The Rookie Scout: Round 16
Good riddance to the bye rounds!
I imagine that’s what most of us who play fantasy football (and probably most of the footy watching public) will be saying now that it is Round 16 and those annoying bye rounds are over. We’re back to a full schedule from here, no more of this “best 18” rubbish, just stick the best of the best on the park and let ‘em rip.
Now, the fact that it is Round 16 means it may be a bit of a “cooling off” period for our sides, where we start to try and conserve trades for the finals, because you know some tosspot is going to look at his side and drop a bunch of blokes in Round 23 (I suppose that’s one bonus of Freo being out of the finals race!), so we should start looking at rounding out our final “upgrade” trades around this point of the year. That’ll mean we’ll still need some cash, so downgrade options become super critical at this point of the year, as well as having guys on the bench who can put up useable scores should the worst happen.
We’ve also got ANOTHER Thursday night game on the schedule this week.
Bad news is it means lockout is one day earlier, but the really really good news is that CoachKings @ Home is again open, so you can not only watch Hawthorn VS Port from the comfort of your own home and away from all this bad weather, but you can also play CoachKings and be in the running for some terrific cash prizes. So make sure you enter your side and so you can go and prove that you are the best CoachKing player in the country.
OK, onto the rookies!
Tom PhillipsSC Price: $117,300 | AF Price: $179,000 | CoachKings Price: $4,400 Round 15 Stats: 12 disposals, 4 marks, 2 tackles, 28 SCPoints, 44 AFPoints, 19 CKPoints
His ownership percentage went up from 12.1% in Round 14 to 31.8% in Round 15, and how did Phillips pay back the 20% of all Supercoach teams who brought him in for Round 15? By scoring 28 SCPoints. Bah to him! 4 clangers would have definitely hurt his score and he only had 63% ToG, but it’s a disappointing return, especially during a bye week, but we must forge ahead and hope for the best from Phillips. At least he’ll likely now be on our bench this week.
Jade GreshamSC Price: $292,700 | AF Price: $301,000 | CoachKings Price: $5,400 FEATURED COACHKINGS CONTEST: Sunday, Essendon VS St Kilda. Round 15 Stats: 16 disposals, 3 tackles, 1 goal, 76 SCPoints, 58 AFPoints, 76 CKPoints
Another good game from Gresham, who has really started to perform on the field after some quiet games to begin his career. His year average is 55 SCPoints, but his 5 round average is now sitting up at 69 and includes scores of 82 and 76 in his last two games. Still has decent ownership at 10.8% and his BE is only 17 this week. He’s been on a bit of a roll as of late, so could make an OK selection in CoachKings, especially with the Saints taking on Essendon.
Darcy ParishSC Price: $314,700 | AF Price: $341,000 | CoachKings Price: $5,100 FEATURED COACHKINGS CONTEST: Sunday, Essendon VS St Kilda Round 15 Stats: 13 disposals, 1 mark, 4 tackles, 53 SCPoints, 48 AFPoints, 41 CKPoints
Another quiet game from Parish, with just the 13 disposals for his second game in a row and scoring 53 SCPoints for his second game in a row. Might have hit a bit of a “rookie wall”, which is completely understandable for such a young kid who has done so much work. His BE is 83 this week, which he doesn’t show current signs of reaching, so another downgrade option if you have him still. He’s a good price in CoachKings, but his performances have been sub-par as of late, so it’s a tough selection to make.
Callum MillsSC Price: $364,400 | AF Price: $337,000 | CoachKings Price: $7,200 FEATURED COACHKINGS CONTEST: Friday, Geelong VS Sydney Round 15 Stats: 18 disposals, 8 marks, 1 tackle, 3 rebound 50’s, 92 SCPoints, 74 AFPoints, 132 CKPoints
Almost amazing this bloke doesn’t have a Rising Star nomination yet, he has been terrific this year, especially for a rookie player. He was again very good against the Bulldogs, scoring 92 SCPoints after having 89 the week before against Melbourne. His BE is down to 37 at the moment, so there’s a slight chance he could crack the 400K mark. At his current price I would probably skip him in CoachKings this week, with the Swans having a tough matchup against Geelong at Skilled Stadium.
