SuperCoach Panic Room: Round 9
Round 9 is upon us community and we’ve only got *checks fixture* … 11 more weeks of utter pain and humiliation before SuperCoach finals begin (but I did beat Lek in a head to head on the weekend!). It was another weird week in SuperCoach land with some yuggggge scores from Tim and Josh Kelly, Oliver, Dunks, Macrae, Grundy, and Sloane seeing teams smash out 2,300 with ease. There was also some not so yuuuuuge scores from, well… pretty much everyone in my side.
Without a standout downgrade option this week you’ve gotta know when to hold and when to fold in this caper, community, and this is a week to hold on downgrades. Having a full team of 29 or 30 players available for the bye weeks is crucial and you can’t be carrying passengers if you want to put up semi-respectable scores during those 3 weeks.
With Lek pulling up sore from the weekend, Patch and Damo managed to defy significant odds and deliver a podcast WITHOUT mentioning Daniel Rich. Barron looks into the lower levels to try and find where our next rookie gem is going to come from in Around the Grounds. He has style! He has flair! He was there! That´s how he became our resident cheat sheet expert (ily Matty… and yes I’ve been watching a lot of daytime TV). And finally, in another week where our VC options are playing early, you’ve gotta nail your choice. Check out Damo’s write up here.
Hooooo boy, we are panicking!!
Chris Scott is enemy number 1 after DROPPING Charlie Constable after 27 touches and 10 marks last weekend. Come to the Tigers, Charlie. We’ll look after you. Willem Drew is on an extended bench with Joe Atley eyeing off his spot. Gonigliog is out injured and so is Dev Smith. There’s still no sign of Tim English at the Dogs or Bryce Gibbs at the Crows. If Jackson Hately doesn’t make the final cut tonight there isn’t any reliable rookie downgrade options. Arghhhhhh.
There’s some sunshine on the horizon though, community. The rookies are coming in thick and fast. Four confirmed debuts for tonight and Saturday, and a potential for a further 6 more on Sunday (and Joe Atley, who played a handful of games back in 2017 but is rookie priced)
For tonight, the Eagles are sliding in Willie Rioli at the expense of Jake Waterman. Oskar Baker (MID – 123.9k) will debut for the Dees in one of four changes. Jake Melksham and Michael Hibberd are out with injury.
Dayne Beams is back for the Pies but Jamie Elliot is out injured. Jordan de Goey has been named despite concerns in the week that he would miss. The Saints are debuting Robbie Young (FWD – 117.3k) and Jonathan Marsh (DEF – 163.1k) will play his second game. Another debut at the Lions with young Mitch Hinge (123.9k) getting a shot. Chayce Jones replaces the omitted Riley Knight at Adelaide. No change at the Dogs for their clash against the top of the table Cats; who are (finally) debuting Darcy Fort (RUC – 117.3k). Joel Selwood also returns. Esava joins Constable as the ones making way. Bae and spiritual D3, Connor Blakely, returns for Freo! Give him a week or two to get up to speed but you definitely want this guy in your backline. Essendon have swung the axe, making 5 changes. Joe Daniher is amongst the ins, but Orazio FANTA-sia (fight me, BT) is out with injury. North have made some changes that won’t really affect you. James Rowbottom (MID – 117.3k) is in for Sydney and is on the bubble.
There are 37 ins and 13 confirmed outs on Sunday… if I went through them all this article would go for weeks. There are potential debuts for:
Peter Ladhams (RUC – 123.9k); Joel Garner (DEF – 123.9k (confirmed); Ben King (FWD – 184.8k); Jez McLennan (DEF – 117.3k); Riley Collier-Dawkins (MID – 121.8k); and Callum Coleman-Jones (RUC/FWD – 123.9k).
