Dex Files – Michael Hibberd
Community, Let us stop what we are doing and have a minute silence. It is time to mourn. The greatest podcast in the history of mankind has hung up the boots and we’re all reeling.
It’s just not fair! Why does life have to get in the road? I know Jock, Crouching and Higgo love SuperCoach; but sometimes SuperCoach must take a back seat. From myself and all of the Jock Reynolds Community – Thank you!
Thank you for the weekly laughs, the tantrums, the arguing and the singing.
Thank you for the Payanmanese stories and the adventures of finding Higgo some crumpet.
It’s times like these where we must pull together. Let us pool our resources, our knowledge and our love. Let us find a way to get the glorious podcast going again.
Please Jock, Crouching & Higgo; tell us what we can do to keep the wondrous gift you gave us alive!
I’m sorry Community, I digress…
Most coaches should be full premium this week, although there are some that have been hit by injury (Sloane) or suspension (Martin, Buddy) and are in need of a relatively cheap pick-up.
Most coaches that don’t have JPK would most likely swap Sloane for JPK. But for those of you that either have him or don’t want him. Michael Hibberd fits.
Providing you have a DPP defender, you could make money by going Sloane to Hibberd. Yes, Hibberd isn’t a 110+ averaging super-premium. I’m not sure about you, but I’m getting low on trades and low on cash. Some coaches could be caught in a bad place and be unable to afford anyone of significance.
For a defender – Hibberd has some solid history on his side with his past 2 years yielding 90+ SC averages (91.4 in 2014, 95.9 in 2013).
In 2015, Hibberd has been a bit up-and-down with his score output – put part to Essendon having been ordinary as a team this year. He has broken the ton twice and had 2 stinkers. Hibberd’s average for 2015 is 82.5 (value of $480,600) – if we remove his two tons (100 & 116) and his two stinkers (41 & 59), his average would be 84.3 ($452,800). I feel this is a more accurate gauge of Hibberds’ worth as a defender.
Taking Hibberds’ match results into consideration; he is faring slightly better in Losses (in terms of SC) – 81.3 SC in wins, 83.1 in losses. Other than marks and inside 50’s – Hibberd seems to have similar impact in both wins and losses (in terms of general match statistics).
See his 2015 Stats below:
We want consistency from our players, and Hibberd has previously been consistent. In 2014, Hibberd played 18 games (4 missed to ankle and quad injuries) – of those 18 games; all bar 4 games he achieved a score between 83 and 112. Hibberd cracked a ton 5 times, and he had 3 sub 80 scores.
See his 2014 Stats:
Taking into consideration Hibberds’ current price ($443,400), his 3 (92.7) and 5 (94.4) game SC average, and his past consistency; he is priced slightly unders for mine.
I don’t mind an 80-85 averaging defender at D5-6, so I got on Hibberd after round 8.
Will you?
Got him 3 weeks back …. Should avg 85 and at d5 I happy with that …. Great article Dex and hopefully the podcast with the above mentioned awesome gents can be back up and running in future
How do think he compares with Ibbotson?
I would say Ibbotson is the better pick!
I won’t be getting him in I think at this time of year you want to be getting in proven premos and a bloke who’s averaging around the 80 mark in a ordinary side isn’t going to improve much. I think there are better options around the same price tag
Like who ? I have murphy and yeo ,houli
T Mac Enright Birchall rance and those other blokes you mentioned I think will have better years than hibberd. I’m looking to upgrade ox this week just not sure who to go
Rance could be a good option
Had him in my Draft side all season.
As one of my first selected defenders, I gotta say he's been pretty dissappointing.
Certainly has improved of late though.
Good write up Dex. Had him since the start. Oscillated between Hibbo and Gibbo and ended up on Hibbo. Much to my chagrin. Now that I have both, I'm looking to Hibbo to maintain a decent 85+ avg for the rest of the season. His recent form has been a little more pleasing if not trouser stretching.
Forget Hibberd, how about Michael Hurley at 456k? This year, he scored at an average of 93, with a standard deviation of 15.9. He's only owned by approx. 2% of teams. He completes many intercept possessions and intercept marks each game. Finally, he's a great point of difference. Please tell me your thoughts.
I think Hurley might have to play forward now with carlisle out
I agree with Tyler. Wait a week and see what Ess do with their new forward line.
Fair point, Tyler.
However, the last time that Hurley played whilst Carlisle missed (round 7); he scored 113.
Let’s hope Hird keeps Hurley down back, in my opinion, he marshals their backline.
Agree Jambo, I tossed up between Hibbo and Hurley last week and went Hurley. Better scoring output and more consistent.
