The Rookie Scout: Round 4
Up and down, peaks and valleys, that’s the life of fantasy footy and it was perfectly evident for us last week with the performances of our rookie selections.
We had some great results from the likes of Jacob Weitering, Darcy Parish and Clayton Oliver, we also had some blokes staining it up with Mitch Brown, Tom Crapley and Connor Menapoo who were all heavily started and who all scored poorly, along with other more experienced players in Sam Kerridge and Ben Kennedy hitting well below their averages.
That’s the caper we’re in however, so you gotta ride out the good with the bad, but since this week is the first price rise in Supercoach it means we may get once last look at making sure we have all the correct rookies set in place, which is what we’re going to help you with here.
Callum MillsSC Price: $243,000 | AF Price: $253,000 | CoachKings Price: $4,700 Round 3 Stats: 9 disposals, 3 marks, 56 SCPoints, 31 AFPoints, 79 CKPoints
Diminishing returns for Mills in his 3rd AFL game, once again recording lows in most statistical catergories and Supercoach/AFL Fantasy. He seemed to play a bit further up the ground than in his previous two games, but the good sign would probably be that his actual time on ground held up fairly well at 78%. He has a current BE of 19 heading into Round 4, so we’d probably want him to have a really big game soon to give him some more cash generation potential.
Clayton OliverSC Price: $253,100 | AF Price: $274,000 | CoachKings Price: $5,000 Featured CoachKings Contest: Sunday, Melbourne VS Collingwood (VIC VENUES ONLY) Round 3 Stats: 26 disposals, 4 tackles, 2 goals, 7 clearances, 90 SCPoints, 89 AFPoints, 135 CKPoints
Back to a lot of time in the midfield for Oliver, which showed with the 7 clearances he gained last week, he also snuck forward a few times and managed to have a really good impact on the scoreboard with 2 goals. He did have 5 clangers, which would have had a negative impact on his Supercoach scores, but he is absolutely firing along and still sitting in a negative BE for Round 4. Keep starting him if you own him and lock him in for CoachKings on Sunday.
George HewettSC Price: $163,800 | AF Price: $218,000 | CoachKings Price: $4,400 Round 3 Stats: 3 possessions, 4 tackles, 19 SCPoints, 23 AFPoints, 11 CKPoints
It’s an ugly stat line from Hewett, with only 3 touches, all coming in the defensive half when it’s usually the opposite and he’s winning the ball in the attacking 50. That may have been due to the return of Ben McGlynn to the side pushing him down the opposite end of the field. Might be on the chopping block soon.
Ryan DavisSC Price: $151,500 | AF Price: $197,000 | CoachKings Price: $4,500 Round 3 Stats: 14 disposals, 4 tackles, 2 behinds, 3 marks inside 50, 51 SCPoints, 67 AFPoints, 54 CKPoints
More of the same from Davis in Round 3, but like in Round 1 he failed to take advantage of his opportunities in front of goal, which hurt his fantasy potential for us. At this point it seems we can almost mark down Davis’ scores for the rest of the year. If he hits the goals he could score up in the 70’s, if he doesn’t he’ll be scoring in the 50 range. Not great, but not completely awful either and because he started from so far back starting price wise he still has a BE of -25, so he’ll still be gaining cash for a while yet. I would imagine that being almost 27 years old he isn’t going to suddenly get any better from here on out like a 20 year old might, but he will serve a purpose at least.
Darcy ParishSC Price: $260,400 | AF Price: $347,000 | CoachKings Price: $4,800 Round 3 Stats: 21 disposals, 1 mark, 4 tackles, 83 SCpoints, 67 AFPoints, 71 CKPoints
Parish continues to favour the handball over kicking, having recorded 23 kicks and 44 handpasses across his 3 games for a near 1:2 kick-handball ratio. That will probably prevent his scores from rising up from the 90’s into the 100+ range, but we’re not keeping Parish for the long haul and he’s still producing terrific results for a 1st year player.