Mitch McGovernSC Price: $316,600 | AF Price: $312,000 | CoachKings Price: $6,800 FEATURED COACHKINGS CONTEST: Sunday, Carlton VS Adelaide Round 15 Stats: 11 disposals, 3 marks, 2 goals, 6 tackles, 73 SCPoints, 74 AFPoints, 111 CKPoints
It might be the increased tackle count that McGovern has been able to produce that has him scoring a bit more highly recently (though the goals help too!), recording 5 and 6 tackles in his last two games. His BE is at 32 this week, which he should beat, but you’ll definitely need to think about moving him on. Maybe next week a McGovern for Silvagni trade might be on the cards? In CoachKings he’s a fair price, but his contested marking has seen him put up some good scores in that format.
Connor MenadueSC Price: $289,200 | AF Price: $270,000 | CoachKings Price: $4,600 FEATURED COACHKINGS CONTEST: Saturday, Western Bulldogs VS Richmond Round 15 Stats: 13 disposals, 4 marks, 2 tackles, 50 SCPoints, 48 AFPoints, 49 CKPoints
Connor MakesMeWannaSpew… Good lord, this guy’s name is so versatile for how he plays on a week to week basis. A tad harsh on him, but I’m sure many would have been a bit disappointed to see his scores dip back into the 50’s after scoring 130 SCPoints against Brisbane. That big score is still in his rolling average however, so he has a BE of just -7 this week, though once that is out his BE is likely to jump up to the high 70’s. So maybe hold for one more week pending the guys on the bubble and squeeze one more price rise out of him. You could take a gamble on him in CoachKings for the Saturday night game, but history has shown he probably won’t produce a Round 14 like effort.
Sam KerridgeSC Price: $419,500 | AF Price: $437,000 | CoachKings Price: $6,400 FEATURED COACHKINGS CONTEST: Sunday, Carlton VS Adelaide Round 15 Stats: 20 disposals, 5 marks, 1 tackle, 55 SCPoints, 63 AFPoints, 50 CKPoints
It looks like I traded him out at the right time last week (though it’s not like Montagna did much better!) with The Kedge producing his lowest Supercoach score of the season. He was let down by his disposal efficiency, which was at just 55%, as well as having 16 uncontested possessions. His BE has now shot up to 115, which even if he has a really big game he might struggle to meet. Might be the time to upgrade him before he potentially tumbles down in price again. Tough pick in CoachKings, he’s done well in the past, but has been on a bit of a downward trend lately, so my initial reaction is to skip him, though I do imagine he’ll be looking to put on a big performance against his old side.
Jack SilvagniSC Price: $117,300 | AF Price: $146,000 | CoachKings Price: $3,600 FEATURED COACHKINGS CONTEST: Sunday, Carlton VS Adelaide Round 15 Stats: 15 disposals, 5 marks, 4 tackles, 4 inside 50’s, 70 SCPoints, 76 AFPoints, 59 CKPoints
A terrific debut for the 18 year old, who didn’t look like he had any issues playing at AFL level at all. He’s only had the 1 game, which means there’s no immediate rush to bring him in unless you’ve looking at making critical upgrades this week and his BE of -70 means he’ll likely have a very nice price rise. As long as he looks to play out the rest of the year he’s the perfect downgrade and bench cover option we need to be looking for at this time of the year. He’s looking like a bargain selection in CoachKings, though the Crows will have a few good talls to put on him
Christian PetraccaSC Price: $353,100 | AF Price: $347,000 | CoachKings Price: $6,900 Round 15 Stats: 17 disposals, 1 mark, 3 tackles, 53 SCPoints, 54 AFPoints, 50 CKPoints
Just his 4th game where he hasn’t gotten a goal, he’s tended to score slightly lower in those games, so it may not be a total surprise he had just the 53 SCPoints. He did have a bit of extra work in the clearances, nabbing 4, but 4 clangers probably nullified that in the end too. His BE is 86 this week, so there’s a good chance he could lose a bit of cash and could be on the chopping block.
Jacob WeiteringSC Price: $333,700 | AF Price: $312,000 | CoachKings Price: $5,900 FEATURED COACHKINGS CONTEST: Sunday, Carlton VS Adelaide Round 15 Stats: 10 disposals, 5 marks, 49 SCPoints, 40 AFPoints, 48 CKPoints
Might be hitting that “rookie wall” we talked about with Parish, which is totally understandable, he’s a young kid who has done a huge amount of work in his first year. He lost $13.8K and has a BE of 81 this week. He’s still in 22.2% of teams, but looks like he’s peaked for the year. He could be an OK selection in CoachKings, though he is starting to slow up just a tad.
