You guys, it’s over!! No more byes. No more relying on crappy rookies (and James Sicily) to scrape together 18 players this week. This calls for a celebration.
Sub all your guns back on field and if you’ve done this trading thing correctly, you should be looking at a team of 19-22 premiums this week. Cash gen becomes an issue at this point of the year. There’s been a few exceptions, but squeezing out 150k from rookies has been a slow burn this year. This week is the perfect opportunity to do a double downgrade as we’ll have 3-4 rookies on the bubble. Griffin Logue is a must have this week, he may be 40k more than your entry level rook but with rock solid job security and a SuperCoach friendly intercept role, stick him at D6 with confidence.
Patch traded in Buddy last week and as result has jumped on a plane and left the Jock Reynolds Crew this week. Fozdaddy stepped up to the podcast plate in his absence and carved out a magnificent debut, which will make for some awkward selection issues when Patch finally makes his return (or has maxed out Lek’s credit card). Some of the mid-season draftees are impressing at lower level, get the lowdown with Barron in Around the Grounds. Damo sinks his teeth into 9 games worth of VC/C options, and your boi StattyMatty’s always brilliant cheat sheet is another must read.
Jackson Hately is in, community!
But do we trade for him or not? By now Leon is not to be trusted, despite returns of 22 and 21 possessions in Hately’s two AFL games and carving it up at NEAFL level, Hately hasn’t got much of a look in. He could be the one to go when Whitfield returns in a few weeks. I wouldn’t trade a playing rook for him, even if they are maxed out cash wise. If you’re still holding onto dead wood like Bailey Scott (who is done for the year) or Will Hayes (out of favour) there’s no risk to the trade if he gets dropped again. It also depends on trades, if you’re running low hang onto them as they’ll be like gold when the season starts to draw to a close.
Sound the klaxons. Patrick Cripps is OUT. Reports are it’s a 1-2 week injury. Hold him for now but when you hear the ‘experts’ say you need trades for the end of the year, this is why. There’s three confirmed debuts over Friday and Saturday and four more on the maybe pile for Sunday. Nic Nat is BACK. Buddy is injured. and Richmond welcome back about a third of their best 22.
As expected, no Esava at the Cats, but Darcy Fort surprisingly lost his spot. Adelaide have made three forced changes. Bryce Gibbs is back in the good books and there’s a debut for forward rookie Ben Davis (FWD – 123.9k). Wayne Milera is among the outs along with Josh Jenkins and Cam Ellis-Yolmen.
Willie Rioli returns after suspensions alongside Nic Nat. Jarrod Cameron has kept his spot which is encouraging for his job security. Jack Petruccelle is injured and can be traded for anyone still holding on. The Hawks are debuting Oliver Hanrahan (FWD – 123.9k) in one of three changes, Jarryd Roughead will miss with injury. James Rowbottom is back again for the Swans for their match against the Suns. Tagger Ryan Clarke has lost his spot. The Suns get some experience back in the form of Pearce Hanley and Touk Miller. Port are finally dusting Willem Drew off the shelf but there’s still no Tom Rocklliff. Ruck Peter Ladhams will play his second game. Joel Garner has survived and is on the bubble this week. The Dogs are going in unchanged. Kyron Hayden (FWD/MID – 102.4k) will make his debut at North. This kid tackles A LOT, keep an eye on him. A rock bottom priced DPP swing is golden at this stage of the year. Collingwood have replaced the injured Jeremy Howe with Josh Daicos.
There’s a lot to unpack in the St Kilda v Richmond match on Sunday. Jono Marsh has been dropped for the Saints as has Noah Balta for the Tigers. Jack Higgins has also been sent back to the twos to find some touch. Jack Steele has been named and there’s a possible debut for Doulton Langlands (MID/FWD – 123.9k). Ex-blue Sam Rowe is also in line to make his club debut. Experience galore returns at the Tigers; Trent Cotchin, Shane Edwards, Ivan Soldo, Kane Lambert, Jayden Short, and David Astbury are back after various injuries and ailments. Shai Bolton gets another crack and cementing a small forward spot. Zac Bailey and Jarrod Berry are back for the Lions as they host the Dees at the Gabba, there’s also a possible debut for Corey Lyons (MID – 123.9k). The Dees have added Jordan Lewis, Michael Hibberd, and Brayden Preuss to their squad, Josh Wagner is their only confirmed out. In the final game of the week, I’ll say it again – Patrick Cripps is OUT. Liam Jones returns though and former Saint Hugh Goddard (DEF – 159.6k) may debut. Freo have recalled Cam McCarthy for the injured Jesse Hogan. Adam Cerra and Lachie Schultz are among the six new additions.
