Round 3 Supercoach Panic Room
GODSH HECKING DARN IT, LADIES AND GENTLEMEN.
Gosh HECKING darn it. Nick Riewoldt is back ALREADY. After St Nick himself cautioned interested parties – Saints supporters and Supercoachers alike – that he could miss up to six weeks, we had no choice. BUT HE LIED TO US. HE IS BACK. Gosh hecking darn it.
Community, please excuse my appalling manners, and pardon the French – Welcome to the Panic Room!
This is the second most important week of the year after round 1: the final round before price changes. This is the last chance we get to make adjustments to our teams before everything goes haywire, the last chance to jump on those rookies and midpricers we like and to dump those we don’t.
So, please buckle up and keep your hands and feet inside The Panic Room at all times!
There is plenty of news to come with the unexpected hecking return of Nick Riewoldt. After searching the back of a very bare cupboard in round one, we continue to be blessed by surprise rookies, with Sydney naming their FIFTH debutant for the year, the 123k fwd/mid Jordan Dawson.
While gaining one Dawson in the east, we lose another in the West, with Zac Dawson part of a large posse of spuds making way (it’ll get relevant in a second, trust me) for some new growth, including Griffin Logue (180k def) and Harley Balic (123k mid/fwd), the latter of whom has been averaging 31 touches in the WAFL.
Our forward lines once again feel the touch of rookie mana, with Jamie Parsons, (117k fwd) from Geelong, Sam Durdin (123k fwd) and Timothy Smith (102k fwd) all named for the first games. Addtionally, Hugh McLuggage (202k fwd/mid) and Jarrod Berry (139k def/mid) were named in the guts by the Lions.
Sunday teams have seen us been given looks at
Harry McKay (123k fwd), Tom Williamson (117k def), James Stewart (170k fwd), Ben Long (117k def/fwd) – but as to which of them make the final cut is a different question.
Ben Ainsworth will also miss with a quad injury, and Jy Simpkin from North will also miss with a similar injury
Macreadie and McKay named on field for Northern Blues but on bench for Carlton…think they both play AFL though. https://t.co/yi1nQngUKI
— AlexieLekdogBeovich (@LekBlog) 6 April 2017
Pleasing, nearly all rookies have held their spots, with Andy Otten staying in the side as cover for the injured Josh Jenkins and Braydon Pruess keeping his position despite the return of top dog Todd Goldstein. However, Harrison Macreadie, Jarrod Pickett, Teia Miles and Ben Ainsworth are all named on extended benches and need watching at 5pm tonight.
Jack Steven is missing with a punctured lung, and on top of that, the Saints have named Billy Longer in their extended squad, and if he’s not culled this evening will be very bad news for Tom Hickey owners.
Jon Griffin has been dropped with Aaron Sandilands due to carry the ruck load solo.
THE PATCH UP
Special edition of The Patch Up this week, which will look at some of the popular corrective trades people are making this week: (for which you should also look at Lekdog’s fantastic cheat sheet here)
THE HANNEBURY QUESTION: I’ve been unable to watch either Sydney game this year, and as such I’ve got no clue if the goose is cooked. If you think the goose is cooked: sure, trade him. But you MUST trade him for a premium.
Lekdog was eloquent and To The Point on Wednesday that I’m just going to copy and paste his Wisdoms, “If you have decided to trade a premium you simply MUST trade them to another premium. I don’t want to see coaches trading out a Treloar and bringing in a rookie or even a speculative pick like Marc Murphy. It will just hurt you in the long term. The importance of Supercoach is having ample cash generation whilst maintaining as many keepers as possible.” So – if you want to trade Hannebury, make sure you bring in a premium in his place. You can bring that premo in anywhere – forward, back, ruck – just make sure you don’t go into round 3 with less premiums than you started with.
THE STEELE CONUNDRUM: Jack Steele had an off week. Midpricers do that, which is why they’re not premiums yet. He’ll bounce back – the wide expanses of Subiaco don’t suit Steele’s contested game, and he does his best work in the confines of Etihad stadium. Hold. Especially with Steven out for 2-4 weeks.
THE HAWTHORN HUSTLE: Should we ditch Jarryd Roughead and Jaeger O’Maera? Maybe and no. It does depend on structures, but with forward rookies popping out of the barren soil like flowers blooming in spring, Roughead down to a Hoskin-Elliot, Houston or the like is too good an opportunity to pass up for my side – Rough will still be a solid pick, mind you, but I’d rather bank the cash and get cash gen going. As for Jaeger – he’ll get better. This is his first competitive football since 2015, remember. He’ll start busting 110s and 120s before too long, especially if he keeps collecting 38 possessions a game.
TIM ‘TARANTULA’ TARANTO: Has a breakeven of zero this week. Starting to cool my jets on TT, and I’m trading him to Houston to make more cashola. Wouldn’t be a bad one to keep for a while.
DO I NEED THE NANK: get The Nank into your bank ASAP, if not sooner. Must-have.
IS SHAUN HIGGINS LEGIT?: I think so? He certainly won’t average 120 for the rest of the year – might go 100 if we’re lucky. But If you all trade him in and ruin my forward POD I will be most upset.
IS CLAYTON OLIVER THE REAL DEAL? Possibly. Would I go Hanners to him? Probably not. Jaeger to him? Yes. Won’t be a keeper, so as Higgo would say, be “cognisant” of that.
BUILD YOUR BANK: If you can downgrade this week, do it (as long as you’re not downgrading a premo!) Having money in the bank is good. Very good. Why?
