SuperCoach Panic Room: Round 13
Ahhh, the byes. Don’t you just love ‘em? The ‘easy’ bye week wasn’t so easy for many coaches last week. Relying on 16-20 guys to put up a decent score shouldn’t be so difficult, but it was. I can’t help but feel this is all somehow Patch’s fault… Anyway, our rookies didn’t show up in round 12. Yes we had Walsh and perhaps Gibbons if you held on, but Balta, Jordan Clark, Answerth, Corbett etc all left significant stains on the SuperCoach underpants on the weekend. Even a few of our premiums didn’t come to play, Steven Coniglio’s 64 against the Crows is a massive 143 less than last week, and Brodie Smith decided the time was right to have his worst game of the year.
Bye week 2: Electric Boogaloo is here and hoo boy, if you thought round 12 was tough then get ready for round 13. Brisbane, Collingwood, Geelong, Melbourne, Sydney, and West Coast have the bye this week. That’s 12 of the current top 20 players for points scored this year, which includes four of the top five. In times when we need someone else to stand up, we’ve got 6 teams fresh off their bye ready to stand up and say, “I’m someone else.”
So who do we target? Well the Patch, Lek, and Damo address that in the podcast this week. Barron is on hand as always to cast his experienced eye over how rookies are performing at lower level. Nailing your captain choice is a must during these bye weeks, have a look at Damo’s recommendations here. Lastly, Matty’s cheat sheet focuses on our best post-bye player options.
In another example of a long line of bizarre filtering choices to come out of AFL House, Thursday night football is back to a) stretch 6 games of footy over 4 days, and b) annoy me. For tonight, Adelaide will go in unchanged for the clash against Richmond. The Tigers have lost Trent Cotchin and Shane Edwards to injury, but will regain Brandon Ellis. Rookie downgrade option Patrick Naish will play his second game.
Essendon regain Dylan Shiel and Orazio Fanta-sia tonight, along with Jake Stringer for their match against the Hawks. The fit again Ben McEvoy will take his spot in the ruck and they’ve recalled forward rookie Dylan Moore. Mitchell Lewis and Chad Wingard are among the outs.
There are 11 changes between St. Kilda and Gold Coast. The big ones: Chris Burgess, Josh Corbett, and Robbie Young will all miss. Jonathan Marsh has been recalled by the Saints, who are also debuting Nick Hind (MID – 117.3k). Corey Ellis will play his first game in Suns’ colours. Griffin Logue (DEF – 164.3k) gets his chance for Freo after Alex Pearce’s injury. Sean Darcy replaces the injured Rory Lobb. Without a word of lie I thought Hamish Hartlett had retired, but he has been recalled for Matthew Broadbent. Marc Murphy is back for the Blues and the Dogs have dropped Lachie Young in another hit to our already thin backlines.
On Sunday, Jake Stein (DEF – 123.9k) is a confirmed debut for the Giants. Toby Greene and Jackson Hately are in the squad to face North. There’s a possible debut for Kyron Hayden (MID / FWD – 102.4k). Curtis Taylor (MID / FWD – 117.3k) could line up for his second game and Paul Ahern is in the squad. Shaun Higgins is the only confirmed out so far.
The House of Evil
These rookies come with a free frogurt! (that’s good)
These premiums come with Potassium Benzoate (that’s bad)
Can I go now? (Trade bait)
Smooth Kevy’s Lock of the Week
Statty Matty put up some fantastic options in the cheat sheet this week of guys to look at coming off their bye, and my pick is Travis Boak. A likely top 3 forward come seasons end, it’s hard to overlook him at 518k. Although he’s been a bit up and down recently, he still has 8 hundred plus scores from 11 games in the first half of the year, and Port play 7 of their remaining 11 games at home, a venue where he has averaged 114 from 5 games.
Hey Now, You’re a Draftstar
Essendon host the Hawks at Marvel tonight as round 13 continues. Let’s have a look at some Draftstars options.
I’d really love to not to pick a ruck tonight. The returning Ben McEvoy (13.2k) has a safe floor but that lack of standout value tonight makes his salary hard to swallow. I’m not even going to bother to discuss why rostering Tom Bellchambers (10k) or Shaun McKernon (FWD / 9k) is a bad idea. That leaves Jono Ceglar (FWD / 9.9k). Big Boy will eat into his value a bit but if he can hit his average of 70 that’s good enough for me.
Targeting Hawthorn via the backline has been a fantastic strategy this year. They concede the most amount of points to the oppositions number 1 key defender and medium defender. Michael Hurley (11.8k) rarely puts in a bad shift and has the best ceiling out of himself, Cale Hooker (11.3k) and Andrew McGrath (11.2k). Conor McKenna (8.8k) has a consistent floor and has flashed an upside of 70+ at times this year. Only only Hawk I have any real interest in is James Sicily (13.3k) but there’s not a huge amount of value to be had there.
Orazio Fanta-sia (11.7k) returns tonight and I like him here against the Hawks who have had their struggles with medium forwards this year. Shaun Burgoyne (DEF / 10k) returned to the midfield against Brisbane and put up 91DS, it he remains there he’ll easily hit value. Darcy Parish (MID / 12.7k) has flourished after a move to the middle, but Dylan Shiel’s return could put the kibosh on that. Hawk James Worpel (MID / 12.8k) has put together a consistent year. At the lower end of the scale, Essendon keep pumping games into Josh Begley (6.1k), along with Dylan Moore (8.2k) they won’t blow the doors off the place, but are cheap enough to not stuff you completely.
Dylan Clarke (9.5k) helped himself to 99DS last start while completing blanketing Patrick Cripps. He will likely go to Jaegar O’Meara tonight, which leaves us Zach Merrett (15.9k) v Ricky Henderson (14.7k) as top line options. Zerrett has an awesome record at Marvel so far his year, averaging 122 from his 3 games there. In games where Ricky Henderson has taken 10 or more marks this year, he averages a massive 136 (3 games). Essendon gave up 8 marks to Cripps in round 11 and 7 to Dusty in round 10. Dylan Shiel’s (14.3k) last 3 at Marvel have been 110, 127, and 101 if you want something a bit cheaper.