The Rookie Scout: Round 7
The time has come people. Our very first rookies have been plumped up and well fed and ready to be sent to the market.
Sure, some of them are a bit skinnier than we’d like, but these are lean times and we have to make do with what we’re given.
On the plus side, there still appears to be a few quality rookie downgrade options available, Collingwood fans, if you take one thing out of this year let it be the thanks of the entire fantasy football community for making Josh Smith and Mason Cox available to us at this point of the year.
Callum MillsSC Price: $335,700 | AF Price: $313,000 | CoachKings Price: $6,900 Round 6 Stats: 17 disposals, 1 mark, 5 rebound 50’s, 70 SCPoints, 60 AFPoints, 79 CKPoints
Mills continues to provide what we want from rookies with decent scores and continuing to generate cash, though his SC score of 70 was his lowest since Round 3. His BE is 33 coming into Round 7, that’s low enough that you can leave him for at least another fortnight before you consider doing anything with him.
Darcy ParishSC Price: $331,100 | AF Price: $359,000 | CoachKings Price: $5,100 Round 6 Stats: 11 disposals, 2 goals, 3 tackles, 65 SCPoints, 47 AFPoints, 68 CKPoints,
We’ll definitely take the 2 goals from Parish, but the 11 disposals kept his score fairly low. Amazingly, that was the first time that Parish has had below 20 possessions for a game, which is a pretty fair effort for a rookie player. His BE is now at 75, which is exactly what his Supercoach average currently sits at. I’d probably feel decently confident about holding Parish and him hitting that BE since he has had scores of 97, 83 and 83 over Rounds 2-4, though he’s had his two lowest scores of the year in the last two rounds. Weigh up your priorities, but he’d be near the bottom of my list for this week.
Connor MenadueSC Price: $220,500 | AF Price: $245,000 | CoachKings Price: $3,800 Featured CoachKings Contest: Friday, Richmond VS Hawthorn Round 6 Stats: 13 disposals, 2 marks, 3 tackles, 50 SCPoints, 50 AFPoints, 60 CKPoints
His BE is 41, which you’d think would be achievable, but he’s yo-yo’d between scores in the 30’s and scores in the 50’s over the past 4 weeks. The Tigers have been 52 flavours of awful this year, so it’s hard to single out just Menadue since he was only drafted in 2014, but we’ll definitely need to start thinking about what we’ll do with Menadue. He’s dirt cheap in CoachKings, but hasn’t been producing a ton of scores and I can’t imagine what he’d score against the Hawks on Friday night.
Sam KerridgeSC Price: $346,800 | AF Price: $413,000 | CoachKings Price: $5,900 Featured CoachKings Contest: Saturday, Collingwood VS Carlton Round 6 Stats: 19 disposals, 10 marks, 4 tackles, 2 clearances, 3 inside 50’s, 65 SCPoints, 91 AFPoints, 61 CKPoints
Pretty much nothing but uncontested possessions for Kerridge last week, with 15 disposals and all 10 of his marks being on the uncontested variety. That’s probably the big reason for the discrepancy between his Supercoach and AFL Fantasy scores. His BE is just 23, so no need to think about moving the Kedge on yet and he should make a decent pick in CoachKings… BUT.. there is some chatter around the traps that he may miss this weekend because of General Bloody Soreness. Hold.. but this will test our depth!
— 3AW Football (@3AWisfootball) May 4, 2016
Ben KennedySC Price: $295,900 | AF Price: $319,000 | CoachKings Price: $5,800 Round 6 Stats: 18 disposals, 4 marks, 2 tackles, 6 inside 50’s, 69 SCPoints, 68 AFPoints, 60 CKPoints
The goals have dried up for Kennedy and so have his SC scores. He had 4 goals over his first two games where he averaged 110 SCPoints, in the next 4 games he has kicked just 1 goal and is averaging 59 SCPoints. His disposal averages are down too, from 21 in the first fortnight to just 17 over his next 4 games. His BE is 51 this week, which he should hit, but with a few guys on the bubble, he might be one you definitely look to move out this week.
Tom PapleySC Price: $245,000 | AF Price: $279,000 | CoachKings Price: $6,200 Round 6 Stats: 15 disposals, 3 marks, 3 tackles, 3 inside 50’s, 64 SCPoints, 61 AFPoints, 62 CKPoints
Papley has started to round back into some decent form after looking like an absolute disaster for those who traded him in for Round 3. His SC average over the last fortnight is 71, which is a pretty good return for a rookie forward. BE of 2 means you should be able to carry him through to the bye rounds.