For any other patch-ups, hit me up in the comments! However, before you go asking about rookies, check out Barron von Crow’s MUST READ rookie power rankings of who you need and you don’t here!
Alright – if you don’t know the drill, Trading Places is the Supercoach stock exchange, just with far less Eddie Murphy and Dan Aykroyd than the 1988 film. A breakeven is a score a player needs to reach in order to increase in value: if they don’t reach that score, they will drop in price. I’ll collect the most notable 8 or 10 high and low breakevens each week.
The Eddie Murphies are those whose stocks are on the rise:
-90 – Dan Butler
-85 – Will Hoskin-Elliot
-85 – Dan Houson
-82 – Andy Otten
-59 – Mitch Hannan
-47 – Brett Eddy
-29 – Ben Ainsworth
-27 – The Nank
-17 – Andy McGrath
-12 – Brandon Parfitt
0 – Tim Taranto
8 – Jarrod Pickett
8 – Oliver Florent
Dan Aykroyds are those who’s moons are waning, and will drop in price, and damn Daniel (Aykroyd) do we have some price drops coming. Keep an eye on these blokes if you haven’t got them – we might be able to grab them cheaply very soon.
223 – Dan Hannebury
182 – Matt Boyd
178 – Paddy Cripps
171 – Gary Ablett Jnr
170 – Kade Simpson
167 – Luke Parker
161 – Heath Shaw
148 – Tom Lynch
145 – Adam Treloar
133 – Max Gawn
Hell was indeed felt in all its wrath by owners of Todd Goldstein, who was a late out for North after leaving training on crutches. The official word is he’d rolled his ankle, and “if the game [had been] tomorrow he would have played.” He’s been named this week, alongside his stablemate Braydon Pruess.
Those with Brayden Pruess or Jarrod Witts on the bench would have been more than pleased to get those scores onfield, however.
For those that played, it was a very, very good weekend for most our rucks – with the only exception being Aaron Sandilands, who was parked at full back for parts of Freo’s shellacking this weekend.
Aaron Sandilands at full back is the literal version of parking the bus. #AFLPowerFreo
— Ethan (@ethan_meldrum) 2 April 2017
Brodie Grundy had a beautiful 135, The Nank had 124 to continue his massive start to the year, and he is now a must-have for those that skipped the train. Max Gawn continues to be the #1 ruck in the competition after his 111, Stef Martin played far better than his 126 indicates – he tore Shaun McKernan apart.
Even old mates Jarrod Witts and Brayden Pruess managed to ton up! Whaddaya know!
Only downside is Tom Hickey again being unable to crack the ton, against a West Coast outfit featuring Nathan Vardy and Jono Giles as their ruckmen. He’s the only ruckman I’d considering correcting, especially if Billy Longer is named tonight, and if you’ve missed Sandilands or Nankervis, 100% make the leap. Instead of going to Witts, I’d look to sideways to Martin or Grundy.
Come one, come all to the one stop shop for Flogging Dead Memes Well Beyond Their Use-By Date.
This week makes captaincy a little bit harder, with hapless a Freo playing on Saturday night instead of Sunday, meaning most will have to use their VC before Luke Strndica gets locked out. SO – what have we got on offer before then?
Friday night sees us again have an early choice of Collingwood options, and with Scott Pendlebury in scintillating form, he’s the perfect VC option for the round – if you’ve got him. If you were like me, and instead selected Adam Treloar that makes things tougher. Treloar has been in good form, but his disposal efficiency is letting him down. He averages 108 against the Swans, with a top score at the SSG of 125, which isn’t quite enough for my liking.
Josh P Kennedy and Buddy Franklin are also in the frame – with JPK averaging 110 at the SSG and Franklin in dangerous form. I’m going JPK, but only because I didn’t start Franklin.
Saturday arvo gives us few options – GWS and North Melbourne aren’t providing incredibly consistent Supercoach outputs, and I find both of them incredibly difficult to read. Toby Greene has started well, with 138 against a thoroughly useless Gold Coast, and he could once again tear them to shreds. I’d avoid Shaun Higgins as a VC option simply because Jock made me write a contract in my own blood saying I could pick him ONLY if I never made him captain.
Dusty Martin and Josh J Kennedy are both very good VC options if you rate your trigger fingers – Martin in particular has started like a house on fire, and would be an excellent VC option. Kennedy coming up against Alex Rance may have a tougher week, but if the delivery is good he may fire. The Nank is also a very sneaky option coming up against Jono Giles.
Then we get to the heavy stuff – Geelong and Melbourne come up against each other, which would make Max Gawn a great option if Paddy Dangerfield and Joel Selwood weren’t lining up opposite him. Dangerfield only averages 85 against the Dees, and 96 at Etihad, so I’m considering Selwood, who averages 115 against Melbourne.
If you really, really rate your trigger fingers, you can VC the Melbourne vs Geelong game and try and hit Nat Fyfe up for the captaincy this week, or flick across the the Showdown and try Rory Sloane out for size at his favourite hunting ground, the Adelaide Oval.
If Sunday if more your jam, Tom Rockliff has started the season extraordinarily well, my hero Zach Merrett could tear the Blues apart at the ‘G and Tom Mitchell is a valid backup option.
Now, after my opening tirade, I’m off to put money in the swear jar before Higgo’s mum removes my cookie privileges.
May the supercoach gods smile upon you this weekend – best of luck, community! See you in the comments.
Twitter : @PatchToTheMax