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Round 22 Supercoach Panic Room

Published by Patch on

PanicRoomRd22

Come one, come all, to the Panic Room! We’re now officially into the do-or-die part of the season: the stakes haven’t been higher. There are no more second chances.

This is where saving those trades, dodging those injuries and your astute points of difference will make you or break you.

Godspeed community. We’re at the preliminary finals. Go get ‘em… assuming you don’t get a swift, solid kick to the nether regions by the news.

THE NEWS

Hans Moleman Productions presents a swift, solid kick to the nether regions.

Starting from the top: Lachie Neale will miss this week, and possibly the next, after being struck down by knee problems. While initially reported as a season-ending injury, Neale is expected to play next week.

For those that were here, queer, and didn’t want any more bears (one of my more obscure Simpsons references), Michael Hurley is missing with a calf complaint this week. I suspect if Tom J. Lynch had needed quelling this week he might have got up, but as he doesn’t Essendon have let Hurley miss.

Nic Newman has failed his fitness test this week, so leaves Sydney’s side at the expense of the returning Josh P. Kennedy, who may finally provide relief to those of us with a few million dollars on the pine in the midfield.

Bulldogs midfielder Mitch Wallis has been dropped. The Bulldogs confuse me. A lot.

In more good news, Zach Merrett returns from suspension, Alex Witherden is back for the Lions, and so is Nick Riewoldt.

If anyone has Jack Viney, firstly: why? Secondly, un-have Jack Viney ASAP because his foot is not doing the foot thing, which makes it hard to play football.

Geelong midfielder Mitch Duncan is back after spending a week in the sin bin, as is Shane Mumford. Going into the sin-bin in their place is Jack Redpath, who gave Phil Davis a tickle under the chin. It was also nice to see the Tribunal cracking down on fly kicking blokes in the face, suspending Toby Greene for three two one zero matches.

In “Back To The Future 4: Wait Really?”, Jaeger O’Meara and Harley Bennell return for brand new escapes, before they break back down with injury and are put in cotton wool for the next 12 months. Critics are calling it “Irrelevant to Supercoach” and “just another way for Patch to spice up the Panic Room, there’s no actual movie here so I’m not sure why I sat in a movie theatre for two hours…”

Hawthorn have ditched rookie duo Tiea Miles and the talented (but N deficient) Conor Glass. Please considering donating any unused N’s to Conor.

We have a whole bunch of debutants this week. WHYYYYYYYY???? THIS IS TERRIBLE. AWFUL. SAD. Although considering everything else that’s been happening this week, having some 2018 rookies at slightly elevated prices isn’t the end of the world, unlike the literal end of the world – the “fire and fury” that accompanied Zac Dawson’s retirement.

Anyway, we have Josh ‘Fridge’ Begley (that is his actual nickname, I’m not making this up), Josh ‘Bring Your Kid To Work Day’ Daicos, Todd ‘Ally’ Marshall, Jack ‘I Left The Ham In The Fridge Too Long And Now It’s” Graham and Ben “Mmmmmmkay” McKay will all play their first games.

(I know none of them are Rowan ‘My Boat’ Marshall, but I’m doing my best, okay?)

In basically irrelevant news, Pearce Hanley is back, retiring Carlton champion Dennis Armfield has been dropped (to James Brayshaw’s dismay), Josh Caddy is out for the year (remember when we were all going to start him?) and Tom Hickey has finally recovered from the towelling Bellchambers gave him a few weeks ago.

Anyway, despite the instability of this week’s team news, at least this isn’t the wrap up of Parliament’s team news, where we seem to have a half a dozen outs. Although that’s a really low bar to jump over to be fair.

THE PATCH UP

I’m putting up the one smokie this week because ain’t nobody got trades left. Besides, this smokie is slightly too smokie, because it’s David Zaharakis. I’d never suggest selecting Zacka for a full season, because contrary to all the evidence I don’t hate myself that much.

But, for a two week pinch-hitting role in your midfield, at 498k a bloke who loves the easier games with Fremantle and Gold Coast to come could be the lift you need to get over the line this year. Averaging 110 over his last 3 and 103 over his past 5, if you’re strapped for cash, he may be the way to go.

