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SuperCoach Panic Room: Round 1

Published by Kev on

The Panic Room is back for 2019, baby!

If this is your first time in the Panic Room (welcome) what is it that goes on in here? Just me talking nonsense really, and occasionally pointing you towards helpful SuperCoach tips and advice (by other people, obviously) that will hopefully make your year a bit easier. There will be team and rookie news, breakevens, and for those that like to play Draftstars daily fantasy I’ll provide a few tips for a chosen game. 

It has been hectic as ever in Jock Reynolds HQ. Some fantastic articles/analysis has hit the site this preseason. Give the website a visit, favourite it, make it your homepage, whatever you have to do because the content will be dropping thick and fast throughout the year and you don’t want to miss a moment of it.

It’s been a massive preseason, community. Good luck for the year ahead!

The News

Patch will have my head for this but I’m going to say the following – DO NOT PANIC. Yes the first bounce between Richmond and Carlton is only hours away but we’ve got a rolling lockout folks. This means that ONLY the players from those sides need to be locked away come 7:20pm. The rest of the teams will be announced tonight and Sunday squads will be finalised Friday evening before the Collingwood v Geelong game. If you have a rookie in a Sunday squad named on the bench wait until teams are confirmed before you go ripping up the side you’ve poured your blood, sweat, and tears into.

For tonight… We’ve got first gamers in Sam Walsh, Mick Gibbons, and Noah Balta. The cut price Will Setterfield has also made the, uh… cut. Nic Newman will make his club debut along with Mitch McGovern and Fas. At the Tigers, Mav Weller and Tom Lynch will make their club debuts. No Kruuuuuuze for the Blues.   

***UPDATE***

The selection table was fairly kind to us last night. A lot of the rookies that we had across the JLT appeared in round 1 sides. Let’s break it down by position:

DEF: Jordan Clark, Marty Hore, Connor Rozee (FWD), Xavier Duursma (MID), Jack Scrimshaw, Callum Wilkie (Sunday), Sam Collins (Sunday), Chris Burgess (FWD, Sunday), Brandon Zerk-Thatcher (Sunday)

MID: Tom Atkins, Charlie Constable, Willem Drew (FWD), Zak Butters, Bailey Smith, Chayce Jones (MID) Nick Hind (Sunday), Jackson Hately (Sunday), Tarryn Thomas (Sunday)

RUCK: Matthew Flynn

FWD: Gryan Miers, Nick Blakey, Jack Lukosius (Sunday), Ben King (Sunday), Lachie Schultz (Sunday), Bailey Scott (Sunday)

The trick is picking the right ones! It’s a positive we have so many as it allows correctional trades in a few weeks. 

In other big selection news. Pie Jamie Elliot will play his first match in almost two years. Buddy is back and will play and so will Jack Steven. Scott Lycett has been named in the ruck for Power with Ryder at full-forward. Brad Crouch will return after injury wiped out his 2018 season. There’s been some interest in new Swan Ryan Clarke after his strong JLT, he’s been named on a wing. Stef Martin has beat out Archie Smith to lead Brissy’s ruck division. No JJK at the Eagles, but Tom Hickey will make his club debut. 

On Sunday, the Suns recruitment drive of handing out flyers at Surfers Paradise has paid off with a potential of eight new faces. North aren’t far behind with potentially six new names among their ins. No Josh Kelly at the Giants which is good news for Gonigliog and Taranto owners hoping for a fast start. Shiel makes his debut at the Bombers. At the Dockers, #fyfeislyfe and they’ve turned to *checks notes* Cam McCarthy…

If you jump on the site right now the SuperCoach Stats trial is on for all teams and will end after round 2. You’ll see a bunch of icons around, this is what they mean:

The House of Evil 

The House will be open in round 3 for all your breakeven needs! Why is it called the House of Evil? Well rookies that have a low or negative breakeven that will jump in price come with a free frogurt (that’s good!). Premiums that have a high breakeven that will see their price free falling come with Potassium Benzoate (that’s bad!)

