Coach Luke Beveridge shuffled a few magnets in 2018 that resulted in Josh Dunkley having a good ol’ fashioned third year breakout in 2018. He increased his average by 35 to 95.1SC on the back of 22 disposals (8 contested), 5 marks, and 6 tackles per game. It was a season of two halves for Josh, which, depending on how he’s used at the Dogs this year, will have ramifications for his SuperCoach output.
From a SuperCoach perspective, a move to the midfield in round 14 saved Josh Dunkley’s season. Before this point he was averaging 77.1 as a forward marking target with brief stints in the ruck (He’s 190cm). He was dropped in round 9 after laying a turd against the Crows and spent three weeks in the reserves. In round 14 he was given a run with job on Shaun Higgins which he was horrible at (Higgo had 123SC). Dunkley was given similar roles on Jelwood the following week and then Titch the week after. By round 17 he shifted out to the wing vs the Dees and his next 7 weeks reads thusly: 88, 105, 147, 132, 106, 157, 116 for an average of 121.6 over that period.
That’s what has me excited folks. To put that into context, Patrick Dangerfield averaged 121.7 last year and enters this season priced at 660k.
The bad side to Josh Dunkley was identified in ‘the good’. Like so many before him, those high numbers are reliant on him continuing with a midfield role. Despite his late year heroics, that role isn’t a lock. The Doggies run quite deep in the middle and will be adding the returning Libba and draftees Rhylee West and Bailey Smith.
A 77 average as a forward is your classic mid price trap. Even though he did score two hundreds in those first 9 weeks as a forward, he also had scores of 40, 42, and 60.
Looking at his SuperCoach scores in relation to his AFL Fantasy output, they seem to match up most weeks. This suggests to me his scores are coming via sheer weight of numbers and his disposal is not as damaging as it could be. Although his love of a cuddle and goal sense (he kicked an inaccurate 11.15 last year) give him another scoring outlet if some attention comes his way (unlikely, but you never know)
To suggest Dunkley will average 121 is head in the clouds type stuff, but I reckon he’s being severely overlooked at this stage. Owned by only 11% of coaches, he stacks up well against the more popular Devon Smith and Isaac Heeney. That said, watch JLT for his role. If he’s in the middle I reckon you can go ahead and lock him in.