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THE PANIC ROOM – Round 10

Published by Patch on

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Oh how they test our faith.

These gods that pull the strings of our game, that torment us so, they test our bloody faith.

They sent us to hell in a handbasket last Thursday night with the news every single premium in our sides would miss.

It was an excuse to toss in the towel. I saw strangers crying on the train last week, community, staring up from their phones, glistening eyes, mouthing “not Gary… please not Gary”.

All of us were staring at a sub-2000 week.

Then WHOOSHKA. Todd Goldstein. Heath Shaw. Dustin Martin. Sam Docherty. Scott Dependlebury. Matty Dea. Georgey boy Hewett. Even Mitch Brown, all those who had failed us in rounds past stood up for us.

It was a gift.

They tested our faith, and they’ve strengthened our resolve.

PSSST.. JOCK, HIGGO AND CROUCHING ARE BROADCASTING TONIGHT’S GAME LIVE!

THE NEWS

Relief this week, community. A whole host of big names are back which will assuage most of the pain from last week.

At the top of the list of big names are Gary Ablett and Aaron Hall, who return for a ravaged Gold Coast Suns side. However, Darcy MacPherson leaves having done a knee, which is bugger for all of us that brought him in (including myself, because I didn’t check my bloody trades on Friday night and copped a donut because of it.)

Daniel Wells returns from him, the medicos having decided Mr Burns’ “Three Stooges Syndrome” is in full effect. He’s done ankles, knees, calves, hysterical pregnancy – he is the most injured man in Australia. He also has several new injuries that have just been discovered, in him.

You’d think this would be bad news, but all of his injuries are in perfect balance. If I can explain, this is the door into Daniel Wells’ body, and there are the injuries trying to get in. Isn’t the green one cute? It’s James Kelly’s testicle injury from last year. Naww. Anyway, you see when they all try and impact him at the same time, they can’t get through the door! That’s SCIENCE.

The Panic Room is here for another week

Anywho, moving on…

Michael Barlow has made amends for whatever he did to get on Ross Lyon’s bad side and is back in the Fremantle side. With David Mundy and Clancee Wiggum Pearce out this could see significant midfield time, but he’s been named up forward because Ross Lyon is a… nasty word I’d prefer not to say because Higgo’s mum might read this. (Hi Mrs Higgo!)

Half the Western Bulldogs backline returns, including Marcus Adams, Matthew Boyd and for those bastards like myself who held him, Matthew Suckling. This truly is a relief.

Elliot Yeo is out with a quad, and Andrew Gaff is out with concussion after he was hit from behind from Tom Jonas last week. Jonas have been given six weeks for the hit, but unless you’ve got him draft that won’t be a worry.

Courtenay Dempsey is back from a hamstring injury, for those looking at a tasty, cheap POD in defence he could be a go-to with a 3 round average of 90. However, Dempsey is very injury prone and Essendon’s runners haven’t been great SC options of late – see Orazio Fantasia.

Daniel Menzel has soreness for those with him, Jack Billings will miss a few with an ankle and Hawthorn reinforced our mistrust for their rookies by dropping Kieran Brand for Lekdog’s mate Matt Spangher.

We lose on Collins in Kieran Collins from the Dogs, but gain another in Freo’s Sam Collins. Bailey Williams is also on an extended bench, so proceed with caution this afternoon as Sunday sides are named at 5-ish tonight.

THE TALKING POINT

We’ve got a lot of cheaper options floating about this week. Matt Priddis, Brett Deledio and Robbie Gray are all dropping down in price towards their floor (although I’d wait until next week on Robbie), and a few cheaper options like Jeremy Howe, who I had a gander at on Monday and mentioned in the podcast, are flitting around like hummingbirds.

Yet I’m seeing many people chasing cars, looking to bring in uber premiums like Shaw and Pendlebury who are shooting up in price. It’s just too much coin at this time of year. This is the time of year to be plucking fallen premiums.

As for Max Gawn, hold him. I’m firmly team Crouching and Higgo here. Gawn is carrying a niggle, as he’s said himself on the Marngrook Footy Show a few weeks back. He’ll be right after the bye.