Connor MenadueSC Price: $192,000 | AF Price: $216,000 | CoachKings Price: $4,800 Featured CoachKings Contest: Friday, Richmond VS West Coast Round 3 Stats: 18 disposals, 4 marks, 3 inside 50’s, 31 SCPoints, 56 AFPoints, 20 CKPoints
The previously mentioned Menapoo, that’s probably a bit harsh on him because the stats were there, it’s just that he turned Etihad Stadium into Clanger Stadium with 7 clangers. I know a lot of people will be PO’d because they started him on field this week, but just ride out the bad week and hope the kid can get back to his best in Round 4, which he’ll need to do to keep his BE at a reasonable rate.
Sam KerridgeSC Price: $215,700 | AF Price: $362,000 | CoachKings Price: $5,500 Featured CoachKings Contest: Saturday, Carlton VS Western Bulldogs Round 3 Stats: 21 disposals, 4 marks, 3 tackles, 4 inside 50’s, 65 SCPoints, 76 AFPoints, 63 CKPoints
Another solid stat line for Kerridge, the problem that is becoming apparent as we move along is that he isn’t getting the time in the middle that he got in the pre-season and Round 1. He fell to a season low 6 contested possessions last week, after recording 10 in Round 1 and 2 and only a single clearance after recording 6 in Round 1 and 6 and 7 in his two NAB Challenge matches. He continues to work hard around the ground, with 20 pressure acts being 3rd best for the Blues against the Suns as he continues to play more along the wings, but he didn’t kick the ball that well in the first half, so it means he doesn’t have those contested stats that boost his scores back up if that happens. I’d just chalk that score up to an average game, rather than a continuing trend for now. I’d suspect at this stage no midfield time will mean no scores above 100, unless he manages to make a decent scoreboard impact as well. A -44 BE means he’ll still have plenty of time left in our sides.
Ben KennedySC Price: $258,600 | AF Price: $291,000 | CoachKings Price: $6,700 Featured CoachKings Contest: Sunday, Melbourne VS Collingwood (VIC VENUES ONLY) Round 3 Stats: 15 disposals, 2 marks, 3 tackles, 50 SCPoints, 54 AFPoints, 47 CKPoints
A very untidy game for Kennedy, who only had 6 effective disposals out of the 15 he had against North Melbourne. And that’s all you can really say about his score to be honest, he butchered the ball, so his fantasy scores sucked because of it. Still, he had a nice gain of 70K this week and with a BE of -3 could easily be in line for another 50K raise if he has a good game against Collingwood, something I imagine he’d be keen to do considering it’s his former side. He’s risen to a midpriced option in CoachKings, so I wouldn’t have him as a lock there, but he’s certainly an option to consider.
Tom PapleySC Price: $196,100 | AF Price: $221,000 | CoachKings Price: $5,800 Round 3 Stats: 14 disposals, 1 mark, 1 goal, 3 tackles, 5 clangers, 46 SCPoints, 50 AFPoints, 62 CKPoints
It was an absolutely horrid first half for Papley last week, only recording 4 touches while sitting on about 1 SCPoint at some point in the 2nd quarter. Papley spent a bit more time down back, which was different from Rounds 1 and 2 where he spent most of his time almost exclusively in the forward 50. That could very well be due to the return of Ben McGlynn who spent most of his time along the forward flanks. If he has a better first half and a few fewer clangers then his score should be better next week. Maybe not 100 points good, but easily above 75. The good news though? He just gained 86K and still has a BE of -40, so don’t panic if you traded him in last week. As long as he keeps playing he’ll still have plenty of cash generation left.
