SuperCoach Panic Room: Round 20
We’ve made it! The promised land. SuperCoach finals start this week and in the wise words of Crouching One, “trade ass off”.
At this point, bench cover is something you want in a case of emergency and/or Sunday being a big bag of phallus’ and pulling an unexpected late out on us. Looking at your team Friday night, you do not want to be relying on a rookie so you do your best to trade around it. If you’re in a qualifying final you can take it easy, but have a plan in place for when you’re in a knock out final.
Things got a bit… Scottish on the podcast this week. Obviously I’ll be keeping Patch away from my retirement grease now and if he tries to tell me he’s from North Kilttown I’ll know he’s not from Scotland at all!. Baz chucked a sickie this week so look out for a bumper edition of his 2020 preview next week. Damo debuted a schmick looking Who’s Your Captain article (with graphs!) and Matty is a lock for rising star this year, he’s still belting out beautiful looking cheat sheets.
Let’s cut straight to the chase, community. Kenneth Hinkley has had a “senior moment” and DROPPED Scott Lycett. Not injured or sore. Dropped. At the risk of sounding too much like Tom Browne, there may be something more here. He could have accidentally ran over his dog, that is, if you replace “accidentally” with “repeatedly” and replace “dog” with “son”.
Elsewhere, the carnage isn’t too bad. For tonight, North and Hawthorn have made three changes between them that don’t carry a lot of SuperCoach weight. Ben McEvoy will go head to head with Goldy after Jonathon Ceglar was dropped.
Orazio is back for the Dons and Conor McKenna returns from his Irish junket. Dyson Heppell unfortunately has a really bad case of the sniffles and will miss again. Dead Man Dixon has been resurrected and Peter Ladhams arrives on the bubble. Dougal Howard is among the outs. Brett Deledio and Jake Stein, who is another one the bubble, return for the Giants. The Swans have lost Dane Rampe to injury and omitted youngsters Ryley Stoddart and Colin O’Riordan. Kieran Jack is amongst the ins. Freo have made 5 changes to the side that was humbled by the Dogs last week. Luke Ryan, Lobb, and Nathan Wilson due to injury, while Brett Bewley and Ballas have been dropped. Jason Carter (DEF/MID – 102.4k) will make his debut. Rohan and Zach Tuohy return for the Cats after a week off. Adelaide’s ‘play the kids’ experiment has lasted a week. Richard Douglas, Eddie Betts, and Bryce Gibbs have been recalled. Stengle and Patrick Wilson are amongst those to make way. Matty Parker and Josh Battle are back in for the Saints, but Jack Newnes will miss with illness. Still no Nank for the Tigers who have made two forced changes. Sydney Stack and Trent Cotchin are out for Josh Caddy and Dan Butler. Braydon Preuss is back in with the Dees to add a wrinkle onto our Max Gawn VC lock. Kyle Dunkley will play his third game.
On Sunday, the Pies are scraping the bottom of the barrel for fit players after losing Jordan de Goey and Isaac Quaynor to injury in the week. Taylor Adams is hopefully fit to return. John Noble could play his second game. Corey Ellis has again been dropped by the Suns, Caleb Graham (DEF/RUC – 117.3k) and Jez McLennan (DEF – 117.3k) could debut. No confirmed outs as yet by the Blues but there’s no Matthew Kruezer in the four names added to the squad. Shannon Hurn returns to the Eagles side. Bailey J Williams (FWD/RUC – 117.3k) has again been named and could debut. For the last game of the round, Brisbane haven’t made any changes yet but they’ve added Harris Andrews to the squad after his suspension. The Dogs will probably regain Matthew Suckling and Toby McLean for the match, while Jordan Sweet (102.4k) has again been named on an extended bench.
The House of Evil
Downgrades galore this week! Trades are precious, but there’s merit in the idea of having coverage on each line.
