A lot of pressure is placed on the player who is selected first in each National Draft.
There is often debate around whether this pressure needs to be applied to these young men, a pressure which often emanates from underperformers. But it’s success stories from which this expectation of greatness surrounding the number one pick stems, success stories like that of the great Nick Riewoldt.
Nick Riewoldt’s career has been a success story there’s no doubt about that, even though he never won that elusive flag he has certainly cemented his place in the history books. 298 games, 648 goals, 130 Brownlow votes and a hell of a lot of awards. This man is why we judge players drafted with the number one pick so harshly.
But how does this all stack up in the world of fantasy sports?
|2016 Prices:||$490K SC, $520K AF, $7.7K CoachKings|
|Games last season:||17|
|Average last season:||90.8 SC, 93.9 AF, 96 CK|
|100+ SC Games last season:||5|
|Sub 80 SC games last season:||6|
|SCPrice range last season:||$416K – $506K|
|Missed games last season:||5|
At 33 years of age and priced at $490K (Supercoach), Riewoldt certainly is my type of player. Believe it or not community, I’m not telling you to lock this bloke in and throw away the key, strange for me I know. There is inherent risk in picking Riewoldt in your starting lineup, his age, last seasons injuries and St Kilda’s position all raise cause for alarm. For the sake of maintaining a positive review I’m going to focus on all the rewards you could reap for selecting Saint Nick in your starting lineup.
There’s one stat that sparked this review community, marks, Nick Riewoldt is good at taking them. Marks get points and Riewoldt gets a lot of them, in fact he was ranked number one for marks per game in 2015 (6th for total marks). Riewoldt also managed to make the top ten for marks inside 50 in 2015, most of which became scores or score assists, once again great for points. However the most impressive thing for me by far is how consistent Riewoldt’s marking has been over the years. In 2013 and 2014 Riewoldt lead the league in total marks and since 2013 has lead the league in marks per game averaging at least 8.7. This marking stat is what leads me to believe that Riewoldt could remain fantasy relevant in what will surely be his final year at the Saints.
In recent years Riewoldt has been pushing up the ground to impact the game on a wing, this is where I think he will excel in 2016, think Matthew Richardson the year he almost won the Brownlow. This freedom to push up the ground and take marks as well as help move the ball into the 50 is where I believe Riewoldt will score some serious points in 2016 and with the new interchange rules he’ll be resting up forward and kicking a few goals (probably another 9 when he plays the Blues, I’ll never forget that match in 2006…).
It’s true that Saint Nick is on the decline, he’s old and probably tired but after an extended Summer break I’m guessing he does a Bob Murphy of 2015 and lights a spark for his team and leads by example. Don’t discount the heart community; it goes a long way in this game of ours. The Saints won’t rest him; they want him in the squad giving some much-needed leadership and insight and he wouldn’t let them rest him anyway. That’s the reason he’s averaged 19.5 games per season since 2006.
The issue Riewoldt faces is consistency, he is capable of scoring 140 just as easily as he can score a 70. He’ll have a down period at some stage in 2016, history says that will come around the time of the byes. Generally speaking he explodes at the start of the season, you just have to look up his stats to see that he does his best fantasy work early on. So can we rely on a guy who will probably place us in a strong position through the first 10 rounds but is a risk of stinking it up after that or do we wait and see and probably pick him up when he’s dropped around $50K in price?
The case for:
- I think Riewoldt’s role this season will see him pushing up the ground and taking plenty of grabs, that is good for points.
- He’s not what I would consider premo price and for a guy who’s averaged 90+ for so long, $490K might prove to be a bargain.
- A refreshed Nick (both mentally and physically) could unleash the beast for one final year.
- Scores a lot of tons in the first 10 games of the season, puts whoever selects him in a strong position.
- Averaged 115 in 2015 wins.
The case against:
- Will fall in price (could make him a good post-bye selection).
- I think there are plenty of potential breakout players for our 2016 forward lines; Roo is not one of them.
- Inconsistent, whilst I love a good 130 as much as the next coach, Nick’s poor games (which are often St Kilda’s poor games) are really poor. Will hurt your weekly matches.
I’ve been a bit wishy-washy in this write up community, that’s because I genuinely don’t know what to do. Nick’s scores are tied to St Kilda’s performance so you’ve got to ask yourself “how are they going to perform?”
- Nick averaged 115 Supercoach points in wins for 2015, if the Saints can get to 10 wins for the season that 1150 points right there. If they can’t get to 10 wins we’ll be looking at another season of averaging 90. Everyone needs to look deep within and decide whether or not they believe the Saints will progress in 2016.
- For long form fantasy Nick is a risk, but he could be the risk that pays off.
- For CoachKings you’re going to want to lock him in against teams that have poor defences…Carlton for instance.