Round 22 Supercoach Panic Room
Come one, come all, to the Panic Room! We’re now officially into the do-or-die part of the season: the stakes haven’t been higher. There are no more second chances.
This is where saving those trades, dodging those injuries and your astute points of difference will make you or break you.
Godspeed community. We’re at the preliminary finals. Go get ‘em… assuming you don’t get a swift, solid kick to the nether regions by the news.
THE NEWS
Hans Moleman Productions presents a swift, solid kick to the nether regions.
Starting from the top: Lachie Neale will miss this week, and possibly the next, after being struck down by knee problems. While initially reported as a season-ending injury, Neale is expected to play next week.
For those that were here, queer, and didn’t want any more bears (one of my more obscure Simpsons references), Michael Hurley is missing with a calf complaint this week. I suspect if Tom J. Lynch had needed quelling this week he might have got up, but as he doesn’t Essendon have let Hurley miss.
Nic Newman has failed his fitness test this week, so leaves Sydney’s side at the expense of the returning Josh P. Kennedy, who may finally provide relief to those of us with a few million dollars on the pine in the midfield.
Bulldogs midfielder Mitch Wallis has been dropped. The Bulldogs confuse me. A lot.
In more good news, Zach Merrett returns from suspension, Alex Witherden is back for the Lions, and so is Nick Riewoldt.
If anyone has Jack Viney, firstly: why? Secondly, un-have Jack Viney ASAP because his foot is not doing the foot thing, which makes it hard to play football.
Geelong midfielder Mitch Duncan is back after spending a week in the sin bin, as is Shane Mumford. Going into the sin-bin in their place is Jack Redpath, who gave Phil Davis a tickle under the chin. It was also nice to see the Tribunal cracking down on fly kicking blokes in the face, suspending Toby Greene for three two one zero matches.
In “Back To The Future 4: Wait Really?”, Jaeger O’Meara and Harley Bennell return for brand new escapes, before they break back down with injury and are put in cotton wool for the next 12 months. Critics are calling it “Irrelevant to Supercoach” and “just another way for Patch to spice up the Panic Room, there’s no actual movie here so I’m not sure why I sat in a movie theatre for two hours…”
Hawthorn have ditched rookie duo Tiea Miles and the talented (but N deficient) Conor Glass. Please considering donating any unused N’s to Conor.
We have a whole bunch of debutants this week. WHYYYYYYYY???? THIS IS TERRIBLE. AWFUL. SAD. Although considering everything else that’s been happening this week, having some 2018 rookies at slightly elevated prices isn’t the end of the world, unlike the literal end of the world – the “fire and fury” that accompanied Zac Dawson’s retirement.
Anyway, we have Josh ‘Fridge’ Begley (that is his actual nickname, I’m not making this up), Josh ‘Bring Your Kid To Work Day’ Daicos, Todd ‘Ally’ Marshall, Jack ‘I Left The Ham In The Fridge Too Long And Now It’s” Graham and Ben “Mmmmmmkay” McKay will all play their first games.
(I know none of them are Rowan ‘My Boat’ Marshall, but I’m doing my best, okay?)
In basically irrelevant news, Pearce Hanley is back, retiring Carlton champion Dennis Armfield has been dropped (to James Brayshaw’s dismay), Josh Caddy is out for the year (remember when we were all going to start him?) and Tom Hickey has finally recovered from the towelling Bellchambers gave him a few weeks ago.
Anyway, despite the instability of this week’s team news, at least this isn’t the wrap up of Parliament’s team news, where we seem to have a half a dozen outs. Although that’s a really low bar to jump over to be fair.
THE PATCH UP
I’m putting up the one smokie this week because ain’t nobody got trades left. Besides, this smokie is slightly too smokie, because it’s David Zaharakis. I’d never suggest selecting Zacka for a full season, because contrary to all the evidence I don’t hate myself that much.
But, for a two week pinch-hitting role in your midfield, at 498k a bloke who loves the easier games with Fremantle and Gold Coast to come could be the lift you need to get over the line this year. Averaging 110 over his last 3 and 103 over his past 5, if you’re strapped for cash, he may be the way to go.
However with Tom Rockliff at 410k you’d be desperate – or stupid – to bring Zaharakis in.
