NRL Supercoach Round 15 – Is It Time To Start ‘Nuffing Out’?
‘Nuffies’ are a crucial part of your run home side.
These are the players that are priced at bottom dollar and are highly unlikely to take the field this season. Not only do they allow you to free up as much cash as possible, but they also help you to avoid any AE nightmares (low scoring players that prevent you from using the controversial loophole effectively).
Nuffies are fairly easy to identify. They’re the players that haven’t appeared in the teams’ 21 man squads this season and won’t be first called upon if an injury occurs. You can also take a look at the casualty ward to see which players are ruled out for the remainder of the season.
Round 15 is a good time to start trading in these players. Many of us have fewer than 16 trades remaining so we’ll need to think about which keepers and nuffies are suitable for our teams. Don’t be tempted to offload your big bye round players for nuffies though, even if they’re considered a mid or low-range scorer. They could cost you a head to head win or maintaining your overall rank.
The Storm, Eels and Rabbitohs are the three teams playing rounds 15 and 18 so make sure you have any Keepers from these three teams. The Tigers, Dragons, Cowboys, Titans and Sharks also have fairly good coverage for the remainder of the Origin period. They may not play round 18 but they’ll be available for rounds 16 and 19.
I scored a woeful 1052 last week (thanks Captain Taumalolo). I’ve now dropped to 290th overall and I’ll need to use my final 12 trades effectively. Twelve trades seem a bit low at this stage but I use this tactic every season to keep all my NPR slots productive throughout the opening stages of the season. I normally run out of trades by round 21 but I always have a few back-ups at the ready in case injuries strike.
- Jarrod Croker ($368.7k CTW) has a three round average of 45 PPG and isn’t available for either of the final big bye rounds. Should Croker owners persist for the remainder of the season?
The Verdict: I’m a Croker owner myself and I’m seriously considering him as a trade option this week. I absolutely hate his upcoming draw (BYE, Broncos, Cowboys, BYE, Dragons, Storm) and we need to remember that all these teams should be at full strength. Coaches that don’t own Croker could consider him for the run home but owners are faced with a much tougher decision. Should we risk a run of potentially low scores? I’m not keen. He’s a SELL!
- Cameron Munster ($396.2k FB/CTW) has now dropped below $400k but still comes with a high break even of 77. Is it worth trading him in considering his three round average is only 48.3 PPG?
The Verdict: It’s a little concerning that Munster has scored a 37 and 31 point game in the last three weeks. It’s also worrying that the Storm will be up against the Roosters, Broncos and Raiders in their next five matches and their run home draw is far from favourable. His appeal is his high scoring potential along with his bye coverage but I don’t think these factors are enough to justify the high number of coaches trading him in this week.
There’s a high possibility he’ll score well against the under-strength Cowboys this weekend but I fear his average for the remainder of the season could be lower than some are expecting. Don’t rule him out but he’s far from a ‘must have’.
- Tuimoala Lolohea ($254.6k CTW/FB) seems to be one of the popular trade options this week. Is he a viable option or are we simply wasting a trade?
The Verdict: Lolohea has a number of appealing factors and we can’t rule him out as a trade option completely. His obvious appeal is his low break even of five and his 57 PPG average since moving to the Tigers. He also comes with a fairly cheap price tag so we can consider him a low-risk option. Let’s not forget he’ll be available for rounds 15, 16 and 19 so there’s no shortage of positives when looking at the Tigers’ five-eighth.
The downsides are minimal but they could have huge consequences. He’s more than capable of scoring poorly so he could become an AE nightmare if you decide to hold him for the run home. I don’t think he’s worth two trades if you’re planning to offload him after round 19; he isn’t a player you’d bring in for just five rounds. Consider him if you’re blessed with plenty of trades or you think he’ll maintain his 57 point average.
Anthony Milford ($480.8k FE) is out for up to six week but we’ll need to tread carefully. He’ll be a valuable player for our teams upon his return and he’ll more than likely score well for the remainder of the season. We simply have two options; hold and hope or get rid of him immediately. I’d hold if you can work around him but that’s a lot of coin that could be put to better use.
Nathan Brown ($365.3k FRF/2RF) is a solid base performer that now comes with a cheap price tag due to his recent 21 minute stint in round 11. He’s very hard to ignore and will provide a nice boost to your scores in rounds 15 and 18. Just be wary that he won’t play rounds 16 or 19 and giving him Keeper status is highly debatable.
Gareth Widdop ($440.5k FE/HFB) was a popular trade option last week but his 21 point effort against the Doggies was a complete shock. There’s no point offloading him if you’re an owner and he should still be considered if you’re looking at a Milford replacement. Keep in mind that the Dragons have a very favourable draw and Widdop will add to your numbers for rounds 15, 16 and 19.
Jarrod Wallace ($338.4k FRF/2RF) has been one of the better base performers but he won’t be available for rounds 15 or 18. My advice is simple. He shouldn’t be considered if you don’t own him already but owners don’t need to make a conclusive call just yet. Just remember that he’ll add to your numbers for rounds 16 and 19 and you can make a call once the bye period is over.
Top 5 Break Evens
(Must have played 2 games and named this week)
Dale Copley ($202.2k CTW): -27
Esan Marsters ($122.6k 2RF): -21
Luke Lewis ($271.6k 2RF): -14
Malakai Watene Zelezniak ($157.2k CTW): -8
Gerard Beale ($200.5k CTW): -5
Bottom 5 Break Evens
(Must have played 2 games and named this week)
Tim Lafai ($524.8k CTW): 151
Corey Norman ($352.2k FE/HFB): 117
Gareth Widdop ($440.5k FE/HFB): 107
Taane Milne ($241.6k CTW): 101
Cody Walker ($318.1k FE/FB): 99
Team List Tuesday
State of Origin players won’t play
Tyrell Fuimaono is named in the second row
Tohu Harris is named at centre
Ryley Jacks will play in the halves
Kenneath Bromwich will start in the second row
Brandon Smith will come from the bench
Kurt Capewell is named in the centres
Malakai Watene Zelezniak is named on the wing
Tuimoala Lolohea to average 50+ through the remainder of the season
Jordan Rapana to average under 60 PPG in his next 4 matches
Ryan James to crack 80 points this weekend