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Supercoach RD7: LekDog’s Cheat Sheet

Published by Lekdog on

LekdogCheatSheetRd7

G’day Community, what a terrible week it was.

If you told me before lockout that Selwood, Fyfe, Beams, Dangerfield, JPK, Treloar, Rockliff, Dahlhaus, Zorko, Merrett, Wines, Murphy, Nankervis and Goldstein would all fail to post scores of 90 points or more, I would have slapped you right in the gob to try and fix your brain.Β Yet here I am writing the Cheat Sheet for Round 7 and I am disgusted by the scores our premiums posted during Round 6.

So what do we focus on this week? Rookies, value picks and holding onto our under performing premiums.

In terms of rookies I’ve excluded Ben McNiece from the sheet because I don’t like his job security. Essendon will be looking to fit in any number of Stanton, Leuenberger, Francis, Myers and Kelly this week and i feel like McNiece could be one of the players to make room for them.

Before you all ask, yes I think that you can still bring Balic into your side despite his price having risen.

All of the value picks I’ve highlighted in the Cheat Sheet are players who have fallen in price since the start of the season or they are capable of easily outscoring their current price point.

Finally, i wouldn’t be trading out any under performing premiums until at least their bye round (if at all). Several hundred coaches traded out with Gary Ablett or Scott Pendlebury last week and those blokes went on to score 210 and 149 respectively.

I’d like to thank our sponsor Fantasy InsiderΒ for helping Lekdog’s Puppies score over 2,000 in a terrible weekend of footy. Make sure you check out their free trial offer and of course if you don’t like the service you can just cancel it at anytime. Fantasy Insider basically analyses your side and makes suggestions on who to play during any given round. very useful particularly if you don’t have the 20 hours a week to pump into Supercoach that I do.

See you in the comments, Lekdog

CLICK HERE TO LISTEN INTO THIS WEEK’S PODCAST

GREEN= Buy, buy, buy!
ORANGE = Hold
RED = Get rid of em

AFL SuperCoach Cheat Sheet Round Seven

 

Thanks to our supporters Fantasy Insider, the home of the #1 tools for Australia’s fantasy elite

CheatSheet Post

 


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NickMacMan

Bont, Pendles, Cripps or Heppell? Who do i bring in for jaeger with plenty of cash in the bank

Cheers

bob the builder

If you dont have a plan to bring in pendles next week get him now πŸ™‚

NickMacMan

with a breakeven of 124 should i hold off one more week and instead go another money making rookie?

LoganJosh7

thats what im doing πŸ™‚

Steven Jurica

A plucky young midfielder from the pies by the name of Scott Pendlebury.

Danners

Not many rookies around next week so making cash may be wise

Tyruddanaut

Yep. Hope and pray he goes under

Jacob

Hard to answer without completely knowing your situation Nick. If you're not too fussed with overall position and think you can win your league game this week without him, Pendles can definitely wait a week. Next week cows look non existent at this stage so picking up a Vickers Willis or a Parsons might be a smart move

Fan

Thanks lekdog great effort mate enjoy it every week

redherringfc

Pendles. if he goes 150 again his price rises a fair bit. I've made one trade this week, Parfitt out, Pendles in.

Brushy

Curtly to hibberd silly ?

Jacob

No not silly at all Brushy. It's a real 50/50. I don't think he is that much underpriced though if you consider Shaw and Simpson are around 490k

FCAbel

Good punt

Tyruddanaut

About right

LoganJosh7

Theres so much green! i thought he was suspended?

INPieman

Gold!

John H

20/10 comment of the day

JayBee

Painting the fence this week. I can afford to bring in Sloane so should I?

LoganJosh7

do it next week when theres no rookies on offer i reckon.

Steven Jurica

Buy high and sell low, that's the name of the game.

Russty_

Buy high and sell low?….yeah thanks for that bud, really good advice, don't you mean the opposite of what you said?