HEY NOW, YOU’RE A DRAFT STAR
Well, I’m not, but the wonderful hoomans over in Higgo’s article are mind-bogglingly good at this thing. Fortunately, Fantasy Insider are mind-bogglingly fantastic, and have a lineup cruncher with oodles of statistics, and with their help, I’ve put together this lineup
ENTER THIS WEEK’S COMMUNITY CONTEST HERE (BIG $ POOL)
ENTER THE FREE ACADEMY CONTEST HERE
As Higgo mentioned in his stunning analytics yesterday, Freo’s defence will come under fire, and as such I’m venturing in with Lachie Weller and Griffin Logue as value options. Nat Fyfe and David Mundy are locked in to cover the absence of Lachie Neale.
I’m not a fan of going in with Soldo, but my mega-midfield doesn’t leave me with much choice – besides, The Nank and Sean Darcy hardly fill me with confidence anyway.
Who are you going in with, community?
CAPTAIN McCAPTAINFACE
Patrick Dangerfield VC.
Dustin Martin C.
Other options involve Rory Sloane at the Adelaide Oval tonight, however, I’d be cautious of Sloane getting a good work-over from the Swans, like they did with Jason Johanissen a while ago. Zachary Merrett against the Suns could be a good choice, and Matthew Kruezer against Big Boy could go very large indeed.
Otherwise, there’s also Tom Mitchell. Anyone else going with someone left-field this week?
GOOD LUCK this week, community. Tear them a new one in the do or die prelim finals, while I’ll tear old mate Throttlefinger apart in my Draft league final.
Hi Patch. Thanks to you all for your great work during the year. I've only got two trades left but still have GAJ and Jelwood. Mid bench cover is Witherden and Mountford. Thinking of trading in MCrouch or Dusty and either Hanners Rocky or Billings. In my main league my opponent has Dusty. Appreciate your thoughts Patch
Thank you for reading, Tony! Think you're going to have to need to cover Dusty, Tony. At the risk of being blown out of the water if he goes huge. Alongside him Rockliff seems to be the way to go, unless you've got enough cash for someone better
Love ya work Patch.
I'm calling this week "Super Loophole Week' … with only 1 trade left I have to use that on Jelwodd –> Kelly to save my mid-field. With 5 trades spent on avoiding donuts over the past 7 games, my team is somewhat sub-premo .. so the loophole has to cover my inadequacies. but 'cos Lyin hasn't done his old trick of dropping in-form rookies … I cant loophole my DEF, so have to pick between Ryan, Lloyd or Cox on field. Leaning toward Lloyd.
Looping Witherden and SPP in the MID and Dahl and Greenwood up FWD.
In 5 Prelims … 2 of 'em Cash leagues ..
Jakey Lloyd I take it? As Lek pointed out on twitter this week, Nic Newman missing should help Lloyd's score so I'd pop him onfield. Like the loops mate – good luck for the cashies!
Hey patchy tossing up over gunston or daniher. What are your thoughts old son?
Daniher will teach those kids a lesson
i hope you are right kev
Not going to lie, every time I see Joe scramble up some bastard like a stepladder (cc. Jake Carlisle) I get aroused. There's nothing quite like screaming DANIHERRRRRR! live at the footy. He's hunting for the Coleman and the Dons will feed it to him – with two easier games I'd be backing him in, but would have all my fingers and toes crossed while doing so.
(and I am going to look very closely at starting him in 2018)
im tending to agree. i sold myself on gunston early in the week but heading towards the giant beanstalk. im hoping to ruin the inside of my trousers on saturday night
Who would you start as D6 out of Luke Ryan or Rance?
cheers
Rance, Simo. Should peel off Freo forwards
I'd go Ryan, Simo. Tigers smalls won't hold him accountable in the air. As Patch said in his Draftstars section, the ball should be in his area a lot
Going to have to disagree, the ball was up his end a lot last week and he still only managed 32. Doubt he'll score that little again this week but he's far more of a risk than Rance for mine.
Rance, no strong KPF to mind and won't come up against someone as tactically aware as Harry Taylor this week. Over the long haul, back your premos in to outscore the rookies, I reckon. It's the percentage play.
Would like to thank u for all your input throughout the year Patch,always a laugh reading yr stuff.
I'v got 5 the same as you in DS Goodluck with Mundy a real brave pick, don't think many will go with him so he could work out to be a good POD 4 ya
If Graham gets a gig ill be pulling my team apart i think, 50 bucks short of a str8 swap.
I went to church last nite to pray Witherden plays but had no idea how to do it so i asked a few ppl and got told i had to kneel down, well i was out of there very quickly, I don't get on my Knees for anyone not even Gaz's dad.
Thank you Stirlsy! Hoping that leads me at least part of the way to doing well on Sunday!
