SuperCoach Panic Room: Round 17
Well to borrow a line from Patch round 16 was a horrible, no good, very bad round of SuperCoach. A deadly mix of underperforming premo’s (Zerrett, Tim Kelly, Fyfe, Luke Ryan) and copping a double donut in the form of Travis Boak being a late out and Max Gawn’s ankle not being right to go by Sunday was, well, not good. If you avoided the carnage however 2,400+ was on the cards and a handy rankings jump on the teams that struggled.
If that round was any indication, having bench cover is going to be hugely important these final few weeks of the season. Breakevens aren’t really important for rookies now, if they are playing just leave them on your bench for a rainy day.
Foz joined Patch and Lek this week in the podcast as they hunted that ever elusive POD that can save you many and hopefully not be very bad at football. Damo asked the community “who’s your captain”. Statty kept the POD train rolling in his cheat sheet as we scramble like mad to get at least 22 guys on the park, and Barron cast his big brain onto 2020 and looked at some guys from Adelaide, Brisbane, and Carlton that haven’t got a look in this year that could be ready to explode for us coaches next year. Read it here
As usual, Thursday teams threw up plenty of twists and turns and Ross Lyon ruining it for everyone by dropping Griffin Logue.
For tonight we have another mid season draftee making his debut in John Noble (MID – 102.4k) He is joined by Levi Greenwood for the Pies, Matt Scharenberg is among the outs. JJK makes his return for the Eagles.
James Rose makes way for Kieran Jack as Sydney host Carlton on Saturday. Patrick Cripps is back and Hugh Goddard (DEF – 159.6k) will make his club debut for the Blues. The struggling Mitch McGovern is one of those to make way. Grant Birchall will play his first game since round 15, 2017, for the Hawks. He is joined by Chadly Wingard. Jack Gunston will miss with injury. Aaron Sandilands has been spared the trip to Tassie for the match, meaning Sean Darcy will lead their ruck division. No change for the Bombers on Saturday afternoon. At North Melbourne, Curtis Taylor (MID/FWD – 117.3k) will play his second game. Gold Coast have made two forced changes, losing Wil Powell and Jack Martin to injury. Adelaide have resisted making wholesale changes, former Tiger Tyson Stengle (FWD – 123.9k) makes his club debut. St Kilda welcome back Jack Lonie and Nathan Brown but have omitted Matt Parker. Geelong will have Esava back.
On Sunday, no confirmed out at the Tigers as yet, however Jack Riewoldt and Josh Caddy are among those named. Josh Kelly will miss for the Giants but Lachie Whitfield is on an extended bench with Jake Stein. Leon Cameron has confirmed that Ian Hill (FWD/MID – 117.3k) will play, there’s also a possible debut for Matthew Flynn (RUC – 117.3k). The Dogs also have no confirmed outs, but Dale Morris could make his return. Rhylee West (MID – 117.3k) is also in the squad. Some big ins for the Dees with Big Maxy and Jake Lever declared fit to play. Marty Hore will miss with a broken collarbone and TMac is gone for the season. For the last game of the week, Port Adelaide also have no confirmed outs. Travis Boak should be right and Paddy Ryder has been named with Scott Lycett facing a fitness test. Cam Sutcliffe (MID – 199.5k) could debut. Eric Hipwood will miss the clash with injury and Luke Hodge is being managed. Jack Payne (DEF – 123.9k) is on the extended bench and could make his debut.
The House of Evil
These rookies come with a free frogurt! (that’s good)
These premiums come with Potassium Benzoate (that’s bad)
Smooth Kevy’s Lock of the Week
Last week was a cautionary tale in keeping any remaining “powder” (trades) dry to use when you absolutely have to. There’s temptation to do luxury trades at this point but you’ll be kicking yourself when you need to avoid an on field donut in a few weeks and you have a big, fat 0 in available trades. Like clockwork, Josh Kelly has hurt his calf and miss the next 3 games. Recurring calf injuries and GWS injury reports are both terrible things that shouldn’t be trusted, so you need to trade.
As the second priciest midfielder behind Jack Macrae, you can sideways him to anyone you like. However if you’re struggling to get a full premium team this is your chance to get some money in the bank to use on another upgrade. JPK is back to pumping out 100’s this year, he has 8 from 12 games (all 110+). That 68 in round 10 came from 57% TOG as he was injured. He doesn’t have those huge ceiling games that Josh Kelly can have, but he’s reliable and rarely draws a tag. Priced at exactly 100k less than Kelly and in only 1.2% of teams, JPK could prove to be difference in the run home.
Hey Now, You’re a Draftstar
Adelaide will be keen to bounce back after a terribly underwhelming defeat to Port. There’s no better way to get back into the groove than taking on Gold Coast. For their part, they’ll want to show a bit of fight after copping a pasting by Richmond last week
The all conquering Reilly O’Brien (14k) comes up against Jarrod Witts (14.1k) this week. Gold Coast are second only to Melbourne in limiting points to opposition rucks. Witts won this battle back in round 5 123DS to 77 and the hit outs 46 to 34. Beware O’Brien’s 3-week average of 127, his massive scores have come against Soldo (146) and Rhys Stanley (128)
Adelaide concede on average 8 more points to top 3 medium defenders and a whopping 19 more to the top 1 medium defender. Lachie Weller (11.8k) should be the beneficiary of this. Pearce Hanley (10k) had 29 possessions (22 kicks) last time these two teams met. Corey Ellis (7.2k) is cheap and draws a fantastic matchup. Jesse Joyce (9.2k) is in a little purple patch with a 3-week average of 83. If Brad Scheer heads to Rory Laird then Brodie Smith (11.7k) could see a little bump in scoring.
Gold Coast have a lot of problems containing small/pacy forwards this year. Eddie (8k) and Lachlan Murphy (8.1k) combined to kick 9 on them in round 5. You could go back to the well and plug in these two again. We also have Tyson Stengle (5k). He has kicked 26 goals in 12 games in the two’s with 8 of those games being two or more. Hugh Greenwood (MID / 11.2k) is a bit more expensive but doesn’t necessarily need goals to score well due to his tackle floor. I’m a Sam Day (9.8k) fan and he’ll need to play a big part in this game if Gold Coast are a chance.
Draftstars 101: Target Gold Coast in the midfield. Over the 16 rounds so far they give up a massive 134.5DS per game to the oppositions number 1 midfielder and 118DS to top 3 midfielders. Take your pick out of Brad Crouch (15.2k), Rory Sloane (14.4k), or Matt Crouch (14.2k) or jam in all 3 if you can. Adelaide also concede a high amount of points through the middle. Brayden Fiorini (15k) is overpriced considering his recent output, but he loves playing at home and you might be able to snag him at low ownership as coaches load up on Adelaide mids. David Swallow (13k) and Anthony Miles (12.8k) are the ones in form for Gold Coast, while Will Brodie (12k) has put up some good numbers in his 6 games this year.