MAKE SURE YOU CHECK OUT LEKDOG’S CHEAT SHEET HERE

TRADING PLACES

Nothing here for rookies beyond Hopper, Williams and Port bubble-boy Doogie Howard, but as Barron von Crow pointed out this week, many of our rookies are back making cash.

Eddie Murphy’s

-66 – Jacob Hopper
-45 – Bailey Williams
-35 – Dougal Howard
-26 – Mason Cox
-25 – Courtenay Dempsey
-7 – Ben Crocker
-4 – Matt Dea
3 – Josh Smith

Dan Aykroyd’s

236 – Max Gawn
198 – Joel Selwood
163 – Paddy Dangerfield
151 – Sam Mitchell
133 – Alex Rance
130 – Callan Ward

CAPTAIN McCAPTAINFACE

Golly gosh my VC and C calls last week went off their bloody tits. Couldn’t believe my luck with Goldstein’s 170, and you don’t think twice about taking them. Might do so in the future, though.

I’m not saying this instantly makes me Captain Chooser Extraordinaire, but I’m feeling the tables have turned. I’m on the up. Between those captaincy choices and Jock Reynolds himself lifting my pre-season pick of Kurt Tippett into the realms of a Top 6 Forward, I’ve had a pretty good week.

Jock Tweet

The betting odds are now firmly for me having jinxed myself now, and I’m out to $5.40 to back it up but to channel my inner Lek, yolo.

Heath Shaw will not be given the space he was last week against the Dogs and will have someone marking him all day. He should still crank out a ton, but my gut says he won’t go big. The VC picks abound in tonight’s game, and I’m looking to Luke Parker or Todd Goldstein to hit 130 for us. At the moment Goldy has the nod.

I’m confident Max Gawn will return to form, but not confident enough to chuck the C on him. Ditto Gary Ablett Jnr.

I am confident in Scott Pendlebury, who is likely to get the C, but the newly acquired Matt Priddis against a depleted Suns side (he scored 196 against them last year!) but if I had him, the C would firmly go to Josh J Kennedy against the Suns. Reckon he could kick 15 and score 300 Supercoach points.

That’s me done this week, community, it’s now time to tinker with my trades all afternoon. I’m hoping I’ll be here and there in the comments, too.

Best of luck you beautiful humans!

6.00 UPDATE

Bailey Williams is out of Sunday’s squad, which while not unexpected is really, really irritating. This leaves Jacob Hopper and Dougal Howard as the only guys on the bubble worth discussing. Up and coming rookies include Rhys “Beast Mode” Mathieson who’s played the one and Trent West from the Lions who is a 170k RUC/FWD.

Does this change your trades? Let me know! Thanks to those in the comments who were all over this before I got here!


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JJJ

Awesome write up!!!!

DBJ to rookie (which rookie back??)
Hewett to Priddis

OR

DBJ to rookie
Kerridge to Pendles……

OR

Hewett to Mathieson
DBJ to Docherty

judd0

Hewett and Kerridge not really ready to go yet.
Do you have any other rookies.
DBJ is a good one to get rid of.
Do you have Mitch Brown (ess)?

Patch

Cheers mate! Bailey Williams the only real one to go to this week down back, which is frustrating. Wouldn't go early on Collins (Freo).

@thecultofjoel

imo you have to go for Priddis this week before he shoots back up.
If you have a bloke like M.Brown in the forward line you could drop him for Dougal Howard he should get a few games with Jonas and Lobbe out.

annoying old lady

Option 3, solid

Jim

Patch even with May back you think JJK can score well? Would think May would be covering JJK?

LEKD0G

I love you Patch

Patch

I love you too mate

Cliffy

Hey community, was a bit unsure of what I could do with my team this week.

With the best case scenario having happened in Adams, Barlow, Ablett, Hall and Wells all returning my team may not really need to make any urgent trades at this stage, especially since I dealt with Houli last week and got in Docherty.

Trades left: 18
Salary left: $90,000

Defense: Shaw, Simpson, Docherty, Bartel, Tippa, Adams (DBJ, Hartley)

Midfield: Danger, Ablett, Pendles, Ward, Hannebery, Wines, Libba, Petracca (J.Smith, MacPherson, Davis)

Ruck: Gawn, Martin (Wyatt)

Forward: Martin, Hall, Barlow, Wells, Kerridge, Kennedy (Brown, Menadue)

Thoughts? Cheers

Derek

McPherson to Hopper

Don't think, just do.