Mitch McGovernSC Price: $261,700 | AF Price: $264,000 | CoachKings Price: $5,800 Featured CoachKings Contest: Saturday, Western Bulldogs VS Adelaide Round 6 Stats: 10 disposals, 4 marks, 3 tackles, 1 goal, 46 SCPoints, 55 AFPoints, 61 CKPoints
It looked like he might have injured himself at one point last week, but McGovern came back on and ended up playing 75% ToG. There just wasn’t much happening up forward for the Crows with the Dockers pushing extra players back to try and strangle the game and prevent any free flowing footy from occurring. The Crows have the Bulldogs this week and if last years Elimination Final is anything to go by it’s going to be another shootout. Big chance for McGovern to kick a few goals there and should easily hit his BE of 35 and produce a good score in CoachKings.
Lincoln McCarthySC Price: $282,500 | AF Price: $248,000 | CoachKings Price: $6,200 Round 6 Stats: 9 disposals, 1 mark, 3 tackles, 44 SCPoints, 37 AFPoints, 31 CKPoints
Probably the only Geelong forward who wasn’t able to get a piece of Geelong’s dominance over the Gold Coast last week, but he only played 57% ToG, so his opportunities were limited. With them having dropped him earlier in the year to rest him due to all his previous injuries I’m sure the Cats saw this as a decent opportunity to give him a bit of a rest, so they can keep him fresh for this week. So hopefully that pays off for us and he gets a big score this week!
Jacob WeiteringSC Price: $338,400 | AF Price: $290,000 | CoachKings Price: $6,600 Featured CoachKings Contest: Saturday, Collingwood VS Carlton Round 6 Stats: 8 disposals, 2 marks, 23 SCPoints, 28 AFPoints, 19 CKPoints
The bad news here is Weitering is likely to be out for 2-3 weeks with a shoulder injury, and with such a low score over the weekend it’s pushed his BE up to 114. There is a good side to this at least, which is if you do have him, while you’ll need to trade him out, the fact that he won’t be playing means you do have a couple of weeks to go and take care of other priorities (like the guy below) first should you need to. I wouldn’t bet on him beating that BE upon return, but don’t go feel like you MUST trade him out this week either, especially if you have a few cherry ripe rookies elsewhere.
Matthew DeaSC Price: $296,900 | AF Price: $300,000 | CoachKings Price: $5,400 Round 6 Stats: 12 disposals, 1 mark, 1 inside 50, 39 SCPoints, 38 AFPoints, 54 CKPoints
I remembered some quote about if things didn’t end badly they wouldn’t end at all when thinking of Dea, then I googled it and found out it was from that awful Tom Cruise movie Cocktail and I thought “why the heck did I bother remembering anything from that piece of trash?”. But I digress. Dea has absolutely obliterated his season for us with scores of 41and 39 SCPoints over his last fortnight. He has lost some cash this week and his BE is 94, so that means you got to get him out of your side if you have him.
Marcus AdamsSC Price: $342,400 | AF Price: $330,000 | CoachKings Price: $8,800 Round 6 Stats: 12 disposals, 5 marks, 2 tackles, 63 SCPoints, 53 AFLPoints, 93 CKPoints
He started off strong, but Adams has started to cool down a bit, particularly after the Bulldogs lost Murphy, Johannisen and Suckling to injury. He’s done pretty well for us though, he’s earned 225K so far and has a BE of 58, so should add another 15-20K to that again. Might be nearing his time, but he’s served us well.
Darcy Byrne-JonesSC Price: $273,300 | AF Price: $251,000 | CoachKings Price: $6,400 Featured CoachKings Contest: Sunday, Port Adelaide VS Brisbane (SA Venues ONLY) Round 6 Stats: 16 disposals, 4 marks, 3 tackles, 70 SCPoints, 66 AFPoints, 67 CKPoints
He’s already gained 145K in cash and has another price rise of 42K on the cards thanks to a BE of -13. Keep pluggin’ away with him.
Anthony McDonald-TipungwutiSC Price: $309,500 | AF Price: $290,000 | CoachKings Price: $6,100 Round 6 Stats: 12 disposals, 2 marks, 2 tackles, 53 SCPoints, 41 AFPoints, 53 CKPoints
Walla’s time is coming up it would seem, with a BE of 64 and a season average of 71, if you don’t trade him this week you may need to next week. He’s done a good job for us though, 200K in cash, easy enough to cash him in and boost his teammate Matty Dea or someone else up.
