NRL Supercoach Round 18 – Two Birds
Killing two birds with one stone will be your primary goal this week.
Trading for round 18 should be a fairly easy task. Thankfully there are few Keepers and potential Nuffies available for selection so we should be taking advantage of these opportunities. Don’t be tempted by risky Middies or low scoring Cheapies; they could cause a few dramas and are more trouble then they’re worth. I’m talking of course about the dreaded AE nightmares and the players that’ll cost you two trades. Obviously we’re not all in the same boat but most of us need to be careful with each and every trade.
Last week I mentioned that we need to know how our final team will look. This week is no different. I recommend completing your trades and knowing how your remaining trades will be used. Don’t assume that everything will simply fall into place. I speak from personal experience when I say that complacency may cost you a head to head final or a significant drop in overall rank through the final stages of the season.
I scored 1138 last week which saw me drop 25 spots to 169th overall. I’ll be fielding either 15 or 16 players this week so hopefully I can maintain that position. Good luck to everyone this week; this may be the final round you’ll experience a significant rise or drop in rank.
- Jordan Rapana ($525.3k CTW) has been the best SuperCoach player of 2017 but some owners are prepared to jump ship to strengthen their round 18 side. Is this a wise move?
The Verdict: Coaches can be excused if they decide to ignore the ‘never trade a keeper’ rule when it comes to Rapana this week. The Raiders seem to be on a downward spiral and Rapana will take the field in round 19 with a Break Even of 151. By no means am I saying he’s an ideal trade, although you could consider the thought if your team is in a specific situation.
Let’s not forget the significant positives. Just three of the Raiders’ final eight games are considered difficult so his scoring potential will be quite high on the run home. Rapana has cranked out four 100+ games this season and he has a ridiculous season average of 77.8 PPG. He is simply a scoring machine and you may regret leaving him out of your team for the closing rounds of the season.
Trading out Rapana should only be considered by those that either don’t want him in their run home side, or have excess trades and are willing to reassess after round 19.
- Curtis Scott ($253.2k CTW) has been a dream for those that traded him in prior to round 17. He’s just generated an outstanding $109.6k in one week and now has a Break Even of -66. Should we be considering him for round 18 if we don’t own him already?
The Verdict: Let me start by saying that there’s no right or wrong decision here. Obviously he was a much better pick up in prior weeks but I wouldn’t rule him out as a viable option for round 18. Given his exceptional output in his past three games, we’d have to expect a solid performance against the Eels this weekend. His Break Even of -66 is very appealing but it may not be worth two trades if he only has one more game in him.
This stage of the season is very cut-throat and we should be looking at how we can get the upper hand on our opponents. Scott is the ideal candidate for those that aren’t struggling with trades or even those that believe that he could replace Blair in the Storm’s starting side. Personally I think this will be his final match but others will disagree due to his impressive output. Proceed with caution. He’s a risky option that could prove beneficial.
- Cameron King ($132k HOK) seems to be a popular downgrade option due to the lack of quality hookers playing this weekend. Is he worth it or are we getting desperate for round 18 numbers?
The Verdict: Many of us will be looking for downgrade options this week but I don’t think King should be considered. Unless you own someone like Jake Friend or Api Koroisau as one of your hookers you may be better off running without one. King’s output comes with uncertainty and he managed just 30 points from his debut last weekend. Keep in mind that he’ll become an AE nightmare and won’t be worth the second trade to get him out of your team. You’ll be very lucky if he loses his spot and becomes a Nuffie.
- Api Koroisau ($363.6k HOK/FE) is another of the top ten most traded in players this week. Is he worth a shot or simply just a wasted trade?
The Verdict: Koroisau is a fairly good choice this week but he’s far from a safe option. I guess we can consider him a low risk trade for round 18 but he’s no stranger to scoring 45 points or less. This is probably the only negative but there are numerous reasons why we would consider the Manly hooker. He’s been playing 80 minutes for the past three weeks and averaging almost 60 PPG. He’s also a decent POD in the hooker position considering the only high averaging hooker playing his week is Jake Friend. We also need to remember that he isn’t simply a round 18 number. He will also play round 19 against the struggling Tigers and could even jag some attacking stats in round 20 against the inconsistent Dragons.
Koroisau is far from a Keeper so you may want to trade him out after his round 20 match. This brings another question to the table. Is he worth two trades if you’re going to use him for just three weeks? Like Scott, he may be more suited to those who have plenty of trades up their sleeve.
- Tom Trbojevic ($422.7k FB/CTW) will easily be the most traded in player for round 18. If you don’t own Turbo already then you simply need to bring him into your side this week. He has the stats of a Keeper, a Break Even below his average, DPP status and no more bye rounds ahead of him. The only concern at this stage is that he may be a late inclusion into the Origin side if Tedesco and/or Dugan aren’t fit to take the field. Their injuries are minor so I’d consider this an unlikely scenario. Just do it!
- Andy Saunders ($122.6k FRF/2RF) will play from the bench this weekend and is a great downgrade option if you need cash for Keepers. He’s there due to the absences of Graham, Klemmer and Jackson and should become a Nuffie by round 20. He’ll give you an extra number for this weekend but the Bulldogs are on a bye in round 19.
- Esan Marsters ($250.3k 2RF) will probably be the most traded out player this week. His Break Even is 23 and he isn’t expected to generate significant coin over the coming weeks. The Tigers are on a bye this weekend so Marsters is the ideal candidate if you’re looking at showing players the door. I don’t think it’s worth holding Marsters for round 19; there are plenty of Keepers available who will take the field that weekend.
Top 5 Break Evens
(Must have played 2 games and are named this week)
Curtis Scott ($253.2k CTW): -66
Alex Johnston ($337.3k FB/CTW): -37
Nathan Ross ($290.3k CTW): -13
Brodie Croft ($229.3k HB/FE): -8
Raymond Faitala-Mariner ($194.7k 2RF): -5
Bottom 5 Break Evens
(Must have played 2 games and are named this week)
Matthew Moylan ($489.7k FB/FE): 135
Isaah Yeo ($407.1k CTW/2RF): 133
Tohu Harris ($361.8k 2RF/CTW): 126
Aidan Guerra ($359.8k 2RF): 114
Martin Taupau ($455.1k 2RF/FRF): 105
Team List Tuesday
State of Origin players won’t play
Tyrone Peachey replaces Whare in the centres
Mitch Rein is named at hooker
Lewis Brown is out injured
Cheyse Blair has returned from injury (this may be Scott’s final game)
Cody Walker to crack 70 points against the Chooks on Friday night
Matthew Molyan will struggle to crack 60 points against the Sea Eagles
Nathan Brown to score 75+ against the Storm