By Matty

A fast start to a SuperCoach season has the potential to catapult a team up the overall rankings and into contention for prize money and glory, whilst picking players who are slow out of the blocks is a sure-fire way to see any chances at a respectable overall finish diminish in front of your very own eyes.

On top of this, who wants to spend $600,000+ on a player who free-falls in price after a slow start? Or even worse; miss out on a player at $500,000 who is sitting on a negative breakeven after a mammoth start?

Over the next few weeks I’ll be assessing and comparing premium options that have the ability to make sure you start the season off right. The first edition will compare the leather-poisoned Jack Macrae, new Blues skipper Pat Cripps, and Brownlow medallist Dustin Martin.

Jack Macrae ($689,700)

The SuperCoach pig that is Jackson Macrae had a breakout season in 2018, and as such is priced at a breathtaking $689,700. This large sum of cash is reserved for only the finest SuperCoach players, and Macrae will be contending with Grundy, Gawn, and Dangerfield as the most expensive handful of players this season (RIP Titch’s leg).

In round one the Bulldogs will be playing the Giants at Spotless. Round one’s have previously been okay for the Doggies midfielder, averaging 102.3 with a 120, 92 and 95 in the last three seasons. Against the Giants, Macrae averages a below par score of 90.8, with an even lower average of 85.5 at Spotless. These numbers look concerning but an important sidenote to remember is that Macrae only rose to relevance last season, with huge scores accompanying him.

Games at Marvel Stadium are in store for the Doggies for rounds 2-4, which is a ground that Macrae loves a football match at.

In the last three seasons, Macrae has featured in 31 games at the ground, with an average of 107.63. More importantly, last seasons he played 10 games at Marvel Stadium, for a huge average of 126.4. The lowest score at the ground was 102, with a 156, 153, 142, and a 141 some of the huge totals. Three games of four to start the season at this ground is a huge yes for me.

West Coast, Essendon and Sydney will feature as the away team in those rounds at Marvel, and only Macrae’s history against Essendon is strong out of the three. An average of 115.5 (131 and 100) is light years ahead of the 98.83 average against West Coast, or the 100.8 average against Sydney.

Once again, Macrae did averaged 108 and 103 against these two sides last season, which is the year he broke out as a SuperCoach star.

Pat Cripps ($648,200)

The new Blue skipper will have to prepare for another season of strapping his team on his back and carrying his side through the uncertainty that is 2019. Last year we saw Crippa take on the captaincy role after a nasty foot injury plagued Marc Murphy for the majority of the season, and Patrick served his side with great courage and distinction. Can the big ball of muscle start the season strong?

Historically he hasn’t been hugely consistent in round ones, with scores of 130, 50 and 106 (averaging 95.3) for the last three seasons. Obviously, all three games have come against Richmond, a team he is yet to see victory against himself (0-6). However, he does a decent history against the Tigers, with 105 the average across four meetings in the last three years.

A top score of 134 in 2017 means twice he’s gone big against the Tiges. At the home of football, however, we see the great man step right up to perform under the bright lights of the MCG.

A three-season average of 119 across 22 games at the ground, with a highest score of 187 (Magpies Round 14, 2018), and a lowest of 50 (if you don’t include the 25 he scored when he was injured in 2017). That average, mind you, includes the injury-plagued 25 as well, meaning it would be much higher without him hurting himself.

Round twos are pretty decent for Cripps, with an average of 108.3 (115, 109 and 101) from 2016-now. A pretty consistent option against Port Adelaide, Carlton’s round two opponents as well: scoring on average 106 per outing.

However, Cripps has only played two games at the Adelaide Oval in the last three years, scoring 94 (2018), and 109 (2017). Interestingly enough, the 109 came in a 90 point thrashing at the hands of (guess who) Port Adelaide.

Round three sees Carlton face Sydney at the newly named Marvel Stadium. Cripps isn’t great in round three, averaging 91.6 (92, 100 and 83) across the last three years. Against Sydney he’s been better than his average of 98.75 suggests, being undervalued due to a 54 last season.

Apart from that, he’s had a 103, 137 and 101. Captain Cripps also is vying for a role as a new Avenger; such is the way he performs at Marvel Stadium. In 19 games since 2016, Cripps has averaged 108.5 at the ground, with big scores such as a 156 in 2018, and a 157 in 2017. Only two scores under the 100-point mark leaves him with a strong ground average. 

In round four Cripps will face off against Gold Coast at Metricon Stadium. Against such a sub-par team, you’d think this Supercoach bull would have field days. And whilst he has performed well against the Suns recently (173 in round 19, 2018), his average against them is just a tick over the century, at 100.8.

By no means is this poor, however with Patty we hold ourselves to ridiculously high standards. Round four games is more concerning, however, as his highest score in the last three seasons is 96 back in 2016. A 77 came in 2017, and a 92 in 2018, leaves us begging the question of why he cannot perform in round fours. Maybe it’s just an anomaly, however it is bizarrely consistent.