Smooth Kevy’s Lock of the Week

The Lock makes its triumphant return this year after I managed to put the mozz on most players I recommended last year… let’s hope this year goes better! For round 1 I’m taking the easy lay-up, Patrick Dangerfield is a god damn freak and, bafflingly. is only in 69 (nice) per cent of sides. This is 135% less than it should be. He’s averaged over 112 in 6 of past 7 seasons and warmed up with 59 possessions across his two JLT games. With Gazza earmarked to be spending more time in the forward 50 this year, the long stints at full forward Patrick experienced last year look like a thing of the past. Lock. Him. In.

Hey Now, You’re a Draftstar

If you fancy a go at Draftstars they’ve got a YUGGGE 100k contest on tonight. There’s also a free tournament, so don’t go crazy. Single game slates like tonights are tough, a lot needs to go right to get over the line. I’ve had quick look and below is my take for tonight. 

RUCKS

Not much to get excited about here. It’ll be Nank (13.9k) v Phillips (10k) and honestly, neither have great records against the opposing team or at the ‘G. Nank had problems last year leaking points to opposition rucks and while Phillips won’t blow the doors off the place, 10k is affordable enough. Harry McKay (9.8k) is also there but yeah, nah.

DEF

Richmond usually leave medium defenders alone and Kade Simpson (14.6k) loves playing the Tigers. Averaging 114 in past 4 and 106 in his past 5 at the MCG. Nic Newman (11.7k) is another that loves the ‘G, averaging 97 in his past 5 there. Vlastuin and Houli are at similar price points (11.3k/12.1k) but they may not have a lot of work to do tonight. For value, Broad (7k) and Cuningham (7.9k) are options after strong preseasons.

MID

Plenty of value here. Setterfield (9k), Walsh (9.9k), and Gibbons (7.5k) are all under 10k tonight and Zac Fisher is just over 10k. Draftstars awards +4 for a tackle and for that reason Jack Graham (9.5k) makes for an interesting pivot off those guys. Dusty loves this round 1 fixture, scoring 139 and 110 in his past 2 and you can almost lock in 30 touches and two goals from Patrick Cripps (18.2k). If you want to get funky, Marc Murphy averages 114 at the MCG since 2017.

FWD

Noah Balta (6.9k) could be anything tonight. Can see Lynch being eased into it so Balta could see some R2 action. Jack Higgins will roll through the midfield at times, 10.3k seems too cheap for him. The Blues, unsurprisingly, rank in the top 3 for both conceding scoring shots to opposition forward and conceding marks inside 50. If you’re an absolute madman you could look at Tom Lynch (11.6k) who has terrorised Carlton over the years, but I reckon his inclusion means more time up the field for Jack Riewoldt (13.2k), making him a safer pick.

My side:

We’ve made it, community! No more footy-less weekends until September. Good luck to all and remember your ol’ mate Kev if you walk away 50k richer


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Clarkeyy23

I’ll donate 0.01% of my winnings to you Kev

SC_Kev7

Woohoo free money!

Undypuncher

Do we take noah bolta because he is playing or leave him out if we have others earmarked and hope they get picked??

SC_Kev7

Could get squeezed out before a price rise when Caddy/Grigg return. Leave him out and make him a correctional trade if a) he kills it, and b) role is assured when those guys come back

DEESNUTSRBIG

Solid advice.
Riewoldt/Lynch/Caddy playing up FWD = bye bye Balta
Balta is a short sighted selection at the moment, injuries can happen so before R3 is the time to reassess.

gator59

Balta will have a run in the ruck at times which should help

Richie Porte

Hello everyone,
B Crouch, Libby, Bradshaw or Dusty.

COREYSC

Brad Crouch

SC_Kev7

Dusty, Brayshaw, BC, Libba

POTS

Dusty

POTS

Laird or Simmo?

Teddy021

I'm starting to panick hahaha. Good luck everyone! Making my debut in the JR Inner Sanctum this season, can't wait! Will need tons of luck to backup last season's result haha.

SC_Kev7

Welcome, Teddy. Best of luck to ya 🙂

Teddy021

Thanks mate! 😊

UpBeat

It's awesome you're here Teddy, we don't often get SC royalty here so any tips or info you can give is greatly appreciated by me at least. good luck mate

Teddy021

Far from loyalty mate! Just need a bit of luck through the year and hope for no injuries/suspensions!

Will help where I can!

UpBeat

didn't you finish 5th last year? that makes you royalty mate, cheers.

COREYSC

Best of Luck Teddy hopefully you can go even better this season!

