The Rookie Scout: Round 10
Just when you think you’ve got your rookies pegged, some come out and surprise you.
That’s what we’ve seen in a good way with players such as Ben Kennedy and Matthew Dea and Sam Kerridge, players who we thought might be coming to the end of their fantasy football lives, only to come out and knock out some very good form, earning themselves some nice cash and scoring well for us on field.
And on the other side, just when you think you’ve got a gem of a pick on your hands, they go and blow all your plans to smithereens, as we’ve now seen with Darcy Byrne-Jones and Darcy MacPherson.
It’s also a massive week for CoachKings, with two matches exclusive to South Australia with the Crows and Power games on Saturday and two exclusive matches for Victoria, NSW and Tasmania, who have the St Kilda VS Fremantle match and the big Dreamtime matchup at the MCG with Essendon VS Richmond.
Callum MillsSC Price: $311,100 | AF Price: $309,000 | CoachKings Price: $5,400 Featured CoachKings Contest: Friday, Sydney VS North Melbourne Round 9 Stats: 15 disposals, 6 marks, 1 tackle, 75 SCPoints, 59 AFPoints, 82 CKPoints
He’s still owned by 20.7% of all teams in Supercoach, but the time to move on Mills has come. He shed $9.6K this week despite the decent score and while his current BE is 52, at best he’s likely to only gain back the $10-$15K he lost. With a few guys like Jacob Hopper on the bubble and Rhys Mathieson about to play his 2nd game, now might be the time to make a move on Mills if you still own him. Currently 38.2% of all Mills owners are downgrading him to Hopper.
Clayton OliverSC Price: $310,900 | AF Price: $334,000 | CoachKings Price: $5,400 Featured CoachKings Contest: Saturday, Melbourne VS Port Adelaide (SA VENUES ONLY) Round 9 Stats: 21 disposals, 3 marks, 5 tackles, 5 inside 50’s, 7 clearances, 82 SCPoints, 79 AFPoints, 66 CKPoints
Oliver has been up and down like a yo-yo over his last 4 games, with scores of 41, 83, 49 and 82 in Supercoach. He ended up being 2nd for score involvements for the Demons last week, showing how important he’s becoming for the Demons in the middle. He gained $16.8K on the weekend and has a BE of 55, so he still has a little bit of juice left in him, so if you keep him one more week, at worst he’ll probably stay the same price. Mathieson still has 1 more week in him before he hits the bubble, so that could be the move to make next week. Hard to skip him in CoachKings.
Christian PetraccaSC Price: $246,800 | AF Price: $324,000 | CoachKings Price: $6,300 Featured CoachKings Contest: Saturday, Melbourne VS Port Adelaide (SA VENUES ONLY) Round 9 Stats: 21 disposal, 6 marks, 7 tackles, 5 inside 50’s, 4 behinds, 105 SCPoints, 106 AFPoints, 95 CKPoints
Kind of scary to imagine what Petracca’s score could have looked like if he nailed his shots on goal, but he was still a much deserved winner of the Round 9 Rising Star nomination. He gained a cool $62.5K for his performance on the weekend and has a BE of -18 and another projected price rise of 43K on the cards for this week. He’s likely to keep all the way through or until the bye rounds. He’s now at a higher price in CoachKings, but he’s still proving value for money.
Jacob HopperSC Price: $193,800 | AF Price: $298,000 | CoachKings Price: $4,600 Featured CoachKings Contest: Saturday, Adelaide VS GWS (SA VENUES ONLY) Round 9 Stats: 18 disposals, 6 marks, 3 tackles, 74 SCPoints, 74 AFPoints, 75 CKPoints
Hopper spent a bit more time in the GWS forward line this week, hence the reason for his disposal numbers dropping from 32 to 18 and his clearance numbers dropping from 9 to 3. One must also consider the quality of the opposition too, I’m sure playing against the Gold Coast midfield and the Western Bulldogs midfield are vastly different things at the moment. He’s now on the bubble with a BE of -64, with the top 5 trades being downgrades from Oliver, Ben Kennedy, Mills, Menadue and Parish for him. I’m 50/50 on him myself, cash is usually the #1 priority when it comes to downgrade, so you’re potentially getting 80K less by downgrading to Hopper, but he definitely has higher scoring potential than someone like Mathieson. Will make a good CoachKings option this week.
