This year has been the most challenging attempt at cracking a good round one side. Normally a side’s structure clicks into place about halfway through the JLT Series, with tinkering clearing up the rest of the side.
That never happened this year.
Part of that was due to my own circumstances – work and life came together to steal me away from my side, and what little time I had for Supercoach went into the podcast, uploading content and ruining Lekdog’s draft leagues.
so, as for my team.
It’s not a brilliant side. It won’t leap out of the gates and burst to the top of the rankings. I’ve had many better starting sides, but in previous years I was confident even my speculative picks – Zach Merrett, Jack Macrae and their ilk – would be top 10 players. This year I’ve had very little confidence I was picking the best players in each line.
So this is what I’ve come up with:
Let’s explore some of the logic behind why I’ve picked this side.
So the dilemma came down to a solid F3 – let’s use David Mundy as an example – plus two rookies vs Liberatore, Moore and Ridley. I never quite settled on that F3 because it’s the single worst position to select in a Supercoach side, so I kind of fell into the second option by default.
Ridley should average 70. He might hit 80 if teams don’t tag him, but at any rate my calculations have him averaging 70, which will net me 100k by round seven.
Moore will be taking kickouts for the Pies and will score. I have no qualms about carrying him until the bye. You’ll notice Burgess is on my forward bench instead of in the backline – I intend to swing one of him or Moore down back when I flick Ridley, which – unless Goddard 2.0 is averaging 85 or more – won’t be after round eight.
If Ben Cavarra hasn’t been named by that stage, someone will have. You’ll notice Willem Drew in my midfield, ready to swing forward and pounce on a midfield rookie. This means Ridley can go as a correctional trade if there’s an essential rookie, or if we decide Sam Walsh is essential after all.
I’ve spoken about Ridley already, but I want to dissect why I’ve gone very skinny down back. Williams doesn’t need explanation, and Shannon Hurn is the man who looks most likely to benefit from the kick-in rules, with the possible exception of Darcy Moore. Brodie Smith looked exceptionally good through the JLT and while I don’t think he’ll be a keeper, I’ll give him every opportunity to audition as one.
The rookies sort of speak for themselves – I don’t like how expensive Sam Collins is but until someone with his job security and scoring potential comes along, he’s staying there.
I don’t have Jack Lloyd or Rory Laird. I want both of them but I need the cash elsewhere. They’ll drop in price and I hope they don’t score too much while doing so. I hate not having them, and if we had more rookies I’d snare them, but I cannot.
Libba’s the only real talking point here, Oliver looks over his surgery, Gonigliog is a beast and Crouch is too cheap to miss the chance to ride a top-8 premo from 550k. Cripps and Macrae pick themselves while the rookies all look solid, with Drew in the midfield for reasons I’ve already explained.
I don’t like the Dogs as a Supercoach side. I just don’t. There’s very little certainty in their line-up beyond Macrae playing midfield and Bontempelli’s basketball background being referenced. But Libba is good at one thing, and one thing only: an in and under midfielder. He’ll average 100 if Bevo plays him where he belongs.
The Doggies have a round 12 bye, which means I can’t trade him to someone who’s already had their week off but I’ll flick him some time during the bye period, unless he’s going at close to 110.
“bUt ThE cOx CuRsE!!!!!1”me, every single week
Shut up. I’ve been going on all year about Grundy not going around again as the number one ruckman because Dean Cox sets up a pentagram or soemthing. I’ve been going on about how this is the year I don’t fall for it. I wouldn’t do it. Dean Cox wouldn’t hurt me again.
And yet here we are. Supercoach is just an outlet for my self-loathing.
All aboard the Jack Billings train! For those of you that haven’t listened to the podcasts, Billings is underpriced, set to move up onto a wing and into the guts with injuries to the St Kilda side and as someone who didn’t get burned last year, I’m waltzing into this without knowing how much it can hurt. Ignorance is bliss, but when you hear me crying in round four when he drops a 40 don’t comfort me.
I’ve discussed Moore, and as much as I don’t like the pick, he’ll make me cash and eventually be a decent swinging option – potentially a D7/F7. Or he could do his hamstring in round three and I have to trade him to a rookie. Potato, potato
(That phrase really doesn’t work in a text only format, it’s the potAYto potAHto joke where it’s two things that are the same but… oh you know what I mean. Shush.)
Is it enough of a plan? No. Am I confident of doing well? No. Will my rough-shod plan fall apart? Abso-bloody-lutely.