Round 15 SuperCoach Panic Room
Yaaaaas mates! The dreaded byes are over for another year.
(me @ work)
For what was supposedly the “hard” bye week, what a week it was! Cripps, Kelly, Maxy, Sicily all went massive. Pendles wound back the clock. Goldmember is averaging a cool 116 from his past 5. Yeo, Simpson, Howe got the job done. You can relive the round with Big Carl’s writeup right over here.
For those not chasing overall glory (whether by choice [me] or because of an awful year [also me]) focus now shifts to league glory where there are 5 more weeks of head to head matchups before finals. If you’re sitting outside the 8 then now is not the time to sit on trades, do what you can to give yourself a shot of finishing the year with a bang.
The JR train will be hitting top pace post byes. Patch and Lek go full on LOUD NOISES in the podcast this week, while Barron casts his experienced eye over the state action in his rookie roundup. The end of the byes sees Damo’s cheat sheet overcome with greenery. There’s a lot of options this week as final team upgrades are made, last of all, step inside Patch’s magical emporium of captain selections where he passes the savings onto youuuuuu (he also gives you captain choices)
It just wouldn’t be a week of SuperCoach without a fresh batch of problems to deal with. Adam Treloar suffered a double hammy which is the sort of injury that just makes you cringe. I guess you could say it’s…
All the best to Harris Andrews in his recovery. He’s only in 2% of teams but many of those were recent trade ins on the back of some stellar form. Jezza Cameron is gone for a long time and, despite Grant Thomas calling for his head, Lachie O’Brien is free to play this week
Why is there no discussion around Lochie O’Brien’s involvement in Adam Treloar’s dual hamstring injury?
— Grant Thomas (@Thomo_Grant) June 25, 2018
Tonight should be a cracker as the Tigers “host” the Swans at
Marvel Etihad stadium. Both teams have made two changes for the game, Dion Prestia and David Astbury are in for Kamdyn McIntosh and Ryan Garthwaite. For the Swans, McVeigh and James Rose replace Harry Marsh and the injured Tom Papely.
Tom Jonas is also going to miss this week, continue to mess with the minds of those who brought him in.
As expected, Jimmy Webster will miss one – possibly two – games with his… groin? injury, but his teammate Bailey Rice will provide cover if needed.
However, if you’re relyng on Logan Austin for cover, you’re in trouble. He has been flicked, dumped, dropped – whatever you call it, he’s gone – while Timothy Smith has also been dropped by the Dees. Essendon livewire Mason Redman will also miss a large part of the rest of the season after injuring his ankle. Paul Ahern, Charlie Spargo, Kobe Mutch and Jacob Heron are all on extended benches, with the first three to be confirmed Friday night.
A couple of debutantes on Friday night. First we’ve got Quinton Narkle (MID – 123.9k) for the Cats and Brad Lynch (DEF – 123.9k) for the Dogs, while the infamous Darraaarrrggghhhhh Joyce and Ben Paton are in line to debut for the Saints. Harrison Petty, Brayden Sier (finally!) and Mitchell Hinge are also chances to debut, with Sier locked in by Bucks.
Over at Port there’s a club debut for former number 2 pick Jack Trengove. DBJ rocked up to training late and didn’t even try to blame the traffic lights every 50 metres in Adelaide. As a result he’s out alongside Tom Jonas with his hammy flaring up again.
Connor Blakely is out for the Dockers, while Ben Jacobs is back for the Roos in bad news for Zach Merrett holders. Michael Walters is also back to FINALLY DO SOMETHING USEFUL, PLEASE, as is Rory Laird (praise).
That’s just about it on the team news front!
THE HOUSE OF EVIL
Not a lot happening on the rookie front as cash gen starts to dry up as we are making the final upgrades to our team (kudos if you managed that already!). Bad news this week with bubble boy and defensive downgrade option Mason Redman ruled out for up to 8 weeks. Joel Smith wasn’t able to back up his 91 from round 12, only managing 34. Looking at his 2017 season where he played 3 games, 34 was his average. The Dees have said they’ll be rolling with a few different options down back so I don’t think we can rely on Smith being a reliable scorer.
These guys come with a free frogurt (that’s good!)
-66 – Josh Battle*
-38 – Stefan Giro
-33 – Joel Smith*
19 – Jamaine Jones
-9 – Sam Taylor
-7 – Tom Murphy
-1 – Brody Mihocek
These premiums contain potassium benzoate (that’s bad!)