Anthony McDonald-TipungwutiSC Price: $366,800 | AF Price: $337,000 | CoachKings Price: $6,500 FEATURED COACHKINGS CONTEST: Sunday, Essendon VS St Kilda Round 15 Stats: 10 disposals, 2 marks, 4 tackles, 37 SCPoints, 45 AFPoints, 29 CKPoints
That’d be a disappointing return for Walla, especially since a lot would have started him on field with the bye rounds. Statistically that’s probably his worst game since Round 1, but it’s hard to get too angry with him since he’s treated us well for the majority of the year and done what we brought him in to do. His BE is 109 this week, with his ownership percentage being at 33.1%, so he’s a perfect guy to look at upgrading. You certainly wouldn’t pick him in CoachKings after last weeks effort, but it is a new week, so he could be an OK selection down back.
Matt DeaSC Price: $368,600 | AF Price: $378,000 | CoachKings Price: $7,500 FEATURED COACHKINGS CONTEST: Sunday, Essendon VS St Kilda Round 15 Stats: 16 disposals, 8 marks, 4 rebound 50s, 75 SCPoints, 65 AFPoints, 95 CKPoints
A decent game from Dea, who scored right around his year average of 74.3 SCPoints. He did lose a tiny bit of cash, but it was minimal and now that the bye rounds are done with the 13.3% of teams still with Dea in their sides could probably think about moving him on. His BE is 52 this week, so he’ll keep for a bit longer if you really need to hold onto him for another week. For CoachKings, if I had to pick between Dea and Walla then I’d save the extra $1,000 and pick McDonald-Tipungwuti instead.
Nathan BroadSC Price: $117,300 | AF Price: $153,000 | CoachKings Price: $4,200 FEATURED COACHKINGS CONTEST: Saturday, Western Bulldogs VS Richmond Round 15 Stats: 12 disposals, 3 marks, 1 tackle, 53 SCPoints, 38 AFPoints, 74 CKPoints
Broad is on the bubble this week and has had two OK games so far this year with scores of 66 and 53 SCPoints. More importantly, you’d suspect that now Richmond have dumped any plans of making the finals his JS would be raised just a bit more. Either way, he’s a downgrade option just when we need one, so I imagine his ownership percentage will jump up a fair bit more than its current number of 7.2%. It’s quite easy to do Adams down to Broad and then upgrade another one of your rookies. Would be a definite consider in CoachKings.
Darcy Byrne-JonesSC Price: $321,400 | AF Price: $320,000 | CoachKings Price: $5,700 FEATURED COACHKINGS CONTEST: Thursday, Port Adelaide VS Hawthorn Round 15 Stats: 15 disposals, 1 mark, 2 tackles, 70 SCPoints, 53 AFPoints, 69 CKPoints
DBJ continued with his steady play this year, and produced a decent score after a couple of rough games in the previous fortnight. His average for the year is 71.8 in Supercoach and his BE is 74 this week, which is achievable for him, but shows that the 15.1% of teams that are still playing with DBJ need to think about moving him on. He’s had some success in CoachKings over the recent weeks, so might be one to pick if you can’t afford a really great scoring defender.
Marcus AdamsSC Price: $360,200 | AF Price: $307,000 | CoachKings Price: $7,000 Round 15 Stats: 13 disposals, 2 marks, 3 tackles, 50 SCPoints, 51 AFPoints, 55 CKPoints
Adams could only produce the 50 SCPoints, which was a season low for him, but more importantly than that it looks like he’ll miss the next two weeks with a foot injury, which should essentially end his fantasy football season for us. He didn’t bleed too much cash, only losing $11K, but has a BE of 104 when he returns. He’s a perfect guy to upgrade and because of his dual position eligibility you can either go DEF or FWD with him.