The mighty wokkas

Alright so team just about finalised except….. I have 70k remaining and don’t have Walsh or Collins. Do I upgrade a rookie to them or just keep the spare cash. I could trade hately for Walsh or scrimshaw to Collins. Cheers any feedback appreciated

Sharkmove_King

I'd do Hately to Walsh personally

Chilli

Just made up a league if any one wants to piece together a fairly competitive one 390382 – good luck for the season all!

Michael C

I'm in Chilli! Go Mooses!

1DER

Cheers,
Barnburners

COREYSC

Jonathon Brown’s side has 10 mid pricers, the definition of the ultimate Mid Price Madness!
Hibberd, McGrath, Francis, B.Smith, Rockliff, Libba, Lycett, Dahlhaus, T.Greene and McCarthy

redherringfc

His team was rated on the fox SC show (I think the guy was last years champ, but missed the intro’s) as a 7 out of 10.

I expected him to say 5 out of 10 and even that would have been generous.

COREYSC

Or less then 5 out of 10😂

TheWizardOfOzz

Hey guys, is there a JR Community group code? Good luck to y'all this year!

SC_Kev7

710443, Oz

Dave

Would love to hear people's thoughts on this…

Lloyd, libba and $26k in bank
Or
Macrae, m.hore (Melbourne def rookie) and $127k in bank

Option 2 leaves my backline pretty weak with Hurn, Williams, smith then rookies and an odd amount of money left over. Cant really use it to upgrade anyone as my only midpricers are the 3 I've mentioned here

SC_Kev7

Depends on your structure mate. Libba not the worst midprice punt out there. But if you’re taking risks elsewhere go Macrae/Hore (if named)

Dave

I could use that extra cash to upgrade a N.Hind to cousins? Or better to keep the cash?

Dave

Or could even use that cash to go Lloyd instead of Hurn? Hmmmm decisions

Dice_real

What's everyone's thoughts on the best defender under $550,000??

Michael

Whitfield. Not reading much onto the apparent half forward role

Sharkmove_King

Yeah Whitfield. One of the best wingers in the competition, who was All-Australian half back last season will not play half forward

Andrew

Hi everyone,

Gawn, Billings, mid rookie or Goldy, Greene, Libba?

Michael

The one with Gawn

TommyC99

Hey guys, I asked this earlier but what are our thoughts on Scrimshaws JS? Obviously that decision could be made for me at selection but this is assuming he’s picked.
Atm it’s either him and Macrae or Collins and fyfe. Which would you go with?

Danners

Appropriate use of GIF there Kev! Good luck community in your Supercoach endeavours this season, hopefully the one year I go GnR isn't full of regret. Thought I might as well fill up my leagues so here is a league code if anyone is interested. Open to all

League Name: Community Crew #2
Code: 706084

Thanks and good luck

Luke

I just joined and filled last position. Thanks 👍

Michael

Decided on 3 mid pricers. Williams, B Smith and Libba. Seem the safest

KSinny

Same here, seems pretty reasonable and should all score well enough

Luke

Yes b crouch also worth a risk but can't run them all

BlueBaggerJosh

Thoughts on SPS? really think he will break out this year to an 85-90 average.

benodonohue

Blakey or Burgess @ F6

Doc_1

Both bench material I suspect.

I’d have setterfield, drew, Balta, petrucelle on field before them.

Steeeve

Last one for my team:
Neale or Macrae. If Neale I'll just pocket the cash for any rookie corrections…

Will

Moore or Ridley ?

Luke

Moore

DavidC

Ridley, Moore will be injured by round 3.

Maverick_

Moore if u have Burgess

Doc_1

Laird and Collins (trying to make it Ridley) or Williams and Smith??

Derek

Have you thought about Rozee instead of Collins.

Doc_1

To be honest hadn’t.
What do you think of his JS. I’m a little worried.

Would have me running a 2-0-4 defence (Laird, Hurn, Rozee/Collins, Scrimshaw, Clark, Duursma with Burgess and Hore on the pine. Moore insurance up forward to swing back if mass casualties)

Would mean I have all 4 port rooks.
I guess on the upside surely they can’t drop them all!

Russty_

Apparently there's 7 Port players to come back in Doc, so that's a bit of a worry.

Derek

Imagine if we had to fit Titch into our teams!

