SuperCoach RD12: LekDog’s Cheat Sheet
G’day Community and welcome to a Lyon-anger-fueled Cheat Sheet.
In what can only be described as expected, Ross has boned us with yet another late out for Sandilands in Round 11 and a subsequent ruling out of the big man for Round 12. Couple that with the coming Fremantle bye and I am absolutely done with Ross the Boss and his complete lack of respect for fantasy footy.
The way I see it is we need to move Sandi especially if you’re struggling to field a Round 13 side, we can upgrade him to a Martin or a Kreuzer, hold another week for Goldstein or use some DPP to turn him into a forward gun. I prefer the third option as it basically ensures you’re getting two weeks of premium scores on-field.
Other small dilemmas we have are a lack of rookie downgrade options, we have Cousins and Scharenberg but we also have Dallas Willsmore who has a great name. He isn’t in the Cheat Sheet (mostly because I forgot about him until right now) but also because he’s had poor job security over the last couple of seasons. Wait for team sheets as he might end up being our only downgrade option for the week.
In other news I brought in Robbie Gray as a YOLO P.O.D on the weekend and he scored 44…as my vice-captain…so maybe stick to the players in the sheet and not the speculative picks I talk about in my writing…
Finally thanks to Higgo’s article and of course Fantasy Insider I was able to come 14th in one of my Draftstars matches over the weekend. I didn’t win any cash but it certainly helped my interest in the Freo v Pies game.
Make sure you get around the free Jock Reynolds Academy game on Monday between the Pies and the Demons!
ENTER FREE HERE
AS always, I’ll see you in the comments although there are so many of you now that it’s getting harder to respond to everyone.
Thankfully we have some great community members helping each other out down there, keep it up you bloody champions!
CLICK HERE TO TUNE INTO THIS WEEK’S PODCAST – A MUST LISTEN
GREEN= Buy, buy, buy!
ORANGE = Hold
RED = Get rid of em
I’ll be floating around the website commenting throughout the byes so come and have a chat.
Cheers, Lekdog.
Thanks to our supporters Fantasy Insider, the home of the #1 tools for Australia’s fantasy elite
Hanging on to Stewart and Parsons as warm bodies for round 13 might be more useful to some.
Nice job on the cheat sheet Lek.
Holding Stewart, Parsnip to Lynch.
This good
Nice, makes sens if you aren't desperate for players and whatnot. I'm borderline on Parsons because I think I only have 19 players next week before any injuries or ommissions
Sandy to English
Teia miles to cousins
Otten to docherty
(Leaves me with $250k)
or should I wait on docherty and trade in hibberd?
Get Doch in any way you can, James. Price hasn't been below 570k all year
My backline is Adams, Laird, Simpson, Shaw, Newman and Otten before trades, if you wanted to know.
I obviously really want Docherty but i think having a good amount of cash is important too. Trading hibberd in instead of doch leaves me with $377k and I was hoping to trade Newman to Lloyd the week after. So is it worth getting hibberd or no?
I would trade Newman to doc this week and otten to Lloyd next week. Playing it safer re breakevens
I like the Wedge suggestion
Miles isn't far away from a game. Had his first run last week in VFL after hurting his knee. Hold him if you can
Can't believe I selected Rance over Williams last week, better not bite me for the rest of the year….
Any other rookie defenders on the radar other than Ryan over the next few weeks – waiting for Berry / Stewart to make a bit more cash before turfing them.
Otherwise just Myers to Cousins for me this week and hold SPP and Barrett to go one up one down in a week or two.
Not really
Fremantle's Cox will debut this week. Def/Mid
Wonder if he'll take Ryan's spot?
Thanks Lekdog! I consider this permission to bring in Rockliff. All or Nothing ! Welcome you injury prone pig.
Rocky, Rocky, Rocky……..
Thinking of rolling the Rocky dice as well lads
I like it!
With the 'All' in my 'All or Nothing' equation amounting to slightly more than sweet FA the Rocky move for me is of little risk in an already injury-decimated season. If we go down, we go down fighting together!
Nice work Lekdog.
Sandi has to go. 13 trades and $20k.