At Metricon Stadium, however, the man has a strong average of 123.3, thanks to that monster 173 last season, with a low of 83 in 2016.

Dustin Martin ($563,800)

The Fend Off King had a bit of a “down” year by his Brownlow winning standards of 2017, resulting in many SuperCoachers losing money of Dusty’s plummeting price. This season, priced at $563,800, Dusty seems too cheap to pass up. But will he start strong and earn serious cash early?

Traditions will continue in round one as Tigers play Blues, and hopefully his scoring tradition against them will continue as well. Martin has a huge average in round one (128), with 86 being his worst score back in 2016. Aside from that, Dusty belted out a 139 in 2018, and a huge 159 in 2017. His form against Carlton is just as consistent, with one extra match yielding another score of 121.

This brings his Carlton average down to 126.25, which is still incredible. At the MCG, where rounds one and two will be played, Dusty averages a stellar 114 over a huge 40 games in the last three seasons. Martin is super consistent on football’s biggest stage and will have games at the ‘G early in the season.

In round two the Tigers will take on the Magpies, and against them Dusty is solid but not spectacular. A three season, five game average against the Pies of 101.6 is nothing to write home about, but still gets SuperCoach participants excited to see yet another ton in their team list. Dusty’s round two average of 137.33 is much more likely to cause players to salivate. This average is comprised of a 160, 118 and 134; some seriously good scores.

Round three will see the Tigers fly up to face the Giants. Against GWS, Dusty averages a strong 124, including a 150 and 144 from his Brownlow year. His average at the ground is still a respectable 115.33, whilst his round three average is slightly worse but still good at 109.67 (93, 155, 81).

Round four has the Tigers at Adelaide Oval to play Port Adelaide, which is a team that Dusty has done well against in the past. An average of 110.67 against the Power includes a 127 and 121, but is brought down by an 84 back in 2016. Adelaide Oval is welcoming to Martin, with a ground average of 114.5 in the last three seasons, whilst he is pretty sub-par in round four, averaging just 92.67.

Who makes your side community? Will it be the expensive Macrae, or the undervalued Martin? Does Cripps get a spot as he tries to carry his team? Currently I’m sitting with Macrae and Martin, with Cripps in the wings. Let me know what you’re thinking!

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COREYSC
Guest
COREYSC

I have Cripps and Martin I think Macrae is a touch too expensive but I’m waiting to see Bont’s role he could change to M.Crouch

21K in the Bank

Defence
Lloyd, Laird, Z.Williams, Roberton, Quaynor, Duursma (Hore, Wilkie)

Midfield
Cripps, Oliver, Kelly, Martin, Bont, Stocker, Bewely, Hind (Atley, Valente, Gibbons)

Ruck
Grundy, Gawn (Fort)

Forward
Dangerfield, Heeney, Dunkley, Setterfield, Parker, Cavarra (McAdam, Wilkinson)

Thoughts on my team?
Am I shaping up ok? Need to find a way to get Walsh in he’s class

Sharkmove_King
Guest
Sharkmove_King

If you're running rookies at M6-M8 you desperately need Walsh imo

Dan
Guest
Dan

It's the give and take of having Grundy and Gawn. Maybe you need to downgrade one, or just not go with Walsh. Sure he just got a big score last night, but it's only JLT. And he's expensive, he's not a keeper, only there to make quick cash, which a cheaper rookie will do quicker, even when averaging less than Walsh.

mattforrest123
Guest
mattforrest123

If Walsh averages 80 over the first 10 rounds, he'll still make less than someone like Bewley if he averages 60. With the extra 80k you can afford to upgrade players. I wouldn't bother getting sucked into Walsh or any other 180k+ rookies. They're not gonna generate enough money, and if you have 3-4 of them, thats the difference between a mid-pricer and a premium.

GloryDays94
Guest
GloryDays94

Yes but Walsh will play every week and a 117k or 123k rookie has a chance of being dropped which is a waste of bench space if they have not made any money… also Bewley and a few other popular rookies haven't even been named in the first JLT game so no guarantee they lineup round 1. Walsh and Collins for example will lineup round 1 unless they get injured.

Sharkmove_King
Guest
Sharkmove_King

I don't believe that's correct Matt. Someone highlighted on here not too long ago the difference between what Banfield & McGrath averaged in the first 6 rounds on the year they were rookies. The profit we as similar and points averaged difference was not huge (certainty not 20 points)

The problem slwaa people took the example too literally and looked at their end of season profits.

But the point was purely to highlight that the difference is not as big as some think

Sharkmove_King
Guest
Sharkmove_King

*problem was

JohnDJ59
Guest
JohnDJ59

If you want Walsh, I would be dropping one of Lloyd or Laird for a mid priced player, Witherden or Mills would do the job.