Derek

I’ll fit him in when he makes an early return in round 20 😉

Sharkmove_King

I thought him going down (obviously tragic for footy) made SC more interesting, but I reckon if he was there it would be better. Surely teams couldn't afford all the 600k+ ubers, would have been fascinating to see who people left out

Blueboys

Is Fasolo someone to consider? Same price as expensive rookie but with experience and a reasonable track record when fit.

BobbyGee

Moore down to Balta to free up cash for Burgess-Scrimshaw and Lycett-Dunkley???

Sharkmove_King

I like Moore, but those trades look like money well spent!

Ja191

yes mate, don't rate moore at all myself

KSinny

Sounds great

DEESNUTSRBIG

1 spot left to fill
DIV 1 JR COMMUNITY
667327

GL10

Few spots left in my league: 251834

Sharkmove_King

Scrimshaw will play!

Doc_1

Fyfe (M3), B.Crouch (M6), B.Smith (D3). Or M.Crouch (M4), Walsh,(M6), Laird (D1)

hedski

Constable, Clark, Atkins and Miers all named for cats, no pies debutantes.
All 4 port rookies named, no Bewley for Freo.
Hore is in, Collins and Burgess, Petracelle all in.
Parker named on field for Sunday.

Connor

Swap Hind for Bewley?

hedski

Hind didn't show much scoring power in JLT Connor, I'm staying away, hopefully Bewley gets held back for a while so he can be a downgrade target.

Russty_

Probably don't have both…Hind wasn't impressive in jlt

Connor

Currently have Bewley but he hasn't been named – otherwise who else (already have Constable, Scott, Atkins and Gibbons)

Russty_

Drew, Butters…Put Balta in in the fwds, or Petrucelle, or Parker.

Maverick_

Clark and constables JS?
I think I want scrimshaw over Clark and gibbons for constable based on JS

Russty_

Not sure mate on the Cat's rook's js, I'm leaving Scrimshaw out for now, if Collins spuds I'll bring him in if Scrimshaw does well, gibbons, I just turfed him for Constable

RoyWetard

Tipping League – 220013 (9 spots filled)

Ja191

we liking cripps as a vc tonight?

Russty_

Hi JA, I'm going Danger into Fyfe is Lyfe 🙂

TRIGGA_HAPPY

No panic here

Surprisingly calm. 🙊

Russty_

Bloody Bines not named…garsh dangit!….lol, everyone else in my side is 🙂

hedski

Good luck Russty, got you first up in Gators draft league.

Russty_

Same to you bud, good luck but lose ok?…lol, gonna be fun this year mate.

hedski

Good luck Trig, got you first up in Finn's draft league.

TRIGGA_HAPPY

Game on.

How does the bench work?

As JJK not playing do you get the bench score or do I need to sub on a player to replace JJK??

Backline going ok. 😏

Russty_

Bench is only one emergency Trig, the lowest scoring spud of the week.

hedski

Teams have dropped and it looks like no last minute tampering required for my squad, haven't touched it for 3 days so pretty happy right now.
Only thorny point for me is that I have to pick Burgess over Scrimshaw but that's not the end of the world.
Shout out to Patch Lek BVC Damo Kev and everyone else on this site for all the hard yards this preseason.
Now let's get into the real stuff, not long til kickoff.
Good luck to everyone with your teams, looking forward to coming up against a lot of good coaches from around the site in leagues during the season. 👍🍻🍻

Russty_

It's gonna be a great year mate!…good luck to you and everyone this season…42 minutes to go woohoo

kevwal

Good luck to you, gentleman, and all the JR community members, let the journey begin.

TRIGGA_HAPPY

Yep 29 green ticks.

Shake_n_bake

Good luck Hedski but not tonight 😉

hedski

Carn CATTAS 👍

Russ

J.Kelly…not playing R1. Flick him?

KSinny

Yep

Russty_

I reckon wait till he's played 2 games Russ, and see how that goes.

TRIGGA_HAPPY

Glad u put an "l" in there Russ 😂

Fisherdann

Gibbons, Hind or Bewley?

7up

Gibbons

Ja191

Gibbons

Brian

Burgess or Parker

Ja191

Burgess for the dpp, you should be able to fit in both though

Holty01

Good luck with the season everyone.
Go Blues

Russty_

Good luck back at ya Holty!