Mason CoxSC Price: $117,300 | AF Price: $171,000 | CoachKings Price: $4,300 Featured CoachKings Contest: Saturday, Collingwood VS Carlton Round 6 Stats: 10 disposals, 3 marks, 2 goals, 4 tackles, 5 hitouts, 67 SCPoints, 62 AFPoints, 79 CKPoints
Cox continues to do a decent job of it, notching up another solid SC score, one that probably could have been even higher if it wasn’t for the 3 free’s he gave away. He’s only played 2 games, so you can still bring him in for his basement price, and currently has a projected price rise of 64K and a BE of -73. He’s a perfect downgrade target for this week and a great CoachKings options against Carlton. Note though.. there has been some late mail that Cloke may return this week, wonder if this could put some selection pressure on the big yank?
THE BEST OF THE REST…
Mitch Brown – Highest score of the year for Brown with 88, that’s pushed his BE back down to 0. Hold for a few more weeks.
Peter Wright – How fortunes can change, with 142 SCPoints one week and only 32 the next. To be fair, Gold Coast were absolutely slaughtered by the Cats, so it wasn’t exactly the best game to judge him on. Still, he’s shown that the score of 142 probably isn’t the norm, and because he costs 187K, I’d likely go for Mason Cox as a downgrade instead.
Daniel Currie – A decent game, but he’s pretty much scored at the same level as Mason Cox and costs 50K more. Still don’t know how solid his job security is with Tom Nicholls sitting there as well.
Sam Grimley – If you started with him, then you’ll probably just have to hold him, but if you’re looking to downgrade, again, go with Cox.
Dougal Howard – Another downgrade option to consider, he only scored 46 last week, but probably has pretty good job security with Matthew Lobbe going down with a knee injury. Port doesn’t have a lot of ruck depth and don’t seem too keen to send Charlie Dixon into the ruck. That leaves Justin Westhoff and Jack Trengove, who are part-timers at best. He only costs $3,800 in CoachKings, so if any SA players go to their venue for the Port VS Brisbane game, he’ll make a cheap pick there.
George Hewett – Has a BE of -12 and kicked 3 goals last week, so should keep his spot. Keep him if you didn’t trade him out.
Liam Sumner – Just the 55 last week, but that’s a season high and hasn’t had more than 10 possessions in a game. Forget about him in long-form fantasy football. I’d skip him in CoachKings this week too, he’s cheap, but not producing much.
Josh Smith – Will likely be a very popular downgrade target this week, thanks to SC scores of 72 and 96. He’s a bargain basement price of 102K and looks to be the goods. I’m bringing him in. He’s $4,500 in CoachKings, but belted out a 96 last week, that’s value for money.
Josh Wagner – Back down to earth a bit for Wagner, with the 48 SCPoints off of 17 disposals. Probably a disappointing result as he had 47 in Round 3, but only had 8 possessions that game. 14 uncontested possessions and 3 clangers probably hurt, but Byrne-Jones still might be the better pick in the end. 21 pressure acts was 2nd best for the Dees against the Saints, so he’s still showing that he’s working hard out there.
Nakia Cockatoo – 76 SCPoints for Nakia thanks to 3 goals. He’s averaging 81 over the last 3 games, but the Cats haven’t exactly been playing anyone that great.
Darcy Tucker – Not a great result SC wise, he had 13 disposals and 2 marks, but only scored 34 SCPoints. His DE was only 61%, but more than a few players had issues kicking in the swirly conditions. 11 uncontested possessions will also keep that score low too. He might be worth a downgrade, just because he looks
Michael Hartley – Has had a solid 2 weeks, with scores of 79 and 83. Essendon players have been a bit up and down this year; Hartley has had patches of both good and bad form. If you have him he’ll still earn plenty of cash thanks to a -21 BE.
Ciaran Byrne – Started on fire in the first quarter, with a score of 40 SCPoints, but then only finished on 75 for the game. Still, he’s shown he’s at least consistent with scores of 67, 67, 76 and 75. Not as good as the other Byrne, but I wouldn’t be upset if I picked him up at his basement price either. Might make a cheap DEF option in CoachKings at $5,000
Jade Gresham – He had his highest SC score of the year, but it was just a score of 56. Playing more forward at AFL level, which probably isn’t going to help him produce great fantasy football scores.
