The Rookie Scout: Round 11
Ryan Davis scored 90 SCPoints in Round 10… Ryan Davis scored 90 SCPoints which made him the highest scoring rookie last week.
Ryan Davis scored 90 SCPoints, which was higher than what Heath Shaw, Matthew Boyd, Kade Simpson, Callan Ward, Patrick Cripps, Marcus Bontempelli, Luke Parker, Jack Viney, Joel Selwood, Zach Merrett, Michael Barlow, Taylor Adams, Steven Motlop, Shane Mumford, Tom Liberatore, Ollie Wines, Toby Greene and Sam Jacobs could manage.
That’s the sort of week we were dealing with in Round 10, where a guy who had 2 scores in the 30’s in his previous 3 games played and was averaging 51 SCPoints become not only the highest scoring rookie, but outscored a host of heavily owned premium players.
We also had rookies who had been on quite a roll lately like Ben Kennedy, Sam Kerridge, Christian Petracca and Matthew Dea score poorly, while others like Marcus Adams and Darcy Byrne-Jones were a bit kinder and bounced back with some good scores. We also have the possibility of a few more debuts on the cards for 2016, with Aaron Francis from the Bombers, the #6 pick in this years draft looking close to playing his first AFL game, and with the suspension and injury to Jack Viney there is a good chance that Jack Trengove could soon play his first AFL game since Round 2 in 2014.
Callum MillsSC Price: $318,300 | AF Price: $311,000 | CoachKings Price: $5,200 FEATURED COACHKINGS CONTEST: Saturday, Gold Coast VS Sydney Round 10 Stats: 18 disposals, 4 marks, 4 tackles, 5 rebound 50’s, 69 SCPoints, 75 AFPoints, 83 CKPoints
Just the 4 contested possessions from Mills on the weekend saw his Supercoach output lowered a tad, but a score in the high 60’s is just about what we’d expect from Mills on a regular day. That was enough for him to gain $7.2K in Supercoach and his BE remains at a very achievable 47. It’s Round 12 that starts to present the problem where scores in the 60’s will see his BE push up to also be in the mid 60’s, low 70’s range. Sydney has the BYE in Round 14, so it’s a tough call for the 18.6% of Supercoachers that own him. As long as he hits near his year average of 68 he won’t bleed too much cash and that means you might be able to carry him until the bye round and trade him out then.
Christian PetraccaSC Price: $277,200 | AF Price: $335,000 | CoachKings Price: $6,200 Round 10 Stats: 14 disposals, 2 marks, 1 tackle, 2 inside 50’s, 51 SCPoints, 40 AFPoints, 43 CKPoints
Petracca, the 3rd most owned player in Supercoach, had one of his quieter games in his short career. It’s probably telling of his skill that 8 of his 14 disposals were involved in Melbourne kicking a goal however. His BE is 10, which will easily see him sail through the bye rounds and into the last 3rd of the season. Very good chance he’s one of the last blokes you upgrade in your side.
Jacob HopperSC Price: $247,000 | AF Price: $312,000 | CoachKings Price: $5,200 Round 10 Stats: 16 disposals, 3 marks, 1 goal, 3 inside 50’s, 57 SCPoints, 58 AFPoints, 67 CKPoints
Hopper has seen his ownership percentage climb to 25% in 2 weeks after his score of 106 against the Gold Coast and is now owned by 27.2% of all Supercoachers. It’s probably not a surprise he got his best score against the Gold Coast, as he got plenty of run in the middle against a depleted side. Since then he’s played the Western Bulldogs and Adelaide Crows and his scores have slowly declined. He’ll have another tough game against Geelong in Geelong to contend with this week. His BE is just 17 though, so he’ll still likely jump up another $20-$25K.
Darcy ParishSC Price: $328,900 | AF Price: $349,000 | CoachKings Price: $5,300 Round 10 Stats: 25 disposals, 7 marks, 2 goals, 2 inside 50’s, 2 goals, 67 SCPoints, 93 AFPoints, 86 CKPoints
A disappointing result for Parish in Supercoach compared to AFL Fantasy, he had 25 disposals and a 50/50 split between kicks and handballs, a pair of goals, 7 marks and 7 goal involvements. His DE was just 60% and he also had 3 clangers and just 6 contested possessions, but I would have still hoped for a better score from him. He lost $900 and now has a BE of 80. For the 12.9% of teams that still have Parish I think now would be the time you look at moving him on.