COREYSC
Guest
COREYSC

I went Gawn to Goldstein
Upgraded Stocker to Walsh
Upgraded Bont to Macrae

JohnDJ59
Guest
JohnDJ59

Good move, although I still think Macrae is over priced, you could still go to M.Crouch like you said and have some cash in the kitty for upgrades.

GloryDays94
Guest
GloryDays94

Downgrade Bont to a MID pric: Taranto, Miles or Libba and don't have both Grundy and Gawn.

magic mullet
Guest
magic mullet

who do we reckon is the best promo under 600k other than dusty?

Nice_Person
Guest
Nice_Person

Crouch or yeo

kevwal
Guest
kevwal

Yeo, will play every game and go close to breaking the 110 average, no competition for his role, he will love the new 6-6-6. Crouch may go back to 2017, may not, Sloane back may help, may not. When paying over 550k you would like reliability. Yeo at M5 for me, JLT will not change that.

Nice_Person
Guest
Nice_Person

Just his toe that is the concern

Sharkmove_King
Guest
Sharkmove_King

I'll be watching his tog closely this week (along with Grundy). If they play more than 75% I think they're fine as I don't think their clubs would risk them in JLT1 if they weren't 100%

AuroraBorealis?!
Guest
AuroraBorealis?!

I think Treloar is worth a shout of after T.Adams going down

magic mullet
Guest
magic mullet

yeah Treloar looks very nice especially with Adams down and beams gonna play more forward

Nice_Person
Guest
Nice_Person

Whys he not playing jlt though

AuroraBorealis?!
Guest
AuroraBorealis?!

yeah not sure about that wow, hoping he'll play the second game v carlton

kevdup
Guest
kevdup

I don't know if it's just my imagination, but I feel that Treloar plays better 2nd half of the season.

Maverick_
Guest
Maverick_

i like yeo & beams

Micky Blue Eyes
Guest
Micky Blue Eyes

Beams? Solid performer, will be back at home with the black and white and have a little more freedom

mattforrest123
Guest
mattforrest123

I'm personally a huge fan of O'meara at $503,200, however as a Hawks fan I may be too close to it. Just based on the fact he'll be the number one midfielder, has had a good run injury free, and is looking real good (both fitness and looks) in praccys against both internal and external sides. He could be a great pick, watch him in the JLT to confirm though.

Graham
Guest
Graham

Crouch, Treloar maybe Bont

The FranklinShow
Guest
The FranklinShow

Zac Williams v Nic Neman – Can you have both, just one or none. Williams currently my D3

Maverick_
Guest
Maverick_

I had newman from day 1 for a long while but got sucked into the williams hype and swapped him. (still currently got williiams D4)
I just remember newman's debut season being very solid and more opportunity now at carlton especially if he plays dochertys role.
If they are your D3&4 i think you can take them both I would't have them as high as D2&3 though

Stirlsy
Guest
Stirlsy

I'v been a big rap for Newman since he started just wasn't used well by the Swans, Coach Horse didn't seem to like him for some reason, but at the Blues I'm expecting him to shine and become a good player.
Currently have both D3 and D4

Prizza
Guest
Prizza

Coughs it up

Stirlsy
Guest
Stirlsy

Starting all 3….

Nice_Person
Guest
Nice_Person

Get a life troll

Longy
Guest
Longy

What do we need English to average to make him justifiable at R2? Starting at 310k if he made 150k and Gawn/Grundy dropped to 550-600 that’d be nice. Going English instead of Gawn will save you 380k.
If you can use that to grab another premium in the midfield to make up the points surely it’s well worth considering.

Mick
Guest
Mick

You’d need him to avg mid to high 80’s to increase by $150k. Big ask.

SC8944
Guest
SC8944

My team ATM:

Defence
Lloyd, Ryan, Z.Williams, Roberton, Wilkie, Burgess, EMG Harry Jones, Hore

MIDFIELD
Macrae, Cripps, Oliver, Martin, Taranto, Walsh, Constable, Bewley EMG Ely, Atkins, Gibbons

RUCK
Grundy, Gawn EMG Fort

FORWARD
Dangerfield, Heeney, Tim Kelly, Setterfield, Stengle, M. Parker EMG Cavarra, Wilkinson

I have $100,700 left in the chest.

I'd love your thoughts on any changes etc cheers.

Mick
Guest
Mick

Like your fwd line and rucks. Not sure sure about def and mids. Talent drops away quickly in both those lines.

JohnDJ59
Guest
JohnDJ59

I have Cripps at M1 and Dusty at M4, they are my only locked and loaded premo players in the mids. My other three are Oliver M2, Bont M3, M.Crouch M5.