Darcy ParishSC Price: $329,800 | AF Price: $345,000 | CoachKings Price: $5,200 Featured CoachKings Contest: Saturday, Essendon VS Richmond (VIC, NSW & TAS VENUES ONLY) Round 9 Stats: 20 disposals, 2 marks, 3 tackles, 50 SCPoints, 51 AFPoints, 46 CKPoints
20 disposals wasn’t much lower than his usual tally, but he was hurt by 18 of them being handballs (which isn’t unusual for Parish), as well as having 15 uncontested possessions and 3 frees against. He only fell $2K in price and while his BE is only 68 this week, an achievable score for Parish, he’s likely peaked in price. He’s at a reasonable price in CoachKings, but he has been struggling a bit in fantasy football. He has a chance to have a bounce back game.
Sam KerridgeSC Price: $383,400 | AF Price: $430,000 | CoachKings Price: $5,800 Round 9 Stats: 29 disposals, 4 marks, 4 tackles, 5 clearances, 5 inside 50’s, 105 SCPoints, 104 AFPoints, 86 CKPoints
The Kedge must get his mojo on when playing the Roo’s, he’s usually played well against them and it continued on the weekend with a very nice score of 105 SCPoints. His BE is 57, so there’s still cash to be made and he is capable of scoring in triple figures if he has a good game. Kerridge will likely be the last guy we look to downgrade as long as he keeps up with some good scores.
Ben KennedySC Price: $354,800 | AF Price: $359,000 | CoachKings Price: $6,900 Featured CoachKings Contest: Saturday, Melbourne VS Port Adelaide (SA VENUES ONLY) Round 9 Stats: 17 disposals, 2 marks, 1 goal, 3 tackles, 81 SCPoints, 65 AFPoints, 85 CKPoints
It looked like Kennedy might have peaked after Round 6, he was averaging just 59 SCPoints between Rounds 3 and 6 and had lost $1.5K after a score of 69 against the Saints. Since then he’s averaged 82 SCPoints and risen another $62K. With his current form and a BE of 54 I’d keep him for a few more weeks. He’s still in 41% of teams, so there’s plenty who own him. His value in CoachKings is probably diminishing a tad though.
Mitch McGovernSC Price: $277,900 | AF Price: $278,000 | CoachKings Price: $6,200 Featured CoachKings Contest: Saturday, Adelaide VS GWS (SA VENUES ONLY) Round 9 Stats: 15 disposals, 5 marks, 3 goals, 2 goal assists, 73 SCPoints, 69 AFPoints, 118 CKPoints
McGovern racked up new career highs in goals and disposals, which isn’t surprising considering he was playing an injury ravaged Gold Coast. He’s owned by just 6.9% of teams now, it’s understandable given his scoring ceiling. If you still have him his BE is just 25 this week, so he should keep for a few more weeks. Even with the big game in CoachKings last week, I’m not sure if he has the ability to have another big game like that against GWS, but he could be an option if you run low on cash.
Matthew DeaSC Price: $353,400 | AF Price: $347,000 | CoachKings Price: $6,700 Featured CoachKings Contest: Saturday, Essendon VS Richmond (VIC, NSW & TAS VENUES ONLY) Round 9 Stats: 26 disposals, 15 marks, 2 tackles, 126 SCPoints, 122 AFPoints, 145 CKPoints
Another like Ben Kennedy who looked like he had peaked, he started strongly, then had scores of 39 and 41 in Rounds 5 and 6 which lost him money. He’s now averaging 97 SCPoints over his last 3 games and has gained $56.5K. Another one that proves that trading out rookie price players is an art. With that big score of 126 SCPoints his BE has been pushed all the way down to -3, which means his BE is going to be relatively low until Round 12 when that score rolls out of his 3 round average. He should push over the 400K mark if he plays reasonably well. His current form would make him someone to consider in CoachKings.