JoshA

its worth considering but surely he'll have to drop at least a bit of cash at somepoint throughout the year-worst time to bring in a premo is after 5 consectutive 120+ scores I'd say

Tyruddanaut

Bloody hell you can't be that stupid. There is nowhere near enough cash generation this year to justify that. You will have to get many under 500k. Probably too much! Look at the long run benefits mate not the short term

JayBee

Na not stupid Tyruddanaut… just odd hahaha. 500K in bank and seriously thinking with Beams history he'll be more than 2 weeks out so Beams to Sloane. would prefer pendles but doesnt work into my bye strategy

JayBee

Dusty sorry, havent had my coffee this morning

TheScacman

Sloane will eventually have a score in the 90s which will mean over a 3 week period he'll fall somewhere between 30 and 50K, even more if he gets a 70/80. Wait to bring him in till he falls closer to 600K

Steven Jurica

How is Goldstein possibly a buy? High breakeven, poor form over the first 6 rounds, not even one good game and Preuss potentially comes back in to share the ruck. Come on Lek, you're better than that.

INPieman

From what I've seen picking Goldy would be a massive gamble. I got rid of him before his price crashed. He's injured & Preuss doesn't help him. I'd steer clear for the time being

KSinny

Butler down to Parsons and Marchbank/Otten down to Melican?

Dusty Spurs

Basically the same thing I am considering, except Parfitt to Parsons.

Otten is meant to make more cash this week, and has had higher scores, but…. now Jenkins is back I'm worried Ottens scores will drop, he got a 44 & a 65 in the two full games Jenkins played.

Kev

Does McVeigh back equal trouble for Melican? (or even Newman…)

Johnny Bee

Kev I'd say more trouble for Newman than Melican. In his post game interview horse gave Melican a rap as well as a few other youngsters but he didn't mention Newman

redherringfc

spot on with otten.

Cold_Case

After a bit of advice. I've got 812k in the bank. But i reckon i need to rotate 4 more rookies through my team to get cash for full premo. Should i double downgrade this week? Just not sure how many more rookies will surface from here on besides Myers. Means i will have 1.1 mil in the bank for upgrades.

INPieman

A 1.1mil bank. Your making Crouching look like a cheap skate. With an existing 812k bank I don't think you have any need for a double down grade. Your reasonably flush with cash as is. Start spending

Cold_Case

Ok. Just hope there's more rookies coming. Might paint the fence l. Thanks

LoganJosh7

go for parsons as a downgrade then your next 3 this week and next go premos i reckon. nice work!

Randomcliche

Double down. You won't regret having the cash.

Top Gun

Can i get a loan? I'm cash poor after getting Pendles in.

Cogla13

Just keep doubling down until you get to 2 million.

HID

I ONLY GOT 1930 LAST WEEK SHOULD I BE WORRIED.

SHOULD I TRADE ROUGH, SPP, CURTLY, HOUSTAN, BUTLER, OR EVEN A PREMO LIKE JPK OR MURPHY

LoganJosh7

rough ez

redherringfc

i went from consistent (2 times in a row is consistent, isn't it?) top 5% in weekly rankings to post 1890, around top 50%. It was a stinker of a round, having Rocky's 53 as captain says it all. Your premos will bounce back, but i think you need to get rid of roughy. All the others can stay another week or two.

Tyruddanaut

I'm pretty sure I've been more consistent than you
Last 3 rounds
11%
1%
56%

Campbell

trade roughy

Jacob

Correct if im wrong, but wouldn't Parsons more likely come into the side for Black?? And Menzel would replace Parfitt? I see Parsons more as a taller 3rd tall type like Black. Parfitt getting injured shouldn't increase his JS right?

Finnius123

Thoughts on Jeremy Mcgovern Lekdog?

INPieman

Putting up some very good numbers & his bye round is handy. Could be a nice POD to have

John

Shhh he's coming into my team this week!

Pablo

On my watch very closely list.

Seeker

Brought him in last week on the back of Lekdog's Cheat Sheet Spent $455k with 55 BE, scored 122 made $29k and still has a BE of only 69. Bargain Premo POD, plays back many intercept marks, can go forward and kicks goals, also spent time in ruck.

Cold_Case

I read on fanfooty that sloane had his knee iced up on the weekend. Anyone see that? If true i wonder if they may rest him in the next couple of weeks. They have north, melb and then brisbane. Edit: Just read it was a corkie.

