Charlie Curnow has been spoken about as a breakout contender since the second Supercoach closed in 2017.
Blues fans think he’s ready to become the next Anthony Koutoufides but I believe that a more apt comparison would be with Lance ‘Buddy’ Franklin.
Before you jump into the comments and tell me I’m an idiot, I’m not suggesting that Curnow will kick 100 goals in a season and win countless goal kicking awards. I do think that he could replicate that Supercoach career of Buddy Franklin.
In his first season, Buddy averaged 59.4 Supercoach points per game, in year two this moved to 63 and in his third year he broke out with an average of 91.3 across 20 games.
In Curnow’s first season he averaged 49.2 Supercoach points, this jumped to 74.2 in his second year and based on the second half of 2017, could jump well past 90 in season three.
Whilst Supercoach scoring has drastically changed since Buddy’s second year in 2006 (the only way to break the ton was basically kicking six or more goals), his jump in average related to his movement up the ground and an ability to rack up possessions outside of the goal square…although he was still pretty good playing deep forward.
In 2018, Curnow is set for a move up the ground and *touches all the wood* should make more of an impact on the scoreboard when he plays forward. His ability to impact around the ground as well as in front of goals (rightly or wrongly) reminds me of a young and majestic Buddy.
CURNON: THE FACTS
|2018 facts||$408,100 FWD|
|2017 100+ scores||4|
|2017 sub-80 scores||14|
|2017 highs and lows||High of 122, low of 37|
In 2017, Curnow averaged 92.7 Supercoach points per game from Round 14 onward.
In his last 8 games Curnow averaged 90.6 Supercoach points with 15 disposals per game, 7.7 contested possessions, 2.8 tackles and 1.3 goals. These numbers are all above average for forwards his age and he achieved them it in just 77% game time.
It’s pretty safe to assume the Curnow’s tank will have improved in the off-season and that he’ll being seeing some more game time throughout 2018.
Curnow showed some really positive signs in 2017 and he’s going to be a big part of Carlton’s future moving forward.
He has shown an ability to score above 90 Supercoach points on a somewhat consistent basis and in a year of poor forward options this could be priceless. In particular his tackles, contested possessions and marks excite me.
Carlton has indicated that they want Curnow to play through the midfield when Cripps is playing up forward. I don’t know if that’s good for the Blues but it’ll probably be good for our Supercoach sides…I hope.
There’s every chance that giving up F2-3 for a breakout candidate who has only played 27 games and will be in a poor side could blow up in your face.
Curnow has the scope to post some less than desirable scores as a forward target, if Carlton decide he’s the man to use as a permanent forward we’ll be in trouble.
I think that if you lined up all the breakout contenders for 2018, Curnow would be the one who fills you with the least dread.
He has everything laid out before him to become a prolific Supercoach scorer for many years to come. In 2018 he has an opportunity to play around the ground, kick goals, lead Carlton’s attack, improve upon his tank and combine his attacking instincts with his defensive pressure to become a complete player.
An average of 92.7 across his last ten games in 2017 is enough for me to lock him in. His low price tag, his potential and a lack of other forward options are just an added incentive.
I’d love to hear what you all think but before you ask, yes my Carlton bias might be getting in the way and yes I’ll be backing him to the hilt.
Let me know community, are you picking Curnow?