Darcy Byrne-JonesSC Price: $323,200 | AF Price: $282,000 | CoachKings Price: $5,800 Featured CoachKings Contest: Saturday, Melbourne VS Port Adelaide (SA VENUES ONLY) Round 9 Stats: 12 disposals, 2 marks, 3 tackles, 57 SCPoints, 49 AFPoints, 59 CKPoints
How fortunes can change. After averaging 92 SCPoints between Round 4 to 7, DBJ has produced scores of 31 and 57 over the last fortnight. He did sustain a leg injury last week, so he did spend quite a lot of time on the bench. His BE is now 105 so that means he’s gotta go. Most popular downgrades at the moment are Bailey Williams (33.5% of trades involving DBJ) and Jacob Hopper (6%), while the most popular upgrades are Sam Docherty (12.6%) and Alex Rance (4%).
Anthony McDonald-TipungwutiSC Price: $352,100 | AF Price: $326,000 | CoachKings Price: $6,200 Featured CoachKings Contest: Saturday, Essendon VS Richmond (VIC, NSW & TAS VENUES ONLY) Round 9 Stats: 20 disposals, 9 marks, 4 tackles, 96 SCPoints, 93 AFPoints, 92 CKPoints
His 2nd highest score this year, he gained almost $25K for that effort on the weekend and has pushed his BE down to 45. Owned by 50% of all Supercoachers still, he should last for a few more weeks now. You’d have to really think about picking him up in CoachKings this week.
Mason CoxSC Price: $232,600 | AF Price: $241,000 | CoachKings Price: $5,300 Featured CoachKings Contest: Sunday, Collingwood VS Western Bulldogs Round 9 Stats: 9 kicks, 3 marks, 2 goals, 4 hitouts, 62 SCPoints, 51 AFPoints, 76 CKPoints
Cox continues to play well at AFL level, especially for someone who has such limited experience playing Aussie Rules. He’s already gained $115K and his BE is still in negative territory at -25, so I wouldn’t expect we’d be looking to trade him out until he ticks over the $300K mark, which will be another 2-3 weeks yet. I’d be looking to grab him in CoachKings this week.
THE BEST OF THE REST…
Jacob Weitering – Still owned by 24% of teams surprisingly, he returned with just 11 touches and a score of 38 SCPoints. He lost $35.5K and with a BE of 120 this week is projected to lost another $25K. If you have him then move him out.
Connor Menadue – Usual for Menadue with just 46 SCPoints, but has lost $1.4K this week. BE is 56, if you don’t need a ton of cash this week, then he’s one to look at downgrading.
Mitch Brown – Had a good game in front of goals, kicking 4 majors for 83 points in both Supercoach and AFL Fantasy. Now sits with a BE of 75.
Peter Wright – Considering the lack of Suns success on the weekend, Wright managed to have a very good game, despite being a bit wayward in front of goals, kicking 3.2. 95 SCPoints is his second highest return of the year.
Bailey Williams – Decent stats, but a lot of uncontested possessions (14 uncontested and only 4 contested last week) which will limit his scores in Supercoach. On the bubble with a BE of -44, but carries big questions about his JS.
Daniel Currie – Held his own against Jacobs in the ruck, but fractured a finger and will be out for the next 2-4 weeks.
George Hewett – Still in almost 20% of teams, he had a great game against the Hawks with a score of 87 SCPoints. His BE is down to 19 this week and if he can have another couple of weeks of decent scoring he should pop over the 300K mark, which he had looked like he’d struggle to do a few weeks ago.
Darcy MacPherson – Copped a medial ligament injury to his right knee with no timetable for his return. Big bummer to the 36,473 Supercoachers that own him.
Josh Smith – Average score of 67 for Smith, but plenty of cash left in him with a BE of just 3.
Mason Redman – Just didn’t get going on the weekend, scoring just 20 SCPoints. Still has a BE of 21 though, but hasn’t proved that he’ll be a good player in fantasy football yet, averaging just 34 SCPoints over 3 games.
Ben Crocker – Just 29 SCPoints for Crocker, but still has a BE of -7, so potential to earn cash is still there, as long as he continues to get a game.
