Round 13 could’ve been mistaken for another big bye round.
Many of us struggled to crack the thousand point barrier but luckily the average score wasn’t too high.
We need to push the last two rounds out of our heads and move forward towards the meat of the bye period. It’s worth noting that six teams are yet to have a bye week so we should consider moving these players on. These teams are the Broncos, Bulldogs, Raiders, Eels, Roosters and Warriors. Parramatta players shouldn’t be on your trade radar as much as they’re still available for rounds 15 and 18. Keep in mind that the Eels and Rabbitohs both have a bye week in round 16 so you might struggle to field a good side if you overload on players from these two teams.
Additionally, you’ll want to start thinking about limiting your trades to keepers, cheapies and nuffies. Middies aren’t really on the cards at this stage as most of the players you trade in will likely be in your run home side. Obviously not all coaches will opt with the Keepers/Nuffies tactic for the run home; but middies will likely become NPRs which means you’ll be wasting a lot of unused cash.
I had an extremely lucky week in round 13 and notched up a score of 1172. This brought my rank up to 174th overall but I’ll need to make some smart trades to be able to maintain it through to the end of the bye period. I’ll probably consider boosting my forwards this week as they’re looking a little grim. I’m actually a little surprised I’ve gotten through this much of the season without Taumalolo, De Belin, Rapana, Tedesco or Cameron Smith. These are the players I’ll be looking at trading in shortly.
- Roger Tuivasa-Sheck (FB $315.8k) is at the top of my ‘Most Traded Out In My Team’ list in SuperCoach. He has a season average of 51.1 PPG and was owned by 36.1% of coaches in round 13.
The Verdict: RTS has just pumped out a five round average of 49.2 PPG which isn’t high enough to be considered a keeper. He won’t play rounds 15 and 18 and his run home isn’t considered favourable. The only positive with Tuivasa-Sheck this week is his break even of 31 and it’s highly unlikely he’ll fall short of this mark against the Titans on Saturday. He’s definitely a trade option but it can wait for next week.
- Gareth Widdop ($488.7k FE/HFB) is still considered a POD at 4.3% ownership but numerous coaches are looking at trading him in this week. He is an extremely controversial trade option for round 14.
The Verdict: Let’s start with the positives. The Dragons have a very favourable draw through to the end of the season. They won’t play the Storm, Sharks or Cowboys for the remainder of the year. This could prove to be extremely beneficial for Widdop due to his high involvement and having the goal kicking duties.
The negatives are fairly obvious. $489k is a lot to pay for any player, even if they’re producing a five round average of 82.4 PPG. His break even is currently at 118 but we can ignore this factor to a point; his price fluctuation is irrelevant if you’re planning on keeping him until the end. In short, he’s bloody expensive but he’s scoring the points to justify it. He should be a great addition to your team but you’ll have to pay through the teeth for his services.
- Clint Gutherson ($383.5k CTW/FE) is currently owned by 13.4% of coaches and there’s good reason he moved out of POD territory prior to the bye period.
The Verdict: Gutherson is a very attractive buy this week although we should be aware of a few negatives that come with the trade. He’s no stranger to scoring poorly; he’s produced a 40 and 33 point game within the past five weeks although the former was during a 64 minute stint. Additionally, the Eels have a fairly tough draw approaching with the Cowboys, Dragons and Storm being three of their four next opponents.
On a positive note, Gutherson will boost your numbers for rounds 15 and 18 and his break even is currently 45 points lower than his five round average of 65.4 PPG. His CTW/FE DPP status will surely come in handy at some stage too. He should be on your trade radar but he’s far from a necessity for the remainder of the bye period.
Jordan Rapana ($478.8k CTW) now has a three round average of 108.3 PPG. Yes, you’ve read that correctly. His break even of -25 and run of epic scores are the reasons why coaches are bringing him in this week. Rapana is a Keeper CTW and it’s unlikely we’ll able to pick him up any cheaper in the near future. If you’re wondering why he’s a popular choice this week when his bye coverage is so poor, keep in mind that head to head players will make up most of the 0.8% that are trading him in.
Esan Marsters ($122.6k 2RF) is the new bottom dollar cheapie on the scene who’s getting a run due to a number of injuries in the Tigers’ forward pack. He’s only played one game but some coaches are using him as an excuse to free up some cash. There’s no harm in trading him in this week. He’ll become a nuffie as a worst case scenario.
Jayden Brailey ($277.8k HOK) has one remaining purpose; contributing to your round 15, 16 and 19 numbers. I’ve noticed quite a few coaches are trading him out this week but I’d be holding off and reassessing in round 16. He’s coming off two 50+ games and now has a break even of 23. Why not squeeze a few more dollars out of him and contribute to your round 15 score? Be wary that James Segeyaro has returned to the Sharks 21 man squad this week.
Top 5 Break Evens
(Must have played 2 games and named this week)
Jordan Rapana ($478.8k CTW): -25
Dale Copley ($158.8k CTW): -25
Lachlan Fitzgibbon ($160.4k 2RF): -22
Benji Marshall ($319.9k HFB/CTW): -16 (named in the reserves)
Jo Ofahengaue ($235k FRF/2RF): -11 (named in the reserves)
Bottom 5 Break Evens (Must have played 2 games and named this week)
Daniel Tupou ($344.7k CTW): 125
Cody Walker ($371.3k FE/FB): 123
Gareth Widdop ($488.7k FE/HFB): 118
Johnathan Thurston ($448.9k HFB): 115
Josh Papalii ($485.1k 2RF/FRF): 111
Team List Tuesday
Cameron Smith has been named to return
Anthony Milford has been named to return
Brenko Lee has been dropped to the reserves
Tom Trbojevic has been named in the reserves
James Segeyaro has been named in the reserves
Mitchell Barnett is named at lock
Jarryd Hayne has switched to fullback
Agnatius Paasi is named in the reserves
Corey Norman is named in the reserves
Mitchell Pearce has been named to return
Josh Reynolds has been named to return
Gareth Widdop to average 65+ through the remainder of the season
Brenko Lee to return to the Bulldogs’ seventeen before round 18
Anthony Milford to average 60+ through the remainder of the season