Proven goal kicking superstar. Is this the year of the key forward?
by Jimmy Dowland
Jack Riewoldt started 2016 off like a bull at the gate. Then he hit a rough patch at three quarter time of the season.
He has been a relatively consistent scorer for many years, averaging 87.6 over his last 5 years. With a potential closer-to-goal role but still floating up the ground getting touches, I expect this year to be one of his best.
His last 8 matches of the season were pretty ordinary which deflated his price. He ended the 2016 the season with a laughable $369k price tag (seriously laughable). He should be a sweeter and less expensive addition to our forward lines come march community.
I expect Richmond to win more games this year which will only help Jack’s scoring capacity.
| 2017 Price: | $467,400 |
| 2017 Position: | FWD |
| Games last season: | 22 |
| Average in 2016: | 86 |
| 100+ games last season: | 5 (with 5 in the 90s) |
| Sub 80 games last season: | 8 |
| Price range in 2016: | $369K – $516K |
| Missed games last season: | Nil |
| Significant history: |
|
RISK FACTOR
The key forward factor. Consistency is always a worry. Some would argue that his scoring ceiling is a risk. His highest season average of 92.3 was back in 2010 where he averaged 3.5 goals a game.
SELECTION PURPOSE
As we know, picking key forwards is risky business. But I see this year as the change of guard.
Last year, Josh Kennedy averaged close to 100 but the important thing was that he hit close to 10 tons including a 180, 140, 137, 146, 141 proving that along with a couple of poor scores, they go big.
This year I see Jack doing similar things. His goal kicking numbers are set to improve, along with the number of times he gets his hands on the pill.
If you’re picking Jack in your starting side you’re likely in it for the long haul. Some might also consider offloading him after a good run of big scores given he’s shown his price can fluctuate quite a bit from week to week.
THE GOOD
- He’s endured years of putrid delivery. We all know Dusty is a bloody gun, but he chops it up. Cotchin isn’t penetrating coming into forward 50. That could change this year with the addition of Prestia and Caddy to help carry the midfield load.
- Point of difference.
- Durable as buggery. Have a look back at his record – he’s missed one game in six seasons.
- He gathered more disposals in 2016 than in any other season, averaging almost 15 possessions. Good signs.
THE DOWNSIDE
- You’ll ride the highs, but you’ll need to endure the lows. While I reckon things will change in 2017 you have to go in with your eyes wide open
- While $450K is a pretty good price, he has shown that he can get caught in a slump and bottom out around $370K
THE VERDICT
It’s a yes from me. I’m a loyal man with a reasonable set of spuds. I’ll be once again picking him in my Supercoach side for season 2017. Don’t be afraid to follow my lead. Yep. You’ll endure a few low scores. But I’m dead set big on him next year. Just strap yourselves in for the ride and there will plenty of boner inducing scores coming your way ladies and gentleman.
YES
Who’s coming with me??
Jimmy Dowland
 This article has been penned as part of the Jock Reynolds Community Series, where anyone from within our proud community can have their say in front of their peers. These men and women have displayed the spirit of togetherness, positivity and community that we value significantly. |
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28 Comments
Neil demonsdelight · 29/10/2016 at 09:22
Sorry jimmy couldn't disagree more good report but wrong choice .Absolutely sc irrelevant and in a crap team that is poorly coached and will win few games.By now Jimmy and others think me a complete fool but this is my opinion.Losing Lids is going to cruel tiges badly and will heavily rely on Prestia who will find it tough will tiges ruck set up.Sorry folks and Jimmy after your compelling report but a big fat no no no …Consolation Jimmy I was there when Victoria played a shield game with Jackson and Mcintyre as their spinners and a little fat bloke called Warne and I Bagged him too rubbish player ended up the best ..fine judge me .good luck Jimmy.