Liam Sumner – Usual type score from Sumner with 45 SCPoints. BE is 18, so no need to get rid of him if you are a part of the 4.8% of teams that own him.
Josh Wagner – He’s had two low scoring games in a row now with scores of 43 against the Bulldogs and 56 against Melbourne last week. His BE is 75 and while he has shown he can score about that, his current form suggests he won’t.
Ryan Davis – Well, his JS should be pretty solid with all of the Suns injury, even if his fantasy football scoring isn’t that great. He did score 66 on the weekend, which is his highest score all year and his BE is 19, so he could make some cash. Only problem is the Suns have West Coast in Perth and Sydney on the cards over the next fortnight.
Callum Ah Chee – Just a 26 from Ah Chee as he left the ground with a concussion.
Tom Ruggles – A late inclusion and he hit his average of 60 perfectly with a score of 60 SCPoints against the Pies. His BE is 30, but the question is will he keep his spot against Carlton?
Michael Hartley – Might be coming near Hartley’s time, his BE is 49 and his average is 67.8 SCPoints. He should do OK against the Tigers and Fremantle, so I’d probably keep him there and maybe look to offload once his BE rises and he has to play Hawthorn, GWS and West Coast.
Ciaran Byrne – Big game from Byrne with a score of 112 SCPoints. He’s been ticking along nicely for the 6.7% of teams that own him, he’s passed the $300K mark and has a BE of 22 coming up. His BE will jump up once the big score rolls out, but as long as he scores well he’ll continue to earn money.
Ben Keays – Just the 53 from Keays, who has earned almost $100K now. His BE is just in the minus range at -1 while the Lions have a 50/50 schedule coming up over the next 6 weeks with games against Hawthorn, Carlton, Fremantle, West Coast, Richmond and Gold Coast.
Rhys Mathieson – Scored 59 in his first game against Melbourne. We still have one more week to evaluate him before he reaches the bubble though.
Connor Blakely – Not many guys own this bloke (only 0.8%), but he pumped out a massive score of 122 over the weekend. He had only scored 44, 55 and 40 over his first 3 games, so it might just be an aberration, rather than the beginning of an ongoing trend. Still, it’s pushed his BE down to -26, so he has the potential to earn a fair chunk of cash over the next two weeks if he continues to score decently.
Jayden Short – Average is 46 and BE is 51. He looks like he’s in the same boat as his teammate Menadue.
Kaiden Brand – Solid but not spectacular, with a score of 46 SCPoints on the weekend and a season average of 54. You could probably still buy him as he’s just $163K, but his BE is already at 0 and would only project out to adding another 100K to his price if his current scoring rate continues.
Wayne Milera – Managed to hit the scoreboard and kick 3 goals for a score of 76 SCPoints. BE is just 10 and still owned by 8.3% of teams.
Jonathan Freeman – Played his 2nd game and scored just 59 after a 27 the previous week. Costs $218K and his BE is already 45, which is higher than his average of 43. I’d avoid.
Keegan Brooksby – Played his 3 games and actually lost $7K, he’s averaging just 38 SCPoints and his BE is 37. Job security might improve a tad with Currie out.
Tim Mohr – Can’t catch a break after suffering another injury, this time a hamstring injury that will likely keep him out for 5 to 6 weeks. Caleb Marchbank has hurt his ankle again as well, so no go there as an immediate replacement either.
Jackson Paine – His name makes him sound like a wrestler Hulk Hogan would have taken on in the 80’s, it’s Rowdy Roddy Piper and Jackson Paine VS Hulk Hogan and the Macho Man!!! Anyway, he scored a 45 in his first game of the year and while he is only $127K I don’t think his scoring potential is all that great. Still one more week to take a look at him though.
Aaron Mullet – Probably past our comfortable price range now that he’s $226K, he’s scoring OK with an average of 59 and a 68 to his name last week.
Josh Schache – With a score of 20 SCPoints he lost 31K last week and now has a BE 88.
Kieran Collins – Not a great start for Collins with a score of just 17 SCPoints his BE is already 36 after just one game.