Cliffy

True Derek, seems like a no-brainer, loving the look of Hopper.

Tom

Martin to Goldy for mine if you can do a straight swap

Cliffy

Unfortunately not the case Tom, would need 2 trades to do that 🙁

Crossdawg

DBJto who? Is williams worth getting or not with his job security not looking great now everyones coming back?

Hopper worth the extra coin? got mchperson, menadue, gresham or hewet to swap for him. None making me much cash as a downgrade but he should be a better scorer

Patch

Williams' JS isn't great. If you've got a DPP like Smith or Bartel he'd be worth it to swing, but otherwise he won't make more than 140k at best I feel.

Patch

May will go to JJK, but they'll have 600 inside 50s a quarter.

Kevin Skywalker

Brown & Gresham -> Priddis & rookie Howard, Mathieson, or possibly S Collins. Help, please

(I already got B Williams last week to cover a donut that didn't actually eventuate 'cause Ruggles played)

Jim

Probably Mathieson?

Gibbs

Do I get in Matty Boydd or Simpson?

Jim

Simpson

Jeremy

Been back and forth with this one all week:

Option A: Kennedy and Byrne-Jones to Hopper and Bartel (have Rance and Laird around that price, can't quite afford Doc or Boyd – which is a slight deterence for this one)

Option B: McCarthy to Howard (this is only my F8 position, so not too concerned about Howard's JS, though it is a factor) and Kennedy to Priddis/Gray.

Worth pulling the trigger on either of those two this week?

Cheers

Jim

Think DBJ needs to go, not sure why you would get rid of Kennedy? McCarthy needs to go but not playing and a nice loop hole option.

Jeremy

Only contemplating dropping Kennedy as he's my last on-field rookie (besides Petracca & at this stage DBJ).

The way I play is get to full premo asap and then have injury trades left for the end of the year – So sometimes I go early on players. (FWIW I'm more interested in overall rank – Terrible week last week but still sitting in the top 1000. Cheers

Roger

I'd say option 1.
Option 2 Howard doesn't have good JS so what happens if he doesn't play, and you have ap layer on the ground who is injured or rested? Doughnut.
You can get Gray next week who will be cheaper then what he is now. Buying priddis imo isn't that good because he won't be a POD and he only scores around high 90s to 110. Gray has a bigger ceiling Thant Priddis

Jeremy

Or option C, which is bring in Williams if named for Hartley, and then flicking DBJ for Boyd/Docherty

Patch

Would it work if you went a week early on Trent West? Better JS than Howard but at 170k could ruin the trade.

TRIGGER HAPPY

Too funny patch man.
Well done.
But surely the squished brown screaming one at the bottom is Kellys nut? 🙂
Though may be green by now!

Patch

Hahahaha cheers Trigger. I didn't think it would be put under this level of scrutiny – will take a closer analytical look next time I make a joke about the scrotum. I duly apologise for this lapse in judgement.

Geez that Brown one is hilarious isn't it?

Jim

VC Goldy

C Pendles

Nick

Dusty/ward
into Pendles

annoying old lady

Do you mean you're going to trade OUT dusty or callan ward?

LOL

annoying old lady

oh im retarded. kill me

Nick

No either 1 for VC

annoying old lady

DBJ -> Bailey Williams
Hartley -> Rance
OR
DBJ -> Ol' McDonald
Ben Ken -> Robbie Gray

Concerned about Bailey Williams' JS…

Patch

Ol' McDonald is Oscar? Oscar doesn't have great JS either and the lower price is extra cash he'll make over McDonald.

Drew

True, But Bailey Williams isnt playing this week. Ol' McDonald is

Nick

If you had a choice between Ward and Priddis who wld u pick. Imagine they both were priced the same

Patch

Both priced the same? Ward without batting an eyelid.

Nick

Yes Patch

Southern S

Priddis

judd0

I'm in a bit of a predicament.