Sam KerridgeSC Price: $387,800 | AF Price: $423,000 | CoachKings Price: $5,600 Round 10 Stats: 14 disposals, 1 mark, 7 tackles, 68 SCPoints, 65 AFPoints, 58 CKPoints
Still the most owned player in Supercoach, with 64.5% of all teams owning him (just edging out Patrick Dangerfield by 1.1%). The Blues had a great win on the weekend, but Kerridge didn’t fair nearly as well in fantasy football. His contribution was down possession wise with a season low 14 disposals, but did manage to contribute defensively, with 7 tackles and 22 pressure acts, which was 4th best for Carlton. The most popular trades this week with the Kedge involve downgrading him to Rhys Mathieson (11.2% of all Kerridge trades), while popular upgrade targets are Luke Dahlhaus, Robbie Gray, Dayne Zorko and Chad Wingard. His BE is 60 this week, but with another score in the 70’s this week it will pop up into the 90’s for Round 12. With a few guys with low BE’s this week you may look to move him on now.
Ben KennedySC Price: $343,400 | AF Price: $346,000 | CoachKings Price: $6,400 Round 10 Stats: 7 disposals, 2 marks, 1 tackle, 29 SCPoints, 29 AFPoints, 30 CKPoints
A solid 3 weeks of football all completely undone with an absolute stinkeroo against Port Adelaide, producing just 29 SCPoints. That poor score caused him to lose $11.4K and push his BE up to 96. Easiest plan for those 38.2% of Supercoachers who own him and Kerridge is to paint the fence with the pair of them. One down to someone like Mathieson, who 19.2% of all BenKen owners are trading him for and Kerridge up to a player with a nice price and low BE like Robbie Gray (502K) or Chad Wingard (415K). Both had MID/FWD eligibility, which opens up quite a few trade options.
Mitch McGovernSC Price: $295,200 | AF Price: $287,000 | CoachKings Price: $6,600 FEATURED COACHKINGS CONTEST: Sunday, Adelaide VS St Kilda Round 10 Stats: 11 disposals, 3 marks, 1 goal, 5 tackles, 3 inside 50’s, 65 SCPoints, 67 AFPoints, 89 CKPoints
He’s had a solid 3 weeks now, averaging 68 SCPoints after scores of 46 and 56 in Round 6 and 7. He gained $17.3K for the week and his BE of 39 is achievable. The Crows have their bye in Round 13 though, so it’s debatable if he’ll last to after the BYES, but if he has a really good game against the Saints this week it’s entirely possible that happens.
Matthew DeaSC Price: $353,400 | AF Price: $347,000 | CoachKings Price: $7,600 Round 10 Stats: 88 CKPoints
Dea probably disappointed a few after a 3 week average of 97 SCPoints between Rd 7 and 9, but could only produce a score of 60 SCPoints against his old side in Richmond. Still, that was enough to add another $27.3K to his price tag and also keep his BE at an achievable level of 43. The issue currently is that once the big score of 126 comes out of his average he’s looking at his Round
Darcy Byrne-JonesSC Price: $315,200 | AF Price: $295,000 | CoachKings Price: $5,600 FEATURED COACHKINGS CONTEST: Sunday, Collingwood VS Port Adelaide Round 10 Stats: 23 disposals, 1 tackle, 1 goal, 4 inside 50’s, 88 SCPoints, 99 AFPoints, 99 CKPoints
The Round 10 AFL Rising Star nominee winner, DBJ was back to his best last week, with his 2nd highest disposal count and 3rd highest Supercoach score for the year. He lost $8K due to his poor score last week, but his BE has been pushed back down to 44 this week, so he’ll add that money back easily this week you’d think. He’s still owned by 23.5% of Supercoachers and with the Power having the Round 14 bye I reckon that would be the perfect time to look at upgrading him.
Anthony McDonald-TipungwutiSC Price: $368,300 | AF Price: $339,000 | CoachKings Price: $6,400 Round 10 Stats: 14 disposals, 5 marks, 5 tackles, 82 SCPoints, 73 AFPoints, 87 CKPoints
Walla has continued his solid month of football; he’s now averaging 83 SCPoints over his last 4 games. That consistency has seen his BE drop to 43 for this week; though that will likely rise up to the 70’s next week should he hit his year average of 77 SCPoints. The Bombers have the bye in Round 14, so he’s another one like DBJ where he should last until then. Still in 49.9% of teams.
Mason CoxSC Price: $264,600 | AF Price: $247,000 | CoachKings Price: $5,800 FEATURED COACHKINGS CONTEST: Sunday, Collingwood VS Port Adelaide Round 10 Stats: 6 kicks, 2 marks, 3 tackles, 8 hitouts, 47 SCPoints, 40 AFPoints, 52 CKPoints
Has slowly been ticking away, but may face his first price loss of the year now that his BE is 49. Now a huge score by any stretch of the imagination, but he has scored under that amount before this year. The good thing at least is he is a RUC/FWD swing, so if you have him and Goldstein is out you might have some cover if your swings are available to you.