D: Doc, Laird, Simpson, Shaw, Scharenbeg, Stewart (Rance, EVW);
M: Hanners, Sloane, Pendles, Treloar, JPK, M.Crouch, Fyfe, SPP (Cousins, Danger, Pickett);
R: S.Martin, Sandi (Nank);
F: Dahl, Franklin, Heeney, Greenwood, Parsons, Bolton (Eddy, Stnadica).
Considering:
Stewart, EVW & Sandi to
Hibberd, Lynch & Ryan.
Provides bye cover next week, though will lose DPP swing in rucks. Thoughts????
just and idea, downgrade parsons to a cheeap forward-ruck, and switch hime for nank
Nice idea but doesn't get me enough cash for the 3rd trade.
This is literally the exact same plan as mine and I have the exact same concern re no ruck cover/
Get rid of Berry or Stewart? Stewart's be is lower but has bye this week, I got more than enough bodies for this round however
How is RD13 looking for you? If you're low on players then hold Stewart and trade Berry.
Actually wouldn't matter, Berry already had his bye, Don't trade Stewart yet though he still has good cash to make.
If you have to get rid of one, Berry
should i settle for hibberd or roberton or should i be going out of my way to get docherty
You need Docherty. You just do.
Doch. Just a must have. Hoped he'd drop in price but it isn't happening. Matching it with gun mids. If your without him & playing a team with him you will notice. Just get it done
Doch
Anyone know when Gawn is back?
Still tossing up wether I should trade sandi out this week and swing nank into the rucks for a few weeks and incoming weeks trade out a fwd rookie to swing nank back into foward to pick up Gawn when he's ready
Any other suggestions?
i might upgrade nank to gawn afew weeks after gaw is back because his current breakeven is 213 and after a few weeks it will be back near 100
Round 16 or so
You need 2 price drops from Gawn & the earliest that will happen is by round 16-17
Torn on Sandiballs. Still reckon I'll hold this and go either Stefanovich if Archie gets the arse or Goldstein next week
Have you surveyed the options old mate. They suck. I think if you can cover him till round 14 the right play is to hold
have the big stef and sandi so my early year glee has turned to mid year pee 🙁
We have been very lucky this year with injuries and suspensions to key SC players. But they will come! Nank is the perfect cover. You know what the SC gods will do if you trade away that option!!
The best option is to hold (subject to your r13 requirements) and get Gawn over current options IMO
Good work Lekdog.
Already used one trade by going Sandi to Williams via DPP. 14 trades and 110K
DEF: Laird, Doch, Williams, Shaw, Simpson, Berry (Rance, Stewart)
MID: Pendles, Adams, Merrett, Bont, Oliver, Fyfe, SPP, Myers (Danger, Fisher, Freeman)
RUCK:Martin, Nank (Strnadica)
FWD: Macrae, Dahl, Steele, Greenwood, Pickett, Eddy (Yeo, Bolton)
Thoughts??
downgrade myers to cousins
That forward line………..
any good forward downgrade opions other than greenwood
Koby Stevens, Lynch from GC are both cheap and both I feel can avg 95-105 for rest of season
Agree with DavidSA.
Callum Brown
Decisons, Decisons, Decisions…..
DEF: Adams, Laird, Simpson, Shaw, Newman, Otten, (Rance, Berry)
MID: T. Mitchell, Neale, Pendels, Treloar, J. Kennedy, Fyfe, SPP, Barrat (Danger, {Picket, Miles)
RUCK: Sandi, Nank (Preuss)
FORWARD: Yeo, Ryder, Franklin, Reid (syd), Parsons, Greenwood (Eddy, Durdin)
obviously got horrid bench cover and thinking
Sandi, Reid Otten > Lynch, Hibberd and $473,100 to spend
Sandi, Reid, Newman > Lynch, Docherty and $389,400 to spend
Or any other ideas you guys have
Cheers
Sandi Ried and Otten (has bye next week)
(He's also got a big BE for his scoring) downgrade to whom though, or grab a mid price forward and ride the wave
Lynch, Greene or Wallis?