Wayne MileraSC Price: $201,800 | AF Price: $231,000 | CoachKings Price: $4,400 Round 3 Stats: 12 touches, 1 mark, 1 tackle, 2 goal assists, 39 SCPoints, 41 AFPoints, 42 CKPoints
Milera had a solid game as a Crows fan (legend has it you can still see him dancing around Troy Chaplin at Etihad Stadium), but a disappointing score for fantasy football players who own him. He spent a bit of time across half back in Round 2 and became a bit of a link up player back there, which boosted his possession count up to 20 and his mark to 9, that didn’t really happen last week as he stuck to his usual role at half forward. He continues to show some individual brilliance, but that may not be enough to keep him in Supercoach, but his BE is -3 this week, so I wouldn’t be looking to move him out just yet.
Mitch McGovernSC Price: $163,800 | AF Price: $194,000 | CoachKings Price: $4,200 Round 3 Stats: 10 games, 3 marks, 1 goal, 5 tackles, 3 inside 50’s, 61 SCPoints, 60 AFPoints, 77 CKPoints
An “almost” game for McGovern last week, in that he almost took a few extra marks and almost kicked an extra goal, things that would have likely boosted his fantasy footy scores much higher. I get the feeling he could just be ready for a breakout game, fantasy footy wise, but maybe that’s just the hopeful Crow fan in me! Either way, he’s still in the negative BE range, and as we’ll say a lot through here, as long as they still have cash generation in them, then as long as they’re playing you’ll have to stick with them.
SC Price: $193,300 | AF Price: $204,000 | CoachKings Price: $5,300
Round 3 Stats: 13 disposals, 3 marks, 2 goals, 4 tackles, 96 SCPoints, 64 AFPoints, 107 CKPoints
Sometimes all it takes is 1 game to change the course of a rookie in fantasy football, that game came for McCarthy last week, with a very nice effort in both Supercoach and CoachKings. His BE is now -48, so even if he goes back to that 60-70 scoring range, he’ll still have some use, especially with the likes of McGovern and Papley looking to be in the same sort of scoring range.
Jacob WeiteringSC Price: $289,100 | AF Price: $289,000 | CoachKings Price: $7,000 Featured CoachKings Contest: Saturday, Carlton VS Western Bulldogs Round 3 Stats: 26 possessions, 9 marks, 3 intercept marks, 2 tackles, 5 rebound 50’s, 129 SCPoints, 106 AFPoints, 173 CKPoints
Last week I said Weitering was likely to jump back to a solid score in Round 3, well when I said that I was expecting a score in the 90’s at most, not the big score he ended up with against the Suns! A very deserving winner of the Round 3 Rising Star nomination, Weitering had a fantastic game and gave Carlton fans just a little taste of what is to come. We can’t expect this every week of course, but it’s certainly good to know he can do it and can also bounce back after a quieter game. We may have missed the boat on Weitering if you don’t have him, it’s not too often a near 300K player has a BE of -27! After last weeks CK score you’d definitely have to consider him on Saturday night.
Matthew DeaSC Price: $243,500 | AF Price: $252,000 | CoachKings Price: $4,500 Round 3 Stats: 20 possessions, 4 marks, 4 tackles, 4 rebound 50’s, 3 inside 50’s, 95 SCPoints, 80 AFPoints, 119 CKPoints
Matty Dea continues to be rock solid for the Bombers, and may end up being the only cheap rookie priced player that we can trust on a consistent basis from Essendon. Sometimes this is the advantage the more experienced “rookies” have over their 1st-2nd year counterparts. Dea doesn’t have the fantasy upside of someone like Weitering, but there’s a good chance he’ll be a much more consistent option. Either way, Dea is going to hopefully continue to score very well and make cash. Keep starting him on field.