However with Tom Rockliff at 410k you’d be desperate – or stupid – to bring Zaharakis in.

HEY NOW, YOU’RE A DRAFT STAR

Well, I’m not, but the wonderful hoomans over in Higgo’s article are mind-bogglingly good at this thing. Fortunately, Fantasy Insider are mind-bogglingly fantastic, and have a lineup cruncher with oodles of statistics, and with their help, I’ve put together this lineup

PanicRoomRd22a

DraftStars Feature Contest

ENTER THIS WEEK’S COMMUNITY CONTEST HERE (BIG $ POOL)

ENTER THE FREE ACADEMY CONTEST HERE

As Higgo mentioned in his stunning analytics yesterday, Freo’s defence will come under fire, and as such I’m venturing in with Lachie Weller and Griffin Logue as value options. Nat Fyfe and David Mundy are locked in to cover the absence of Lachie Neale.

I’m not a fan of going in with Soldo, but my mega-midfield doesn’t leave me with much choice – besides, The Nank and Sean Darcy hardly fill me with confidence anyway.

Who are you going in with, community?

CAPTAIN McCAPTAINFACE

Patrick Dangerfield VC.

Dustin Martin C.

Other options involve Rory Sloane at the Adelaide Oval tonight, however, I’d be cautious of Sloane getting a good work-over from the Swans, like they did with Jason Johanissen a while ago. Zachary Merrett against the Suns could be a good choice, and Matthew Kruezer against Big Boy could go very large indeed.

Otherwise, there’s also Tom Mitchell. Anyone else going with someone left-field this week?

GOOD LUCK this week, community. Tear them a new one in the do or die prelim finals, while I’ll tear old mate Throttlefinger apart in my Draft league final.

 

 


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Tony

Hi Patch. Thanks to you all for your great work during the year. I've only got two trades left but still have GAJ and Jelwood. Mid bench cover is Witherden and Mountford. Thinking of trading in MCrouch or Dusty and either Hanners Rocky or Billings. In my main league my opponent has Dusty. Appreciate your thoughts Patch

Patch

Thank you for reading, Tony! Think you're going to have to need to cover Dusty, Tony. At the risk of being blown out of the water if he goes huge. Alongside him Rockliff seems to be the way to go, unless you've got enough cash for someone better

Raw_Tiger

Love ya work Patch.
I'm calling this week "Super Loophole Week' … with only 1 trade left I have to use that on Jelwodd –> Kelly to save my mid-field. With 5 trades spent on avoiding donuts over the past 7 games, my team is somewhat sub-premo .. so the loophole has to cover my inadequacies. but 'cos Lyin hasn't done his old trick of dropping in-form rookies … I cant loophole my DEF, so have to pick between Ryan, Lloyd or Cox on field. Leaning toward Lloyd.
Looping Witherden and SPP in the MID and Dahl and Greenwood up FWD.

In 5 Prelims … 2 of 'em Cash leagues ..

Patch

Jakey Lloyd I take it? As Lek pointed out on twitter this week, Nic Newman missing should help Lloyd's score so I'd pop him onfield. Like the loops mate – good luck for the cashies!

Brycey

Hey patchy tossing up over gunston or daniher. What are your thoughts old son?

SC_Kev7

Daniher will teach those kids a lesson

Brycey

i hope you are right kev

Patch

Not going to lie, every time I see Joe scramble up some bastard like a stepladder (cc. Jake Carlisle) I get aroused. There's nothing quite like screaming DANIHERRRRRR! live at the footy. He's hunting for the Coleman and the Dons will feed it to him – with two easier games I'd be backing him in, but would have all my fingers and toes crossed while doing so.