Lynch, although it'll be a roller coaster
thoughts:
IN: docherty, rockliff, cousins
OUT: newman, fyfe, taranto
by doing this i will be fielding 20 scoring players this week (pickett and hibberd would make 22)
and the following week 17 scoring players (pickett and hibberd would make 19)
Don't trade Fyfe this week, give him another chance
My backline at the moment :
Adams, Laird, Simpson, Shaw, Newman, Otten EMG Stewart, Berry
Trade out Otten and get:
Docherty – leaves me with $250k
Roberton – leaves me with $320k
Hibberd – leaves me with $377k
What to do?
John, you know what to do.
Derek he knows what to do
Go Hawks, He knows what to do
But will he do it?!
YES!
Going to take a wild guess and say take docherty?
Pay the price
My favorite comment of the year derek
Just do John John John do do John…
Don't think. Just Do.
It's pretty obvious John, you're flush with cash and you want the best….Zac Dawson is your man :)…err I mean Doch
Go the bloke whose worn indigenous jumper I bought at auction in his first year at the club…Docherty
What to do with Sandi
There are no reliable ruckman
Stranadica is as reliable as they come gets the same score every week
This is gold
I have the same dilemma Bont. The decent options present just as much risk. Lots keen on going to Kreuzer. One risk to another. That's how bad the landscape is
Ruckman have reverted back to usual ruckman scores.
Try to shift focus to improving other areas. We all have average Rucks.
Aim to get Mids all ultra premo with the money saved. That's my plan.
I reckon Kreuzer's the go BONT, or if you want to save money, go for your mate Roughead, now that Boyd's injured…he'll be lone wolfing it.
I have traded Sandi to Macrae via DDP and left Nank and Martin in ruck. When Gawn comes back, I will see if I can get him and put Nank back in the fwd line.
Toby Greene or T J Lynch
Save the coin and go Lynch
Lynch so damn cheap
Get j kelly or rocky in this week?
Rocky Has had his bye and a few extra weeks off with his shoulder, is a POD / PIG JUST PICK HIM!!
If your in trade surplus pick Rocky. If not don't do it. If your keen on Rocky you need to set aside 5 trades a season for him
Rocky, more data on him to show he's a gun
Hey guys Roberton or Williams?
I like Roberton
T J Lynch or Hibberd
Hibberd
Hibberd for the lower breakeven
MACRAE OR WALLIS?
ROBERTON OR WILLIAMS?
SLOANE OR NEALE?
Macrae, Williams if byes not a issue and Neale as a Pod and consistent scorer
Mac, Roberton, Sloane.
Macrae, Roberton, Neale (yolo)
Roberton a serious chance to finish top 6 defenders?
Yes
hes top 3 atm isn't he? (average)
Did he overtake Laird last week? I think he's a strong chance to get there….if Hibb snr passes him, likely, and Llyod then yeah, top 6 likely, but there are few other smokies (pre-bye) out there like Howe/Tuohy/Harbrow/Williams/Shaw (Harbrow not technically a bye, yeah) or even Simmo (post bye) that could come home strong. Even money from here out, especially given he is post bye. So Yes, a serious bloomin' chance.
Yep that's why the Cheat SHeet jumped on him early #ourboy
In 3 trades i can go semi premo.
Trades are Sandi to Lynch, Taranto to Wallis, Stewart to Hibberd
Team will be
Docherty, Laird, Hibberd, Roberton, Rance, Howe. Newman Perryman.
Danger, Selwood, Selwood, Bont, M Crouch, Fyfe, T Mitch, Treloar. SPP, Berry, Myers.
Nank, Witt. Strndic
Dahl, JKK, Lynch, Steele, Henney, Wallis. Parsons Greenwood.
I will have 11 trades left for some upgrades. Should i pull the trigger, or wait for Macrae and get T Adams later?
Like the trades except Wallis.
Can I please have a few peoples opinions here really struggling with these decisions.
Roberton, Williams or Lloyd best defender for rest of year lads?
Sandi to who? Can get Kruezer or Martin?
Can push Nank into ruck and go for a forward? Which forward though if I do this? (Have Yeo, Macrae, Dahl, Heeney, Steele, Nank)
Cash no issue.