Option 1:
DBJ to Williams

Ben Kennedy to Pendlebury

Positives: Pendlebury

Negatives: – Lose Kennedy who is not quite done making money yet.
– Lose Mid-Fwd swing ability
– Have to play J Smith on the field as my M8

Option 2:
DBJ to Williams

Gresham to Hopper

Positives: – Don't lose mid-fwd swing
– Get to play hopper as M8 instead of J Smith
– 360k in the kitty

Negatives: No Pendlebury

I'm thinking option 2 so I can get Pendlebury next week, he shouldn't go up to much more in price, Hopper will more than offset that cash loss.
I already have Priddis and Gray.

Jim

Pendles could rise anywhere from 10 -20 K based on what he scores?

judd0

Yeah but that's nothing really, especially when option 2 gives me Hopper who is projected to rise 68k.

Patch

I'd take Pendles this week. You can trade the swing set back in over coming weeks.

judd0

Cheers Patch

TRIGGER HAPPY

Juddy.
I'm doing something similar except benken to zorko, dbj to hopper.
Sure u loose the swing but hopper is a pretty handy m8 who should make money fast and if like me u r rd14 light on in the bye then gr8 option to get through the byes.
I figure my m8 would probably be petrecca so hopper should score the same or better and as patch said get the swing back in a few weeks.
So unless gawn is a late out that's the way I'm going.
Personally I think it is too much to pay for pendles but he is in rare air at the moment.

Sander

Will definitely be chucking the C on JJK this week Patch!
VC on Goldy to see if he can go for another big one tonight as my loophole

Stevie

Nice work patch!
Looking at Zac williams(gws) this week don't know much about him though, anyone have anything I can use?

Patch

Love the boy – should have mentioned him, actually. He is to Throttlefinger what Zach Merrett is to me; and at 420 is a bargain. Good JS, Champion data love him, bring him in mate.

Stevie

Thanks patch

I N Pieman

Love your articles Patch. Off to the movies tonight to see a new film call "Toegate" starring Rory Laird. It's a doco with an inside look into the lies & deception in the world of rangas. Directed by Ross Lyon. I'll post a review over the weekend

Patch

HAHAHA love it I N. Hear Deledio has a cameo at the start of the movie so watch out for him!

judd0

Gold

Reece

I have Martin and Gawn in the ruck..is goldy worth a sideways trade from Martin at such a low price? Cash is no issue

Shmang

Patch, decided to get Tippett in this week. About time to take a risk, and he's brilliant fwd/ruck swing. Let's hope it pays off.

Patch

#PrayForShmang

I hope it does too mate. Looking very closely at him too.

bUCKET__

Surely people aren't convinced that Hopper is best 18 at Giants? With Griffen to come back in a couple, I'm not sure there'll be a spot for him.

The Ranger

I've heard or read Callan Ward say on three different occasions now that GWS are focused on contested ball this season and that's why I think Hopper will keep his spot. Steele will drop out for Griffen before Hopper.
At least that's what I'm hoping…

Steeeve

Steele will be a gun in a few years, for a team that is not GWS

Nathan

No real good downgrade option for me this week
But i have 190k in the bank
So i can upgrade dbj to pittard
Or i can use 2 trades and get boyd?

Micky

do i upgrade brown to docherty or upgrade kerridge to deldio?

Wattsieesq

Brown out first for mine.

Dice

Does anybody know much about Tom Cole who's been name in the back pocket for West Coast?
I've been checking out his stats and he avgs 20 disposals in the wafl this year.
I need a bargain base price rookie this week but I think Bailey Williams might only play the next one or two games before others come back.
Also can't trust Dougal Howard up forward and can't afford Hopper.

Wattsieesq

Tom's been close to a first game for the past few weeks. He's been good at WAFL level and he is considered a big talent. JS is an issue.

Kev

Desperate move to bring him in.

Dice

looking at past results Kev he looks to be the better pick out of he, Bailey Williams and Dougal Howard

Southern S

Not a chance I would pull that move.

Shaq

What do you think about VC on Hannes Wayne? Or do you think he'll cop the tag? Some rumours going around that Sam Gibson might have the job on him..