Henry.Riveria

I know team sheets don't mean much, but seeing billings starting on the wing gives me tingles!!!

Russty_

Hoff also named on the wing

Ja191

danger into oliver or cripps into danger

hedski

I'm going Cripps into one of Danger/Grundy/Gawn, hopefully Cripps does the job.

Ja191

yeah currently have that locked in, lets hope for a big one from crippa hedski

Jack

Ive got a last minute query for you all tempted by going in without gawn

Todd Goldstein:

– season averages of 113, 113, 106, 128, 109 before a two year form slump of 95 and 105
– releases an article mid june last year on beating a two year battle with mental health (potentially contributing to the two year slump)
– following that article, his avg from round 9 last year (post article) to the completion of the year was 111
– herald sun article december 2018 reports goldstein comes back to preseason 5 kg lighter and fitter then ever
– no preuss at the roos
– the mid stocks at the roos have been greatly bolsted improving the chance of hitouts to advantage
– scores 117 in his only jlt hit out… in 62% game time
– Dean Cox was 31 in 2014 when he went from an 88 avg the year before back to a 122 point average… Goldstein is currently 30
– going goldy over gawn allows me to turn my measly mid pricer into #Fyfeislife

food for thought

Russty_

I'm tipping Goldy to get back to his best this year…if it turns out Grundy is number 1 again, can easily trade up at some point.

Pat

Exactly the reason why I have him at R2…

Derek

Who is your R1?

Jack

Grundyyyy

Hardy

join 182223

Russty_

What are you a frikkin Robot?…enough with the Spam already.

NoLanguage96

Or you could just go Gawn and Goldy

Barney

Higgins as F4?? 15 min to decide :/

Harrison

Brad crouch M5 & Darcy Moore D4 (swing option)

Or

Brayshaw M5 & scrimshaw D5

hedski

Brimshaw

Maverick_

I think brayshaw and crouch may avg near the same & Moore has the JS over scrimshaw. The first for me

TommyC99

Any last minute leagues for me to join?

Maverick_

Gibbons worth grabbing???

Where are Atkins & constable named they on bench or onfield? If onfield I like there JS more than being benched.
For some reason website isn’t showing team sheets

Captain_Risky

Atkins on filed, Constable bench

Maverick_

Not sure I like constables JS has quiet a few cats to come back in to that 22

Hawk131415

Same Captain

Hawk131415

NO

hedski

Atkins onfield, Constable and Clark on bench.

Russty_

You have to click on team lineups Mav, on AFL website.

Maverick_

What’s constables JS like though ? Might swing duursma into the mids and grab scrimshaw?

Or drop Collins to scrimshaw but Collins seems to have rock solid JS. I don’t want any rookies with shakey JS.
Even Clark doesn’t fill me with confidence

Dingus

No nails left and a mild headache, must be supercoach season!!
Good luck to all
Game on!

TheWizardOfOzz

Hey community,
Could you please pick 2 out of sloane merrett and Matty Crouch??

Ja191

matty crouch and a coin flip probably sloane

nankthetank

Leaving it a little late ey wiz, guess that's why they call it the panic room! I'd be going crouch and merrett but sloane hurt me so I'm a bit biased

Derek

Merrett and crouch. Two of the first picked this yearI

Sim21

Merrett and Crouch

Need help.
Macrae + Libba + Walsh
or
MCrouch + Steele + Gibbons?

Ja191

first one

Russty_

Yeah number 1

FearTheBeard

Balta/Parker or Petrucelle?

Russty_

Balta

gator59

Where do we get SC scores.. Fan Footy only got DT scores

Russty_

Footywire Gator.

gator59

cheers russty

KSinny

Fanfooty's for it now

Maverick_

Please don’t make me regret the last minute move to drop you higgins I got a gut feeling I shoulda stuck with him after he being my shark move all pre season..

gator59

I've got him in Mav

Maverick_

You’ll take 94 I think that’s what he will give you most weeks gator. Did he look to play through the guts much?

gator59

I think he went through the guts a couple of times during the last quarter…

Holty01

Yeah I dropped Cuningham for Moore about 4 days ago for the swing set. How do you think I’m feeling right now.😫

hedski

Lazy 43 point QTR for Cripps.