These rookies come with a free frogurt! (that’s good)
These premiums come with Potassium Benzoate (that’s bad)
Smooth Kevy’s Lock of the Week
Hinkley’s been let loose on the whiteboard and Scott Lycett’s magnet has felt his wrath. It has thrown a sizeable spanner in the works for owners this week. There’s no reports of an injury, so if you’re in a qualifying final perhaps just take the L and hope he’s back next week. If he’s in your forward line there’s plenty of options, but if he’s stuck in the ruck and you haven’t quite got the 66k to turn him into Gawn, Goldstein (75k), or Grundy (151k), things get a bit murkier.
Reilly O’Brien (525.6k) has proven that he’s going to keep Sauce out of the side. Adelaide’s run home is also friendly, with only a matchup against Brodie Grundy a possible hurdle, but it’s Ben McEvoy (494k) that’s capturing my attention. With Jono Ceglar struggling to hold down a spot, Big Boy has seen a massive spike in ruck duties. Since round 16 he has attended 313 out of 372 ruck contests (84%), which has seen his average hitouts rise from 30.6 a game to 37.5 a game. You’ll get 53k from a Lycett trade, a nice amount that you can use to turn an iffy premium into someone more solid.
Hey Now, You’re a Draftstar
Sometimes you’ve just gotta throw trends out the window and pick the guy in form, and Levi Casboult (DEF / 10.5k) is in the form of his life. Levi is stuffing his stat sheet, he’s reeled in 27 marks (21 uncontested), 34 hitouts, and 11 tackles over his past 3. Tom Hickey (FWD / 10.1k) is solo rucking on this slate for the Eagles. Although we haven’t seen a big slate breaking score from Tom for a while, Andrew Phillips’ four opponents this year read: 115 (Nankervis), 114 (Lycett), 99 (Goldstein), 114 (ROB). Phillips (10.5k) himself is also not a bad option, and with Levi (DEF) and Hickey (FWD) both DPP’s, a double ruck stack is in play (or even a triple if you’re absolutely mad!)
Keeping with our ignoring trends theme. Kade Simpson (11.3k) punched father time right in throat last week with 31 possessions (26 kicks) and 12 marks last week against the Crows. You’d be brave to take him on but that said, he scored a season high 131DS last year against the Eagles. Nic Newman (12.8k) is another option that has been revitalised under Teague and is probably the safer option. West Coast will go in heavy favourites for the clash and where there’s a trashing there’s junk time, and whenever there’s junk time you can be guaranteed* Chris Masten (MID / 9.1k) won’t be far away.
*not a guarantee
Liam Jones is unfortunately out after a death in the family which leaves the Blues looking a bit short handed. I’ve been waiting for Oscar Allen (8.6k) to tear open a game this year, he’s every chance for it to happen against the Blues on Sunday. For only $300 more you can have JJK (8.9k), who roared back to life with 7 goals straight last week against North. Jack Darling (11.5k) has form on his side. Ed Curnow (MID / 13.6k) has flourished without tagging duties and Will Setterfield (MID / 10.2k) is finally showing the talent we knew he had. With no score under 72 in his past 7 he seems pretty safe, but there’s also no score above 89.
Josh Deluca’s (5.1k) price has risen moderately after a 11x value game last week. I don’t mind him if you’re looking to save cash to fit in the West Coast guns. Speaking of, Carlton give up the second most points to opposition number 1 midfielders this year (123.3DS) and 5th most (106.1DS) to the top 3. On the same metric, West Coast concede a competition low 111 to top 1 and 99.5 to top 3.
If Curnow does tag, I believe he’ll go inside to a Yeo or Shuey, leaving Andrew Gaff (15.1k) to do his thing and Patrick Cripps (14.5k) was enormous last week against the Crows. With Teague giving huge midfield exposure at centre bounces to Cripps, Curnow, Murphy (13.3k), and Walsh (13.1k), selecting 2 or 3 Carlton mids is pretty safe despite West Coast conceding the least amount of points in the comp over the past 5, it’s just picking the right ones!