The JR Academy – Week 3
The Academy – Week 3
1. The Academy Community Ladder & Teams after Week 2
This will be updated weekly, only showing the cumulative point score of the Top 20 place holders. All will be tracked so long term performance can be monitored.
Those who prove successful in their Draftstars gamesmanship are encouraged to contribute their strategic wisdoms within this post – don’t be shy, The Academy needs your input!
An Academy tie for first place in Week 2! Well done to teams Popette and AnthonySmith. As discussed in this week’s podcast, the winning move for both teams was to NOT start with the rookie priced Callum Brown. Brown started in just over two thirds of the competition. While not starting him was a risk, it was a risk that actually increased the chances of success! This is known as the contrarian strategy.
Below I have linked a excellent article written by the great DPWoodford, founder of www.fantasyinsider.com.au and highly successful DFS player, outlining the contrarian DFS strategy;
Congratulations also to our current Top 20 Academy performers and in particular, team TheTeletub. I would like to hear from these teams in the comments; Have they employed certain selection strategies? Do they have their own ranking systems? Have skills gained via SuperCoach been relevant to this game?
Contributions are key to the success of this academy as we are all very much in the learning phase in our DFS journey.
2. Interrogation of the Player Score Projection Tool – “DOM”
Using www.fantasyinsider.com.au as a comparison, as expected DOM was beaten by the Fantasy Insider projections in Week 2 – the score now is DOM 1 v Fantasy Insider 1.
DOM’s forecasts last week were on average just under 1 point worse than those projected by Fantasy Insider.
For further information and to sign up for a free trial visit www.fantasyinsider.com.au
3. Analysis of the Performance of Team Peter_Higgo
A better result this week for my, team finishing in the top 25% of competitors. I am improving and have learnt already of the importance of Risk V Reward gamesmanship. See below for my lineup that will be focused on a more contrarian strategy.
4. Week 3 DOM Player Projection for Sunday’s Free Academy Game – MEL v WBD
For numeric input detail relating to DOM (Draftstars Optimisation Machine), please visit The Week 1 JR Academy post.
[table id=46 /]
5. Comparison of MEL v WBD predictive scores as delivered by DOM against an established forecasting model
Using forecasts as supplied by www.fantasyinsider.com.au, DOM performance data will be routinely checked against Fantasy Insider’s forecasting model and adjusted post-round as required.
[table id=47 /]
6. Apply DOM forecasts and key selection strategies to finalise a weekly contest lineup for Sunday’s FREE Academy Game – MEL v WBD.
IMPORTANT NOTE: Given that each week this post will be uploaded PRIOR to final team selections, potential updates will be re-posted following the release of squads.
Risk V Reward – Here I come! I forecast this lineup to either do very well or very poorly. This is the nature of the contrarian lineup.
I am going without Nathan Jones and Todd Viney who, in terms of premium selections, I expect to be quite popular. This has enabled me to go in with a mid-priced spend. Players such as Suckling, Bugg and Oscar McDonald should prove relatively unique selections.
I will leave the JR Academy Community to discuss the pros and cons of the above lineup – consider it, challenge it, and by all means BEAT IT IN THIS MONDAY’S ACADEMY CONTEST!
I wish you well for Week 3 and look forward to continuing to share in my explorations in the weeks to come.
Peter J Higginbotham