Wise moves in church mate!
Need only to cover a potential doughnut from Neale. I have one last trade and have narrowed my choices to :
1. Kruezer. By 2 dpps I can bring in the big fella and plop Ryder up front. This will give me coverage via Strandica if the big K is rested next week.
2. Josh Kelly As a straight swap for Neale.
As things stand I have bench cover for backs (Ryan) and fwds (shoenmakers). But nothing for mids or Ruck. Kreuz gives me the Ruck cover but Kelly has more to play for and barring a disaster is guaranteed of playing next week as well.
Any chance Kreuz gets rested ? Who has the greatest scoring potential over the next two rounds?
I appreciate any thoughts comments.
Mograt
Kreuzer has a better run that Kelly, so that and the flexibility have me leaning towards Kreuz
Thanks Patch i' m locking in the Kruez
The Panic room has been my guidance all season, so I'm hoping it can steer me through my preliminary final:
3 trades, $150k
DEF: Adams, Doc, Laird, Howe, Shaw, Junker (LOOP) (Schaz, Ryan)
MID: Dangerfield, Martin, Mitchell, Fyfe, Bont, Treloar, Neale, J.Lloyd (Selwood, Cousins, Deluca)
R: Gawn, Ryder (Grundy)
FWD: Macrae, Heeny, Yeo, Dahl, Nank, Greenwood (Cameron, Bolton)
Any ideas of some trades? My FWD line is weak but I've got issues with Selwood & Neale I need to clear up.
Option 1:
Neale > Crouch
Selwood > Rocky
Swing Lloyd to DEF and don't play a loophole
Option 2:
Neale > Crouch
Hold trades, suss out the round and upgrade later on if need be
Option 3:
Selwood > Crouch
Hold trades, no money left
Option 4:
Selwood > Rocky
Nank > Any premo FWD
Thoughts?
1. Go for broke.
4, but instead of any premo forward swing Ryder down and bring in Kreuzer
If I did that I'd offload Grundy. No point in having Gawn, Grundy and Kreuzer next week!
1 trade left for a couple of cash leagues…thoughts on Grundy to Mummy or Martin? I feel Mummy has more chance of going large…
Mum
Agreed
Thanks Patch! I've loved reading the Panic Room all year!
I was wondering, who do you think I should loophole with Nank in the forward line out of: Greenwood, Buddy (both up and down), or JJK (only scored 56 against GWS earlier in the season)?
Thanks Dan! Would go with Greenwood personally. Good luck mate!
*EDIT* actually, no. Go a Buddy loop
Who do u reckon will score more over the next 2 weeks; Danniher or Sicily?
Dan
Daniher easily
*BT voice* DANIHERRRRR!
Go for Sicily mate, Joe only has 2 tons in last 11
What are our thoughts on Spuddy? Has gone one big, can we expect one small? I can loophole him or Greenwood.
Spuddy Franklin? Crows will do a good job shutting him down, I'd loop him
Last chance/last trade.
Big prelim this week.
Comes down to (me) Greenwood, J.cameron, Shaw, JJK, Zerrer, STEVEN + 1 more. V (opponent) Jacobs, J.Stewart, Nyhuis, Heppell, Murphy, Steele, Fyfe.
Can get anyone under 495k (any line through DPPs).
Billings, Rocky, Roberton, or any other suggestions.
Leaning towards Billings.
Like Billings more than Rockliff
Patch, Merrett or Zorko for Neale? On trade left…
Zerrett for mine, Pauly.
doc laird adams rance lloyd witherden (ryan scharenberg)
danger vc fyfe c kelly bont murphy parker treloar jpk (dahlhaus emg cunningham junker)
gawn mumford (strnadica)
macrae greene billings steele franklin nankervis (greenwood emg eddy)
2 trades i made this week was newman down to junker which allowed me to move witherden into the defence in place of ryan/scharenberg and stewart to billings which allowed me to swing dahl into mid bench and greenwood into fwd bench so i can loophole schaz dahl and greenwood. any better ideas for the trades i could make and any ideas on who to improve loopholes assuming macrae will outscore dahl and buddy will outscore greenwood.
Good luck for prelim finals everyone
I need captaincy advise – Merrett, Mitchell, Danger or Zorko?? Think my opponent will go Mitchell so could either just cancel out his score or go the POD and use Merrett and risk it for the biscuit… Thoughts??
