Supercoach Cheat Sheet | Round 3
Hello JR Community,
The Great One, Wayne Gretsky, once said “Skate to where the puck is going, not where it’s been”. It may be one of the most overused inspirational quotes in history, but that doesn’t make it any less true.
It’s always difficult predicting where the SC points will come from, but it’s much easier to work out where the SC salary cap will come from. If you can’t pick the POD, or find the underpriced breakout player to catapault you to the top, just make as much money as you can and buy the reliable gun.
So this week we’ll just focus on who’s gonna make you the most money in the least amount of time.
Cheers, MattyB (Statty Matty)
Well, it’s official. The AFL season is two rounds in, and the SuperCoach team you spent hours researching over the summer has gone tits up. You’re not mad, no. You’re disappointed. Disappointed in your premiums. Disappointed in your midpricers and your rookies. But most of all, you’re disappointed in yourself. Another season, seemingly down the drain.
Fear not, fellow SuperCoachers. Before the prices of most players change next week, you have the ability to correct some of your mistakes. If you have a premium who has stunk it up, you have to opportunity to jump on a player you missed out on before their prices start to fluctuate.
Isaac Heeney | $529,200
BE: 155 | Scores: 85/67
Isaac was seemingly locked into every SuperCoach side at the F2 position, and who could blame you?
He’s a young gun who’s proven his SuperCoach scoring capabilities, and with the new rules enticing teams to go a little younger and faster in the midfield, it was believed he would take the reins as the premier midfielder at the Swans. Unfortunately, Heeney hasn’t exactly set the world on fire in the first two rounds.
He’s spent his time almost exclusively in the forward fifty alongside Buddy Franklin, with some time on the wing as well. Because of this, we’ve seen him score an 85 and a 67, which isn’t worth his premium price tag.
Horse said after the Adelaide game that he’s battling a sore ankle which is the reason he’s forward at the moment, but can you really wait for him to come good while he continues to lurk close to the goal line?
Dustin Martin | $563,800
BE: 152 | Scores: 109/66
Brownlow medalist and fend off king Dusty was an attractive price to start the season, with many thinking the new 6-6-6 rule would give the clearance beast plenty of time to win the ball and dispose of it cleanly.
He’s actually spent less time than expected up forward, with him attending most centre bounces so far this season.
He did get a serviceable 109 against Carlton, but Levi Greenwood did a good job on him after quarter time on the weekend, limiting his score to 66 against Collingwood.
A break even of 152 isn’t even out of the question for a player like Dusty, especially considering he’s averaging 134.67 (with a 144 and a 150) in his last three games against GWS. Despite this, people seem keen to move him on and bring in a premium who’s started the season hot.
Max Gawn | $692,100
BE: 198 |Scores: 87/116
When I saw over 18,000 SuperCoachers had traded out either Gawn or Brodie Grundy last week, I had to chuckle.
Yes I have both, and yes I wanted to write bad reviews online about big Maxy’s new bar in Camberwell after last weeks lackluster performances, but I held firm.
They’re the two premier ruckmen in the competition, I knew they’d come good. Both Grundy and Gawn had ripper responses, with Gawn dropping 116 in a 80 point loss.
The chances of Gawn getting his break even this week is fanciful, but we know he’s capable of big scores. Even in his round one debacle (one of the worst games I can remember of his), he still managed a score of 87.
Travis Boak | $478,000
BE: 35 |Scores: 119/123
Boak drifted in and out of my forward line throughout preseason. I heard he was going to spend more time in the midfield, but ultimately I went with Tim Kelly at F3 (not upset at all).
In two Port wins, we’ve seen the former skipper dominate in the middle, whilst also sneaking forward and kicking some goals.
Two near-identical scores see his break even at 35, with his price set to soar in the next few weeks.
That $478k price tag isn’t going to be like that for the foreseeable future, as he’s looking like he’ll spend a while in the $500k+ range.
Tom Rockliff |$405,900
BE: -19 |Scores: 138/116
The former SuperCoach king has returned in 2019, featuring heavily in Port Adelaide’s midfield across the first two games of the season.
In the two wins, he has averaged 40.5 touches (23.5 kicks) a game, at an efficiency of 70%.
This has seen The Pig pump out two great scores in consecutive weeks, meaning he’s about to make some serious cash. A break even of -19 will see him jump at least 100k in the next 3-4 weeks.
Despite his great start to the season, there are question marks over his head regarding his role once Ollie Wines returns from his shoulder injury.
The Port co-captain is due for a return in the next fortnight, which may see Rockliff play up forward a bit more.
Last season Rockliff played that forward role, and averaged 74.8 doing so. I highly doubt he’ll return back to that similar role, but you can only have so many midfielders in the same side, eventually he’ll go forward for extended periods of time.
Rory Sloane | $524,300
BE: 44 |Scores: 155/105
The new Adelaide co-captain has had a great start to the 2019 campaign, with a huge outing against the Hawks in round one, and a handy score in round two to back up his efforts.
He’s one of Adelaide’s more important players in a strong midfield, sharing the spotlight in the centre square with the Crouch brothers. Many people preferred either Matt or Brad to Rory at the start of the year, however Sloane has been a strong performer so far.
With games against Geelong (127, 169 and 89 last three), North Melbourne (110, 80 and 96) and Gold Coast (139 and 95) coming up, Sloane could continue to pile up points in very winnable games.
With a breakeven of 44, he’s a lock to make handy coin over the next few weeks, even potentially cracking the 600k mark.
There is a golden rule in SuperCoach, and it goes like this:
Do not, under any circumstances, trade your premiums.
Despite this rule, everyone is tempted. Whether it’s because of injury, suspension or form, almost everyone trades at least one premium every year. If you feel this way, know that you’re not alone. I am convinced that trading Heeney to Boak is going to accrue me points and cash. But, as Jules in Pulp Fiction said:
“I’m trying real hard to be the shepherd.”
For this reason, I am going to resist temptation. I picked my team because I had belief. I still have that belief. If you’re going to trade your premiums, make sure it’s the right move and that you back yourself in. Balls to the walls, see how you go, can’t go wrong if you believe in yourself.
Good luck, community. – Matty F