DavidSA

Sloane will be fine

Kev

They were up by 70 odd points. Why keep him out there for a corkie. He's fine

iLoveNMFC

Downgrade Otten to EVW and play Balic on field.
OR
Downgrade Otten to Parsons and play him on field.

FCAbel

Balic on field

LoganJosh7

Comes down to Shaw or Hibberd for me.

LoganJosh7

that being said i could wait wait a week on hampton/otten/marchbank and then purchase a slightly more expensive Shaw/hibberd next week?

Option 1 or 2? πŸ™‚

Cold_Case

I'm going Hibberd for the bye structure. Shaws R13 bye sucks. If you are going Hibberd go this week, at least if he spuds it up from now on he should make some money.

FCAbel

If brining both in bring in Hibberd this week

pod

Wingard playing in the guts, can he go top 6 fwds?

Keenbutclueless

He said this week that he was playing more mid last week because Boak was out and that he was looking forward to resuming his mostly forward role.

pod

Seems crazy to move him out anytime after his performance in the middle. Boak can still fit in there as the hard ball get guy, but Wingards skills need to be in the centre to deliver to Robbie and co.

Danners

He could, it seems Gray is purely playing forward

SF4

He will find his way back into the fwd line when Boak is back + they played Brisbane last week, Didn't really have a direct opponent.

Top Gun

Boak will return soon so Wingard will no doubt be inconsistent again in the fwds

Declan

Love some help on my team. Had a mare last week as most seemed to have.

Def: Laird Howe, Simmo, Otten Marchbank, Newman (McNiece, Stewart)
Mid: Danger, Titch, Fyfe, Treloar, Murphy, SPP, Taranto Balic (Barrett, Fisher, hibberd)
Ruck: Grundy Sandi (Cameron)
Fwd: Dahl Macrae Buddy Higgins Nank, Houston (Butler, Eddy)

Currently have 22 trades and 768k after I made my trades.

Trades Next week:
Out: houston/butler and Otten
In Bont and Pendles

Would love feedback about any problems with team and structure?

dom

Pendles and Bont, thats what I call bang bang. Your team looks as solid as my rod while watching the Brazilian Volleyball Championships.

Tyruddanaut

Solid team… but Bont and Pendles are both very pricy. With minimal expenditure this year, we must look at a lower premo price. Someone, sorry if you see this but I forgot your name, wrote a comment saying we should have an average premium cost of approximately 517k. With one at 600k+ and the other 570k+ you may only be able to spend 480k on your remaining premiums

Tyruddanaut

Also Baltic for Dahl/Macrae and butler on field

pete

keep Watson and ward or move them on

Richo

I have ward and feel his let me down.
I'm giving him a few more weeks to prove his worth.. Friday night under the lights might be all it takes to spark him into form. Has a round 13 bye which helps him stay in my team.

Tyruddanaut

Keep them til the byes. I have had horrible experiences(already this season I have had 2) where players forms dramatically improve

pod

I can't believe you have both of them. Dump them asap.

Boltons Blues

Was going to paint the fence this week, but we need more cash generation
So im going Hampton to Melican and Eddy to Parson, leaving me 650k for Shaw/Laird/Pendles/Other Fallen premo over the next 2 weeks as the rookies look a real struggle with only Myers looking like the next option pending selection

Saundo

Don't tell me Zac Fisher has hurt himself?

Declan

Yeah he is a test but likely to miss 1 week

Steeeve

Likely to miss the rest of the season based on last week's form

Ryan

Get rid of Butler, Bowes or Houston for Parsons?

Declan

Bowes

Adcock & Swallow

Option 1:
IN: Hibberd OUT: Otten
IN: Parsons OUT: Matera

Option 2:
IN: Parsons OUT: Matera
IN: Heeney OUT: Parfitt

Option 3:
IN: Cripps OUT: Parfitt
IN: Parsons/Heeney OUT: Matera

Please Help Community! Plenty in the bank (300k)

Tommo

hmmmm thought of a double downgrade to EVW and Parsons?
will allow for HUGE double upgrade next week

Top Gun

Option 3

Westy

With Nank out and Cameron on my ruck bench, I currently have no ruck cover.
Suggesting Martin and Parsons in this week and depose Butler and Florent.
Have sufficient cash to cover this and then to start painting the fence with Pendles etc next week.
Suitable?