Danger
Danger for mine
Even though Dangers history against Collingwood is not great? Think he scored a 65 on them in round 6 this season…? Collingwood have been tough to score on for in the last few weeks as well :/
If you have Danger…VC someone else and unless they knock out a 150 for ya….Danger!!!! He is the man.
Who do I trade in for Selwood, has to be someone lower than $491k. Was thinking of either Hannebery or Gray, any suggestions?
Robbie Gray should be a force, I'd take him. Billings another option
cheers Patch by the way my opponent has Hannebery, don't know if that changes anything.
I have Hurley & Newman in the backline. Thinking I'll go Hurley to Docherty & Ryan comes onto the field. Alternatively I could trade Hurley out put Ryan & Witherden on the field & upgrade Nank or Dalhaus, thoughts?
1 trade left. Have neale and jelwood with greenwood as cover. 40k in the bank. Option 1. Keep neale and hope he comes back next week and trade jelwood to beams or rockliff. Option 2 trade neale to Kelly or Duncan. Thoughts lads ?
1 trade left and 8k left
Options
1-Neale to Parker
2-Lynch to Rockliff (swing Brown forward) and keep Neale on bench hoping he comes back round 23
3- Cover with Lloyd and save trade
#2 The pig has been building and I think after last week he is back!!
Talk getting around that Sloane is in doubt tonite
VC on M Crouch into Danger? Or Swans too good to let him off the chain tonight?
who to tag him
Hewett
2 trades left and $88 k in the bank
Do I trade Selwood and lynch or Selwood and Neale?
Current midfield
Danger, Kelly, Bont, Fyfe, Merrett, Kennedy, Neale, Selwood (witherden as cover)
Current forward line
Kennedy, yeo, macrae, Dahlhaus, Heeney, nank
2 trades left, and have both Neale & Lynch to get rid of, and no cash to help. Looking at Neale to Beams & Lynch to Buddy. Current mids are Danger, T Mitchell, Bont, Fyfe , Merrett, Parker & Treloar with Greenwood only playing bench cover. Fwds are Macrae, Yeo, Ryder, Dahlhaus & Heeney, with C Brown as bench cover.
Other option is I could trade in D Martin, M Crouch, Zorko, Kelly, Oliver or Duncan, but would have no money to spend on a forward, unless I use Greenwood and trade in a rookie or S Reid? Which is the preferred option – Beans & Buddy, or a premium mid and cheap fwd?
Beams and Buddy I reckon Lisa.
I have nothing to panic about,no changes to my team,my best players are all on the field,have two trades left,hoping to make a few grand finals.All the best to anyone playing in the preliminary finals this weekend.
You sound like a smug Hardwick some weeks ago. Beware of the unexpected and good luck. I'm in six prelims and I am pooping my pants.
Sounding like Hardwick is a bit harsh,but fair enough,next week if I get there is when I will be nervous,good luck in your six preliminary finals Starlight.
Yeah John…stop being so smug! hahah, well done mate, hope you smash all 6 of em 🙂
I did sound smug didn't I,first time for everything I guess,projected to win all 6,but I'll believe it when I see it.Good luck to you too Russty.
If you've done well after this year's over mate, you have a right to be smug, not that I think you were haha
ryan or loyd ,, which way to go ,, please sway me
With Newman out, Lloyd will get a bit more ball, however McVeigh has spoilt Lloyd's party. Ryan has been terrific but dreadful last week like most Dockers but will he bounce back? Don't know what Ross will do with him. If he is allowed to play loose he will go big, but perhaps teams are now watching him closer.
Ryan had 2 big scores before his lousy 32 last week, I'd back him in to knock out another tonne.
Hi Rusty. I have looped Hibberd – NM with Lloyd and Ryan. I think I will take Lloydy's 81 or should I field Ryan?
Hi mate, I'm leaving Lloyd on the bench and Ryan and Witherden on-field, but that's just me, if you want to play it safer, leave as is.
Given the history of Danger's scoring against Collingwood, I don't want to give him the VC. If he goes huge then good for him, but I'd prefer to give the VC to someone like Tom Mitchell. I agree with the C going on someone in the Dockers/Tigers game, whether that's Fyfe or Martin remains to be decided.
Which 2 on field out of Scharenberg, Witherden and Lloyd?
If Lloyd posts a solid score who should I take off in my backline
Shaw or Scharenberg?
Shaw
Who should I start at D6 out of Luke Ryan, Heath Shaw and Alex Witherden? Can't loophole.
If I start Shaw or Ryan, I can loophole witherden with someone in the mids.
Good question
I have the same problem.
