Round 3 NRL: Buy, Hold or Sell?
Round 3 lockout is fast approaching – so it’s time to play the SuperCoach stock market.
After a large number of injuries, high scoring games and unexpected performances, coaches need to consider whether their chosen players are worth their price-tag. Due to the abnormality of the first two rounds, a large number of triple figure and negative BE’s have appeared for consideration.
Let’s take a look at the pros and cons for the following players:
Do I HOLD or do I SELL?JAMES ROBERTS Break Even 106, CTW 347k Next 5: PEN(A), NTQ(H), GCO(A), STG(H), NEW(H)
Pros: You’d expect the premiership favourites to score well this season so Roberts will likely hover around the 300k-350k mark anyway. He’s just played his first two games for a new club so you’d expect that Roberts will become more involved in the smooth chemistry at the Broncos.
Cons: The issue with Roberts is that he’s not seeing that much ball. The Broncos seem to like attacking down the left side which is limiting Roberts’ involvement. He’s also set to lose a good amount of cash if he repeats his opening rounds’ performances.COREY PARKER Break Even 110, 2RF/FRF $482k Next 5: PEN(A), NTQ(H), GCO(A), STG(H), NEW(H)
Pros: I didn’t really want to mention the SC God himself but after seeing so many coaches talking about trading him out, I’ve thrown his name in the mix. He’s a second-rower, goal kicker, work horse and part of a top four team. He’s in my team and not going anywhere.
Cons: If you had to be picky, Parker will play Origin and has a small chance to be rested at some point during that period. He may lose a little cash over the next few rounds but that’s nothing to be concerned about.JOSH DUGAN Break Even 109, FB/CTW $365k Next 5: SOU(H), PEN(H), NTQ(A), BRI(A), GCO(A)
Pros: If Dugan is fully fit to play this weekend he’ll be moved back to fullback. It’s debatable whether Dugan performs better at centre or fullback but at least now he’ll be free to return the ball and become involved in the attacking plays on both sides of the field.
Cons: Dugan suffered a strain in round 2 which will make coaches a little nervous coming into round 3. Additionally, they’re playing against an in-form Rabbitohs team which could limit his attacking potential.DALY CHERRY-EVANS Break Even 94, HFB $386k Next 5: CRO(H), SYD(A), SOU(H), NZ(A), PAR(H)
Pros: 94 isn’t out of reach for Daly. He produced a 50+ score in round 1 with no attacking stats which shows what he’s capable of. I can see coaches using DCE as an excuse to grab Mbye this week but I’m not a big fan of this trade.
Cons: Cherry-Evans has been under-whelming and at times has looked a little lost. Manly potentially have a difficult next five rounds as all their opponents can be strong on their day.JAMES MOLONEY Break Even 117, HFB/FE $419k Next 5: MAN(A), MEL(H), WES(A), GCO(H), CAN(A)
Pros: Maloney and Cherry-Evans owners seem to be in the same boat. Both halves are producing average scores but the potential has been proven in previous seasons. Maloney has the added bonus of being a goal kicker and a dual position player.
Cons: With a break even of 117 and playing the likes of Melbourne and an in-form Wests in the next three games, it’s likely that Maloney will lose some cash. Is that a good enough reason to give him the flick though?SEMI RADRADRA Break Even 186, CTW $513k Next 5: CBY(A), WES(A), PEN(H), CAN(H), MAN(A)
Pros: Semi will be extremely popular when the bye period approaches due to the Eels having the best coverage. Yes, he will definitely drop a significant amount of cash after rounds three and four, but remember that the Eels have just played the two grand finalists from 2015.
Cons: If you chose to start with Semi and decide to trade him out, you’ll more than likely use another trade to get him back in for the bye period. Alternatively, you could bite the bullet and just accept that you brought him into your side a bit prematurely.ROGER TUIVASA-SHECK Break Even 171, FB $489k Next 5: MEL(H), NEW(H), SYD(A), MAN(H), CBY(A)
Pros: Surely RTS just requires some time in a new side before producing the attacking stats that he’s known for. He’s still producing the 200+ running meters from last season so he’s not far off returning to some good form. The Warriors will play their first home game this weekend , then another in round four against the underwhelming Knights.
Cons: Where has the SC weapon of 2015 been? His involvement has been minimal and he’s set to lose a lot of cash. Tuivasa-Sheck owners could consider a trade to Tedesco who is in much better form and has a high involvement in the Tigers attack. This could be considered a side-ways trade though.
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Should I BUY?MOSES MBYE Break Even: -94, HFB $273k Next 5: PAR(H), SOU(A), CAN(H), MEL(A), NZ(H)
Pros: Mbye is playing exceptional football and looking at making a truck load of cash. Whether you’re considering getting him as a keeper or a stepping-stone to another gun in your side, he definitely looks the goods.
Cons: The Bulldogs next five games could be fairly tough so there’s every chance that he’ll produce average scores. It’s difficult to use this as an excuse to pass on Mbye.KEVIN NAIGAMA Break Even -61, CTW $253k Next 5: GCO(A), PAR(H), CRO(H), NEW(A), MEL(H)
Pros: The Tigers will play two out of three of the big bye rounds so you could use him to make up numbers throughout that period. The Tigers will play the Titans and Knights in their next four games so there’s every chance he’ll produce some more high scoring games.
Cons: Naiqama will need to repeat his opening rounds’ performances in order to keep any cash gained from trading him in. He isn’t really considered a CTW keeper so you’ll be using another trade to get him out of your side.CODY WALKER Break Even -88, FE/HFB $123k Next 5: STG(A), CBY(H), MAN(A), SYD(H), NTQ(A)
Pros: Walker should be hanging around long enough to make a decent amount of cash for your team. He’s in amazing form and is even worth consideration when choosing your starting 17.
Cons: He’s all but certain to be dropped once Reynolds returns from injury. Besides this, I can’t see any reason why he wouldn’t be a good pick up.SAM BURGESS Break Even 2, 2RF/FEF $424k Next 5: STG(A), CBY(H), MAN(A), SYD(H), NTQ(A)
Pros: If Burgess isn’t in your team by now, Why? No, seriously….WHY?