Mason CoxSC Price: $279,100 | AF Price: $254,000 | CoachKings Price: $6,100 Round 15 Stats: 2 disposals, 2 marks, 3 tackles, 8 hitouts, 47 SCPoints, 31 AFPoints, 36 CKPoints
A very quiet game for Coxy, but I suppose that’s the advantage of him taking some time to spell Grundy in the ruck, he can still get a couple of points there if he isn’t kicking goals. His BE is up to 48 this week, but it’s a tough one with Cox. He’s in 29.9% of teams, so he’s still heavily owned, but ruck cover is rare as hens teeth at the moment, so he might be worth holding on to just so you can cover your butt should the worst happen for a week.
THE BEST OF THE REST…
Michael Hartley – Wasn’t much going on for the Bombers VS West Coast and Hartley wasn’t much different with just 7 disposals and 4 marks for 46 SCPoints. Awful in AFL Fantasy with only 25 AFPoints. He’s still in 8.2% of teams and his BE is 52, but he’s on to look at downgrading for some cash if you need it.
Mitch Brown – Probably the standard for Brown, scoring 54 SCPoints from 9 disposals, 4 marks and a goal. He’s probably in the same position as Hartley, his ownership is still a little high at 24%, with a BE of 53, but you probably aren’t going to get much more from him.
Jayden Short – Has started to put some OK scores up in his last 3 games, scoring 82 and 75 SCPoints in that time. He had 15 disposals, 4 marks and a goal VS Port Adelaide. His BE is 29 this week, which he should easily beat with his current form.
Logan Austin – Does a lot of defensive work, but the offense just isn’t there at the moment, with two games in a row of 5 disposals and 41 SCPoints. He’s killing the 1%ers, but just needs to find the ball a few more times to boost his scores a tad. Still, with Hombsch being out another 2-3 weeks with a calf injury he should maintain his spot in the short term.
Tom Lee- Lee played his 4th game of the year, but hasn’t exactly set the world on fire in his 3rd and 4th games, so is priced at just $171K at the moment. He had 8 disposals, 4 marks and 44 SCPoints against the Suns, but already faces a BE of 45 due to the injury he suffered against Carlton that saw him score 14 points. That’ll roll out in another week though.
Jack Lonie – Back after a 6 week hiatus, Lonie scored pretty well in Supercoach, with 73 SCPoints, but only the 50 in AFL Fantasy. He had 14 disposals, 1 goal and 1 tackle for the game against the Suns.
Callum Ah Chee – CAC was pretty good against the Saints with 12 disposals, 4 marks and 4 inside 50’s, but was a bit inaccurate in front of goal, kicked 1.3. At the very least, he’s starting to get the pill at bit more, with tallies of 12 and 20 disposals in his last two games, whereas he had sub 10 disposal tallies in 5 of his previous 6 games.
Peter Wright – Saints usually have some troubles against sides with some tall timber in their forward line, so it’s not totally surprising that Wright managed to kicked 3.1 against them. He also had 14 disposals and took 10 marks for 104 SCPoints and 88 AFPoints. Good game for him and one that saw him rise in price by $28K and push his breakeven down to 15. Would definitely have to consider him in the CoachKings Gold Coast VS Brisbane matchup.
Ryan Davis – Really struggled against the Hawks in Round 14, so the Suns would be happy with his game against the Saints. He had 14 disposals, 3 marks, 2 tackles and a goal, along with 5 inside 50’s for 85 SCPoints. Missed his BE by just a smidge and it’s at 65 this week, which might be right at his limit.
Jesse Joyce – Had his 4th game in a row now and it was probably more of the same from him. He had 15 disposals and 5 marks for 51 SCPoints. Still at a downgrade price of $147K, though he’s only averaging 39 SCPoints for the season and has a BE of -16.
Toby Nankervis – Again helped out in the ruck and had 10 disposals, 6 tackles and 11 hitouts for 70 SCPoints. Has been solid for the Swannies in his 3 games this year.
James Rose – Rose had 13 disposals, 4 marks and 4 tackles, along with 5 inside 50’s and 2 goal assists for 59 SCPoints. Probably a bit too expensive at this stage for a downgrade target since he is now up at $239K.
George Hewett – Had one of his better games over the last month against the Bulldogs with 15 disposals, 5 marks and 5 tackles for 68 SCPoints. BE is just 30 this week, so will have another price rise in him, though he did just lose $11.6K.
Josh Smith – He always gets a decent number of disposals, but his Supercoach output can vary wildly based on how well he uses it. He had 18 disposals and 2 marks for 70 SCPoints last week, which is pretty good considering he has scored in the 40’s off of the same number of disposals before. BE is 29 this week, but he’s near peaked in his price.
