SuperCoach Panic Room: Round 19
I’ve got a confession to make, community. I, and I cannot stress this enough, WAS, a Coldplay fan. I know, I know. We were all young and stupid once. My admittance of shame has a point, this weekend the lyrics of The Scientist floated into my head.
♪ Nobody said it was easy / No one over said it would be this hard ♪
Can we just have ONE week where there isn’t an injury or late out to relevant premium? In my haste to have a full team of premiums, I elected not to worry about things like “extra trades” and “reliable bench cover”. Help me, SuperCoach Gods!
So while I’ve been mentally preparing myself for whatever balderdash the Gods will throw at me this week, Damo joined the boys in a #Winner’sPodcast where they all just dumped on Adelaide for a bit (and some other stuff too). Barron is halfway through his 2020 rookie preview having looked into the lists of Geelong, Gold Coast, and GWS this week. The days of the perma cap are alive and well, but is there another option besides Brodie Grundy? Get the lowdown with Damo here. Any trades you’re making at this stage have to be bang on, get Statty’s best choices in this weeks cheat sheet.
No room for Josh Caddy tonight as the Tigers are taking in an unchanged lineup for the first time this year (?? maybe ??) James Aish is one of four outs for the Pies. Matt Scharenberg returns as well as small forward Jamie Elliot.
Grant Birchall is back for the Hawks in their only change, replacing the injured Jarman Impey. Brisbane have recalled Josh Walker for the suspended Harris Andrews. The Blues have conceded the ruck dual against Reilly O’Brien by “managing” Matthew Kruezer. Patrick Wilson (MID – 147k) will play his first game for the year and second for the club. Tyson Stengle (FWD – 123.9k) is back after kicking 3 in his club debut. Hugh Greenwood and Eddie Betts have both been omitted. Will Schofield will replace the omitted Tom Cole at the Eagles, but still no Shannon Hurn as he becomes the latest old man to fall to the dreaded calf injury. LDU and Paul Ahern have been recalled by the ‘Roos. Charlie Dixon is dead again despite Port listing him as ‘omitted’ Paddy Ryder returns as well as my defensive cover for Hurn in the form of Joel Garner. Jake Stein didn’t last long at the Giants, but Jackson Hately returns as well as Phil Davis. Matt Parker has been dropped by the Saints for Ben Long. Steven May has sent shockwaves through the comp by being injured again. Big Preussy is also a casualty.
On Sunday, Rhylee West’s (117.3k) debut is confirmed and the R3 for 12% of teams, Jordan Sweet (RUC – 102.4k) is on the extended bench. Remember Will Hayes? Me neither, but he’s also on that extended bench. Dale Morris could also make his return. Josh Schache and Matt Suckling are the only confirmed outs so far. All you need to know about Freo’s changes is that Nat Fyfe is BACK #FyfeisLyfe. The Swans have added 5 new names with Will Hayward the only confirmed out so far. Geelong are managing Zach Tuohy and Gary Rohan for the trip, Scooter Selwood has been named for what could be his first game this year. For the final game of the round, Jez McLennan (DEF – 117.3k) has been named by the Suns and could debut. Lachie Weller and Anthony Miles have also been named. Will Brodie is their only confirmed out. Zac Clarke has been named for the Bombers in a sign they’re not taking this fixture seriously at all. Conor McKenna is off for his brothers wedding and Dyson Heppell will miss with injury,
The House of Evil
These rookies come with a free frogurt! (that’s good)
These premiums come with Potassium Benzoate (that’s bad)
Smooth Kevy’s Lock of the Week
It’s luxury trade season! (if you’ve already completed your side, or just want to rage trade that prick James Sicily). I feel like I’ve already used 7 trades this year on trading Lachie Whitfield in and out of my side. His two games after returning from injury have been 101 and 119SC and is easily a top 6 defender. Currently 521k (his cheapest price for the year) and helping himself to a larger portion of the GWS pie that is missing midfield guns Gonigliog and Josh Kelly, GWS have a friendly fun home with a clash against Gold Coast for the SuperCoach grand final.
Hey Now, You’re a Draftstar
Cast your mind back to round 2 and the Draftstars contest between Richmond and Collingwood was pretty brutal for the Tigers. Amazingly, 17 Collingwood players scored higher than Richmond’s leading scorer in a ‘keepings off’ style of gameplay.
The media narrative has the Tigers taking this comfortably, but the Pies have had the wood over the Tigers since the 2018 prelim. Bucks will be using this as motivation for his side have been a bit out form in recent times.
As always with Collingwood games, it’s Brodie Grundy (17.5k) or not. There’s not a lot of value on this slate, especially in the mids where there is only one player under 11k. I’ll never talk you off Grundy, but you’ll need to take a lot of risks elsewhere to fit him in. Ivan Soldo (9.6k) is the more budget friendly option. He has hit 8x value in two of his past three. Then there is the enigma wrapped in a riddle that is Mason Cox (FWD / 7.6k). He’s been largely out of form this year but he transforms into a competent centre half when he plays Richmond. A 3 game average of 83 would be a 11x value game from the American. If you believe in past history as a guide, lock him in (if it’s wet tonight, avoid!)
Collingwood are leading the comp in points conceded to top 1 defenders these past 5 weeks. Before I get into options though, let’s discuss Chris Mayne. He’s been used as a lock down forward recently, with jobs against Hurn (17 disposals / 77DS) and Haynes (13 disposals / 60DS). Bachar Houli (13.8k) will probably be the one that draws attention. His record at the ‘G so far this year is outstanding, averaging 112DS. Jack Crisp (14.2k) is another on a hot streak, having not scored below 101DS in 5 weeks.
At the bottom of the list, Isaac Quaynor (7.6k) is a solid value play and Jeremy Howe (8.8k) is priced way too cheap. If the Pies play their keepings off style again Howe will see plenty of marks. Matt Scharenberg (9.5k) returns tonight and will probably step into the Aish role. I’m a fan of Shaz, but he’s priced just about right for mine. I’d rather wait and see how he goes.
I may be a little tinsy bit bias, but Tom Lynch (9.6k) looks OMINOUS. Jezza kicked 6 last week on Collingwood’s defence and Jack Darling 3 the week before. Lynch hit an even 100 last week for the first time this year and is primed to do so again. Shai Bolton (10.7k) is excelling in an increased midfield role, with the Tigers unchanged tonight I see no reason why this won’t continue. Jordan de Goey (11.2k) has also seen increased midfield time, but his ceiling doesn’t look quite as attractive as Bolton’s. Similar to Howe, if Brody Mihocek (DEF / 10.5k) gets his marking game on (he took 12 in this fixture earlier in the year), he’ll smash through value.
Chris Mayne (8.5k) is the only cheat midfielder tonight. However his tagging duties have bombed his scoring. He’s pricy, but Adam Treloar (15.6k) is still the best Draftstars option in Collingwood’s top 4. Taylor Adams (14.3k) returned last week and punched out a handy 111Ds in an 8 goal loss. For the Tigers, Dion Prestia (14k) has been the form midfielder over the past two months for the Tigers. He has dropped below 100DS twice in that time, but he lacks the ceiling of Adams or Treloar if you’re paying up. Jack Graham (11.3k) has rediscovered his tackling floor, averaging 8.4 in his his past 5. Good luck!