(and I am going to look very closely at starting him in 2018)

Brycey

im tending to agree. i sold myself on gunston early in the week but heading towards the giant beanstalk. im hoping to ruin the inside of my trousers on saturday night

Simo

Who would you start as D6 out of Luke Ryan or Rance?
cheers

Patch

Rance, Simo. Should peel off Freo forwards

SC_Kev7

I'd go Ryan, Simo. Tigers smalls won't hold him accountable in the air. As Patch said in his Draftstars section, the ball should be in his area a lot

Patch

Going to have to disagree, the ball was up his end a lot last week and he still only managed 32. Doubt he'll score that little again this week but he's far more of a risk than Rance for mine.

frogger

Rance, no strong KPF to mind and won't come up against someone as tactically aware as Harry Taylor this week. Over the long haul, back your premos in to outscore the rookies, I reckon. It's the percentage play.

Stirlsy

Would like to thank u for all your input throughout the year Patch,always a laugh reading yr stuff.
I'v got 5 the same as you in DS Goodluck with Mundy a real brave pick, don't think many will go with him so he could work out to be a good POD 4 ya
If Graham gets a gig ill be pulling my team apart i think, 50 bucks short of a str8 swap.
I went to church last nite to pray Witherden plays but had no idea how to do it so i asked a few ppl and got told i had to kneel down, well i was out of there very quickly, I don't get on my Knees for anyone not even Gaz's dad.

Patch

Thank you Stirlsy! Hoping that leads me at least part of the way to doing well on Sunday!

Wise moves in church mate!

Mograt

Need only to cover a potential doughnut from Neale. I have one last trade and have narrowed my choices to :

1. Kruezer. By 2 dpps I can bring in the big fella and plop Ryder up front. This will give me coverage via Strandica if the big K is rested next week.

2. Josh Kelly As a straight swap for Neale.

As things stand I have bench cover for backs (Ryan) and fwds (shoenmakers). But nothing for mids or Ruck. Kreuz gives me the Ruck cover but Kelly has more to play for and barring a disaster is guaranteed of playing next week as well.

Any chance Kreuz gets rested ? Who has the greatest scoring potential over the next two rounds?

I appreciate any thoughts comments.

Mograt

Patch

Kreuzer has a better run that Kelly, so that and the flexibility have me leaning towards Kreuz

Mograt

Thanks Patch i' m locking in the Kruez

TheGreatBozza

The Panic room has been my guidance all season, so I'm hoping it can steer me through my preliminary final:

3 trades, $150k

DEF: Adams, Doc, Laird, Howe, Shaw, Junker (LOOP) (Schaz, Ryan)
MID: Dangerfield, Martin, Mitchell, Fyfe, Bont, Treloar, Neale, J.Lloyd (Selwood, Cousins, Deluca)
R: Gawn, Ryder (Grundy)
FWD: Macrae, Heeny, Yeo, Dahl, Nank, Greenwood (Cameron, Bolton)

Any ideas of some trades? My FWD line is weak but I've got issues with Selwood & Neale I need to clear up.

Option 1:
Neale > Crouch
Selwood > Rocky
Swing Lloyd to DEF and don't play a loophole

Option 2:
Neale > Crouch
Hold trades, suss out the round and upgrade later on if need be

Option 3:
Selwood > Crouch
Hold trades, no money left

Option 4:
Selwood > Rocky
Nank > Any premo FWD

Thoughts?

Rick Grimes

1. Go for broke.

Patch

4, but instead of any premo forward swing Ryder down and bring in Kreuzer

TheGreatBozza

If I did that I'd offload Grundy. No point in having Gawn, Grundy and Kreuzer next week!

Nat

1 trade left for a couple of cash leagues…thoughts on Grundy to Mummy or Martin? I feel Mummy has more chance of going large…

Rick Grimes

Mum

Patch

Agreed

Dan

Thanks Patch! I've loved reading the Panic Room all year!
I was wondering, who do you think I should loophole with Nank in the forward line out of: Greenwood, Buddy (both up and down), or JJK (only scored 56 against GWS earlier in the season)?

Patch

Thanks Dan! Would go with Greenwood personally. Good luck mate!

*EDIT* actually, no. Go a Buddy loop

John

Who do u reckon will score more over the next 2 weeks; Danniher or Sicily?

Rick Grimes

Dan

neil Demons Delight

Daniher easily

Patch

*BT voice* DANIHERRRRR!

