Gil and his cronies have finally restored order and we are kicking off the round on a Friday. The rollercoaster that is my trash filled side is becoming a little less trashier with upgrade season upon us over the next few weeks. Like with all good rollercoasters though, lurking behind the scintillating high of trading in a fallen premium are those gosh darn bye rounds ready to pants ya and humiliate you.
So before you go rummaging through the bargain bin to unearth the next hidden SuperCoach gem, do an assessment of your side and plan your next 5-6 trades wisely. Can’t split Laird v Sicily this week? Sicily’s round 12 bye is golden. Laird can wait for a bit if it stops you from being too heavy in Rory’s round 14 bye. Hit up your preferred breakeven supplier and give yourself a rough idea of when rookies will be peaking and when the premiums you want will be at their lowest. Of course if you don’t give a stuff about the byes and are just taking a #YOLO approach this year (again…) do whatever you want, I’m not your mother.
Everybody remembers the yvan eht noij Simpsons episode right? Well the podcast this week is a bit hcir leinad ni edart this week. Do we trust a burnman…?. Barron has cracked out another fabulous Around the Grounds. My idiocy in picking a captain last week cost me a head-to-head against Patch. Every time we match up my team shits the bed! Get the good oil on the good captain choices this week with Damo. Statty Matty is all over the rookie situation this week in his weekly cheat sheet.
It just wouldn’t be a weekend of footy with several curveballs being thrown in our direction. Lachie Whitfield is out as expected, but joining him will be popular rookies Jack Scrimshaw and Charlie Constable. Both guys have made us a ton of cash so far so there’s temptation to trade both, but as Matty pointed out in his cheat sheet Jack Scrimshaw is close to maxing out anyway.
Tonight, Ben Reid and Jamie Elliot return for injured Cox and the omitted Travis Varcoe. Karl Amon replaces Robbie Gray, who is out for a month with a broken hand.
Josh Wagner is back for the Dees. Shaun Burgoyne is fit for the Hawks and Dylan Moore returns to play his second game. The suspended James Cousins joins the previously mentioned Scrimshaw on the sidelines. The Saints have done all sorts: Darragh Joyce gets his second game, Rowan Marshall returns and there’s a debut for former Pie Jonathon Marsh (DEF – 163.1k). Jack Steven is among the outs. Isaac Cumming (DEF – 173.7k) will play his first game for the year at the Giants. The Swans have shuffled the deck, recalling Will Hayward and Kieran Jack. Bubble boy James Rowbottom has been omitted. No changes at Brisbane. Jack Redden is fit at West Coast and comes straight in for Jarrod Brander. Anthony Miles is among the ins at the Suns, who are resting Jack Lukosius. No change at the Dogs. Shai Bolton is back at the Tigers after being dropped last week, Jack Riewoldt will be out for the next few months.
There’s a laundry list of changes for Carlton vs Norf. Kade Simpson, Nic Newman, Mitch McGovern, and Kruze are all injured. Will Setterfield returns from a two week suspension that felt like 20. Charlie Curnow has been named but who knows with this guy. There’s also possible debuts for Liam Stocker (MID – 126.3k) and Angus Schumacher (DEF – 123.9k). Shaun Higgins will play at North, but Aaron Hall has been dropped. Jordan Clark is a fair shout to line up for Geelong this week, Darcy Fort (RUC – 117.3k) has been added to the squad. Essendon have added Sam Draper (RUC – 123.9k) and recalled Orazio for the match. For the last game of the week, no confirmed outs yet for either Adelaide or Fremantle, but Bryce Gibbs has been named for Adelaide. At Freo, Sean Darcy will probably return and there’s a possible debut for the mature aged Brett Bewley (MID – 117.3k)
The House of Evil
These rookies come with a free frogurt! (that’s good)
These premiums come with Potassium Benzoate (that’s bad)
Can I go now? (Trade bait)
Smooth Kevy’s Lock of the Week
There’s been plenty of podcasts and column inches this week devoted to the many, many fallen premiums we’ve got for not only this week, but the weeks ahead. I’ll refer back to my intro though and say if you’re struggling to split options pick the one that best suits your bye structure. For Lock purposes, I just can’t go past the value that is Nat Fyfe. I’m not going to hit you with a bunch of stats. He is a proven A grader in SuperCoach. Yes he may get injured at some point, but so could anyone. He just ticks so many boxes. Round 12 bye – tick. Injury-less average of 127 – tick. Under 600k? – tick. Really, really, really ridiculously good looking? – tick, tick, and tick.
If you don’t/can’t grab him this week he should still be available for under 600k next week. Make him a priority, community.
Hey Now, You’re a Draftstar
Huge test for the Power tonight taking on Collingwood on their home deck. From a Draftstars point of view, both sides are in the bottom 4 for conceding points to the opposition. The Pies love to be in control of the footy and without Port having a recognised tagger could equal pay dirt for Collingwood mids
To Grundy (15.5k) or not to Grundy. There’s a lot to consider tonight, on the one hand number 1 rucks have really struggled against Port this year, averaging 79 with a high score of 96 (Goldy). If we consider Grundy as a midfielder, Port are the stingiest team in the league, only allowing 92DS to the top 3 opposition midfielders.
Grundy smashed Ryder last time these two sides met, scoring 147DS. In his two games against Lycett and West Coast however, he only managed 68 and 99. I won’t go as far to say Grundy is a bad pick, he’s solo rucking tonight after all, and it’s Brodie Grundy, he’s a God amongst men. If you’re entering multiple lineups then enter a few with/without him. I’ll only enter one lineup though, so I feel there are “safer” selections tonight. I’ll take the 9.9k Lycett here.
Medium defenders are a good place to attack Port this year, problem is Collingwood have so many that nailing that selection is a hard thing to do. Both Jeremy Howe (11.1k) and Jack Crisp (13k) have good recent records against Port and at Marvel stadium. The slightly cheaper Brayden Maynard (10.1k) and Tom Langdon (10k) are options too. Port have also let key defenders get on top of them in recent weeks, making Darcy Moore (7.5k) a solid value play (but he’ll be popular)
Port are allowing an average of 90DS to the oppositions number 1 medium forward. Jordan de Goey (12.3k) has had a really solid month, but price has crept up to a point where he no longer a value selection. Again, not a bad pick, but if it’s value you want take Jaidyn Stephenson (9.5k) instead. Justin Westhoff (12k) is slightly cheaper than de Goey and back up on the wing again where he can flourish.
Sam Gray’s (9.9k) price tag is under 10k for some reason after scores 122 and 116 for the past two weeks. The Pies have been pretty good at limiting mid/fwds but he’s got his tail up and is full of confidence.
Where will Levi Greenwood go tonight? Rocky has been susceptible to the tag in the past so I’m crossing my fingers and going with Travis Boak (MID / 14.9k). Take your pick of Collingwood midfielders; Adams (15.2k), Pendles (13.8k), and Sidebum (13.6k) all have 110+ recent averages against Port. Treloar’s (14.9k) is 109. Karl Amon (6.5k) returns tonight and is good enough to hit 10x value. Sam Powell-Pepper is too good to be under 10k.