SuperCoach Panic Room: Round 22
Just two weeks to go, folks! SuperCoach prelim finals are here to decide if you will be removing the stone of shame and attaching the stone of (potential) triumph!
For the penultimate podcast of 2019, Patch and Lek discussed some stuff and things, Patch yells and rants for a bit… standard stuff really. After Essendon’s “effort” against the Dogs on the weekend his eye is twitching a lot more and he yells in his sleep. Barron has a look at rookie prospects for Port, Richmond, and St Kilda this week. Damo heard you like graphs so he’s gone graph crazy in his captain’s article. And finally, Statty Matty has flexed his throbbing statistical muscles this week in the cheat sheet. I needed a cold shower after laying eyes on it.
Firstly, an apology that it’s taken me 22 weeks to realise I could have been using this Simpsons meme. I blame Patch for the oversight. For tonight, nothing like a dead rubber on a Friday night to get you excited about footy. Luckily the cricket is on. The Dees have been hit hard at both ends of park. SuperCoach wise, if you’ve held onto Marty Hore he is back tonight and there’s a debut for the oddly priced Kade Chandler (MID – 108.4k). Jayden Hunt may be kicking around in a few draft teams, he has been dropped. Zak Jones is out injured for the Swans.
The good times continue on Saturday with Carlton taking on St Kilda. Patrick Cripps’ 100th game is about the most exciting thing happening here. If you picked up Sam Menegola late in the season hoping he’d be a POD for your draft team he is out this week against the Lions. ROB is BACK this week, however, Sam Jacobs has kept his spot in the team to create an interesting ruck dynamic. John Noble will play his second game for the Pies in their only change. Essendon have chucked a spanner into the midfielder bench works by dropping Dylan Clarke against Freo. A fair bit of experience returns with Hurley, Parish, Saad, and Francis all back in. One popular Power rookie will replace the other – Zak Butters is in for Xavier Duursma. Scott Lycett is still on the outs.
On Sunday, a HUGE game between the Tigers and the Eagles has seen Dusty and, interestingly, Ivan Soldo, return to the Tigers team. Chol owners should be nervous when the side is finalised this evening. Jake Aarts (106.9k) and Marlion Picket (102.4k) have made the team sheet. West Coast have added Jarrod Cameron to their squad, among others. Some handy cavalry arriving at the right time for the Giants: Josh Kelly and tagger extraordinaire Matt de Boer have been named. Although Jeremy Cameron will again miss with injury. Rhylee West could play his second game for the Dogs, and Callum Porter (MID – 123.9k) could debut. Roughie gets a farewell at the G in the final game on Sunday. Returning alongside him will be Ben McEvoy and Jack Gunston. The Suns have lost Anthony Miles to injury.
The House of Evil
Well Footywire hasn’t even bothered to update their breakeven list so the House will be boarded up and the keys forgotten about until round 3, 2020.
Smooth Kevy’s Lock of the Week
Honestly if you’ve got trades at this point, bravo! With Josh Kelly back for the Giants this week will Toby Greene’s #blessed run in the midfield come to an end? If you think it will and have no cash in the bank, a jump to James Worpel is on the cards. Despite a season average of 96 he has exploded in the past 5 weeks with an average of 119 and a three round average 127. He faces the leaky Gold Coast midfield midfield this week. He should have no problems in delivering another 3-figure score.
Hey Now, You’re a Draftstar
Brisbane v Geelong.1 v 2 on the ladder. If you think a battle between these two teams would be televised on free-to-air you’d be sadly mistaken, but we still have Draftstars to get us through.
Stef Martin should be able to dictate terms in this matchup. Despite Esava being named as starting ruck it was Mark Blicavs that attended a majority of ruck contests last week against North (59 v Esava’s 26). Oscar McInerney’s ruck involvement increased dramatically last week, attending 63 ruck contests to Martin’s 73, and Geelong have given up an average of 93 to rucks this year. He’s an option if you want to same some cash instead of Stef.
Both teams have been pretty stingy against medium defenders this year and across the last 5 weeks, so I’m gun shy about going too hard at the premium options. As mentioned in the rucks, Mark Blicavs attended a fair share on contests and managed a score of 85 against Goldstein. I like him here to reach 8-9x value on his price. Mark O’Connor returns this week and has hovered around 8x in his past 4 games. Darcy Gardiner and Noah Answerth (also a mid) are another two guys that could far excel their price tags. Of the two, I prefer Answerth.
Quinton Narkle probably won’t smash out a 93 again but he had 4 CBA’s against North and his role shouldn’t change this week. Charlie Cameron is the man in form, booting 6 and 4 goals in his past two games, he has, however, not reached a Draftstars 100 in either. With Sam Menegola out it could see a bump for other Geelong forwards. Gaz’s recent floor over the past 5 weeks is 8x value and we all know the ceiling he has when he gets going. Mitch Robinson and Patrick Dangerfield (both mids) are also great plays.
Brisbane concede 124 points per game to the oppositions number 1 mid both across the entire season and the past 5 weeks. I’ve mentioned Danger already but Tim Kelly’s price is 13.7k and looks a good bet here. He had been teasing with 90’s across the last month and finally hit 3 figures last 3 week. Geelong have actually been pretty good in limiting opposition mids, but the ceilings of Dayne Zorko and Jarryd Lyons are exactly what you need on single slates. Both have pulled some massive numbers at the Gabba this season. The wheels have fallen off Lachie Neale a bit in recent times, but at 13.4k his potential ceiling is off the charts. Mitch Duncan keeps on keeping on. He hasn’t had a huge slate breaking score, but he’s consistent and his scores don’t seem to be tied to Geelong’s indifferent form recently. You could snaffle him at low ownership with the other high priced options around.