Breaking in to break-out territory.
He’s 22. This is his fourth season. He’s coming into his own across Carlton’s backline. Is this Sam Docherty’s year to go 95+?
Lekdog loves his oldies. Bob Murphy, Corey Enright, his marvellous look at Nick Reiwoldt yesterday. I go the other way. I love watching the young blokes frolic amongst the meadows, finding their feet. One such lamb is Sam Docherty.
He spent much of last year skipping his way through the centre of the MCG, on a Friday night, running out of Carlton’s backline, delivering the pill forward. He took the rebounding role by the horns and ran with it.
This kid will be a player. But will this year be the year he thrusts himself into the spotlight?
|2016 Prices:||$473K SC, $417K AF, $8.1K CoachKings|
|Games last season:||19|
|Average last season:||87.7 SC, 82.2 AF, 100.9 CK|
|100+ SC Games last season:||3|
|Sub 80 SC games last season:||5|
|SCPrice range last season:||$411K – $442K|
|Missed games last season:||2|
I’ll admit, that table doesn’t look brilliant. 8 scores above 90 in 19 games means he hit 90 in just over a third of the time he ran onto the park.
However, he only had 3 scores below 75, which means he was scored between 75 and 100 13 times. That smells like consistency, and consistency is something I can get behind, provided it’s not Zac Dawson-like consistency.
Consistency is something you like to rely on when picking a daily side for Coach Kings. You build your sides around those guaranteed 90 scores, and take a punt on Buddy Franklin kicking 29 sausage rolls and laying 396 tackles to score three billion points.
We will have to find more information about Coach Kings’ scoring system before we can go in depth on if Docherty is suited to the short form of the game, and will have any consistency. As someone who plays as a running midfielder from the backline, he might be overlooked for someone like Tom Lynch from the Gold Coast, who would have been the 20th best player.
In the longer form, he’s under 500K, which fits half the criteria for a defender – beyond that price you’re generally paying overs for someone likely to average 95 at most.
However, he is amongst a group that contains Laird, Bartel, Thumper Kolodjashnij, Bob Murphy and Kade Simpson. Elliot Yeo, Brodie Smith, Heath Shaw and Jarrad McVeigh are also available in the backline, and there are a few sneaky midpricers floating about the 300K mark.
This is significant competition, and defenders are notoriously fickle. Why not go for the experience of old Bob Murphy, the dash of Brodie Smith, the class of Bartel?
Good question. Guts speak in strange tongues, and at the moment, all we are going off is gut and list changes.
So, why have I got him my side at the moment?
The case for:
- He’s young and is in prime break-out territory
- Playing for a struggling side, so he will get plenty of opportunity to run the ball out of defence
- Will be prioritised over the few remaining old blokes at Carlton – Sam Docherty will be taking kick-ins during Carlton’s next final, not Kade Simpson
- Good disposal efficiency and metres gained, both good stats to be strong in for both Supercoach and Coach Kings
- My gut told me to pick him
The case against:
- He goes missing – this may ruin a night in Coach Kings, and lose you clumps of hair over the length of the season
- Carlton will struggle this year. While there is less than a point’s difference between his averages in wins and in losses, Carlton consistently losing will dent his potential output.
- Can he handle a defensive tag? He hasn’t truly been tested yet
Docherty will be a week by week proposition in CoachKings – although you will notice in the table above that we can expect him to score more heavily in CoachKings than on other formats. In free flowing games on larger ovals, Docherty has shown he has a huge ceiling. Don’t forget about him when Carlton are due at your local!
I doubt Sam Docherty will be in my side come round one. There is too much in the backline that presents serious value or serious point scoring potential, and Docherty is neither of those things.
At this stage I feel safe calling that he will increase his average from last year, possibly even to 92 or 94, but I can’t see him in the top six defenders for the year. Monitor.
Over to you community – anyone considering him this season?