Liam Sumner – Mark down a score in the 50’s and move on. That seems to be his MO this year. Sumner had just 6 disposals with 3 marks and 3 tackles, but scored 53 SCPoints, probably helped slightly by the 3 frees for he received.
Ciaran Byrne – Bad news from Byrne who has suffered an ACL injury and will now miss the rest of the season. He’s not heavily owned, appearing in just 4.6% of teams, but those with him will need to move him out ASAP.
Jayden Hunt – Gave the Crows some real troubles at times with his speed and had a pretty good game with 14 disposals, 3 marks, 3 tackles and a goal for 70 SCPoints.
Oscar McDonald – Hit 15 disposals again last week, but the difference was against Sydney he had 10 kicks and 5 handballs for 79 SCPoints, whereas last week he had 5 kicks and 10 handballs for just 59 SCPoints. BE is 55 this week, which he should beat, so if you have McDonald and others like Adams/Walla/Weitering/Dea etc I would probably prioritize moving them on first.
Ben Kennedy – Kennedy had 17 disposals, 3 marks, 4 inside 50’s and a goal against the Crows, but could only produce 67 SCPoints. His BE is 88 this week, so I’d probably expect him to dip in price a tad. Still owned by 16.2% of teams, which seems awfully high to me.
ROUND 14 BUBBLE BOYS
Nathan Broad – $117K – DEF
Aliir Aliir – $123K – DEF
Corey Wagner – $113K – MID
Eli Templeton – $196K – FWD
Eric Hipwood – $162K – FWD
Round 14 TRADE OUT TARGETS
Sam Kerridge – $419K – 115 BE
Anthony McDonald-Tipungwuti – $366K – 109 BE
Marcus Adams – $360K – 104 BE
Clayton Oliver – $308K – 89 BE
Ben Kennedy – $324K – 88 BE
Christian Petracca – $353K – 86 BE
Darcy Parish – $314K – 83 BE
Jacob Weitering – $333K – 81 BE
Josh Wagner – $341K – 76 BE
AROUND THE GROUNDS…
Kieran Collins – Good game for Collins with 25 disposals, 8 marks and 3 tackles as Footscray lost to Coburg 73-85.
James Polkinghorne – Had 26 disposals, 2 marks, 5 tackles and kicked a goal as Essendon lost to Port Melbourne 73-80.
Connor McKenna – He had 23 disposals, 2 marks and 2 tackles playing across half back for the Essendon VFL side.
Jake Long – Long had 22 disposals, 8 marks and 4 inside 50’s
Took some nice intercept marks across half back and his AFL debut looks like it will be coming very soon.
Sam Grimley – Kicked 2.3 as well as having 10 disposals, 7 marks and 3 hitouts.
Rupert Wills – He had 22 disposals, 6 marks, 2 tackles and kicked 1.1 as the Collingwood VFL side defeated the Northern Blues 99-86.
Matthew Goodyear – Goodyear had 17 disposals, 1 marks, 2 tackles and 4 inside 50’s. Also had 3 frees against.
Billy Gowers – A good game for Gowers with 23 disposals, 5 marks, 3 tackles and 6 rebound 50’s for the Northern Blues.
Dillon Viojo-Rainbow – Probably a bit disappointing from Skittles after his recent run of good games, but he had just 11 disposals, 2 marks and 3 tackles for the Northern Blues.
Matthew Korcheck – The Blues version of Mason Cox (except he’s from Arizona, so he should be used to Australian summers), he had just the 6 disposals and 18 hitouts as he shared the ruck load with Cam Wood for the Northern Blues.
Eli Templeton – Doing everything he possibly can do to earn an AFL recall, Templeton led the Sandringham Zebras with 34 disposals, 6 marks, 7 tackles and 6 inside 50’s as the Zebras defeated the Dolphins 116-56.
Nick O’Learney – He’s on the Saints rookie list, but has had a few good performances recently, he had 26 disposals, 6 marks, 9 tackles and kicked 1.2 vs Frankston.
Josh Saunders – Saunders had 20 disposals, 3 marks and 5 tackles.