Westy

Actually Parfitt instead of Florent.

FCAbel

Check teams. Cameron may play

Bob is your uncle

He's not in

Derek

cameron is half a chance to play this week

Rick Grimes

I'm holding Roughy another week. I want to get Kade in and I figure he'll gain more in value than Rough will lose. The guy is due to kick a bag….waaaaay over due.

Saundo

Yeah I said that last week! Not again, traded to McRae!

Rick Grimes

I'm a glutton for punishment.

Top Gun

Only bag he might kick would be a supermarket bag

Benjamin B

Thoughts on Butler to Shaun McKernan? Dont make any money initially but hes set to sky rocket over next few weeks?

How is his JS?

Benjamin B

Ill obviously wait till teams are announced – id say he should be back.

Dice

I hope he's bloody back.
Bombers need to use him as a general ruckman…leue got raped last week by a more athletic pedersen.
Probably not raped but did beat him

Doc

Leue didn't play!
Was Bellchambers that got towelled up.

Dice

correct Doc. i got mixed up

bob the builder

Getting rid of JOM is Number 1 priority so upgrading him to Pendles.
With my second trade should i downgrade Parfitt to Parsons if named.
Or downgrade hampton to EVW/Melican.

YoYo

Parfitt 100%. He's injured and Hampton has upside

Gibbs

Do I trade Hampton or Marchbank for kade Simpson?

Danners

Marchbank, Hampton still has cash to make

Swans2012

But it's catch 22 because marchbank is the more consistent on field scoring option, for this reason I'd go hampton

FEARTHEBEARD

Community could use some friendly advise. In a tight one H2H though think enough to win, and still haven't lost yet. Based on current names its :

Roughhead, JOM, Lynch, Tuohy, Broomhead, Grundy, Howe, Murphy, Kelly

VS

Dalhaus, JPK, Macrae, Docherty, Butler, Witts, Shaw, Sloane, SPP.

Question is do I bring in Pendles & Parsons/Black this week and have a small bank with Butler, Houston, Parsons, Eddy, Preuss, Fisher, SPP, Newman, Stewart, Otten, Hampton, Marchbank as cows still to cull.

or take Balic or Black & Parsons and go for Pendles next week to keep another cow to fatten up on the books while theres a few on the bubble?

LoganJosh7

hope your team is the second one…

FEARTHEBEARD

Yeh it is.

What are your thoughts?

FEARTHEBEARD

Can anyone give me some feedback here please.

Really conflicted 😐

LoganJosh7

Sorry – im going parsons/black this week because there isnt any great rookies next week PLUS pendles with a break even on 125ish isnt gonna go up much by next week. get the good rookies while you can!!

Dean

Is P.Cripps going to be a top 10 mid scorer from here on in or is it not the year for him ?

pod

Cripps is a contested possesion machine but other parts of his game, including disposals, needs improving. He was on TV last weekend talking about improving his game. I have him so hoping he can go to another level this week!!

Top Gun

I think he is undervalued and a good POD. Initially he was playing injured but now seems to be over that which is reflected in his improved scoring. I predict he will get better and better.

jez_m

Interesting to note his scoring averages pre/post bye last year.

Pre-bye: 101
Post-bye: 114 (didn't score below 118 in his last six games)

Massive POD and will get better as the season wears on.

Stinga

Upgrading pickett to a premium. Thoughts on who? Got about 550k to use. Don't need to use it all up. Thinking Heppell or Hannebery? Maybe even Oliver? Any advice would be great !

macca

go oliver as a pod option
from what we have seen this season clayton is melbournes no 1 mid and hannebery just isnt producing

Mark

Hanners for sure he has found his form. Oliver will run out of gas eventually

KSinny

I agree Hanners is a proven top scorer and is now starting to find his form, can only improve from here

KSinny

Hanners is much more of a pod with 8% ownership and Oliver has 20%

Big G

Is Yeo the real deal?

KSinny

If he stays in his new position off half back I do believe he is

INPieman

I hope not

Ken

Who will finish top 10 defenders?