Patch

Not sure what Wayne reckons but he's done the job so far this year and no reason to suspect he won't continue doing so

Cameron

Due to Laird not being back this week and Brand getting dropped, I have Laird, Tucker and Brand all not playing in the backline which will mean I will cop a bloody donut now. Should I trade one of these guys to avoid the zero or just take it and pray either Brand or Tucker are late ins? Cheers in advance

benny

so whats everyones thoughts on the downgrade option for DBJ?

– even if williams is named one average game and he will soon be pushed aside that is if he makes it to the side this week

– Collins ? word of there being some half decent job security with ross wanting to play rookies and lots of injury (but we have not seen him play yet and most likely wont score very well)

– anyone else thats slipped under the radar?

Kev

Tom Cole will play this week. Another def/mid. Can't comment on his js though.

The cupboard is bare for downgrades this week. I'm really not sold on Williams. JS aside his numbers are nothing to get excited about.

We'll have Matheison, Joyce, Schoenfield, SCollins, Cole coming through soon

Patch

Williams confirmed out, I've updated the Panic Room with a few, but nothing really in the back line.

breakevens

Thoughts on putting the big C on Callan Ward, Patch?

Patch

Don't mind it mate. He's in stellar form.

Jono

Montagna or Goldy for the C?

Patch

Can you use the loop on Goldy Jono?

Pies31

Need some advice please…_Menadue to Hopper and DBJ to Docherty a good idea or have I missed the boat on Docherty? Would only leave me 17 trades and bugger all cash._Any thoughts would be appreciated.

Confuzzled

So my conundrum this week is doing my head in to say the least

Team as it stands

Shaw simpson laird hurn dbj adams Byrne Hartley
Danger pendles ablett ward cripps libba kerridge smith Hewett d mac dunkley
Goldy Martin loerch
Dusty Barlow hall wells montagna robbo ben Ken petracca

Dbj will become Williams, leaving me with 18 trades and 257k, considering trading d mac to cheap fwd mid swinger so I can get petracca on field?? Bit stick atm
What to do community

Patch

Don't mind that mate, but with Williams missing you might want to go up in the backline to a Docherty or co if you can

JJJ

Awesome write up!!!!
Which move best suits my team needs?
$60k spare cash

DBJ to rookie (which rookie back??)
Hewett to Priddis

OR

DBJ to rookie
Kerridge to Pendles……

OR

Hewett to Mathieson
DBJ to Docherty

Shaw, laird, Boyd, Dea, Tippa, brown (Ruggles, DBJ )
Danger, Ablett, Selwood, Viney, Cripps, Shiel, Libba, Petracca (Hewett, Smith, Davis)
Goldy, Natanui
Buddy, Lynch, Hall, Zerrett, Motlop, Kerridge (cox, McGovern)

Patch

Looks like the third one now Williams is out, JJJ!

Locked and Loaded

Anybody somewhat intrigued by the price and potential of Chad Wingard??

Derek

when Rgray wasn't playing he was poor. he needs Gray in guts kicking him the pill. now gray back Chad starts scoring again.

Locked and Loaded

Thoughts on bringing him in as POD Derek?

Southern S

Every forward for Port scores better if Robbie Gray plays well 😉

azza

hey community need help deciding on trades:
thinking of bringing in priddis this week but the only people i can trade are bken (be 50) or hewitt (be 20)
if i trade bken, i lose mid-fwd dpp and have to play jsmith at m8 and kerridge & petracca are stuck on my forward bench
if i trade hewitt, i have wells at m8 and i can play kerridge at f6
what do you guys think? will hewett make more money than bken from here on?

Derek

i have exact same problem, want to trade out menadue, but will lose my DPP and have Petracca, BenKen & kerridge all in forward line with one on bench.

oh well, just have to do it.

Dice

azza i traded out ben kennedy and hewett for robbie gray and a backline rookie.
those boys are only gonna make another $20 or $30G

Vinny

Any news on Laird, I thought he was ready for this week? Surely next week then?

Kev

Guess so. Haven't seen anything saying he's had a setback in recovery

Nathan

He trained well during the week
They must of just wanted to make sure

Patch

Hoping so, Vinny.

