Raging Bull, or Port dressed up as fine Wines?
by Jimmy Luke
The player I’m going to take a look at for the 2017 season is a bloke who may have been a thorn in the side of those Supercoach & AFL Fantasy coaches who had him early on in the 2016 season.
He’s a guy who defies physics to even move at the pace he does around the ground given he has tree trunks for legs. That’s right, it’s The Bull. Ollie Wines. QUADZILLA!!!
This is a guy who had the footy world salivating a while back at the prospect of the greatness he may one day achieve but sadly, at least as far as fantasy relevance is concerned, he’s been below expectations for the last couple of years. Make no mistake about it, the kid is quality. He’s a skilled player and a young leader in a side that promises so much, yet similarly to his supercoach output, doesn’t quite deliver the goods.
Could this be the year The Bull charges into the 100 plus average?
|2017 Supercoach Price:||$533,700|
|2017 Est. Position:||MID|
|Games last season:||22|
|Average in 2016:||98.1|
|100+ games last season:||10|
|Sub 80 games last season:||2|
|Price range in 2016:||$442K – $525K|
|Missed games last season:||zero|
If you were one of the ones who stuck fat with Ollie for the remainder of the 2016 season after some very uninspiring scores of 71 and 62 in rounds 9 and 10 respectively, he turned a corner in the second half of the season. Sure, he had two scores in the 80’s which is not what we’re looking for from someone we forked out $525K for at the start of the year, but if you snapped him up at his lowest price mid-season, you’d have been pleased to have him as a POD in the run home, where he notched up seven of his ten 100 + scores for the year, topping out at 128.
Ollie makes for inspiring viewing as a contested ball mid-fielder, and we know this is an area where supercoach scores can start heading north. However, if he can’t get his efficiency by foot in check his supercoach scores aren’t going anywhere amazing anytime soon.
Ollie will come into the 2017 season at around the same price he started off 2016, meaning his scores went down, then came full circle by the end of the year. We don’t want that as supercoaches – we want a steady trajectory onward and upward towards the $600k and beyond.
Port has been craphouse since their explosive 2014 season, let’s be honest. Losing teams don’t often produce large individual supercoach scores, save for the likes of your super-elites like GAJ and Rockliff – Wines is not in such company yet.
Injury concerns? Nah, he’s had a couple but he’s a tough nut. Played the whole 2016 season. I’d back him to stay fit and firing.
If you pick Ollie in season 2017 you will be hoping that this is his break out year. You will be hoping for an elevation in his average score, an improvement in his kicking efficiency and some explosive supercoach scores. You’ll be hoping, strike that, you’ll be having a punt. In 2017, like last year, and the year before, Ollie will be a POD selection. You’re punting on low % of ownership amongst your competitors and a high supercoach output.
- In the 2016 AFL Prospectus player ratings, @FantasyFreako stated that Ollie’s numbers thus far stacked up alongside a young Joel Selwood, Fyfe, and Chris Judd. The kid is young, and he will improve, that is certain. The question is when, and by how much?
- With Robbie Gray spending a little more time forward of centre, Ollie has become the main man in the middle for Port, and this means more opportunity to rack up those juicy centre stats for supercoach points.
- The guy played 52 games on the trot from debut until injury forced him to have a spell. He played 22 games in 2016, no issues. Did I mention his tree trunk legs? Strong as Oak.
- The best indicator of future output is past output and on that simple analysis, Ollie doesn’t stack up. He hovers around the 100 sc mark, with too many sub 100’s to justify the $$$.
- As a MID only option, there are at least 8 other MID only players you would want to have in your team come supercoach finals time (Danger, Selwood, Pendlebury, Bont, Fyfe, Neale, Rockliff, Gray…) and that’s the aim of the game – how to squeeze the best in to a limited selection.
- Port are on a downward trajectory, and this can have a negative impact on players output.
Wines will not be getting a starting spot in my team in 2017. As far as I’m concerned he’s only going to be worth a look if his price goes down and you’ve got stacks of cash, and maybe you want to try something tricky around the bye period. At the moment Ollies supercoach output is a lot like Ports on field performance – stagnant.
Cracking write up Jimmy Luke. Chat with him below or on Twitter: @ArchersArmy
|This article has been penned as part of the Jock Reynolds Community Series, where anyone from within our proud community can have their say in front of their peers. These men and women have displayed the spirit of togetherness, positivity and community that we value significantly.|
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