KeenButClueless
Guest
KeenButClueless

Had the same John. Just changed Bont to Treloar. Was prepared to back 2 to come from outside top 10 mids into the top 10, but felt maybe 3 was one too many. MacRae feels expensive, Fyfe and Kelly are maybe risky. So maybe Neale, but went Treloar

JohnDJ59
Guest
JohnDJ59

Hi KBC I would have liked Fyfe in there, but his elbow injury worried me, so went with Bont, but now I see they have him starting in the fwd line, which was always on the cards, so yes only Cripps and Dusty are locked for now, hoping Clarry has a good game on the weekend so I can add him to my starters. Hey KBC I still have a spot left for you in the Holy Grail 461265.

KeenButClueless
Guest
KeenButClueless

Thanks John. Fingers crossed on Clarry! Singapore Flyers are in the chase for the Holy Grail. Thanks for the invite

JohnDJ59
Guest
JohnDJ59

Hi KBC, thanks for letting me know, I saw the Flyers there and was hoping it was your team. A bit nervous about Clarry after his two shoulder opps, I really want him in my team, so just the fact he is playing is a positive, now for a 90+ score.

Graham
Guest
Graham

Who do you think will be the top 5 scoring mids for this season?
Not for average, for total points scored for the year.
Cripps
Neale
Oliver
Macrae
Danger are my picks

Sharkmove_King
Guest
Sharkmove_King

I'll put Kelly in for Neale. I think Dusty might sneak in too

Graham
Guest
Graham

Yeh Kelly could be massive this year too. Not as sold on dusty this year, prob regret that come round 5

Stirlsy
Guest
Stirlsy

Danger? Surely you play him fwds?

Graham
Guest
Graham

I have Danger as my F1 mate but reckon he will still be a top 5 mid scorer too. Fyfe will go huge just think he may miss games.

dontblushbaby
Guest
dontblushbaby

A fit Fyfe would be a chance

kevdup
Guest
kevdup

Beams can't be ignored. He's a gun in a good side, lock him in Eddie 😎

NoLanguage96
Guest
NoLanguage96

Yep like it. Think Matty Crouch will burn this year too and is a chance at top 6

Mick
Guest
Mick

Leave Danger in the fwd category and throw a towel over Yeo, Dusty, Duncan etc for 5th place.

slats7
Guest
slats7

Hey Matty,

You've used the Bulldogs 2018 fixture, not 2019.

"In round one the Bulldogs will be playing the Giants at Spotless"

"Three games of four to start the season at this ground is a huge yes for me. West Coast, Essendon and Sydney will feature as the away team in those rounds at Marvel"

The Bulldogs first four games are actually: Sydney at Marvel, Hawthorn at MCG, Gold Coast Suns at Marvel & Collingwood at MCG.

Holty01
Guest
Holty01

Gee there are some idiots in this world. I feel very sorry for you as you must have no life to get on this site and dribble such negative rubbish. Go and find yourself a friend and try and have some sort of an enjoyable life

Rivo
Guest
Rivo

Great work Matty. I have all 3 starting. Cripps looked epic last night in the JLT, Lek must be hyperventilating! Dusty looking very fit and ready to atone for his injury affected season, Macrae expensive but I dont want to miss out like last season – he may fall in price a little but a contested bull. Roll on JLT! 🔐

Shaun
Guest
Shaun

Is there any love for jack steele.

Rick Grimes
Guest
Rick Grimes

I like him. If he isn't given any lockdown roles, can see him go 105-110 average. He's a quality player.

GloryDays94
Guest
GloryDays94

Get over yourself already. If you hate the content that community members, patch, lek and Damo etc are spending their own time to do then LEAVE!

kevdup
Guest
kevdup

agree, well said 🍻

Russty_
Guest
Russty_

I wonder about you skindog…sometimes you seem just like a good normally posting bloke and then you come out with something like this, I don't understand it, there seems to be more than one of you posting under the same name, but yet you never question it…wondering why?

SC_Kev7
Guest
SC_Kev7

Super stuff, Matty. A lot of work has gone into producing that. Currently rocking all 3. Macrae and Cripps are expensive but they are high ceiling players that can hurt you if you don’t have them

NoLanguage96
Guest
NoLanguage96

Cripps and Dusty are my M1 and M3. Can't justify the nearly 700k price tag for MacRae but he'll be my first mid upgrade.

Here's the latest side community pick it apart. Haven't got Walsh as it's a golden rule of mine to avoid $200k rooks but if he tears it up again in JLT 2 I'm open to it.

B – Laird, Sicily, Williams, Roberton, Collins, Clark (McKay, Duursma)
M – Cripps, Neale, Dusty, Crouch, Merrett, Libba, Scott, Gibbons (Constable, Valente, West)
R – Grundy, Goldy (Fort)
F – Danger, TMac, Heeney, Setterfield, Parker, Young (Wilkinson, Cavarra)