If Williams continues to play further up the ground he could be a really good option. He's damaging. I don't like Martin with Archie Smith around & Kruezer could snap in half getting out of his car. Hope that adds further confusion FTB. We are all in the same boat. Balls out gut based calls needed. Go with the Beard call. Pre concussion I really liked Lloyd's numbers. Consistent. If one of Carlisle or Brown get injured I fear Roberton would become a problem. Good luck mate
That's pieman is there a gun forward you would go instead if kruezer or Martin? Got Macrae Dahl yeo heeney steele nank( can move up)
I'd go Buddy. He's durable & can go very large
I'm with Pieman, Williams has looked very useful thru the middle and even pushing forward.
And I'd take a look at Ryder, gives you ruck cover and is playing well.
Roberton then Lloyd, push Nank to Ruck and bring in Lynch.
Anyone else got their opinion?
So far seems most think Roberton/Williams for D over Lloyd.
Franklin over Kruezer? Martin? Any other forward instead with Nank pushed to ruck?
Nank is such a handy backup for injuries etc. Sandiballs is really only out for 1 more week (then a bye) and should be good to go r14. So try and avoid sideways trading on him. Upgrade in the forward line. Dixon, in a firing and finals bound port lineup, will get plenty of opportunities to get 100+ output. And yes, Williams and Roberton over Lloyd. Lloyd will be bargain basement in r14 (around $420k) and can be looked at then as a luxury trade/handy bench loophole player in mid/def
If you don't take a ruck, you've gotta have a plan to get one…prolly Goldy next week. I agree that TJL, Buddy prolly a better pick than the rucks available this week. Can you make Goldy happen next week or Mummy rnd 14, or wait for Gawn rnd 16? If you go the forward plan, you need a ruck, who is going to be?
I would take Lloyd purely on consistency.
As for trading out Sandi I would suggest Mummy. Has a great average and low ownership. I think he actually has room to improve based on watching him this year.
I like Lloyd but wait a week, Martin if no Smith, otherwise wait for Goldy next week. If swinging Nank I'd look at Lynch (gcs) or Ryder
Zorko Neale Sloane or Selwood?? regardless of byes
zorko great value for price, i'd steer clear of sloane and – ablett and bont in a week could also be good trades
no way. for me its Sloane, selwood, neale then zorko.
Selwood, Sloane, Neale then Zorko. But arguments could be made for all of those players being a better pick than another.
Zorko I don't think we'll go as well if both Beams and Rocky are firing.
all of the above izzy
Selwood, Sloane, Zorko if smart
If yolo Zorko is your man
Ablett, Rocky or Bont ?
Bont if you want someone durable. Toss a coin on the pig scoring stuffed shoulder brothers. I'd like to get all of them personally but I don't think it will happen
that's my plan. got ablett, bont next week then rocky down the track.
Rockliff, Bont, Ablett.
Rocky has shown a tendency to come home strongly
Went Burton and Stewart to Ryan and Doc. Leaving my DEF looking like:
Laird, Adams, Doc
Tuohy, Hibberd, Roberton
thats an arousing backline my friend
Very solid Mavs
Beautiful thing that back line.
A vastly superior backline to mine
Newman holds his place. Always a nervous wait. Kurt Shitett finally booted. But no Darcy Cameron
And to think choosing Cameron on the bench over strndica meant I had Florent instead of Taranto. He's clearly not going to get a run this year.
That finger injury on the eve of the season has proved painful to owners. He was a certainty for round 1 prior to that. The ebbs & flows of this game
how this season could have gone if Cameron played R1
Hey lads, Selwood Neale or Zorko
dont worry about byes
selwood or wait til neale drops price cos his current B/E is 159 and i dont see him reaching that
Jelwood or Neale flip a coin
Jelwood
Jelwood, Having Dangerwood is great
Zorko
If getting this week, Zorko.
If you can wait until next, flip a coin between Neale and Jelwood (I'd probably pick Neale).
Community is Wallis the real deal or should i choose Macrae
McRae if you can afford it
History suggest MacRae is the better pick
Just look at Wallis' history. If you're a risk taker pick him, could pay off.
Go Macrae
I think it depends on whether Libba comes back into form. For now, Wallis is getting plenty of mid time, contested possessions and tackles. And Libba isn't playing.
MacRae has been getting the same reliable mid-90 scores for three years now. Wallis has averaged over 90 only once in a career that started in 2011.
Macrae. Wallis a f6/7 or m9 type
Kelly or Zorko or Selwood or Neale ?