Maybe Shaw
I was thinking that's the safest option with Witherden coming back from injury and Ryan pulling a 30 something last week.
Shaw
What to do with Nank
2 trades and 30 k in bank
Nothing. Soldo is out this week so Nank might go big.
Hannebery or Robbie Gray??
Final trade …Oliver, Crouch or Kelly for Selwood help please
Crouch
Thanks Russty appreciate your help
No worries Laurie, he's averaging 132.7 last 3 games, hope it works out for ya.
Anywhere i can find projections for this week?
Looking at nank and j lloyd to roberton and C Dixon, or Billings and scharenberg amongst many trades. Also a few hawks as options.
I'd probably hold on those 2 Jamie, if you think you can still win, Nank and Lloyd should score better tonight, Lloyd wasn't bad last week with 82. And Nank doesn't have Soldo to share points with this week.
Billings is a gun but Dixon is a spud.
I have to field one of Buddy or Greenwood. The other one will have the emergency and will be loopholed with Dahlhaus. Who should I start community?
There's been some rain in Adelaide so that might limit tall forward's outputs.
I have Nank, Goldstein & Darcy as my rucks. Was going to bench Nank but Soldo is not playing. Have 2 big prelims! Who do I bench?? Any thoughts please?
Reckon I'd bench Goldy with his recent form.
Who should l loop Buddy or Greenwood?
I think Buddy, scores or 42 and 65 before his 164 last week.
Its the sort of game he just might stink it up!
Could do…Crows defence is pretty good.
Quick poll:
Crouch, Merrett or Rocky
Crouch hands down 🙂
M Crouch
Nank or Darcy on the field?
Nank should score better without Soldo in the team, 50-50 really.
Is it too risky putting Kelly VC and Titch C even though their games are 3 hours apart
Not at all, you'll have plenty of time to change the C as long as you're not out somewhere, gotta make sure you can too, with your bench and all. People can get caught out.
3 hours is plenty of time to decide whether your VC is worthy of taking it, I allow 2 hours and 20 minutes.
Yep ya need Danger.
Is Neale out for longer then 1 week?
Not certain yet Dean but could be done for the year, as well as Hurley. I would trade if I still had him.
Prelims…Here we go folks!!
Echo…echo…echo…lol, not many around tonight Hawk, Sydney are looking pretty dangerous, hope this isn't a disappointing blowout.
Looking like its gonna be a cracker now crows coming back.
Tried to bench Heeney when I saw he was tagging before the bounce, but seven was slightly delayed…
Bad luck with that…nice start from the Milkybar Kid!…not
I think it is time for horse to relieve Heeney of his tagging duties against Sloane…….Lightweight vs lightweight. Sloane wins.
Let Zac Jones have a crack at Sloane.
Agreed Horse's little experiment is clearly not working.
Heeney you bloody albino spud burger….do something!
Going backwards now this is disgraceful. Horse needs to let him do his normal thing
Redeemed himself nicely with a respectable 91…well done Children of the Corn.
Vc,d Budwah, should a gone Sloanedog. Looking good so far, Bud, Parks, G'wood, Laird, Sloane. Lloyd on the loop. Bet I beat the pricks who knocked me outta semis last week.
Poor Parker went from 79 to 75 as soon as the siren went dont know why.
Was lookin good at half time Shakes
McVeigh has gone FWD, maybe some hope still left for Lloyd in this game
Hopefully Heeney can redeem himself for something half decent too Josh.
Cracking game now, this is how Friday night games should be.
Finals footy
Is it just me or has the umpiring been very questionable today?
Today?? Been crap all year DM
Good point
They seem to be over umpiring, or under umpiring these days, probably too scared of the scrutiny they're under every week, and always confused about all the constant bloody rule changes.
Absolute inconsistency, either the strongest bias that I've ever seen or mixed with a little bit of corruption. A bit suspicious since its at Adelaide.
Mcveigh kills lloyds role/sc score
Yeah Lloyd was ultra-reliable until that old bald prick came back in 🙂
Heeney ends up hitting 91 points for a massive half. Beat that spud Hanners who didn't get that half time drink. Don't think Hanners even got 20 points in that second half. Trading in Hanners over Martin when they both bottomed out will haunt my memories for years.
If you said at half time Heeney would outscore Greenwood, MCrouch and Hanners I would have suggested a nice long rest from super coaching.
Great win by the swans, looked gone!
I think they will win the flag, they have the best intensity, lost first 6 games and won 13 out of their last 15.
Both were to the Hawks….weren't they?