Jason Castagna – He only scored 37 SCPoints in his debut game, but I did like the fact he seemed willing to take the game on. Still, that score isn’t high enough to consider downgrading to him at the moment.
Ryan Davis – Another poor score this week, hitting a season low of 33 SCPoints. Wasn’t much going on for Gold Coast up forward, so it’s not a surprise Davis didn’t score well. Tough position to be in with him, downgrading him nets you minimal cash and his BE is 39, so it’s not likely he’ll go up much more with his current scoring output. And those scores are pretty much useless to us.
Christian Petracca – News was he would play forward, which had me worried a bit, but it was more of a high half forward role around the 50 metre mark and into the centre square, so he still found the ball a fair bit. SC score of 63 is a solid start, but give him another week before upgrading.
Aliir Aliir – Just 6 disposals and 3 tackles for Aliir for the 36 SCPoints. Didn’t expect much from him, so hard to be disappointed with that result.
Ben Keays – 11 disposals, 8 tackles and a goal is a decent effort for a first gamer. Only had 5 effective disposals and 3 clangers which hurt though. Watch for one more week, but for SA CoachKings players, consider him for Sunday at $3,700.
Connor Blakely – An OK result from Blakely with 10 disposals and 5 tackles, but just 44 SCPoints. Ran at only 50% DE, which isn’t a good result and only had 59% ToG. At 153K, if that’s the best he can do I probably wouldn’t bother.
AROUND THE GROUNDS…
Wayne Milera – A pretty good game for Milera in the SANFL, he had 22 disposals, 3 marks and kicked 3.2 in the Crows 1 point loss to South Adelaide. With Laird out, the Crows could shuffle the deckchairs a bit and bring Milera back in. If you still have him, wait for the team announcements to see if he’s brought back.
Charlie Curnow – Will be out with glandular fever, which probably won’t help his fantasy footy chances much!
Jayden Short – The VFL Tigers got beaten pretty badly, but Short was still pretty good, leading the way for the Tigers with 29 possessions, 5 marks, 3 tackles, 6 inside 50’s and 6 rebound 50’s.
Tom Curren – Another great game from Curren with 28 disposals, 7 marks, 3 tackles and 3 inside 50’s
James Rose – He had 18 disposals and 3 goals as the Swans in the NEAFL annihilated the Lions by 110 points.
Shane Yarran – Returning from a knee injury he suffered in the WAFL Grand Final, Yarran kicked 3 goals and had 9 possessions and 4 marks in the Peel Thunders big win against Perth.
Clayton Oliver – In for the Casey Scorpions this week, he had 29 disposals, 3 marks and 16 tackles. Hard to keep him out with that sort of form, but the Dees aren’t short on midfielders.
Nathan Freeman – After his latest injury setback due to his hamstrings, St Kilda senior coach Alan Richardson has conceded it will be very unlikely Freeman plays any senior football for St Kilda as they are concentrating on getting his body right for 2017. So we’ll see Nathan here this time next year maybe!
Mabor Chol – Not much from Chol against Sandringham with just 7 disposals, 2 marks and 2 tackles.
Liam McBean – Like Chol, McBean didn’t provide a heck of a lot against Sandringham, with just 4 kicks, 2 marks and 1.2 on the scoreboard.
Jack Trengove – Trengove has continued his great VFL form, nabbing 28 disposals, 3 marks and 9 tackles for the Casey Scorpions last week.
Dean Gore – Gore was quieter this week, with just the 18 touches and a goal to his name.
Sam Collins – Collins had 16 disposals and 7 marks in the Peel Thunders big win against Perth.
Anthony Moribito – An OK game from Moribito with just the 15 disposals and 5 marks. He’s still on the Dockers rookie list, so I wouldn’t expect him back at this point.
Rhys Mathieson – Another good effort from Mathieson with 20 disposals, 4 tackles and a goal.
Josh Dunkley – He had a game high 34 possessions in Footscray’s loss to Weribee.
Jacob Hopper – Was the senior emergency for the GWS Giants this week, so no NEAFL action for Hopper.
Jake Barrett – 26 disposals, 5 marks and 6 tackles for Barrett as the UWS Giants went down by 13 points to the NT Thunder.
Harrison Himmelberg – A key forward from the GWS Academy that the Adelaide Crows bid on during the 2016 AFL Draft, he had 19 disposals and 7 marks against the NT Thunder. He’s currently playing down back for the UWS Giants and is averaging 21 disposals and 6 marks in his 5 NEAFL games. Hard for a tall bloke to get a gig at the Giants though.