ROUND 8 NRL – Buy, Hold, Sell?
As Jock would say, arousal levels are high after a handful of popular SuperCoach selections produced monster performances over the weekend.
Latrell Mitchell, Anthony Milford, Ben Hunt and Corey Oates all scored triple digits – plenty of money was made and increased round scores were achieved.
This week I wanted to address the underperforming centre/wings and high performing halves in my Buy/Hold/Sell article. “Never trade out a gun performer” is a golden rule in SuperCoach but as we see a number of expected/proven guns producing underwhelming performances, coaches need to decide whether it’s worth staying loyal to those that have served us well in the past. Let’s also discuss these Broncos halves that either have us jumping for joy or sulking in a corner somewhere, depending on whether we own them.
Anthony Milford – FE $481k Next 5: SOU(H), CRO(A), MAN(A), NTQ(A), WES(H)
Is it too late to grab The Milf if you don’t trade him in this week? This guy is pumping out an 87 PPG average and is projected to rise in price over the coming weeks. While Milford owners watched in amazement as he produced a 153 point game last week, those that don’t own him will be finding ways to free up the cash to trade him in. Those that are contemplating cashing in on Hastings or Taylor might want to consider Milford as their number one pick.
Ben Hunt – HB $420k Next 5: SOU(H), CRO(A), MAN(A), NTQ(A), WES(H)
What’s better than having the best performing player as your five-eighth? It’s having both Milford and his partner in crime as your half back. Ben Hunt has produced a 98 PPG average over the past three rounds and is also set for a couple of price rises before the bye period begins. Let’s not forget he is 60k cheaper than Milford which could be the difference between one and two productive trades. Whether you’re looking at grabbing Hunt over Milford or making your halves ridiculously strong with both, this is a great round to grab the Bronco’s half back.
Corey Norman – FE/FB $321k Next 5: NTQ(A), CBY(H), SOU(H), MEL(H), NEW(A)
According to the SC community, Norman is a controversial trade choice this week. He hasn’t exactly produced an average worth boasting about although he has a -12 Break Even and averaged 85 PPG over his last two appearances. The other positives with Norman are his perfect bye coverage and DPP status. He’s going to be very handy during the bye period while your gun selections are out due to their bye week or Origin duty. If you can’t trade Norman in this week you’ll more than likely be paying more than his worth before round 12.
Josh Mansour – CTW $361k Next 5: CRO(A), CAN(H), NZ(H), GCO(A), BYE
The three ‘Holds’ this week are all $350k to $370k CTWs with high Break Evens. So why shouldn’t we sell them and use the money elsewhere? They’ve all been considered gun performers at some point and we’re likely to use another trade to get them back in for the home stretch. Josh Mansour has a 58 PPG average which is well and truly among the better performing CTWs. Coaches may be stressing a little due to his 113 Break Even, but let’s not forget that these calibre of players generally make their value back at some point throughout the season.
Jarrod Croker – CTW $355k Next 5: WES(H), PEN(A), STG(A), NZ(A), CBY(H)
Over the past couple of weeks Croker has been a hot topic among the community due to his inconsistent performances. Now with his 113 Break Even coaches are getting an itchy trigger finger. Let’s take a look at the positives though. Until the Raiders play the Broncos in round 14, their highest ranked opponents are the Bulldogs (currently in sixth). With the Raiders playing two of the three big bye rounds and Croker being the team’s goal kicker, I’d strongly recommend holding on to him throughout the bye period before you reassess.
James Roberts – CTW $367k Next 5: SOU(H), CRO(A), MAN(A), NTQ(A), WES(H)
Roberts is another hot topic among the community due to a couple of factors. Coaches have become concerned with his inconsistent performances (three games below 35 points) along with the rumours and speculations that Roberts is an Origin contender. To make matters worse, Roberts has a Break Even of 94 and the Broncos play just one of the two big bye rounds. OK, that’s a lot of negatives! My sole reason for considering Roberts as a hold is his form average. If you put aside his round one and two performances, Roberts is averaging around 62 PPG – that would put him as the second highest averaging CTW behind Naiqama (excluding those that have played just the one game).
Roger Tuivasa-Sheck – FB $416k Next 5: Out for the season
Whether or not you believe the rumours that Tuivasa-Sheck could be back after eight weeks, it’s time to say goodbye to this unbelievable Fantasy performer. There’s no point debating this so let’s look at replacement options. Those coaches that decided to run with RTS over Tedesco can easily make the swap between the standout fullbacks. If you’re lucky enough to own both, I’d recommend trading RTS to Corey Norman. This way you’ll have the gun performer along with the bye friendly fullback with DPP status as back up. Dugan and Barba are also good options although they won’t be as versatile and handy through the bye period.
Hymel Hunt – CTW $279k Next 5: BRO(A), WES(H), PAR(A), STG(H), BYE
When it comes to a CTW averaging 53 PPG it’s difficult to consider trading him of your team. Here’s the way I see it though. Hunt’s higher scoring games have come from the opening four rounds of the season where he averaged 64 PPG. Since then, he has averaged just 37 PPG from his last three appearances. On top of his underwhelming recent form, the Rabbitohs play just one of the three big bye rounds which convinces me that the money is better spent elsewhere.
Cody Walker – FE/HB $278k Next 5: BRO(A), WES(H), PAR(A), STG(H), BYE
Now that Reynolds has returned from injury we can assume that Walker will only return if one of the halves gets injured, or Reynolds receives an unexpected Origin call up. The advantage (and disadvantage) with trading out Walker is his DPP status. To experienced Fantasy players this will all sound obvious but to those still finding their feet, don’t forget the huge advantage of dual position players. Looking at the forwards, Cartwright and Nikorima owners can move them into the halves which is the same as Barba and Norman owners when looking at the backs. Spend the money where your teams needed.
Are you going to sell your underperforming guns?
Get excited as you will be able to login and play our first NRL CoachKings game demo on Thursday April 28 during the Rabbitohs V Tigers game – more details to come next week!