Port have recalled Zak Butters for their match up against Gold Coast; who regain Brayden Fiorini in a host of changes (how many players do they on their list…?). The injury curse at Richmond shows no signs of improving with Toby Nankervis and Jack Ross out for a while. Nick Vlastuin and Dan Rioli are among the ins. Hawthorn have added four names but I suspect they’ll go in unchanged. Some, ahem, ‘giant’ ins at the Giants with Mumford and Whitfield back in, also Brett Deledio for some reason (?????). Nic Newman returns for the Blues.
The House of Evil
These rookies come with a free frogurt! (that’s good)
These premiums come with Potassium Benzoate (that’s bad)
Can I go now? (Trade bait)
Smooth Kevy’s Lock of the Week
It’s a hard week for the Lock, not in sense that being unable to pick some great options but cash gen is hard to come by. If you’re sitting on a few 100k and can turn a Matt Parker into Tim Kelly it’s an absolute no brainer. With 3 scores above 120 in his past 4 games, his price will continue to climb as his 162 against North will sit in his rolling average for another two weeks.
Scott has kept in the middle in a clear sign of upping his trade value at the end of the year (don’t @ me) so you should 100% be looking at a way to jump on. If you’re not that flush for cash and haven’t gone too crazy with trades yet, jettisoning the injured Isaac Heeney also has some appeal…
Hey Now, You’re a Draftstar
A North v Sydney fixture looks boring as all hell on the surface (and below the surface, and below the surface surface), but it’s also being labelled as the Matt Rowell Cup. The rights to the Oakleigh Chargers gun that has been labelled “better than Sam Walsh”.
You can make a legitimate case for all three options tonight. Goldy (12.9k) looks way overpriced for a guy that hasn’t hit three figures yet in 2019, but there is some merit to his selection. After a stingy start, Sydney are allowing an average of 109DS to opposition number 1 rucks over the past 3 weeks. He gave Callum Sinclair a bath in round 17 last year on his way to 125DS.
Callum Sinclair (11.6k) has returned two games of 90+ after a three-week slump in form. He enjoyed playing against North last year, scoring 105DS and 112DS. Against him is the fact that North have only conceded one Draftstars hundred to an opposition ruck this year in Ben McEvoy.
Sam Reid (FWD / 9.2k) carries far more risk, but North have had their struggles against key forwards this year. Hawkins kicked 4 last week and Mitch Brown kicked 3.3 a few weeks back.
Somewhat surprisingly considering their respective spots on the ladder, both sides are in the top 5 stingiest teams in giving up points to opposition medium backs (Sydney 14th. North 16th). Do what you will with this information, but tread lightly here folks. North, however, are in the top 4 in conceding points to opposition key defenders. I love watching Allir Allir (8.3k) play and he is a great salary saver on this slate. He also has form against North, scoring 88 and 73 in his two games against them. Callum Mills (MID / 10.5k) isn’t blowing the doors off the place, but he’s been a picture of consistency over the past 6 weeks, scoring between 70-96.
There’s some awesome value options tonight up forward that are really flirting with me. The first is Nick Blakey (5.6k), who is coming in fresh off a breakout game against Essendon. North average 83DS a game to the oppositions number 1 forward and a tick under 70DS top 2 forwards. The second is Robbie Fox (7.1k), who saw a major bump last week (82DS) without Harry Cunningham in the side. There’s only one other instance of Fox playing without Cunningham, back in 2017 he scored 69 when Cunningham missed in round 3. At the top end, Jack Ziebell (MID / 11.7k) is the only one that jumps out out me. I’ll explain why in the next section.
The penny pinching so far has a point. To suggest both sides are sieves to opposition midfielders is an insult to sieves, who at least put up a modicum of resistance. Sydney have the second easiest midfield to score against, and North have the 5th. Of top 1 midfielders, North are 3rd easiest and Sydney 5th. Over the past 3 weeks, Sydney are conceding 134DS (!!!) to the number one opposition midfielder. My point should be pretty clear, both teams are hopeless so these 4 positions are where a bulk of your coin should go.
Hope you’ve avoided the carnage this week, community. Good luck!