THE PANIC ROOM – Round 19
STEF MARTIN DOWN, I REPEAT, STEFAN MARTIN IS DOWN.
Took a hit to the hip after bashing his way through the bad bombers last week, and he’s left a gaping, Stefan-sized hole in the ruck-lines of thousands of Supercoachers on the week we really need to push – be it in our leagues or in our last CoachKings venue qualifying rounds.
But we can’t dwell on the enorminity of the moment because there’s a lot of news that’s newsworthy so let’s get straight into said newsworthy news and stop reading long pedantic sentences designed to make you as out of breath so it seems like we’re rushing into the news because IT’S IMPORTANT
To channel the immortal words of Brian Taylor; boy oh boy, wowee.
As mentioned, Stef Martin will miss for the Lions with a hip complaint, making way for Archie Smith to debut as not simply Brisbane’s solo ruckman, but – as they play Port – the only recognised ruckman in the game.
On top of that, Brett the “eh stuff this football business” Deledio is now out indefinitely. He’s like the guy who constantly takes sick days at work because he has “a cold”, but you know he’s going to the snow and the only reason he’s cold is because he’s whizzing down Hotham’s slopes at 80km/h.
But this isn’t some office job, Brett. THIS IS BLOODY SUPERCOACH. FIFTY THOUSAND DOLLARYDOOS ARE ON THE LINE. BLOODY PRIDE IS ON THE LINE. PULL YA HEAD IN YA MUG.
…happy thoughts, Patch… …happy thoughts… …happy thoughts…
AND WE’RE BACK – anyone who invested in Doggie defenders this year (even after I told you not to when we lost Johanissen, Murphy, Adams and Suckling in the space of 10 days earlier in the year) will be hit again this week, as Matt Suckling and Matthew Boyd both have lower leg injuries and will miss their do-or-die clash with the cats.
Both are listed as soreness, so should both be held if possible – but as Lek said on Twitter last night, Suckling and Achilles are not two words we’d prefer to hear in the same sentence. (As a disclaimer, I’ve got both. I’m fully aware I just told everyone who still had them off. I’m also an idiot who doesn’t listen to my advice either, welcome to the club.)
Sydney’s ruckmen are suffering whatever the Dog’s defenders are, as Callum Sinclair will miss a month of footy after undergoing surgery on his knee. Let’s hope there’s not something in the water up there, as this gives Naismith and Nankervis time to shore up their positions.
Speaking of the Swans, captain Jarryd McVeigh has returned for the Bloods, but looked ginger at training during the week and didn’t go through full paces. Beware of the late out on their trip over to face Fremantle.
Can’t see them taking McVeigh to Perth. Expecting him to miss. https://t.co/ad08pRLEyE
— Fantasy Freako (@FantasyFreako) July 28, 2016
Jason Castagna, Ruben William and Mitch Brown will all miss this week through various omissions and minor tweaks, making potential backline CARNAGE for some of us on top of the two missing Dogs. Connor Blakey has also been dropped, for those that picked him up.
In good news, Luke Dahlhaus is back for the Dogs. With a massive breakeven, those with trades could be salivating at the prospect of Lukey D down near 440k.
The Pies have been forced to make a trio of changes, with Jarryd Blair, Alex Fasolo and Ben Sinclair all missing this week, and Jack Redden also misses. Majak Daw misses, and The Dish Drew Petrie (not the movie, you numnut) is back for Boomer’s milestone game, and that’s the most of it.
ALSO – I missed the return of Bachar Houli (cheers to those that pointed him out!) Don’t do it. Just don’t. Give him a week minimum.
THE PATCH UP
How good was Adam Schneider patching up the podcast this week? Dead-set legend for jumping into the hot seat in the absence of Peter Higgo.
I must say, I’m disappointed Higgo would take an unexplained absence at such a crucial time of the season. He’s broken into the top 500, and instead of chasing points he’s chasing tail.
Tsk, tsk, Higgo. Whatever would Mother think?
My advice this week is to be smart. Whether you’re chasing a spot in the top 8 of your league, your top 4 or a spot in the top 100 – look at those who you’re chasing (or those who are nipping at your heels) and go for points of difference over them.
The time of trading in the top players has gone, and as discussed on the Pod with Jock and Schneids, we need blokes who will come home strong. One bloke I’ve jumped on is Tom Lynch; as I messaged in on the pod, he’s averaging 122 over the past 3, 110 over the past 5 and comes up against Melbourne, GWS, the Dons, Pies and Port on the way home.
Corey Enright is a huge POD down back who will bring you home strong, and JPK is an unsung hero in the midfield over the past month, with nearly a 130 average over the past 5, and only 5.6% ownership. If he’s too dear, Bryce Gibbs at 511k is averaging 110 over the same journey and has less than 5% ownership, and after Hawthorn this week plays the Saints, Lions, Demons and Essendon in his last 4.
If you want the full rookie rundown, wrench your eyes away from these words and go read better words by Barron von Crow in his rookie report this week – but if you need to get onto Sam Naismith or Brendan Whitecross this week.
Otherwise, keep an eye on Luke Dahlhaus with a breakeven of 187, who may drop down as low as 440k in the next two weeks. A lot of midfielders who have had sub-par weeks in Paddy Dangerfield, Dan Hannebery, Rory Sloane and Lachie Neale all have breakevens over 140.
Oh Captain, my captain. Popular choices all flopped last week, and it was those with less conventional choices like Jimmy Bartel or Matt Priddis on the VC did well and avoided a very un-Danger like score this week.
Otherwise, those of us who dug into the Essendon-Brisbane game for captaincy selections won some hard-fought Supercoach points (which was about the only good thing to come out of that otherwise shocking game of football) from Zac Merrett or Tom Rockliff.
I’d back Rocky in again this week against Port at home, and would have a look at JPK if you’re lucky enough to have him. But I’d be avoiding Priddis and Dusty this week on the road. Scott Pendlebury also presents an option. I’m personally going Rory Sloane this week – at this stage. Should run rampant through the meadows of the Adelaide Oval.
However, we can’t ignore the Friday night game this week – Enright’s record breaker and Bartel’s 300th present too big a stage. Down at the Cattery will give Geelong a bigger lift, too. I’d almost be tempted to put the VC on Joel Selwood or Jimmy Bartel ahead of Paddy tonight. Almost.
If you need a win, play it aggressively this week. Go a POD VC choice. #YOLO it up, as the sage Lekdog would say.
Otherwise, play it safe and chuck the VC on the Dangerous One.
Farewell for the week, community. Get down and get into some CoachKings venues. Get into a Venue Final. Get into the CoachKings Cup. Get around each other.
6.00 edit – no major news on the late sides, but for those hoping Sam Grimely would earn a reprieve, we need to keep hoping, he’s an emergency. Wayne Milera is also out for those whom are concerned my that.