Jelwood or Neale
Selwood
If you had to choose now, Zorko. Otherwise I'll be waiting a couple weeks to get Neale a bit cheaper
Jelwood or Zorko
Doesn't look like much money left in Lloyd. Pickett 2.0. If your desperate for cash gen go for it
Eddy-Lynch
EVW-Hibberd
Fyfe-Wines
The last trade lets me field 18 next week and gives me an extra 20k
Total war chest 66k
Fyfe will improve a lot, hold him and find another way.
Fyfe to Wines I despise.
Hold Fyfe
Wallis or Greene community?
Greene
Greene, a proven premo
How does Greene qualify as a premo? His average is under 100, has had only 3 games this season over 100 and is under $500k. Misses on all 3 counts …. And he isn't proven by any measure – his past 5 seasons averages 90, 83, 102, 73, 94.
If your looking for a capital turd he is proven.
Having said that, he is a better choice than Wallis, whose record is worse.
Have you looked at the averages of the other forwards competing for his spot?
Greene if not worried about next week
Roberton or Hibberd?
Hibberd
Hibberd to save you a bit of coin
Hibberd
Thoughts on Sandi and Otten to Docherty and Scharenberg?
Not bad but prefer ryan due to lower cost
Not terrible
Trading Parsons and Barrett to Dahl and Cousins
Holding Sandi due to lack of options
Have Mummy and am waiting for Gawn
Nice Mummy POD
How is this for a Trade
Sandi & Balic & Powell Pepper
FOR
Hibberd & Cousins & Ebert
Looks great to me, SPP still got some good cash to make keep in mind
I like Hibberd….but cousin' rnd 13 does nothing for me (might be fine for you) and Ebert is behind a fair few for mine in terms up upgrades…..great choice early season but not a last mid upgrade…..
Is Sandi to English a viable move?
Don't mind it just as a temporary scorer.
Watch teams obviously, Roughead likely back in for English this week
Teams are already out for the dogs
Very risky, only do if you don't have enough player next week
Certainly an option I considered, but I'm low on trades and don't want him in my final team (no DPP) so its going to cost 2 trades either way…..its just now or later. Doc now is good, but plenty of value forwards at Sandi price if you've got Nank/Ryder fwd.
No, doesn't do much for you longterm at all
Tom Stewart, Sandi and SPP out for
Hibberd, Lynch and Cousins This week.
Only have one left till full premo with 85k in the bank which I'll be going Parsons down and Berry up to Lloyd in a fortnight. Only trade next week would be Shaw For another defender so I can field 18.
Thoughts?
Like it, similar to my plans
Llloyd playing this week, could fluke a decent score and make some cash. 70K not worth it.
What's the opinion on Sandi to Kreuzer?
Kreuzer seems to be going beautifully (fitness and form), it does pose some unnecessary risk but at this point he looks by far the best ruck trade in option this week. Had enough of Sandi's absence despite his low BE and consistent scoring.
A. Phillips isn't screaming to be picked in the 2s either.
Lock it in, best option.
Hannebery, Bont, Dahlhaus, Macrae or JPK for VC?
JPK or Hanners. JPK.
Bont has been poor recently, had the rest and I reckon he's due for a big one.
JPK in the wet.
Buddy
The Bont
Hannebery the only one i'd consider. Mac/Dahl hate SCG
How much money will Berry make this week and next?
Footy wire.
Around $20K
What is the most probable breakeven for Lloyd after this week?
Lots
this week its 165 and if he gets what he usually gets which is around 100-120 it will probably go down to about mid 130's or mid 120's
About the same as this week
Make of this what you will. Dylan Roberton score when playing away over the last three years hasn't been great.
Here are the teams and scores Roberton faced away over the past three years.
2015
GCS 70
Adelaide 69
Lions 84
GWS 123
Port 91
WCE 46
2016
Port 52
WCE 72
Adelaide 46
GCS 79
2017
WCE 105
Roberton's worst performances have been against Adelaide at their home ground where he scored 69 in 2015 and 46 in 2016 – It will be interesting to see what he scores this week.
Although I believe Roberton could very well be a top 6 defender this season, I personally won't be bringing him in this week, I will have to wait until next week as Docherty & Hibberd will enter my team this week.
