You may be aware that SuperCoach is used in schools to teach kids about #QuickMaths, buying and selling, and such and such. I propose that it also be used in psychology studies. The 5 stages of grief: denial, anger, depression, bargaining, acceptance; are something I experience every week!
It all begins with denial pre-round that my side is rubbish, then I shift quickly to anger when they do, in fact, score rubbish. Then depression hits when I check players that I nearly traded in go bananas and the ones I held disappoint. Then begins the bargaining with the SuperCoach Gods, promising blind and devoted faith in return for Brad Crouch’s 30 disposals per week to translate into more points. Then finally, acceptance comes on Sunday night where I’m given two bandaids in the form of trades to cover the gaping holes in my team (and heart).
We march on though, community! We need to stick together and help each other through these difficult times. After all, isn’t sticking together what good waffles do? After a month of price rises some of the rookies we’ve nurtured are ripe for the slaughter. Patch and Lek look at who to hold and who to fold in the podcast this week. Barron casts his eye over the state leagues to find the next rookie gem in Around the Grounds. Don’t want your captain to score 26 again? Check out Damo’s captain choices and Matty takes a look at the best rookie, premo, and POD picks for your trading dollars in his weekly cheat sheet.
A ‘normal round’ doesn’t exist in SuperCoach land. Plenty of issues are facing us coaches this week. Lachie Whitfield is still out despite positive words from Leon Cameron in the week that he would return. Essendon are managing Joe Daniher. Pies’ Dayne Beams and Taylor Adams are out with injury, as is Giant Shane Mumford. Then there’s the whole will he, won’t he, Patrick Dangerfield debacle. Part of me thinks Patrick is being Patrick and he’s putting lashings of mayo on this ‘injury’, so fingers crossed he lines up on Sunday.
For tonight, Colin O’Riordan gets another chance to impress, replacing the injured Harry Cunningham. Zac Clarke (RUC – 142.6k) returns for the Bombers and is on the bubble in one of four changes. Brayden Ham (FWD – 117.3k) will play his second game. Orazio has also been recalled.
Matt Suckling returns for the Dogs on Saturday for their match against Brisbane. In a good sign for his job security, Noah Answerth has kept his spot despite Harris Andrews and Zac Bailey returning. Kruze returns for Blues, as does rookie Will Setterfield. Rupert Wills (MID – 166.1k) and Chris Mayne replace Beams and Adams. The Suns regain rebounders Pearce Hanley and Lachie Weller from injury, likewise Melbourne who welcome back Jack Viney. Huge outs for the Power in the Showdown; Ollie Wines and Brad Ebert will miss with injury and popular rookie Zak Butters has been omitted. Trio Aidyn Johnson (FWD – 208.1k), Kane Farrell (FWD – 216.9), and Matthew Broadbent (DEF – 261.7) will all play their first games of the year. Luke Brown replaces the injured Bryce Gibbs at the Crows. Jonathan Marsh is one and done at the Saints and bubble boy Darragh Joyce has been dropped. The Eagles have omitted Chris Masten and picked another tall forward in Jake Waterman.
On Sunday, no confirmed outs as yet for North but LDU is in the squad along with possible debutants Curtis Taylor (MID/FWD – 117.3k) and Kyron Hayden (MID/FWD – 102.4k). Joel Selwood and Zach Tuohy will return for the Cats. Darcy Fort (RUC – 117.3k) has again been named in the squad, as has Charlie Constable despite Chris Scott’s less than enthusiastic comments about him in the week. Brett Bewley (MID – 117.3k) has again made Freo’s extended squad. Dan Rioli and Nick Vlastuin have been added to Richmond’s already overflowing injury list, Jake Aarts (FWD – 106.9k) and Riley Collier-Dawkins (MID – 121.8k) are among the 6 names added to the squad. For the last game of the week, Hawthorn have made a huge power move by dropping Jarryd Roughead to the VFL and Chadly Wingard is injured again. Rookies Jack Scrimshaw and James Cousins have been named. The Giants have dropped Jackson Hately again for some reason. Josh Kelly is among the ins.