Derek

Docherty, Laird, Adams, Rance, Shaw, Simpson, Montagna, Dawson, Hodge, McGovern.

INPieman

Adams, Doch, Laird, Shaw, Simmo, Howe, JJ, Joey, Rance, Zac Williams

Dom

Surprised no one mentioned Roberton. He can spud every 3rd game and still make top 10.

INPieman

Fair point Dom. He is dominating. I'll replace Rance with him

Russty_

Dawson of the Zac variety Derek?….the greatest defender of all time?…lol

Top Gun

Doch, Laird, Adams, Montagna, Roberton, Howe, McGovern, Williams, Simpson, Lloyd

DB10

Who to trade melican in for? Otten Hampton or Marchbank?

KSinny

Have the same problem but either Otten or Marchbank since I don't have Hampton

Jimmy

My opinion is to assess who is more likely not to make their breakeven. If all three of them are fairly low, get rid of the one with the worse avg. I for one would get rid of the yoyo that is Hampton. He either scores 100 or 40

Steeeve

I'm wondering the same thing. I am bringing in Simpson so will cull Marchbank at this stage, since that way I won't have both for the first bye round. But I plan to have lopped all three by then anyway…

That makes me think Otten might be better since he will free up more cash and is unlikely to put up another ton with Jenkins etc back in the side. Then again he could surprise me.
Hampton just needs one more big game. He'll net us the least cash right now and should keep getting a game…

Such a tough one.

Jimmy

You are not alone, I'm with Goldy too!! Getting rid of Rough because he has had it tough!!

slats7

Thoughts on Heeney community?

pod

Like all Swans I need to see some form before looking at any of them. I know they'll find form but when?

jez_m

I'd probably hold off until after his bye personally.

jimmy_raiders

Get him next week after he pumps out 120. Will still only be around 450k

Finnius123

Carnage! Beams out for two weeks with a quad! Whose holding and whose trading?

SF4

I'm trading, Beama out for a premo

KSinny

Trading out for Pendles

Beezneez

Same.

Have Greene, Parfitt, Nank, Fisher & Beams out atm so need to replace one of them. Greene to Yeo was another consideration but he (Yeo) is on my no go list but may change over time but I doubt it.. Was thinking to possibly trade him (Beams) out in week 11 anyway.

Steeeve

Lots of people will be in this boat so I apologise if this has already been asked. But if you have to cut one, just one, of these players this week, who do you choose?
Hampton, Otten, or Marchbank?

Steeeve

Wow sorry same question is right above. Unsure how to delete mine. Apologies all, sh*ts me when others do this haha

BrownlowBoy

Trade Beams or hold? 2 weeks the diagnosis at this stage?

pod

Dump him, he'll take another 2 weeks to get fit again and maybe find some form. Time fo Pendles or Gaz.

INPieman

Given his history I'd be surprised if it's only 2. It's a tough call. Not much cover about either unless some lads are called back. Probably a trade

Derek

he was never a keeper. if you have him it is now time to go.

KSinny

Looks like it's time to trade

Benjamin B

Im going to trade, Hopefully it frees up room for Jake barrett

DefyingMadness

I am thinking of waiting a week. Was planning on going double down since we won't have good rookie options for a while

LoganJosh7

smart choice

Crowmagnon

Use him in the double down, then upgrade a rookie next week. 5k is 5k.

DefyingMadness

downgrading partfitt which I think is better than downgrading beams

Zee888

Cripps, Heppell or Oliver?

pod

Cripps

LoganJosh7

heppell

FCAbel

Cripps by the length of my

jez_m

Cripps

Winter

Option 1
Double downgrade this week, Butler & Hampton out Parsons & Melican in with a double upgrade next week, Houston & Otten out Macrae & Simpson in

Option 2
One up one down, Butler & Hampton out Parsons & Simpson in with the same thing next week, Houston & Otten out Macrae and a rookie in

Option 1 gives me 2 efficient rookies but I miss the price rise on Simpson this week where as option 2 gives me Simpson before his price rice but I'm stuck on a def rookie for next week

Dusty Spurs

Literally battling with the same decision. I'm thinking Option 1 as the rookie you get in (Melican) will increase in value more than Simpson, so in the end you will gain more cash from the double downgrade for trades later in the year.