Marcus AdamsSC Price: $226,000 | AF Price: $274,000 | CoachKings Price: $8,400 Featured CoachKings Contest: Saturday, Carlton VS Western Bulldogs Round 3 Stats: 23 disposals, 15 marks, 1 tackle, 8 intercept possessions, 7 1 %ers, 97 SCPoints, 107 AFPoints, 190 CKPoints
It didn’t take Adams very long to become an elite CoachKings option for us, already moving up to $8,400 in that format while also having the 4th highest CoachKings score in Round 3. There were plenty who worried how Adams would go against the best team in the AFL in Hawthorn, and Adams passed with flying colours. He rose 90K in Supercoach this week and is currently on track for a projected price rise of 108K after this week with his BE at -99(!). If for whatever reason you don’t have him, you need to get him in now!
Not a thing available at the moment.
KEEP AN EYE OUT FOR…
Michael Hartley – Average game for Hartley last week, but Woosha talked about Nathan Grima potentially being added to the side, which could spell an early for him. If Grima is added and Hartley keeps his spot, then I’d definitely consider him as a downgrade option this week.
Tom Ruggles – Can’t fault Ruggles in his debut game with 77 SCPoints, 76 AFPoints and 104 CKPoints. Chris Scott says it’ll be hard to keep him out of the side. Good signs early.
Ciaran Byrne – Byrne didn’t look out of place last week against the Gold Coast with 20 touches, but he was let down by a disposal efficiency on just 65%. Keep him on your CoachKing radar for Saturday.
Darcy Byrne-Jones – Solid AFL debut game for Byrne-Jones with 61 SCPoints, 48 AFPoints and 77 CKPoints. CoachKingers in SA who get the Port Adelaide VS GWS game on Sunday should consider him if named this week.
AROUND THE GROUNDS…
Christian Petracca – 31 disposals, 5 inside 50’s and kicked 2.3 for the Casey Scorpions in the opening VFL match. The Scorpions spanked the Frankston Dolphins 179-35, so not much opposition for the Scorps last week.
Ben Keays – 31 disposals, 2 marks and 6 tackles VS Redland in the NEAFL last week. Might be on the verge of a debut, though Mathieson has higher upside from the Lions, but he’s out injured at the moment.
Jono Beech – Still on Adelaide’s rookie list, but they have the scope to bring him up. Averaging 21 possessions, 2 goals and 9 marks through the opening 3 rounds of the SANFL season.
Sam Grimley – Kicked 3.2 last week against Weribee in the opening round of the VFL season. Will remain as a potential option for the Bombers, especially if Mitch Brown fails to provide anything up forward.
Mason Cox – Made an impact in the ruck and up forward for Collingwood in the VFL. 36 hitouts and hit the scoreboard for 1.2.
Nathan Freeman – Returned via the VFL Development League and showed he’s a class above, with 46 disposals in 3 quarters. May take a bit longer to make his debut, but it’s just about getting run into his legs at this stage.
Jade Gresham – Sent back to the VFL with the Sandringham Zebras and had 24 disposals, 7 marks and a goal.
Anthony Moribito – Back with the Peel Thunder in the WAFL last week and he had 23 disposals, 6 marks, 4 inside 50’s and 4 rebound 50’s. We all know he can play, just needs to get a good run of games into him.
James Rose – 20 disposals, 6 marks, 6 tackles and kicked 4.3 for the Swans against the GWS in the NEAFL last week. He had 19 disposals, 6 marks and 3.4 the week before. FantasyFreako thinks he’ll be in line to replace George Hewett this week.
Braydon Fiorini – Good numbers early in the NEAFL with 30 disposals, 8 marks and 2 goals in Round 1, followed by 32 disposals, 6 marks, 5 tackles and 1.2 in Round 2. I like him and he could be in line for a debut, though will be up against the potential returns of David Swallow and Jaeger O’Meara.
And that’ll be it for me this week. Any rookies you’re considering swapping too? Or are you looking to lock in a particular guy in your CoachKings side? Let us know in the comments below, or hit us up on Twitter @BarronVonCrow
Round 4 CoachKings Fixture: (click link above for your nearest venues)
* note South Australian Venues are taking the GWS v Port Adelaide game on Sunday, and not the Collingwood v Melbourne game