Round 17 SuperCoach Panic Room
Ya gotta squeeze every penny!
That’s our theme for the week in JR HQ. Let me hear you say it:
Squeeze every penny!
Squeeze every penny!
Round 17 is upon us and hell didly ding dong crap, there are only three rounds of league games to go for SuperCoach 2018! On paper this game is easy, you probably had 12 “premiums” at the start of the year if you followed the guns and rookies team building strategy. Thirty trades to get in 10 more premiums? Pizza cake! *kissy fingers.gif*
A couple of failed premiums that rhyme with “Hillings” and / or “Fibberd”, coupled with the curse of the SuperCoach Gods that is injured premiums as soon as they get drafted into our sides see’s that plan thrown out of the window. We get stuck with considering guys that aren’t necessarily premo’s, but could be a premo for us for the next few weeks. Did anyone say Daniel Rich? (Ed note: No, they did not)
Lek and Patch take this line of thinking and dial it up to 11 in this weeks podcast. The importance of having bench cover was felt by many last week with Kade Simpson’s late out, Barron’s Around the Grounds is the most comprehensive take on playing and potential rookies in the land. Damo has given the cheat sheet a shake up this week as he looks at your best options for saving some cash, and Patch returns with Captain McCaptainface, surely on its final few, wheezing breaths, to take a look into some captain options we have this week.
Tonight, there seven changes all up for Adelaide v Geelong. None of them will really make you throw any trade plans for the round out the window. Some possible bench action with both of the Fogarty’s out, and Lachie Murphy returning for the Crows. Will the additions of Dan Menzel and Wylie E. Buzza mean Danger finally plays a full game in the midfield?
I will not be able to watch the Friday night “mockbuster” between Carlton and St. Kilda as I’m washing Nat Fyfe’s hair that night. In team news veteran defender and sleeve overlord Kade Simpson is good to go after his late withdrawal last week. Paddy Dow is back. Harry McKay finally gets his chance. Not much worth noting in the outs column. Back up ruckman Andrew Phillips is injured and Darcy Lang’s career is over after Luke Hodge made him look like a fool last week. On the other side of the ledger, Ed Phillips returns to our midfield benches and Billy Longer has been dropped for the 28th time this year.
On Saturday, the Lions are going in unchanged again! Next week there will be 12 changes. Guaranteed. The Hawks have been dealt a blow with an injured Big Boy McEvoy. Joel Smith is out for the Dees. Bernie Vince returns to continue his sole quest to destroy Michael Hibberd SuperCoach relevancy. Guess who’s back? Back again. Jack is BACK. Tell your friends do do do do, do do do do etc etc. Jack Macrae is back for the Bulldogs. It’s offset somewhat by Bont’s appendix isn’t doing whatever it is that appendix’s do correctly, so it, and Bont, are out this week and possibly next. Tom Boyd is also out for the clash. Toby Greene is back for the Giants after a 392 week foot injury or whatever was wrong with him. The Tigers have lost 3 premiership players but have replaced them with two more, one of with is Bachar Houli, and Shai Bolton. The Suns are also unchanged, whether that’s by choice or because no one wants to play for them (snap!). The Dons have lost Jake “The Package” Stringer but are finally giving Darcy Parish a run.
The Eagles are giving themselves the best chance possible of winning in Melbourne by actually bringing a forward line. JJK, Jack Darling, and Mark LeCras are back. Nathan Vardy is their only confirmed out. The Pies have added Darcy Moore to their squad. Flynn Appleby is out injured. Freo rookie Andrew Brayshaw will miss. The Dockers have added 5 with Taylin Duman on an extended bench. Tom Jonas is out again for the Power. Jarrod Lienert (DEF – 123.9k) and Kane Farrell (DEF / MID – 117.3k) are new names in the squad. The Swans have lost Hanners (cooked), Kieran Jack, and McVeigh (working on his tan) for their game against the Roos. Isaac Heeney is the big name in. Darcy Cameron (RUC – 123.9k) and Colin O’Riordan (DEF – 123.9k) have been added to the squad. At the Roos they’ve added Alex Morgan (DEF – 123.9k) and Will Walker (MID – 117.3k) and a few others but who really has North players that aren’t named Goldstein or Higgins?
THE HOUSE OF EVIL
Finally! Some decent rookies on the bubble this week to get excited about. I was initially hesitant about Brad Lynch, but there was a moment in last weeks game against the Hawks where he received a handball in the goal square and had Poppy bearing down on him. Lynch took him on, backed his pace and delivered a pin point kick to a teammate. I like the confidence.