Robbo break out year, stats don't lie.
he got 149 away against hawks in launceston but I to will get him next week as hibbrd and doch will be entering my team this week, but good observation though man love your work
Nice stats thanks
yeah hes a next week for me as well. if the rampaging crows turn up then he could get nothing…
out: pittard, roughead and marchbank
in: doch, hibberd and any rookie forward or mid
good trade or bad trade
whih rookie, should i go willsmore, already got cousins, greenwood and bolton
your opinions would be great, thanks
Willsmore may be your only option haha
Otten or Newman for Docherty?
Was thinking of going otten to docherty or should I do Newman to Docherty and then week after otten to Lloyd? Or other way around?
newman is expected to make 4k, otten 6k – pretty much the same either way
Otten every day of the week. Newman has completed his bye & otten has his next week
OTTEN
Dion Prestia, he just tonned up and his price is loooow. I know he has not performed but could he average 100 the rest of the way? Surely he has the talent??? Big risk, big reward right?
Going through the stats and did notice him. You would have to have big balls to jump on him right now
Big risk, but not sure on the big rewards. Has never shown he can go really big. He can be solid in the 100-105 range, but I suspect that is his ceiling. Luke Parker has the bigger upside, but has shown nothing. Go with your gut. Hope it works for you
Bad.
The weeks off did him good. Will definitely keep getting better. his last game he seemed to be moving much more freely which helped his decision making and kicking. Will keep getting better as the year goes on. But not a SC consideration for this year Jamie.
Probably not a top 6 forward Jamie…which is what you need to target to have your best results.
Yes Hardwick mentioned that he only just started training twice a week from last week due to lots of niggling injuries. Could get better later in year.
tend to agree, was really just hoping someone would say he is a sure thing to turn it around lol
I'd rather Parker like others have said but wouldn't pick either
Kreuzer or Stef Martin and why?
Stef, Kreuzer will probably get injured at some point
bring in steff when he drops in price and when bloody archie smith gets dropped
(hopefullly that day will come)
If Kruezer stays fit he'll be top two easy. Have a plan in case he gets injured.
I assume you have Sandiballs? I would be careful if so as it is essentially a sideways trade. He is only out for one more week (then a bye). He should be ready to go again r14 and will likely avg. the similar as your two options. If you are stuffed for r13 then it's an acceptable trade. Otherwise, I'd hold and trade elsewhere
Sandi will average 7-10 points lower than the 2 mentioned above assuming no injuries and Archie not playing
Yeah, hence "similar" output. I really should have added that I think sandi should be held for a better ruck option… Gawn!! That's what I'm holding onto sandi for anyway.
I am holding onto Witts for Gawn. Sandi has to go
Kreuzer just cos.
Not sure many will look so far ahead but for some reason l do. If you do make the GF in your leagues Port play GC so l wont pick Lynch. Does anybody else think the same way?
No
They also play Brisbane at the G and Essendon at Metricon in rounds 21 and 22. Did you look at that?
I love Suns draw, starting with Hawks. I'm seriously looking at him
Going for overall, so no.
I play for rank so no haha
Attention ROCKY OWNERS and BUYERS! Supercoach Significant
Sit back and have a cold one.
In 2010 Rocky missed rnd (1,2,6)
In 2011 Rocky Missed rnd (4,10)
In 2012 Rocky missed nothing
In 2013 Rocky missed rnd (10)
In 2014 Rocky missed rnd (2,9,10,17)
In 2015 Rocky missed rnd (2,3,10,12,13,14)
In 2016 Rocky missed rnd (3,4,8,9,10)
In 2017 Rocky missed rnd (9,10)
Rocky has only missed 4 games in 7 years not including this one after the bye only 4 Games with him either being injured early in the year between rounds 1 and 4 and in the middle part of the year between rounds 8-11 missing rnd 10 a amazingly 6 OUT OF 10 YEARS as well as rnd 9 3 times in 6 years. Saying this rocky is set to finish the year strong and lets hope the SC PIG doesn't get injured again. Just a coincidence that he always misses rnd 9 and 10. Gl community and have a great finish to sc 2017 and may everyone have 18 blokes on field.
Awesome research mate! R10 is Rocky's cryptonite it seems! I am tossing up between Rocky and Martin next week
Edit: 6 out of 8