THE BEST OF THE REST…
Jacob Weitering – Weitering got back into the swing of things a bit more last week with 17 disposals and 8 marks, but only 59 SC Points. Surprisingly still owned by 22% of Supercoachers. BE is 68 this week, so another slightly drop in price is potentially there.
Dougal Howard – Only saw his ownership percentage jump from 0.5% to 3% after being named for Round 10, with a score of 70 SCPoints on the weekend he might see that percentage rise again, especially since he’s still at a decent price of $169K. His BE is -14, so as long as he’s selected again he should make another 30K+ on his price.
Josh Dunkley – Great game for Dunkley, who played Round 1 and 2 for scores of 61 and 33. He had 89 SCPoints and 115 AFPoints while taking 10 marks with 18 disposals, 5 tackles and 2 goals. Still only 167K, but JS must be considered also.
Sam Collins – Solid debut for Collins with 59 SCPoints. He had 12 disposal, 7 marks and 5 1%ers. Played 97% ToG as well which is a good sign. Should stick for a while yet, so JS should be solid enough to bring him in this week or next.
Mitch Brown – Last week was probably the ideal time to move Mitch Brown on. He scored 46 SCPoints on the weekend and dropped $13.1K as a result and is now below 300K. Luckily if you kept him his BE has dropped down to 51, and he does have a few good games against the likes of Carlton, Sydney and St Kilda to his name.
Peter Wright – Not much happening for Wright against the Eagles with just 43 SCPoints with 9 disposals, 2 marks and 4 hitouts. He’s an up and down player for sure, when he hits the scoreboard he can post a big fantasy football score.
George Hewett – Just re-signed with Sydney for 2 more years this week, so the Swans obviously have plans for him. He had a pretty good game against North for 63 SCPoints and has a BE of just 22 this week.
Josh Smith – Smith continues his pace of solid scoring with 22 disposals, 7 marks and 78 SCPoints on the weekend. He’s up to 288K now and his BE is just 22. The Pies have the Round 13 bye and if his current scoring base continues his BE will be in the 30-50 range until Round 16. Might be a solid option to keep as bye round cover and then upgrade him after.
Ben Crocker – Much better game for Crocker last week, if you compare it to his Round 9 score at least, with 11 disposals, 4 marks, 4 tackles and a goal for 52 SCPoints.
Liam Sumner – Went off early with an injury and only scored 2 SCPoints, which has blown his BE out to 83 this week. He wasn’t scoring all that great anyway, but the 4.7% of teams who own him will probably be PO’d.
Josh Wagner – Found plenty of the ball up in Alice with 31 disposals and 4 marks and scored 69 SCPoints. Dropped $3.1K though, but his BE is still achievable at 48 this week. Dees have the Round 14 bye, which I reckon is a very good time to think about up/downgrading him.
Ryan Davis –In a spectacular achievement that all the great poets of the world will soon write many songs about, Ryan Davis scored above 67 SCPoints for the first time. In fact, he’s posted his two highest scores of the year in the last two weeks with a 66 against Adelaide and now a score of 90 against the Eagles. His BE has gone all the way down to -19, but the issue now becomes, with so many GC players returning from injury, can Davis keep his spot?
Tom Ruggles – Was a late out against Carlton, so I think the Cats know where they stuffed up now.
Michael Hartley – Copped an injury which should keep him out, but it didn’t occur until the last quarter, so you can’t pin his 19 SCPoints on that. He just had an awful game is all. He lost $13.6K and his BE is 95. I’d consider moving him on for Collins if you want to do a like for like downgrade.
Ben Keays – Hasn’t blown the bloody doors off the place or anything, but has been solid enough. He had 49 SCPoints from 15 disposals last week, but his BE is now 39. Lions have the Round 15 bye, so he should keep until then as long as he doesn’t have an absolute stinker.
Rhys Mathieson – On the bubble, but has scores of just 59 and 53 to his name. There aren’t a ton of downgrade options out there though, so you gotta take what you can get sometimes. Job security should be solid.
Wayne Milera – Bobs up every now and then with some terrific play, but still struggles to get heavily involved. He scored just 34 SCPoints against the Giants, but his BE is only 27 this week. For the 8.4% of teams that still have him, I may consider moving him out for the bye rounds.
Jonathan Freeman – He’s played his 3 games and has lost cash already, thanks to his elevated starting price. Scored just 33 and his BE is 36, which he has scored under in 2 of his 3 games. Not worth it.
Keegan Brooksby – Has been building slowly, with improved scores in his last 3 games. Had 68 SCPoints last week, which is probably a decent result considering he was taking on Nic Nat and Scott Lycett of the Eagles.