In the mids, does Trengove keep his spot at Port? I’d be leaning toward Sier if you’re after a mid downgrade that will last a few weeks.
These guys come with a free frogurt (that’s good!)
-71 – Brad Lynch*
-64 – Brayden Sier*
-54 – Jackson Trengove*
-34 – Quinton Narkle*
-20 – Wil Powell*
These premiums contain potassium benzoate (that’s bad!)
197 – Isaac Heeney
170 – Jimmy Webster
167 – Josh Kelly
161 – Patty Cripps
158 – Lachie Neale
158 – TMac
157 – Ollie Wines
153 – Luke Ryan
149 – Heater
145 – Buddy
SMOOTH KEVY’S LOCK OF THE WEEK
A bit pushed for time this week so I’ll go for the easy lay-up. My knock on Jake Lloyd has always been he needs 30 touches a game to even think about a three figure score. Even then, that three figure score would have been 105. Well it’s time to put that notion bed. His past two months? 130 (36 touches), 173 (41), 118 (26), 90 (24), 106 (29), 122 (28), 125 (34), 136 (33). An average of 125 (!!) over that period.
He’s now ballooned out to 589k which is pricy, but you need this guy in your team if you’re serious about giving SuperCoach finals a fair shake. The Swans have always loved to put the ball in his hands, but now he is turning that into high ceiling scores that will hurt you.
HEY NOW, YOU’RE A DRAFTSTAR
I’m actually all for Thursday night footy this week because Friday night is, uh, Carlton v St. Kilda. Carlton playing St. Kilda in AFL’s much loved “prime time TV” spot of Friday night footy. Can you imagine having a long week at work and your first taste of footy for the weekend is… that.
All that said, things that could make this game interesting:
- Scoreboard fire
- Streaker/s (hot ones)
Carlton v Saints at the G… sigh. Look this game might surprise us and be one for the ages. Just incase it’s not, Kung Fu Panda is on Go!
The team at Fantasy Insider are fantastic and brilliant and I can’t say enough positive things about them. Their lineup cruncher has run the numbers and given us this ideal lineup for tonights game:
Saints only trail the Bulldogs in giving up the highest amount of DS points to opposition rucks. Goldy scored 117 against them in round 2, Grundy 135 in round 9. Gawn has returns of 111 and 135. Now it’s Matthew Kreuzer’s turn and he’s riding solo tonight after the injury to Andrew Phillips. Kruze doesn’t have a great record against the Saints, in fact it’s pretty putrid, but I also don’t want Tom Hickey in my team.
Did the Blues forwards just forget to apply any sort of pressure last week? Tom Cutler (142), Darcy Gardiner (118), and Alex Witherden (116) had a field day in racking up the points. This brings all of the Saints rebounders into play. Jimmy Webster casually busted out an 85 on return from injury last week, while his 12.6k asking price isn’t brimming with value, those scores from the Lions last week have me a bit more confident. Shane Savage has a more friendlier price but less of a ceiling than Webster. If you’re feeling really brave, Daniel McKenzie has 2x 70’s in his past three games.
With all their backline injuries it’s not much of a surprise that St. Kilda struggles against the big guys. Charlie Curnow still managed to kick 3 last week in an otherwise quiet day at the office. However, he took a combined 19 marks against Collingwood and Port in rounds 15 and 16. A the other end of the field, Carlton gave up 110DS to Eric Hipwood last week and 113DS to Hoff the week before, Tim Membrey could be a sneaky value play here.
It’s worth noting Carlton generally handles the midfielder / forward types fairly well. I’m not saying avoid them completely, but give second thought to stacking them. Jade Gresham is in a little purple patch. He’s kicked 8 goals in 3 games and is averaging just under 20 disposals over the same period. Jack *clenches teeth* Billings has put together a nice little run and is also an option.
I’m anticipating a bit of cat and mouse in the mids. Will Steele go to Cripps? Ed to Seb Ross? Cripps has smashed the Saints on a few occasions so he’s hard to look past, but Steele is no slouch so I’m looking at Marc Murphy instead. Manic tacklers are great for DS as they are worth +4 each, if Steele does indeed head to Cripps he’ll be in the action often. David Armitage has been doing the type of thing we wanted him to do from round 1 and I’ll continue to play him while he’s hot. His price of 11k and 3-round average of 103 is just too good to pass up. Matt Shaw comes into the team and is priced at 5k. His record at GC wasn’t too bad and he’ll be a popular way to save cash.
(Also, Smash Mouth are TOURING in November?!! What is this, 1997? This was Patch when I told him the news)