Sam

Go for Sicily mate, Joe only has 2 tons in last 11

Rick Grimes

What are our thoughts on Spuddy? Has gone one big, can we expect one small? I can loophole him or Greenwood.

Patch

Spuddy Franklin? Crows will do a good job shutting him down, I'd loop him

Doc

Last chance/last trade.

Big prelim this week.

Comes down to (me) Greenwood, J.cameron, Shaw, JJK, Zerrer, STEVEN + 1 more. V (opponent) Jacobs, J.Stewart, Nyhuis, Heppell, Murphy, Steele, Fyfe.

Can get anyone under 495k (any line through DPPs).
Billings, Rocky, Roberton, or any other suggestions.

Leaning towards Billings.

Patch

Like Billings more than Rockliff

Paul

Patch, Merrett or Zorko for Neale? On trade left…

Patch

Zerrett for mine, Pauly.

ahmad rubas

doc laird adams rance lloyd witherden (ryan scharenberg)
danger vc fyfe c kelly bont murphy parker treloar jpk (dahlhaus emg cunningham junker)
gawn mumford (strnadica)
macrae greene billings steele franklin nankervis (greenwood emg eddy)

2 trades i made this week was newman down to junker which allowed me to move witherden into the defence in place of ryan/scharenberg and stewart to billings which allowed me to swing dahl into mid bench and greenwood into fwd bench so i can loophole schaz dahl and greenwood. any better ideas for the trades i could make and any ideas on who to improve loopholes assuming macrae will outscore dahl and buddy will outscore greenwood.

Good luck for prelim finals everyone

JAL

I need captaincy advise – Merrett, Mitchell, Danger or Zorko?? Think my opponent will go Mitchell so could either just cancel out his score or go the POD and use Merrett and risk it for the biscuit… Thoughts??

jamiem

Danger

Patch

Danger for mine

JAL

Even though Dangers history against Collingwood is not great? Think he scored a 65 on them in round 6 this season…? Collingwood have been tough to score on for in the last few weeks as well :/

Russty_

If you have Danger…VC someone else and unless they knock out a 150 for ya….Danger!!!! He is the man.

John

Who do I trade in for Selwood, has to be someone lower than $491k. Was thinking of either Hannebery or Gray, any suggestions?

Patch

Robbie Gray should be a force, I'd take him. Billings another option

John

cheers Patch by the way my opponent has Hannebery, don't know if that changes anything.

Jamiem

I have Hurley & Newman in the backline. Thinking I'll go Hurley to Docherty & Ryan comes onto the field. Alternatively I could trade Hurley out put Ryan & Witherden on the field & upgrade Nank or Dalhaus, thoughts?

inNout

1 trade left. Have neale and jelwood with greenwood as cover. 40k in the bank. Option 1. Keep neale and hope he comes back next week and trade jelwood to beams or rockliff. Option 2 trade neale to Kelly or Duncan. Thoughts lads ?

Joshua

1 trade left and 8k left
Options
1-Neale to Parker
2-Lynch to Rockliff (swing Brown forward) and keep Neale on bench hoping he comes back round 23
3- Cover with Lloyd and save trade

JAL

#2 The pig has been building and I think after last week he is back!!

Stirlsy

Talk getting around that Sloane is in doubt tonite

Maestro

VC on M Crouch into Danger? Or Swans too good to let him off the chain tonight?

neil Demons Delight

who to tag him

BrownlowBoy

Hewett

Josh

2 trades left and $88 k in the bank
Do I trade Selwood and lynch or Selwood and Neale?
Current midfield
Danger, Kelly, Bont, Fyfe, Merrett, Kennedy, Neale, Selwood (witherden as cover)
Current forward line
Kennedy, yeo, macrae, Dahlhaus, Heeney, nank

Lisa

2 trades left, and have both Neale & Lynch to get rid of, and no cash to help. Looking at Neale to Beams & Lynch to Buddy. Current mids are Danger, T Mitchell, Bont, Fyfe , Merrett, Parker & Treloar with Greenwood only playing bench cover. Fwds are Macrae, Yeo, Ryder, Dahlhaus & Heeney, with C Brown as bench cover.