198 – Rory Sloane
171 – Kruze
170 – Jesse Hogan
165 – Josh Caddy
161 – Brodie Grundy
160 – Dayne Beams
157 – Jimmy Webster
154 – Gawndog
148 – Nat Fyfe
147 – Mitch Duncan
139 – Danger
139 – Ed Curnow
SMOOTH KEVY’S LOCK OF THE WEEK
Straight up. Paddy Cripps is an absolute GIFT this week at 544k. Averaging 117.5 and 1.7ppm. If you’re one of the 60% of teams without him make him a priority this week. I’ve covered him before so I’m looking elsewhere.
Collingwood are absolutely flying at the moment. I hate to say it, they are actually playing an attractive brand of football. They are however, only one win and percentage off 9th so they need to keep on going. The loss of Adam Treloar for 5-6 weeks (or 8-16 if you believe Tom Browne…) is yuuuuuuge and it means the experienced Collingwood mids will need to step up. Steele Sidebottom often gets overlooked in SuperCoach for Scott Pendlebury. Pendles is a great budget option at 484k, he’s a star, but I’m aiming a little higher for Sidebum at 523k.
Since averaging three figures for the first time back in 2012, this is the first season he’s averaging 30+ possessions a game (31.5). While he can be a bit of downhill skier at times, he’ll need to step up to fill the Treloar-sized hole for the next week weeks.
In 5.7% of times and averaging 120 over his past 3, Steele Sidebottom gets my lock of the week.
HEY NOW, YOU’RE A DRAFTSTAR
It’s your classic 8 point game this. Depending on other results, a Hawks win would see the Giants a game and a half outside the top 8. Giants win and they could see themselves as high as 6th.
This game will be a midfield battle which is reflected in the pricing on Draftstars. We’ve got 6 mids priced above 14k which means going skint in other positions to try and get at least two of those in. Let’s have a look at how the brilliant humans at Fantasy Insider see this one playing out.
On a tough slate for cheapies the appeal of Jonathon Ceglar for 7.5k is obvious. His score last week was almost 10x value but he does have a 33 and 38 from his other two games this year. If you want something safer without going all the way to the top I don’t mind Dawson Simpson (10.4k) actually. He wasn’t disgraced against Stef Martin last week (72DS) and he put up 70DS against Sandi earlier in the year.
Continuing my penny pinching theme, the absence of Jezza Cameron should see GWS’ tall forwards receive a little bump. Rory Lobb (9.4k) is back this week and should chop out Simpson in the ruck while playing mostly forward. Harry Himmelberg (8.6k) is another who might see more of it. He is in little bit of a purple patch right now, averaging 25DS above his season average. Jono Patton (10.6k) is a nice pivot off both if you don’t mind paying a bit more.
This is a tricky one. There’s a lot of sub 10k options here. On their day there’s a handful of guys that COULD deliver you a 10x value game. They could also stink it completely and tank your lineup. Ryan Burton at 9.9k sneaks under the 10k mark. He’s had a pretty horrible year after bursting onto the scene last year. He’s shown a flicker of form over the past month, averaging 78DS, up from his season average of 59. You can make a solid case for the 5 guys above Burton: Whitfield, Heater, Sicily, Tomlinson, and Haynes. I’m a romantic at heart and being reunited with fantasy darling Heath Shaw (13.6k) is speaking to me. He loves playing against the Hawks, averaging 112 in his past 4 against them and 108 over the past month.
Okay. Here we go. Let’s start at the top. Josh Kelly (17.4k) or Tom Mitchell (17.2k)? There’s a strong opinion around the traps that Clarko will send Dan Howe straight to Kelly. If I’m parting with 17k I want my selection to run free, so suiting up Tom Mitchell will do me. Matt de Boer (10.9k) can have random good games (128DS and 112DS this year) but they are separated by stinkers of 60’s and 70’s. If Dan Howe (11.2k) does go to Kelly, he’ll be seeing plenty of the ball. He’s shown he can hit 90 and I’m backing him to do so again this week. At the bottom end, remember Jeremy Finlayson? (7.5k). Our rookie lock at the start of the year has fallen off a cliff. He’s good at hitting 60 which is exactly an 8x value play. It’s a tossup between Lachie Whitfield (14.3k) and JOM (14.3k) for my final position and it’s a tough one to split. Whitfield’s preference to kick (3 points) over JOM and his handball happy ways (2 points) sways me in favour of Lachie.
With teams now mostly full premium I hope you’re on the end of massive score this week. Best of luck, Community. Love ya xx