House of Evil
These rookies come with a free frogurt! (that’s good)
These premiums come with Potassium Benzoate (that’s bad)
Can I go now? (Trade bait)
Smooth Kevy’s Lock of the Week
Make no mistake community, upgrade season is here to stay for the next few weeks and there’s temptation to get that next cheap gun into your team. As I said last week, it’s important to think a few trades ahead and we’ve got some awesome downgrade options on the bubble this week. Declan Keilty was the only rookie priced player to play their first game last weekend so if it’s cash you need, it’s important you jump on now. With that out of the way, it’s amazing to think a guy that has scored 5 times over a hundred and has a low of 93 has a) only risen 80k since the start of the year, and b) still available for under 500k. That guy is Caleb Daniel and he looks every bit like a top 6 forward in 2019.
A forward in SuperCoach but a defender out on the field, he is the designated kicker outerer for Dogs and playing on at every opportunity, getting easy possessions. SuperCoach loves guys that can kick long and do it accurately, exactly a trait that Caleb brings to the table.
Hey Now, You’re a Draftstar
Yuuuuge week in the Draftstars vault last week. If you entered the lineup in this section in the $2 mini, it smashed out 854 points, only 31 away from the top of the tree. Being the fickle beast the Draftstars is, the lineup this week is just as likely to bomb out completely as is it to go well, but you gotta be in it to win it, right?!
Even though I covered Port last week, I love a Showdown. Let’s dive in!
There’s a lot of value on this slate with Matthew Broadbent (DEF – 5k), Aidyn Johnson (FWD – 5.2k), and Kane Farrell (FWD – 6.8k) all playing their first games for the year, or in Broadbent’s case, his first since 2017. The temptation is there to grab all 3 and load up on stars elsewhere. A quick look at their numbers:
Farrell is not a big ball winner, although he did score 73DS from 13 possessions and 3 goals against Adelaide in round 20 last year. His next highest was 54.
Aidyn Johnson is also not a big ball winner. Only crossed 50 (57) once in his 5 games last year.
Broadbent flashed an 80 ceiling several times in 2017 with a high score of 110. A lot has changed in Port’s back half since 2017 though, Houston and Burton have come into the side and DBJ was only in his second season. So I’m not entirely convinced that he’ll hit the ground running.
Of the three, I like Broadbent the most, but be cautious of picking all three.
For the first time since round 2, Paddy Ryder (FWD / 10.2k) attended more ruck contests than Scott Lycett (47 v 41) last week against the Pies, this was despite similar time on ground (Ryder 89% v Lycett 84%). In his prime I really rated Ryder, he looks confident in his body and has a handy record against Adelaide.
I think he’ll go under owned tonight too as the crowd flocks to the solo rucking Reilly O’Brien (11.9k), who is coming off a 120 in his last start. Rucks have had a difficult time against Port though, who have yet to concede a fantasy 100 to a ruck (this includes Grundy, Gawn, Goldy, Stef Martin).
Attacking Adelaide with medium defenders is a trend in 2019. They give up the second most amount of points (111.6) behind Richmond to the opposition number 1 defender. The problem is Port don’t particularly have any high ceiling plays in this position. Darcy Byrne-Jones (11.2k) has shown the best ceiling so far, while Ryan Burton (10.3k) has greater consistency in his scores. I also don’t mind Xavier Duursma (MID / 9.7k) who may see a bump with Port’s depleted midfield.
On the other side of the ledger, Port also have had their struggles with medium defenders. Rory Laird (13.5k) and Brodie Smith (12.4k) are the obvious two to target.
Port have struggled against small/medium forwards so far this year, with the likes of Jamie Elliot (3 goals / 109DS) and Jack Petruccelle (5 goals / 115DS) cutting them up in recent times. We’re due for an Eddie Betts (8.3k) special I think, I also like Hugh Greenwood (MID / 11.8k) who has no problems finding the ball or the man. Justin Westhoff (13.2k) has had a fantastic fortnight but his price has risen almost 1.2k from last week. I don’t see a lot of value in him anymore.
Both teams are about even in conceding points to opposition number 1 midfielders (Port – 122; Adelaide 115). Neither side has shown a willingness to tag this year so we’ve got a free hit here. First, the value. Willem Drew (9.4k) is a lock and load play for me tonight. He hasn’t had a big game for a while but there’s significant outs in Port Adelaide’s engine room that will see him step up to the plate. From here, you can easily make a case for any of the top 5 mids – from Rocky (13.8k) to Matt Crouch (15.8k). Pick 2 (or 3) of the ones you can afford. In the middle tier, CEY (11.9k) has a great record in Showdown’s and at the Adelaide Oval, he becomes a really good POD play for mine.
Good luck for this week, community. Be sure to follow the boys on Twitter to be first in the know when a new article drops.