Oscar McDonald – Still on the bubble as he’s only played 2 games, but is averaging just 45 SCPoints. Job security isn’t secure either.
Jade Gresham – Another one who is like Menadue, doesn’t score all that well and doesn’t make any cash either.
Conor McKenna – Scored just 11 on the weekend and is now $700 cheaper than his original starting price.
Trent West – Played his first game of the year and scored decently with a score of 72. Slightly higher price than most at $196K, but his performances and job security have never been consistent.
Daniel Gorringe – You know things are bad when Gorringe is getting a game. He did OK with a score of 50 SCPoints, but his BE is 33 thanks to his price of $222K and he’s never displayed great scoring potential.
Jayden Hunt – Averaging just 50 over his 6 games and his BE is now 54. Lucky only 1.4% of teams own him.
AROUND THE GROUNDS…
Matthew Goodyear – Led the Collingwood VFL side for possessions with 28 in their narrow win over Williamstown. Also added 2 goals, 3 marks and 7 tackles.
Jack Trengove – Hit the 30 disposal mark again, with 30 disposals, 3 marks and 5 tackles in Casey Scorpions 6 point win over the Box Hill Hawks.
Teia Miles – Miles had a better day in front of goals this week, kicking 4.2 as well as adding 10 disposals, 6 marks and 3 tackles for Box Hill.
Aaron Francis – Made his debut for the Bombers, albeit the VFL version, but had a quiet game with 10 disposals, 6 marks and 1 tackle. He’ll be brought along slowly you’d think as he recovers from his injury layoff.
Will Hams – Led the way for the Bombers with 35 disposals, 5 marks and 5 tackles in their 19 point loss to Footscray.
Sam Grimley – Wasn’t much happening for Grimley on Saturday with just 8 touches, 4 marks, 2 hitouts and a behind to his name.
Josh Dunkley – Good game for Dunkley, grabbing 31 disposals, 7 marks and 5 tackles for Footscray.
Eli Templeton- Continues to push his case for a recall, racking up 31 disposals, 7 marks and a goal for Sandringham in their win over Werribee.
Jack Lonie – Another Sainter playing well in the two’s, Lonnie booted 4 goals as well as having 29 disposals, 4 marks and 6 tackles.
Tom Lee – Decent game for Lee with 19 disposals, 1 mark, 4 rebound 50’s and a goal for the Zebras. Probably won’t be in line for a recall this week.
Tom Curren – A bit more quiet than usual for Curren with 16 disposals, but did some good defensive work with 10 tackles
Dougal Howard – Did some OK work in the ruck with 20 hitouts and hit the scoreboard for a goal. Also had 17 disposals and 5 marks
Sam Collins – Collins had 17 disposals, 7 marks and 4 rebound 50’s in Peel Thunders super high scoring match in which they beat East Perth 39-25. With the continued injuries to the Dockers you’d think he might have a chance of getting a game soon.
Darcy Tucker – Probably weren’t many stats to go around with Barlow zooming them all up himself, but Tucker had 16 disposals and 7 tackles for the Thunder.
Michael Apeness – Quiet game for Apeness, but it wasn’t exactly raining goals on the weekend, grabbing just 8 disposals, 4 tackles and 4 hitouts.
Cameron Loersch – Not many going around for the Suns in the NEAFL, but Loersch managed to kick a pair of goals as well as have 15 disposals and 5 marks in the Suns big loss to Redland.
Matthew Kennedy – Kennedy had 26 touches for the UWS Giants against the Brisbane Lions, which was probably a pretty good effort considering Adam Tomlinson had 52 and Jack Steele had 43! Kennedy also booted 3 goals and had 10 marks as the Giants beat the Lions by 53 points.
Harrison Himmelberg – Himmelberg is improving as he gets more games under his belt, he had 24 touches, 4 marks and kicked a goal.
Eric Hipwood – Got on the end of a few goals a fortnight ago, but could only managed the 1 goal last week, as well as 8 disposals and a mark. Brisbane, like their QLD counterparts, have brought up quite a few players this year, so there isn’t a ton of quality guys running around their reserves at the moment.