Other option is I could trade in D Martin, M Crouch, Zorko, Kelly, Oliver or Duncan, but would have no money to spend on a forward, unless I use Greenwood and trade in a rookie or S Reid? Which is the preferred option – Beans & Buddy, or a premium mid and cheap fwd?

Russty_

Beams and Buddy I reckon Lisa.

JohndJames

I have nothing to panic about,no changes to my team,my best players are all on the field,have two trades left,hoping to make a few grand finals.All the best to anyone playing in the preliminary finals this weekend.

Starlight

You sound like a smug Hardwick some weeks ago. Beware of the unexpected and good luck. I'm in six prelims and I am pooping my pants.

JohndJames

Sounding like Hardwick is a bit harsh,but fair enough,next week if I get there is when I will be nervous,good luck in your six preliminary finals Starlight.

Russty_

Yeah John…stop being so smug! hahah, well done mate, hope you smash all 6 of em 🙂

JohndJames

I did sound smug didn't I,first time for everything I guess,projected to win all 6,but I'll believe it when I see it.Good luck to you too Russty.

Russty_

If you've done well after this year's over mate, you have a right to be smug, not that I think you were haha

finnigin

ryan or loyd ,, which way to go ,, please sway me

Mischief man

With Newman out, Lloyd will get a bit more ball, however McVeigh has spoilt Lloyd's party. Ryan has been terrific but dreadful last week like most Dockers but will he bounce back? Don't know what Ross will do with him. If he is allowed to play loose he will go big, but perhaps teams are now watching him closer.

Russty_

Ryan had 2 big scores before his lousy 32 last week, I'd back him in to knock out another tonne.

Starlight

Hi Rusty. I have looped Hibberd – NM with Lloyd and Ryan. I think I will take Lloydy's 81 or should I field Ryan?

Russty_

Hi mate, I'm leaving Lloyd on the bench and Ryan and Witherden on-field, but that's just me, if you want to play it safer, leave as is.

SCDamien

Given the history of Danger's scoring against Collingwood, I don't want to give him the VC. If he goes huge then good for him, but I'd prefer to give the VC to someone like Tom Mitchell. I agree with the C going on someone in the Dockers/Tigers game, whether that's Fyfe or Martin remains to be decided.

Which 2 on field out of Scharenberg, Witherden and Lloyd?

Joshua

If Lloyd posts a solid score who should I take off in my backline
Shaw or Scharenberg?

Russty_

Shaw

Dusty_Spurs

Who should I start at D6 out of Luke Ryan, Heath Shaw and Alex Witherden? Can't loophole.

If I start Shaw or Ryan, I can loophole witherden with someone in the mids.

red5

Good question
I have the same problem.
Maybe Shaw

Dusty_Spurs

I was thinking that's the safest option with Witherden coming back from injury and Ryan pulling a 30 something last week.

Swans2012

Shaw

red5

What to do with Nank
2 trades and 30 k in bank

Cogla13

Nothing. Soldo is out this week so Nank might go big.

James

Hannebery or Robbie Gray??

Laurie

Final trade …Oliver, Crouch or Kelly for Selwood help please

Russty_

Crouch

Laurie

Thanks Russty appreciate your help

Russty_

No worries Laurie, he's averaging 132.7 last 3 games, hope it works out for ya.

jamie

Anywhere i can find projections for this week?

Looking at nank and j lloyd to roberton and C Dixon, or Billings and scharenberg amongst many trades. Also a few hawks as options.

Russty_

I'd probably hold on those 2 Jamie, if you think you can still win, Nank and Lloyd should score better tonight, Lloyd wasn't bad last week with 82. And Nank doesn't have Soldo to share points with this week.

Billings is a gun but Dixon is a spud.

Defying_Madness

I have to field one of Buddy or Greenwood. The other one will have the emergency and will be loopholed with Dahlhaus. Who should I start community?

Russty_

There's been some rain in Adelaide so that might limit tall forward's outputs.