Jason Castagna – Very good game for Castagna, kicking 3 goals as well as having 23 disposals, 4 marks, 4 tackles and 4 inside 50’s. He’s still on the bubble after having played in Rounds 6 and 7.
Liam McBean – Kicked 2.2 as well as having 20 disposals, 4 marks and 3 hitouts. Has been a bit up and down in the VFL this year.
Oleg Markov – He had 18 disposals, 4 marks and 6 tackles as the Richmond VFL side was narrowly defeaten by the Casey Scorpions 76-78.
Adam Marcon – Had a decent day with 17 disposals, 2 marks and 2 tackles, but suffered a shoulder injury in the 3rd term and played sparingly after that.
Daniel Rioli – Made his return to footy after a week off via the VFL and was busy, with 13 disposals, and 12 tackles. Also kicked the ball the wrong way from a stoppage into the Casey Scorpions forward 50, which resulted in a goal for the Scorpions. Whoops!
Clayton Oliver – Having a break from AFL action and back in the VFL with Casey, he had 25 disposals, 3 marks, 11 tackles and 3 inside 50’s.
Jack Trengove – Was at the MCG until the game started, so he only played the second half of the VFL game and had 14 disposals, 2 marks and 5 tackles.
BYE – Geelong, Box Hill (Hawthorn), Werribee (North Melbourne),
Jesse Palmer – Big game for Palmer with 22 disposals, 11 marks, 4 tackles and 3 rebound 50’s as the Port Adelaide Magpies had a good win over Central Districts 98-59.
John Butcher – Might narrowly fit in as a downgrade option at $238K, but he had a big game for the Maggies, kicking 6.2, along with 14 disposals and 9 marks. Has kicked 28.18 in the SANFL this year.
Billy Frampton – Led the rucks for the Magpies and had 18 disposals, 7 marks and 20 hitouts.
Harry Dear – Big game for Dear, who seemed to really take control of the forward line once Luke Lowden went down in the 2nd quarter with an injury. He kicked 6.2 and had 15 disposals, 8 marks and 4 tackles. He’s kicked 18.11 now in 11 SANFL games.
Keenan Ramsey – Played the first half in defense, but moved forward once Lowden went down. He had 14 disposals, 5 marks and kicked 2 goals as the Adelaide reserves defeated North Adelaide 78-63.
Dean Gore – A bit more involved last week with 24 possessions (12 contested, which was a game high) as well as 5 marks and 2 tackles.
Wayne Milera – Found plenty of the ball with 24 disposals, as well as 6 marks, 3 tackles and 8 inside 50’s.
Tom Doedee – Was named in the Crows best again last week and had 19 disposals, 5 marks and 5 tackles.
Reilly O’Brien – Spent a bit more time forward this week, with Paul Hunter and O’Brien rotating the ruck duties, but his around the ground work was better with 14 disposals, 6 marks, 4 tackles and 20 hitouts.
Brant Colledge – Led East Perth with 32 disposals, as well as 6 marks, 3 tackles, 6 inside 50’s, 5 rebound 50’s and kicked 1.2
Paddy Brophy – Brophy had 19 disposals, 3 rebound 50’s and 4 marks as East Perth defeated South Fremantle 86-70.
BYE – Fremantle
Joshua Schoenfeld – Big game for Schoenfeld with 27 disposals, 13 marks and kicked a pair of goals.
Mackenzie Willis – Willis had 22 disposals, 3 marks, 2 tackles, 3 rebound 50’s and a goal as the Gold Coast reserves defeated Southport 95-62.
Jack Hiscox – Led the Sydney reserves with 29 disposals and also had 9 marks, 3 tackles, 8 inside 50’s and kicked 1.2
Aliir Aliir – Good game for Aliir as he looks to force his way back into the AFL side, he finished with 26 disposals, 8 marks and 6 rebound 50’s as Sydney defeated the NT Thunder 127-61.
Nic Newman – Newman had 26 disposals, 5 marks, 4 tackles and kicked a goal.
Jordan Foote – Kicked 2.1 as well as having 19 disposals, 4 marks and 14 tackles.
Tom Papley – Also kicked 2.1 as well as having 17 disposals, 5 marks and 3 tackles.
Sam Naismith – Lead ruck for the Swans reserves now, he had 10 disposals, 6 marks, 9 tackles and 36 hitouts.
Bye – Brisbane, GWS