawk in one major preliminary final in my own league the Guns and Rookies league. Nothing like home sweet home.🏘 Enter the Finnius Flyers….😬😨. Finnius is arguably the best coach on JR and is pushing for top 100 this season. (Currently 184th) His consistency year in year out makes him uber Elite. BUT TH is not intimidated. My list might not look as strong on paper, but it is a dangerous and capable side. I will have a serious crack, maybe throw in a few sneaky manoeuvres to try and push him all the way. Let the battle begin!👊💥 TH

Beezneez

I'm waiting for whoever wins your matchup TH. At this stage I'm sorry to say for you it looks like Fin as he has one more player and there is only 2 points separating you. But, as I've found out in another league anything can happen. After being top all year in that league, ranking 270 odd and not having to trade since round 17. I've had a shocker and am going to lose to Gilbert
Gardiner. Think I'm in the box seat to beat 7 Reasons Why as we only had 3 uniques – one of his was Hawkins who scored 40. We had the same vc and c

Beezneez

Ps Gilbert Gardiner should have read Robbo.

Phil Inn

So the ones who had the VC on Max, who are you putting the C on ? I'm going Fyfe atm . no Clarke to tag , thoughts

TOPHAWK1

Is that you Finnius?😂 Fyfe is a decent option mate. Could go massive tonight at Optus Stadium. Good luck Phill Inn.🤔

redherringfc

I want to go Cripps, but am tempted to hold out and see if 119 looks safe when the Dogs start. If I go that option, Macrae it will have to be.

Wish I’d taken a punt on Hawkins as vc, now.

Maverick_

At this stage it’s fyfe for me, brayden sier.

Holty01

I’m in Melbourne for a boys footy trip and on my way to the MCG to watch my loved Blues. I have worked out that it has been over a decade since I have watched the Blues live and had a win. Hopefully today it changes.

TOPHAWK1

Good luck Holty! Enjoy the game and let's see the bluebaggers come away with the 4 points!

Russty_

Enjoy your trip mate despite the loss you'll have today against the mighty Saints ;)..Fatty Jack Steven and hamstrings Hannebery will get us home I think..lol

FarmerBob

Were you on the standing room only from Swan Hill mate?

JB

B Crouch to J Kelly thoughts?

Maverick_

BCrouch found ALOT of it last week it was just his horrible DE% that hurt him and still tonned up. not sure it's worth the trade it's risky but that is what this games all about isn't it so completely up to you JB.

Brads going 101/107 over 3&5. not disastrous

no idea

Agree with Mav- not sure how Kelly will go first up

No idea

Panicking- Grundy or Fyfe for captain?

Maverick_

sauce and ROB too double team grundy not to say it works but that worries me.
No D.Clarke for bombers and in WA, go ya hardest fyfe.

no idea

Fair point- ta

Sam_01

Steele get off cripps you flog absolutely killing me

Maverick_

We all know crippa can't shake a tag his been pretty ordinary with it all year Sam and steele was always going to him.
you didn't C him did you? :/

Sam_01

I didn’t mav thought his track record against them would get the job done RIP

Doc_h

Bit harsh mate, he spent the morning in hospital and been double teamed at stoppages since round 3.

Maverick_

Neale can almost kiss the Charlie goodbye, Lyons & Zorko will be stealing every 3 & 2 vote since the Brisbane bye.

Stupid Coach

Is it worth trading Jarrod Cameron to Fogarty (Adelaide) for my last trade or sticking with Hill (GWS) on the field. Only have 18k otherwise I would get someone better. Alternatively, I can just hold and use it if I make it to the big dance next week.

Holty01

You little ducking beauty.🥳

TOPHAWK1

Blues get the 4 points! Great win.

StephenS

I reckon Stocker will be better than this drafts pick 5 (after GC get a freebie, saints gut swans and blues stick it up the cats) and probably as good as this years #3. He's a sublime kick and has good game sense. He played this year with zero pre-season and obviously not fully recovered from the injury that saw him picked so late.
If he can fully recover and stay fit he'll be a gun.

Holty01

Agree Stephen. Only seen him for a few games but seems sure with ball in hand. As long as he is best 22 next year it will be a great pick up.

Sam_01

Ugh looking like a very average round for me top hundred hopes kisses goodbye

SamuraiPizzaCat

Matt Crouch.. hello?

richard

don pyke pack your bags