Richard

I have Nank, Goldstein & Darcy as my rucks. Was going to bench Nank but Soldo is not playing. Have 2 big prelims! Who do I bench?? Any thoughts please?

Russty_

Reckon I'd bench Goldy with his recent form.

Shake n bake

Who should l loop Buddy or Greenwood?

Russty_

I think Buddy, scores or 42 and 65 before his 164 last week.

Shake n bake

Its the sort of game he just might stink it up!

Russty_

Could do…Crows defence is pretty good.

TheGreatBozza

Quick poll:
Crouch, Merrett or Rocky

Russty_

Crouch hands down 🙂

Tyruddanaut

M Crouch

Jamie

Nank or Darcy on the field?

Russty_

Nank should score better without Soldo in the team, 50-50 really.

Tyruddanaut

Is it too risky putting Kelly VC and Titch C even though their games are 3 hours apart

Russty_

Not at all, you'll have plenty of time to change the C as long as you're not out somewhere, gotta make sure you can too, with your bench and all. People can get caught out.

Dean

3 hours is plenty of time to decide whether your VC is worthy of taking it, I allow 2 hours and 20 minutes.

hedski

Yep ya need Danger.

Dean

Is Neale out for longer then 1 week?

Russty_

Not certain yet Dean but could be done for the year, as well as Hurley. I would trade if I still had him.

TOPHAWK1

Prelims…Here we go folks!!

Russty_

Echo…echo…echo…lol, not many around tonight Hawk, Sydney are looking pretty dangerous, hope this isn't a disappointing blowout.

hedski

Looking like its gonna be a cracker now crows coming back.

Defying_Madness

Tried to bench Heeney when I saw he was tagging before the bounce, but seven was slightly delayed…

Russty_

Bad luck with that…nice start from the Milkybar Kid!…not

TOPHAWK1

I think it is time for horse to relieve Heeney of his tagging duties against Sloane…….Lightweight vs lightweight. Sloane wins.

Let Zac Jones have a crack at Sloane.

Defying_Madness

Agreed Horse's little experiment is clearly not working.

Russty_

Heeney you bloody albino spud burger….do something!

Defying_Madness

Going backwards now this is disgraceful. Horse needs to let him do his normal thing

Russty_

Redeemed himself nicely with a respectable 91…well done Children of the Corn.

hedski

Vc,d Budwah, should a gone Sloanedog. Looking good so far, Bud, Parks, G'wood, Laird, Sloane. Lloyd on the loop. Bet I beat the pricks who knocked me outta semis last week.

Shake n bake

Poor Parker went from 79 to 75 as soon as the siren went dont know why.

hedski

Was lookin good at half time Shakes

Joshua

McVeigh has gone FWD, maybe some hope still left for Lloyd in this game

Russty_

Hopefully Heeney can redeem himself for something half decent too Josh.

Russty_

Cracking game now, this is how Friday night games should be.

hedski

Finals footy

Defying_Madness

Is it just me or has the umpiring been very questionable today?

hedski

Today?? Been crap all year DM

Defying_Madness

Good point

Russty_

They seem to be over umpiring, or under umpiring these days, probably too scared of the scrutiny they're under every week, and always confused about all the constant bloody rule changes.

Tyruddanaut

Absolute inconsistency, either the strongest bias that I've ever seen or mixed with a little bit of corruption. A bit suspicious since its at Adelaide.

Ja191

Mcveigh kills lloyds role/sc score

Russty_

Yeah Lloyd was ultra-reliable until that old bald prick came back in 🙂

Defying_Madness

Heeney ends up hitting 91 points for a massive half. Beat that spud Hanners who didn't get that half time drink. Don't think Hanners even got 20 points in that second half. Trading in Hanners over Martin when they both bottomed out will haunt my memories for years.

Derek

If you said at half time Heeney would outscore Greenwood, MCrouch and Hanners I would have suggested a nice long rest from super coaching.

Iamme

Great win by the swans, looked gone!

Russty_

I think they will win the flag, they have the best intensity, lost first 6 games and won 13 out of their last 15.

Iamme

Both were to the Hawks….weren't they?