The House of Evil
These rookies come with a free frogurt! (that’s good)
These premiums come with Potassium Benzoate (that’s bad)
Can I go now? (Trade bait)
Smooth Kevy’s Lock of the Week
As I said in the intro, cash gen = bad. While there’s temptation to settle for a “good” rook like Duursma or Walsh at M8 to finish, having a reliable, and more importantly, cheap proven premium at this point in the season is gold. Look no further than Rory Sloane this week. He worked his way onto many never again lists last year, but it’s time to let go of that grudge. Averaging 108.6 from 13 games this year, he has 10 scores over 100, 5 of which have been over 120. His season low of 35 came from just 25% TOG as his night ended early courtesy of a hamstring injury. The best part is his price, at just 511k he is the second cheapest top 20 mid on average. Taking out that injury affected score, his average balloons to 114.8, making him the 7th top mid on average and 120k cheaper than the similarly averaged Luke Parker.
Hey Now, You’re a Draftstar
From a Draftstars perspective, we’ve got two of the worst fantasy ruckman going head-to-head tonight. I joked with Damo to just put a non playing 5k ruck here and load up elsewhere but I’ll try to unravel this. Tom Bellchambers (10.5k), somewhat counter intuitively, averages 83.5DS in losses this year, compared to 56DS in wins. If you think the Giants will smash the Bombers as I do, Belly is your man. If you’re not the superstitious type, they are only $500 apart, so you could just build the rest of your lineup and take whoever fits.
Please don’t put Shaun McKernon (8.9k) in your team.
Essendon have pulled Marty Gleeson ($6.2k) from nowhere to play his first game since 2017. He laid a few eggs that year but has a ceiling of 80-90 if he can get around 18-20 touches. Averaging 17 touches (12 kicks) and 6 marks in the VFL, he should be chalky value tonight. Dylan Clarke (MID – 9.9k) hasn’t hit the heights of his 109DS against Carlton, but is cheap enough to be in play considering his role. Zac Williams (11.8k) has a massive ceiling when he gets going, Heath Shaw (12.4k) is an interesting pivot off Williams and may go overlooked. Nick Haynes (11k) is the slightly cheaper alternative, if he’s allowed to be the +1 taking easy marks he’ll hit value easily.
Dylan Clarke has kept his direct opponent to 76DS in his 3 games, but since the bye Essendon are conceding a massive 119.3 top the top 3 opposition mids, giving up huge games to Elliot Yeo (132DS) and Ricky Henderson (140DS). If you can avoid whoever Clarke tags there could be some massive scores on offer. A quick poll around the JR office wasn’t at all helpful, with Josh Kelly (17.1k), Tim Taranto (16.8k), and Stephen Coniglio (15.3k) all getting mentions. Although I suspect they were just trolling me because they are all awful people. I think he’ll go onto a wing and take either Kelly or Cogs, making Taranto and Jacob Hopper (13.4k) locks. It’s unlikely he’ll draw any attention and has shown he can hit 120DS.
If not for some wayward kicking JJK could have gone absolutely bananas last week. He kicked 3.5 from 8 marks and embarrassed Hurley at times. A bit of recency bias may put a few off Jeremy Cameron (12.8k) onto Darcy Parish but I really like him here to bounce back against the Dons. It means sacrificing a GWS midfield premium for him though, so if you’d rather be safe you’ll need value. Jeremy Finlayson (10.8k) and Harry Himmelberg (8.8k) carry a lower ceiling than Cameron but could stretch Essendon’s defence. Jayden Laverde (8.9k) has put together a solid month of footy. Josh Begley (7.2k) has been serviceable if you need a further salary saver.