Blake

My team (without trades this week)

Shaw, Docherty, AMT, Leo, KK, DBJ (Adams, K.Collins)
Danger, Pendles, Parker, Zaharakis, Motlop, Libba, Wells, Smith (Oliver, Davis, Joyce)
Gawn, Z.Smith (Chol)
Martin, Hall, Kerridge, BenKen, Wingard, Petracca (Cox, Simpkin)

Trade Z.Smith and Oliver to Goldy and Mathieson/Hopper
OR
Z.Smith and Simpkin to Mathieson

Patch

I like the first set mate

Hayley

I have 1 trade and 350k. Do I:

A: Trade out Libba for Pendelbury. This would leave a choice between Hewett and Smith at M8.
B: Trade out Hewett for Dusty Martin. This would put Martin at M8 and allow me to switch him forward with Kerridge so I could turn Kerridge into a new Premo M8 next week?

Seems like Dusty is in pretty good nick, and Richmond look like they're growing some balls and actually trying to win now, rather than trying their hardest not to lose.

This would be me passing on Hopper too, as my other trade was DBJ to Williams.

Hayley

Kerridge or Petracca on the field?

Gilbo Baggins

Thoughts on bringing in Dougal Howard as a downgrade for Mitch Brown. Will Dougal get good game time now Jonas is out in the ruck?

Southern S

Jonas doesn't do any ruckwork, I'm not a fan of Dougal Howard he hasn't scored too well and is in and out of the team.

Expecting Gawn to give him a ruck lesson this week.

Tommo09

Priddis and Hopper or Williams??

Southern S

Prid and hop, or take mathieson early if you have too.

Brook

Who to trade out of Brown and DBJ? I am leaning toward Brown as I need to play one at D6 this week and I think he could provide more consistent output through to his R14 bye … thoughts?

Southern S

I'm keeping Brown over DBJ so I maintain a FWD/DEF swing.

Go with whatever suits your team best.

Connor

Who's the better option?
Dougal Howard or Bailey Williams?

Southern S

Bailey Williams if named, then again I wouldn't put either of them in my team, likely donuts.

Patch

Howard is named and Williams isn't, but can't see him holding his spot for long regardless.

Mac

What to do with DBJ? Want to downgrade but to whom?

Southern S

All trades are risky in the backline, I'd only move on Mathieson early or Hopper both should have good JS.

Mac

Has to be a backmen. Whether I go early on Joyce and use his DPP to advantage or not.

Southern S

Wait for teams to be announced for the sunday games, could take Bailey Williams on the bubble if he's named.

Same DPP.

Harry

I must be one of the few keeping DBJ. Both Bennedy and Dea both had a couple of down weeks and bounced back. Call me silly but I'm backing DBJ to do that. Plus i don't trust Williams' job security

annoying old lady

Renton Roberts or Zac Dawson for C?

Derek

Zac is coming off a 28 last week….might be due for a big one?

Nuggety

Looking forward to seeing Zac with mid egilibility next year. Really ripping it up without Fyfe stealing all the points in the midfield.

Ketut

If it's Coachkings I'd go Dawson Captain. He is a Coachking Beast. It's as if Higgo tweaked the scoring system just to suit him.

Big M

heya community, any thoughts on this

Got the option to either:
– bring in a premo mid, got the eye on Priddis or
– move Blicavs into the Mid and bring in Goldstein

Jim

Option 2

Southern S

Agree

Andrew

Who is everyone VC/C this week?
I got a sneaky feeling Gawn may go big this week.

Brook

I think I will put the VC on him, into Danger or NicNat on Sunday. Big turnaround since I traded him out on Sunday … wiser heads prevail!

Southern S

Yep I'm going Gawn>Dangerfield.

Gawn is hopefully over his niggles and should tear up Port.

Tommo09

Shaw into Danger

hedski

Goldy into Danger

Mickey P

ARRGGHH – so confused, hardest decision in years – Gawn to Goldy, yes or no?

have even looked at ruck history this year against Port and Swans for the first 9 rounds and rucks average 107 against Port (Gawn) and 75 against Swans (Goldy)

Swans and Port have played 7 teams the same this year so far and the same ruckmen average 79 against Swans while 98 against Port so everything leans towards Gawn …. but ….. Goldy averaging 9ppg more this year, only one poo score compared to Gawns two and really, really bad current form for Gawn.