James Dowland · 29/10/2016 at 16:08
yeah shout mate, just see a big season coming from him and a potential change of guard for the key forward. Main thinking is that with vickery gone, riewoldt will be closer to goal and will get closer to his Coleman medal winning tally goals and along with high disposals. His scores will vary but those times he gets 160's can be game changers.
jockreynolds · 29/10/2016 at 09:39
Good man Jimmy D enjoyed the write up and admire the size of your plums. It's a firm no on my end
James Dowland · 29/10/2016 at 16:08
Fair shout mate, just see potential upside and i'm a bloody passionate tiger and riewoldt lover.
Kev · 29/10/2016 at 09:46
Cracking write up Jimmy. I love/hate Jack being a Tigers man. I was actually a bit surprised when I saw his durability, he has only missed one game since 2010. There's just too many lows in his rollercoaster scoring for me to consider. He just doesn't take the game by scruff on the neck like your Buddy's and JJK's
I took a punt on Tom J Lynch after the byes spat me out completely out of contention last year. For a KPF he gave me no reason not to give him another look this year. Should be around 500k
Filly · 29/10/2016 at 09:58
Great write up JD. The thing is, I disagree and think the Tigers will win less games. No for me. Tigers 14th on ladder in 2017
gator59 · 29/10/2016 at 10:24
Sorry JD No tiger player will get a gig in my side next year..
neil demonsdelight · 29/10/2016 at 10:29
martin/ Rance slight chance gator59
Kev · 29/10/2016 at 11:16
I'll be looking at Prestia if his knee is right
gator59 · 29/10/2016 at 14:24
they probably would be the only exceptions neil.
neil demonsdelight · 29/10/2016 at 20:32
agree had that dud winger a dpp name escapes me plenty like me but I had him all yr cheers
gator59 · 29/10/2016 at 20:50
are you thinking menapoo neil
neil demonsdelight · 30/10/2016 at 16:44
that's him thx
Mac · 29/10/2016 at 12:06
Unless its for Bruyn manoeuvre I say its a no. Key forwards tend to be inconsistent with the exception of Buddy who gets up the ground and does everything.
Watto · 29/10/2016 at 12:15
Hopefully we don't lose too many fwd/mid players otherwise we may have to trust a key forward like Jack Riewoldt
I N Pieman · 29/10/2016 at 14:02
Nice write up JD. Cant see enough value & im sure he'd do my head in & id have to trade him. Same as what Rich did to me this season
James Dowland · 29/10/2016 at 16:09
fair shout pieman
I N Pieman · 29/10/2016 at 19:07
Having said that if the mid/fwds disappear then he could easily be a top 8 fwd option. See how it pans out. But as you've stated he drops big at some point & that might be the time to pick him off
James Dowland · 29/10/2016 at 16:09
Thanks mate much appreciated
MOC · 29/10/2016 at 17:57
As much as I love jack and I see some method to your madness, he's too inconsistent. Only two key forwards I'm considering next year: Buddy and big Tom Lynch.
neil demonsdelight · 29/10/2016 at 20:34
brunn or similar remember the bruynn move
Trevor · 29/10/2016 at 21:35
Thanks Jim but this is the wrong riewoldt. The ideal F7 if you can get him for less than 350k otherwise tie a bag of concrete to him and he'll make a reasonable anchor
wombatsfc · 29/10/2016 at 22:16
Hi Jimmy I reckon you must be a tigers fan to be considering Jack for 2017 his best was 5-6 years ago. He had an ankle reco and a finger fused at seasons end. He's a bit of a sook who grabs the first excuse to put in a half effort so expect to see heaps of limping and finger grabbing over the first 10 rounds.
On the upside he seems to have recovered from the sulkiness he used to display when teammates got more media attention than him. Tigers may as well trade Jack for a signed photo of Nick and put Hampson at FF
Drflozz · 29/10/2016 at 23:51
No. closer to goal the more he'll struggle
Gaveday · 30/10/2016 at 08:09
Onya Jimmy D. Nice read. But I couldn't possibly pick a Richmond KP FWD in my life time. Scarred by Richo.
Dusty my only tiger lock ATM.
Steeeve · 31/10/2016 at 15:07
Doesn't matter if he plays all 22 games each year. By the time SC finals roll around he should be on your bench anyway. Will cost $450k and is worth $450k.
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Better idea.
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