Jackson Paine – On the bubble this week, with a BE of -15. Has scores of just 45 and 47 to his name. Never been the biggest fan of his.
Daniel Rioli – Usual sort of score from Rioli, producing 36 SCPoints.
Josh Schache – Has his 2nd highest score of the year with 67 SCPoints, but still lost $9.3K.
Oscar McDonald – That was McDonalds 3rd game for the year and it was his best one yet, producing 68 SCPoints. His BE is -16, but you probably wouldn’t bother to pick him up this week with Sam Collins sitting there.
Jade Gresham – Season high of 70 SCPoints from Gresham, which has pushed his BE back down to 15, which is good news for the 13.5% of teams that still own Gresham.
Trent West – Back to the usual type scores from West, producing just 24 SCPoints. BE is still only 22 thanks to the big score he had in Round 9.
Daniel Gorringe – The man whose name proves there’s a word that rhymes with orange, he had a 74 SCPoints, which was his highest score since 2014. May come into play for those who want cover for Goldstein if he misses this week.
Jayden Hunt – 58 SCPoints for Hunt, who has played every game since Round 4. Hasn’t put up any decent scores really apart from his 102 against the Gold Coast.
Brodie Murdoch – Scored 58 in his first game of the year, but has an elevated price tag of $217K
Billie Smedts – Smedts played his 1st game of the year after some solid VFL form for a score of 57 SCPoints. He’s DEF eligible, but comes in at $190K; so again, Collins will look like the better option.
Harry Marsh – A DEF eligible Swan with a starting price of $117K. Scored 51 upon debut, but job security would be a slight concern.
Thomas Cole – First game for Cole, who was a 2nd round pick in the 2015 Draft. He scored 49 SCPoints from 14 disposals. Another like Marsh who may have job security issues.
MacKenzie Willis – A 3rd round pick from the 2015 draft, he has scores of 32 and 33 from two games this year. Familiar theme, job security is a concern with the Suns injured players returning.
AROUND THE GROUNDS…
There was minimal action in the seconds in South Australia and Victoria due to the SANFL VS VFL match at Adelaide Oval on Sunday with only Richmond VS Essendon taking place in the VFL and no matches taking place in the SANFL, so this will be shorter than usual this week.
Aaron Francis – There is talk that he could debut this week after his performance against Richmond, with Francis grabbing 22 disposals, 11 marks, 2 tackles and 4 rebound 50’s in the Bombers 33 point win. He had 9 intercept marks in that tally, he was known as an intercept player as a junior and had been compared to Brendon Goddard because of it.
Jason Costagna – Probably won’t be back in the side with Richmond’s current form, but he had 23 disposals, 7 marks, 3 tackles, 5 inside 50’s and 3 rebound 50’s.
Jayden Short – Just the 17 disposals for Short, who also had 4 marks and 2 tackles.
Michael Apeness – Probably his best game since his return from injury, kicking 2.2 while also contributing 11 touches, 7 marks, 4 tackles and 11 hitouts.
Darcy Tucker – Tucker led the game in possessions with 29, including 22 kicks as well as 8 marks, 3 tackles and 10 inside 50’s as the Peel Thunder defeated East Fremantle 78 to 52.
Aliir Aliir – Good game for Aliir with 22 possessions and 11 marks as Sydney defeated Sydney Uni by 59 points in the NEAFL.
Harrison Himmelberg- There might have been a bit more ball to go around for the UWS Giants with Adam Tomlinson, Jake Barrett and Jacob Hopper missing this week. Himmelberg had 20 disposals, 4 marks, 5 inside 50’s and 3 rebound 50’s as the Giants lost to Aspley by 30 points.
Matthew Kennedy – Another GWS Giant 1st round pick not playing, Kennedy had 24 disposals, 5 marks and 6 tackles.
Jared Jansen – A bit of a break out game for Jansen with 29 disposals, 4 marks, 4 tackles, 3 hitouts and 7 inside 50’s. He’s averaging just 18 disposals for the year in the NEAFL, so it’s good to see him step up with Mathieson and Keys in the main side.
Eric Hipwood – A 4 goal haul for Hipwood, along with 15 disposals and 5 marks as the Lions smashed the GC Suns reserves by 112 points
Cameron Loersch – There weren’t many AFL listed players running around for the Suns ressies, with Loersch one of the few, leading the way with 2 goals, 14 disposals, 3 marks, 2 tackles and 6 hitouts.
And that’s it for the Rookie Scout Report this week. So are any of you culling some rookies this week? And will you be looking at upgrades to premo picks or downgrading to new rookies? Let us know in the comments below, or hit us up on Twitter @BarronVonCrow