Round 13 Supercoach Panic Room
I’M GOING DOWN WITH THE SHIP.
There’s only one way Nathaniel Fyfe will turn his form around in 2018, and that’s if some poor bastard takes one for the team trades him out.
I look out at you all, bright eyed and bushy tailed, still with spring in your step and hope glinting in your eyes. I can see the corner of your lips creeping up, relishing the calculations, who to bring in and when to cull the few remaining cows.
All of that is gone for me. Worn down by wave after wave of injury, suspension, poor rookie selections and even worse premium ones (I’ll never live down trading Tex Walker in at 480k and then Jarrod Hardbrow for bye support).
My season will die so yours can live – for at 7.40pm on Thursday night, when teams are finally locked out – SuperCoach HQ will send that fateful text to Nathaniel Fyfe: “Patch has traded you out – start tearing the competition to shreds.”
And you know who I traded him for? Scott. Bloody. Selwood.
I traded Nat Fyfe to Scott Selwood this week.
Supercoach is now just an outlet for my self loathing
— Patch (@PatchToTheMax) June 15, 2017
Literally every player in Supercoach has the bye this week. Some of us down to 13 players, and with guys like JJK, Harbrow and Ed Vickers-Willis missing. When it rain, it pours, and it’s well and truly raining for some this week.
Jack Steele has been dropped by the Saints, in the big news of the round. I have to say I’m puzzled, and feel there must be more to this story than what’s floating around. Nick Riewoldt is back, however, which is provided much-needed relief to my flailing side. Still no Nathan Freeman, either. For any poor sod still holding onto Declan Mountford, he’s rewarded you – he is back for the injured Ed Vickers-Willis, who is out for 6-8 weeks and will need to be traded. For the love of god, however, do not bring Mountford in if you need a downgrade option. Former rookies Dan Houston and Sam Petrovski-Seton are back this week, but I mean if you’ve got them, you’ve probably forgotten to check your team for a few weeks.
There are also rumours swirling from the Herald Sun that Dustin Martin is in some doubt for the weekend’s game against Sydney, but I’m not sold on that news. Jake Carlisle is in more serious doubt for the Saints, with some suggesting father-son rookie Bailey Rice may debut. He’s a 123k defender who had glandular fever and a broken finger interrupting his 2017.
THE PATCH UP
The question of the week is surrounding the trading of Nathaniel Fyfe. I’m going to get it a million times in the comments, so I’m going to answer it here: Should we trade Fyfe? No. No we should absolutely not. “But Patch, you traded him! Why can’t we?” I hear you ask. First off, following my lead this season is a bad idea. I have hardly made a good trade this year. Because of this, my rank is appalling, so I traded Fyfe out intending to set up several shark moves in the coming weeks. Safe to say due to Scooter Selwood’s injury, this plan has gone very tits-up, but nonetheless, I was making a low percentage play as a last roll of the dice. Trading Fyfe is not a safe move. The fact Freo have revealed he’s battling rib problems indicated Fyfe is likely over the issue – announcing it will only lead to players elbowing him in the ribs more. So between that and his bye, Fyfe will return to form. Maybe not the form of 2015, but something resembling form. I took a gamble that he won’t, despite me suspecting he will. So my advice is to hold, but I’m not going to tut-tut if you move him on.
HEY NOW, YOU’RE A DRAFTSTAR
Last week’s plan was to pick a side – in this case, Collingwood – and hope they ran over the top of their opponents. Instead, we saw a 4-point margin tearing my plan to shreds. However, the winning side Popette had a 6-3 split of Collingwood to Melbourne players, so maybe I had the right idea, just the wrong players.
Higgo was talking about the contrarian strategy in his marvellous article yesterday, and I’ve tried to apply some of that to my selections for this week. I think it’ll be a close contest, and while I reckon Melbourne will get up, I’m not going to stack my side one way or the other.
I’m hoping enough of these gentlemen provide a nice point of difference to roost me up the rankings, while I’m taking a punt Jake Stringer will have a big game at value price – he’ll be a popular pick, but if he goes big and I miss out, I’m no hope. Ditto Nath Jones, who’s been a standout performer over the past month and is this match’s Dangerfield – you can’t not have him.
EVERYTHING’S DIGGING UP MILHOUSE
Pretty much all the relevant rookies this week are having their bye, which hurts us.
Everything’s coming up Milhouse
-55 – Luke Ryan
-45 – Jono Beech
-13 – Declan Mountford
-9 Scott Selwood
-8 – David Cunningham
-2 – Jake Spencer
1 – Hugh Greenwood
3 – Matt Scharenberg
3 – James Stewart
4 – Shai Bolton
5 – Ben Ainsworth
9 – Brennan Cox
11 – Tom Stewart
In the same vein, there aren’t a huge amount of high breakevens this week to keep an eye on, but the obvious one to watch here is Jake Lloyd. If we see a score under 80, we’ll see Lloyd under 400k, which is very, very tasty.
DIG UP, STUPID
162 – Jake Lloyd
147 – Paddy Cripps
145 – Tom McDonald
142 – Marc Murphy
138 – Dan Hannebury
136 – Jason Johannisen
133 – Alex Rance
Hopefully everyone had the VC on Paddy Dangerfield last night and have taken his 140 points right to the bank. If you didn’t, I’m not sure how you’ve buggered that one up. Especially as we’ve got so few options for the rest of the round. The Bont has been in shocking form, but is still predicted to hit 112, which he did last time he played the Dees. However, his record against them isn’t great.
— Barron Von Crow (@BarronVonCrow) June 14, 2017
I feel like we haven’t seen enough form from Josh P. Kennedy to back him in as captain this week, even though his stats against Richmond are very good historically. I’d look to the Bald Genius Gary Ablett if you have him, and Matty Kreuzer or Sam Docherty if you need a sneaky POD.
I pray you all have a better weekend than I know I’ll have, but that bar is so low it might as well be hoping you have your worst Supercoach weekend of the year – so have a great weekend and let’s send these f^@&ing byes off with a bang!
See you in the comments, community!
Twitter : @PatchToTheMax