Winter

Brisbane have just confirmed Dayne Beams will miss at least 2 weeks with a quad injury….

KSinny

Rip

Benjamin B

Time to trade up

Ben

Tempting.. Beams to Pendlebury

Derek

yep. i don't have Beams but considering the Nank to Pendles instead

Liam

Don't. Nank will still be a top 6 forward, find another way to get Pendles in.

pod

Anyone holding Greene?

Benjamin B

Im holding both him and NANK

pod

wow good luck BB

LoganJosh7

everyone should be

Top Gun

Holding, strangling then whacking!

Pablo

I am holding both Tobys.

Beezneez

I'm holding as I have him, Beams, Nank, Parfitt and Fisher out. Parfitt and Beams to go, Pendlebury in. Greene to Yeo wouldn't be a bad move but put of by Yeo's yo-yo past history.

Lenny

Who has better JS Melican or EVW

ChasingFinals17

ive traded in EVW so i hope he does

slats7

BREAKING: Dayne Beams ruled out of action for two weeks with a quad injury.

Top Gun

That's the third breaking news on Beams πŸ˜›

Andy

If Murphy gets a 70 odd this week what will his price be?

Choppers

About 512k……there's a few sites you can try for that info.
http://tooserious.net is one

Chalie

New to SC, if Beams doesn't play this week will his price still drop?

KSinny

No

FCAbel

But will drop when he plays again

Chalie

So if he dosent play this week then i look to trade him next week he will still be 470 when i sell him?

redherringfc

yes, that's correct.

Chalie

cheers mate!

hedski

There goes my trade plans for this week, can I borrow your shotgun for Beams please Pieman?

Lazza

On SEN they said Beams AT LEAST 2 weeks..

Beezneez

I'm thinking could be more

KSinny

What's everyone's thoughts on Beams to De Goey if he plays this week, is a mid forward, will make some cash and has a round 13 bye. Thoughts?

DefyingMadness

Are people looking for round 13 byes? My round 13 is cooked, half my team is out

Imgonnalose

Same but nearly everyone in my league has their lowest projection in round 11

FCAbel

Seems a really bad option. He won't make much cash and is nowhere near top 10 anything.

Top Gun

Not a keeper though and don't see him making enough $$ to be trade worthy.

Chenz

Community,
Anyone else praying pruess gets a gig this week to cover nanks donut? #dontbelikelyonscott

Ben

YEP

Dice

KEN OATH

Gameofsloanes

Supposed to rain in Hobart on Saturday so not sure Pruess will come in

PhilDev10

Preuss playing changes everything.

Beezneez

Sorry I read that.

BradK

Dam beams. Was going to bring in docherty, but are now going marchbank to melican, and beams to pendles. Will mean lots of cash to upgrade otten or someone to docherty next week. Sound good?

Beezneez

I'm possibly doing the same – he is not expected to rise too much.

The Master

I cant wait for next season, I wish I could just restart this one. My team looks stuffed, this week I will have at least 2 donuts thanks to injuries- Beams, Nankervis, Parfit, Green, Fisher, and maybe Dangerfield and non playing players – Eddy, Picket, Mountford and Barret. Also had Omeara, got rid of Roughy last week. The supercoach gods can get stuffed. I get knocked down, don't know if I can get up again. I finished 552 last year, this year looks like I will probably have to add a couple of zeros. The mechanic just phoned me to say the car is going to cost $2300 to fix a computer problem and I told him I have much bigger problems to deal with.

Derek

what is wrong with dangerfield?

Rivo

Derek, there is a whisper he is carrying bruised or cracked ribs after a knee to the chest against the Hawks a couple of weeks ago. Watched him closely against the Saints the next week and he seemed to be playing more outside footy. If it's legit, he's still playing through it. Watch with interest.

hedski

100% playing according to Mitch Duncan

Tiger

You can now add mummy to your list

The Master

Thanks Tiger, finally one that is not in my team, however I nearly put Mummy in for Gawn when he went down but went with Martin instead.