G’day community, no doubt you have all got your JR mag and are knee deep in the solid gold that is provided within, hopefully propelling one of us to victory.
But let’s not stop there. We work hard here at the Seaford sweatshop, constantly trying to give you up to date info and analysis that you just can’t get elsewhere. And with that in mind I’m chuffed to present you with the JR 2017 season ticker.
“Whaaaa?” I hear you say.
Well ladies and gents, it is the 2017 fixture tabled up and colour coded with difficulty ratings.
- I’ve plonked HOME games in CAPS and away fixtures in lower case. “**” means China. Remember that? Kochy was pitching a tent when he announced it, while most of us went “whaaaa?”. But unlike explaining the rules of AFL to a Chinese national, my colour code rating system is simple:
- Green is favourable, Blue is slightly favourable, White is neutral. Light red is tricky, Red is Difficult.
I should also go into the formula I used
..which has a small amount of improv involved. I took 2016’s final standings (meaning Hawthorn weren’t considered top 4) and divided those teams into groups of 4. From there I made assumptions like top tier sides will smash bottom tier ones.
For example I think anyone playing the Dogs or GWS is in for a bad time. Or Brisbane at home is a winnable game for most. Teams like the Dees, Pies, Tiges and Saints are all in the same tier and don’t have a significant home ground advantage, therefore they attract a neutral difficulty rating when playing each other. I’ve also down or upgraded ratings depending on HOME and away status. Venues and dates are not included. I’m a father of 2 and potentially a single father of 2 after the time I’ve put into this already! (But I’m not ruling out updating it season prior.)
Lastly, for the colour blind of you out there, I’ve written a brief blurb surmising each team’s year.
Adelaide – have a great run that starts with showdown in rd3 and ends with freo at home in rd10. Another decent stretch between 17 and 21 but the last 2 games of the season are SYD at home and WC away.
Brisbane – kitten gloves in the first 4 rounds before the reality hits. Lots of tough outings, travel sickness an issue.
Carlton – Great first 5, worthy to note they also have 9 Sunday games, might go winless from round 15 till season’s end.
Pies – Bucks could well and truly be under the pump early with nowhere to hide till round 10. Last 8 games are on Sundays. Significant for the loophole.
Essendon – in Melbourne a lot early and no top 4 opposition in the first 7. Hawks in rd 1 though.
Freo – Loophole champions, freo fans have Friday night as “movie night” locked in for 2017. GC, syd, RICH, ess in the last 4 make their assets notable post bye.
Geelong – Great start with very few tests pre bye then they get the acid tests.
Gold Coast – Plays 5 top 8 sides in the first 8. This ain’t no holiday! Great song. Also, they only have 2 home games in the last 6 rounds.
GWS – First game they play at the G is round 18. However they have perceivably the toughest draw in the comp, playing the other top 4 sides twice. Rounds 7 to 14 look good with a mixed bag for the last 4.
Hawks – Soft start. Post bye the next 6 are tricky. Favourable fixtures rd 3-9 and 20-22 but ending the season up against the Dogs.
Melbourne – First 7 in VIC. Last 3 at the G. Great news for season ticket holders on Mt. Hotham.
Nth – Tough start but softens before the bye. 13 games at Etihad is “noice”. Fairly decent last 6 games.
Port – WTF? China? Really? You’ve ruined Supercoach with this banana skin. I hate you. But as fixtures goes there’s a real bag of mixed lollies for the power – particularly after the bye.
Richmond – Winnable games in the first month should see Hardwick sacked. The games after Round 18 should see his predecessor sacked by round 23. (* I actually like Dimma, I hope I’m wrong.)
Sainters – Very nice last 10 with only 3 tough matchups in my book. Jack Billings has firmed as my mid year trade target.
The Bloods – Looks like they’ll get a good run of wins between rounds 6 and 16, but they play the Hawks at home, then get the bye, followed by the dogs at home in that run. Play Carlton in rd 23. Despite the pre finals bye I’d be wary of “knocks” and “twinges” affecting your GF side.
WCE – pretty good first 3 then a mind boggling 5 day break where they’ll meet the swans at Subi when they get home. Decent run in rounds 14 to 21.
Bullies – Excellent run home. Rounds 13 to 20 should be undefeated, the crows may spoil this party though. Reckon they’ll go back to back too. Just sayin’.