Round 6 NRL: Buy, Hold or Sell?
Some of us experienced a heart breaking round while watching the likes of Milford and Mbye produce subpar scores.
It was even worse for those that captained them. This week will test the patience and restraint of many coaches due to the questionable cheapies that have become available, along with the inconsistent performances of mid to high priced performers.
There are plenty of questions that need answering when it comes to job security, player performances and viable trade options. Make sure you’ve done your homework when choosing your trade options this week and never neglect those big bye rounds that are approaching. They can make or break an entire season.
Shaun Fensom – 2RF $374k Next 5: PAR(A), CRO(H), WES(H), PEN(A), STG(A)
Fensom is now priced at an attractive $374k and plays two of the three big bye rounds, another solid selection when it comes to preparing for the Origin period. SuperCoach has his average at 57.2 PPG but remember that this includes the game against the Roosters where he scored zero, so his average is actually 71.5 PPG. Ideally it would’ve been more beneficial to pick him up last week due to the zero game dropping out of his three game average, although he has gained only 10k in price since then and will prove beneficial in any SuperCoach team.
Roger Tuivasa-Sheck – FB $464k Next 5: MAN(H), CBY(A), MEL(A), STG(H), PEN(A)
The ultimate fullback combination for the run home would have to be Tedesco and Tuivasa-Sheck. But what if you’re one of many coaches that opted to select a different fullback to start the season with to spend the money elsewhere? Yep, you’re probably curled up in a corner imagining what could’ve been, but what’s done is done. If you didn’t pick him up last week when he was 25k cheaper, then this is the week to grab Tuivasa-Sheck. He’s averaged 88 PPG over the past three games and has just dropped a 43 point game. The big issue will be who to downgrade in order to gain the money needed to get RTS.
Kerrod Holland – CTW $114k Next 5: MEL(A), NZ(H), GCO(H), PAR(A), WES(A)
Kerrod Holland returns for his second game of the NRL season following a hamstring injury to Chase Stanley. There’s plenty of risk when choosing someone like Holland who isn’t usually part of the Doggies seventeen, the main one being the issue of how many games Stanley will miss. I’m going to be more optimistic though. I’m giving strong consideration to Holland this week due to a number of reasons – he may take over kicking duties from Mbye (which he did in his first game), he should be the one covering Morris throughout the Origin period, the Bulldogs play two of the three big bye rounds, he’ll be more productive than Feeney who is currently wasting a spot in my team and can be traded via a DPP. Why not give him a crack?
— NRL News (@NRLNEWS) April 5, 2016
Moses Mbye – HB $396k Next 5: MEL(A), NZ(H), GCO(H), PAR(A), WES(A)
There’s no need to panic trade Mbye after his single digit score last weekend. He has a 78.6 point average (which includes his 9 points against the Raiders) and will be a good addition to your round 12 side. In saying that, I’m not fully against trading him out of your side either. Coaches may be in the mind set that Mbye has made his money (122k) and it’s time to move on. Blake Austin and Aiden Sezer are two halves that jump to mind if you’re looking to move Mbye on to try out a POD selection.
Pat Mata’utia – CTW $244k Next 5: WES(H), BRO(A), MAN(H), SYD(A), CRO(H)
Realistically, Mata’utia could be a considered a Hold or a Sell depending on how you think he’ll perform over the coming weeks. He’s producing a 52 PPG average although he scored a 30 followed by a 38 in his last two appearances. The decision to hold or sell him will depend on whether you think he’s able to maintain that 52 PPG average because he will potentially rise above 300k if he can. Add to this his availability for round 12 and you’ve got a decent argument towards holding him. If you simply need the cash to strengthen your seventeen and are assuming he may lack the attacking stats to score over 50, then trading him out isn’t a bad decision either.
Jacob Saifiti – FRF/2RF $202k Next 5: WES(H), BRO(A), MAN(H), SYD(A), CRO(H)
Tariq Sims’ return from suspension sees Jacob Saifiti being named on the bench for the first time this season. Saifiti has been a handy cheapie for coaches this year, making 88k so far and averaging 43 PPG. Don’t panic just yet though! He has a breakeven of -2 which means he’ll definitely make money regardless of his performance. Now you’re probably thinking “He has a -2 BE so why is he even worth a mention?” Let’s not forget that a number of coaches in our community don’t own SC Gold and will base their trades off team lists and team needs, so my message to these coaches are: “Don’t panic trade Saifiti just because he’s named on the bench”. Additionally, its unknown how Saifiti performs coming from the bench and what minutes he’s likely to play which means the option to hold him until round 14 to boost your round 12 numbers is still valid.
Craig Garvey – HOK $203k Next 5: MEL(A), NZ(H), GCO(H), PAR(A), WES(A)
With Michael Lichaa returning from injury there’s no room in the Bulldog’s starting seventeen for Garvey. Coaches would’ve loved another game from the young hooker who averaged 65 PPG and was set for another prise rise of 40-50 thousand. With Nathan Peats due back next week, a Garvey to Peats trade would be perfect especially with Peats playing all three big bye rounds. If you don’t have the option to upgrade Garvey then don’t stress too much, he’s not going to lose any money.
Jayden Nikorima – HOK/HB 139k Next 5: SOU(A), PEN(H), STG(A), NEW(H), GCO(A)
43% of coaches still own Nikorima and this is partially due to the lack of options if you don’t have the spare cap. The main issue with Nikorima is that he’s now an AE nightmare, so coaches require a higher than normal vice-captain score to effectively use the loophole. He’s played the last two games from bench scoring 10 and 20 points and should continue to do the same until he’s either named to start in the halves or Mitchell Pearce returns from suspension.
Jordan Rankin – FB/FE $217k Next 5: NEW(A), MEL(H), CAN(A), SOU(A), CBY(H)
This is probably one of the better weeks to give Rankin the punt while benefitting from his 72k price rise. Let’s assume he hits his projected score of 41 this week, that’ll make his three game average 32 PPG – nothing to get excited about. Coaches could argue that he’s not looking like losing too much money over the coming weeks, but with the smorgasbord of performing halves and backs on offer, your money is better spent elsewhere.