Gawn does not fill me with the confidence of Goldy and after this week, the price gap will be big and growing bigger so if not this week …. probably wont happen

WHAT TO DO???

Southern S

Hold, Gawn was the top scoring ruck up until last weekend.

Mickey P

ps: examples of different scoring include
– Hampson 55 against Swans but 83 against Port
– Kruezer 56 against Swans, but 133 against Port
– Martin 81 against Swans (at home) but 119 against Port (away)

Even Hickey scored 157 against Port!!!

Southern S

Good info, Gawn set for a 180 then!

Mickey P

mate, that would be awesome … was swinging towards Goldy, now you got me thinking even harder. SC is tough this year

Derek

trengove is in doubt. Gawn will go massive

Ketut

Honestly Mickey I don't think you should do it. For you to go to the trouble of doing that analysis you must have had some doubt over whether it was the right thing to do. That analysis (great by the way) points strongly to keeping Gawn. He is not your biggest problem, fix up your lowest averaging best 22 players first. In 2 weeks time Goldys 173 will be out of his price fluctuation so re-assess then.
Thanks for the analysis I'm putting the VC on Gawn now instead of Goldy 😉

Mickey P

cheers Ketut, decided to hold, and also have VC on him …. hope we are right!!!

murray

how many people are going Gawn to Goldstein? and do you think it is a good trade

Southern S

Have faith in your picks, he's scored 160+ three times

Even after his score of 49 the other week he was still on top, it's madness to trade him.

If he has another bad score then that's three in a row and something's wrong.

Harry

I'm actually going for it. But i understand people saying madness too. Best advice is to stick by your strategy. I did my numbers and allowing 2 x premo for premo trades this season. 1st was in round 3. The second was I always had a plan to get Goldy in. I positively quake every time my opponent has Goldy. And if I was low on trades I wouldn't contemplate it. My reasoning is:
– You can't go wrong with Goldy. He play 21-22 games every year and is going to avg 120+. You just know it
– Gawn is playing hurt and has never played 22 games in a season
– Gawn may dominate this week but think long term. Goldy will never be cheaper now and Gawn has a massive BE this week. One week score or long term strategy?
– Gawn probably will still have a great season. Goldy definitely will

But how many premos do you still have to get, how many trades do you have. Go with your gut 🙂

Murray

Thanks Harry, only need two premo mids and have 19 trades left. I feel I can afford to burn at trade and am thinking long term . I think Goldstein will out perform Gawn for the rest of the season, so I am going for it!!

CoachDamo

Goldy looked sore last night, might have a rest instead of going to Tassie next week.

lachlanmcleanportfolio

no.

Grey

Pick one out of Zorko, docerthy, j Kennedy, buddy, Boyd or Simpson.
Thanks

Southern S

Buddy, but because West Coast seem to have a good draw for the rest of the season Kennedy could be a great pick.

Jeremy

1. Zorko
2. Simpson
3. Boyd
4. Docherty
5. Buddy
6. Kennedy

Southern S

My picks were based on who I thought was a good value trade this round btw 🙂

Wizard of Ertz

Lot of differences in positions, byes etc. For mine, Zorko.

Patch

The Zork, THE ZORK!

Ketut

Pretty much the order u have them in but Simpson ahead of Boyd. I'm ignoring price/value and just going with point scoring potential

Hoot

Job security for WILLIAMS? I need a cheap defender ideally but if Bailey isn't gonna maintain a spot then should I look else where for my cash ie not dump DBJ?

Southern S

Yep pretty much, I reckon DBJ could score 80 or so and bleeding won't be too bad. Losing a little bit of cash is better than a poor trade.

If Williams is named tonight on the final interchange then his JS may be better than once thought.

Hoot

I'm thinking the same way… Maybe it doesn't really matter if DBJ drops in price as I'll be holding him for a few more weeks to come thus his price will likely drop then elevate which will likely be the time where I will be selling him for a similar price.

Still undecided.

Thanks.

Derek

have a think about BSmith and KK. they represent great value. Only need $40k to go DBJ to either.