NRL Supercoach Round 20 – Brutal
Those of us who’ve gone crazy with trading will now start to feel the heat!
Round 19 was a high scoring week but a handful of Guns won’t be taking the field for some time. Shaun Johnson and Trent Merrin are now instant trade-outs. They’re both likely to miss the remainder of the season but luckily they’ll supply you with plenty of cash for trading.
Josh Papalii will miss just a couple of weeks due to his grade two shoulder charge but owners shouldn’t be considering him as a trade option. Jake Friend has been ruled out until round 23.
Now that round 20 has arrived we should be fielding a full strength side on a weekly basis. This includes your four reserves so keep this in mind when doing your trades this week. If you can’t manage to achieve this by this weekend then expect your overall rank to take a hit.
PODs should also be considered but you’ll need to be careful when selecting which players are suitable. For example, I brought in James Roberts last week due to the Broncos’ favourable run home and Roberts’ proven SuperCoach ability. Don’t make the mistake of bringing in a low performing CTW simply because he has a favourable draw. It might pay off if you’re lucky but if they haven’t proven themselves already then you’ll be relying on consistent attacking stats.
I had a fairly good round last week; scoring 1359 and jumping 59 spots to 158th Overall. Unfortunately I’m one of the unlucky coaches that’ll have SJ as a NPR for the remainder of the season. This is the downfall with the tactic I use but luckily I can still field a strong seventeen with a couple of backups.
Roger Tuivasa-Sheck ($412.1k FB) has been supplying the goods in recent weeks but a couple of concerning factors have now come into play. Has he done his job or are we giving up too soon?
The Verdict: Let me start by saying that RTS shouldn’t be a priority trade for round 20. Most of us will have more pressing issues to attend to so he can easily be ignored for this week. The main concern with RTS is the absence of Shaun Johnson for the remainder of the season. SJ provided the foundation for most of the Warriors’ attacking plays and Tuivasa-Sheck benefitted both directly and indirectly from his brilliance. In saying this, we can easily test the waters when the Warriors play the Cowboys this weekend. Most of us have plenty of depth in our teams so you can simply leave RTS in your NPRs if you’re nervous about his output. Reassessing our stance on RTS in round 21 isn’t an issue.
The second concern is the wave of talent available in the fullback position. Keepers such as Slater and Teddy came with a little uncertainty through the bye period but have now launched themselves on to our trade radar with their regular schedule. Tommy Turbo and Munster are the other strong fullback candidates but I think they’re better used to strengthen your CTWs.
I guess what I’m trying to say here is to show a little patience when it comes to Tuivasa-Sheck. The Warriors will be playing the Knights, Bunnies, Tigers and the struggling Raiders (at home) through the final seven rounds so it’ll be worth seeing how he performs on Saturday night before making a decision. He’s a HOLD this week.
Michael Morgan ($446.2k FE) was traded in by 1.6% of coaches after his 147 point effort in round 17. Is he still a viable POD option after his dismal 20 points last weekend?
The Verdict: Many coaches will tell you that we can’t rule out a player after one poor performance. Putting aside last weekend’s effort, Morgan’s lowest score without JT was 41 points which makes him one of the more reliable halves on offer. Let’s not forget that quality in the halves is hard to come by now that JT and SJ have fallen.
Unfortunately that’s where the positives end. The Cowboys have played just one top four side since JT was ruled out. That was against the Sharks in round 11 where Morgan scored a respectable 57 points. There’s no denying that Morgan needs the attacking stats to produce a respectable score and I’d be extremely worried with Morgan’s output considering the Cowboys’ difficult run home. Morgan may score well in rounds 20 and 25 but I wouldn’t get your hopes up during the other five matches. I don’t see Morgan as a worthy candidate for your run home team.
Anthony Milford ($472.4k FE) was a late inclusion last weekend and scored an impressive 64 points. Is the Milf an attractive pick up or are we simply getting desperate?
The Verdict: Numerous coaches will be looking for a SJ replacement and Milford can be considered as a solid candidate. The one and only downfall with trading in Milford this week is his Break Even of 111. This simply means he’ll likely be around 20-30k cheaper for his round 21 clash against the Eels.
I guess it all depends on what situation you’re in at this stage of the SC comp. If you’re a SJ owner and only have one or two trades remaining then I’d be picking up Milford for the Broncos’ favourable run home. If you’re planning on trading two halves into your side between now and the end of the season, then I guess Milford can either wait or be ignored completely (at your own peril).
Whichever way you look at it, I’d highly recommend having Milford in your run home side.
Cameron Smith ($501k HOK) will probably be the most traded in player for round 20. He’s arguably a ‘must have’ player for your SuperCoach team due to the dominating stats he produces in the hooker position. He averages 12 PPG higher than his closest rival (Andrew McCullough) and comes with ridiculous consistency due to his high tackle numbers and goal kicking status.
Jake Trbojevic ($451.3k 2RF/FRF) needs to be considered if you’re looking to boost your forward pack. Thankfully the intensity of Origin is now behind him so we don’t need to worry about injury or fatigue as much. He has a season average of 70.7 PPG, DPP status and a very impressive work rate. These are the ideal characteristics when looking for a FRF/2RF Keeper so you can easily bypass the thought process, click his name and let the smooth flow of consistency commence.
Tyrell Fuimaono ($229.4k CTW/2RF) / Esan Marsters ($267.4k) / Matthew Eisenhuth ($215.3k 2RF) should all be on the chopping block over the next couple of weeks. You should prioritise SJ and Merrin due to their expensive price tags but make sure these three cash cows follow shortly after. They shouldn’t be appearing in your weekly seventeen and the money they’ve made will go to waste if you hold them for the remainder of the season.
Top 5 Break Evens
(Must have played 2 games and are named in the starting side this week)
Shaun Lane ($222.6k 2RF): -65
Luke Brooks ($274.7k HB): -21
Chanel Mata’utia ($156.4k CTW): -19
Nathan Cleary ($504.4k HB): -17
Bevan French ($293.6k FB/CTW): -15
Bottom 5 Break Evens
(Must have played 2 games and are named in the starting side this week)
Jordan Rapana ($465.7k CTW): 141
Alex Johnston ($369.4k FB/CTW): 128
Josh Dugan ($400.9k FB/CTW): 126
Josh McGuire ($345.8k 2RF/FRF): 121
Paul Vaughan ($382.6k FRF/2RF): 119
Team List Tuesday
Remaining Origin players have all been named
Trent Merrin/Shaun Johnson/Josh Papalii/Api Koroisau are all OUT
Andy Saunders dropped to the reserves
Connor Watson named as Michael Gordon’s replacement
Moses Leota named as Trent Merrin’s replacement
Young Tonumaipea named as Cheyse Blair’s replacement
Mason Lino named as Shaun Johnson’s replacement
James Roberts to crack 70 points against the Doggies
Michael Morgan to crack 70 points against the Warriors
Anthony Milford to average 70+ through the run home