Hi guys, can't decide between Danger, Hannebery or Beams. What do you reckon? I might bring in 2 of the 3 in the coming weeks
all very expensive and you would be paying overs for each. But out of the three Dangerfield stands out as the one I would get. Have a look at Dangerfields points when Sloane plays and when he doesn't. With Sloane out, he will score big.
Beams for me. He is cheaper than he started the season and dangers scores will decrease when Sloane comes back around the finals
If you want Danger, wait a couple of weeks. Currently, he has a high BE.
Had him from the start, been frustrating but hopefully on the up now!
Defenders you may as well flip a coin for anyway nearly all of them are pretty ordinary – even Hodge had a stinker last week!
As Crouching says Old Mother Hibberd, defensive cupboard is bare!!
Is there any real value in trading Oxley to hibbard? Oxley is the last rookie I have on the feild.
Waist of a trade in my opinion, they both are averaging around the same. Defence has been so volatile the whole year and I'm sure nothing will change. I'm keeping SAAD as a so called premium defender because his average is 82 same as many defenders in the "ilk" of Hibberd and so forth. I'm even hoping Lever gets named as he will be my D6 for a while coz im sick of wasting trades especially in defence.
I never buy the Hibbard types that were boom mature aged recruits once upon a team. Same category as guys like Suckling, Stanley etc
PASS!
Next week should I bring Hodge or Shaw in?
Shaw for Shaw
Not sure why the rush to move on Saad or Oxley either from D5 or D6. Just as likely to score a 85-100 than any other "premo" defenders. As long as you have 4 decent defenders in your sides such as Hodge, Shaw, Higgins or Newnes, focus on upgrading the rest of your side and let them be. The defenders are clearly the weak link this season, hence I have continued to roll with Ox and Saad all season long. Currently ranked 101 and will continue to play them until my rank goes the other way, or a defender screams at me to select him!
Agreed, unless you really need to generate some cash I wouldn't be rushing to trade them.
I think you are asking to much of Saad and Oxley to continue as "premium' defenders.
same thing as last year with Suckling and the year before with terlich. They ended up staying in my team until the end, and stunk it up real bad when I needed them.
Very well said your right on the money, trading the likes of SAAD & OX in defence when it's been so inconsistent all season is a waist of valuble trades. Even if your rank slides too 150 to 200 – Saving those trades CAN & most likely will get you further ahead towards the end of the season when most of the SC ranked leaders will have exhausted their trades and hoping for no injuries.
Very smart move moving forward & thinking ahead. Unless you are someone who has 10+ trades then I would trade out the Ox for someone like Murphy, Picken and the likes.
I'm keeping SAAD for a while if not all season.
Hi community,
Who should l pick Doherty or rance??
Your advice please…
Rance If you want too save coin
Docherty, Rance too inconsistent
Is Sloane to heppel a good trade, I only have 533k to bring someone in?
Yes, but I like to see a bit of form before I make a move like that.
Dons plays saints this week, Weller will stalk him
Ollie Wines if you don't have him, I like Heppel but he does get tagged at Essendon and seems to get a lot of uncontested footy. But Heppel is still a decent option.
I like Hibberd but why not look at Docherty? He is cheaper and averaging more
I picked him up around round 5 and he has been very consistent averaging 92 points
very underrated but wouldnt look at bringing him in this week as reports are saying that he may have strained his hamstring and could miss a week.
Love your work Dex
Could miss this week
Sorry just seen you stated that
Is it worth trading out Jordan Lewis to Luke Parker?
Parker is a Jet and Lewis has been trash recently, I’d say yes if you have ten or more trades
Community can someone please help me in finding the best replacement for Sloane?
Like the majority, do I grab a heavily underpriced JPK, or spend the dosh and get guns like Hannebery, Ward, Armitage etc.
Cheers
at this time of the year Cash is really important. Most people have culled their rookies and the next "batch" are a few weeks away or reality is they won't be culled but remain for bench cover. So it comes down to how much cash you have and who you can afford.
I noticed most of the top 20 teams have a team value over $13mil now.
Cheers Derek, I've already gone ox to bob murphy which leaves me 136k and a team value of 12.77mill. You could all my lines are finished, bar a few in my mid (Cripps, Wallis, and underperformers like Lewis, Jelwod, Bont)
DEF: Shaw, Hodge, Murphy, Higgins, Simpson, Newnes (Andrews, Edwards)
MID: Fyfe, Pendlebury, Beams, Selwood, Lewis, Sloane, Wallis, Cripps (Boston, Kavangh, Steele)
RUCK: Goldy, NicNat (Cox)
FWD: Martin, Gray, Swan. Dalhaus, Titch (on the verge of getting dropped), Bont (Fantasia, Dale)
Stevo unless you have 10 or more trades, if I were you I would reverse the trade in defence and get a better premium in the midfield, don't get me wrong I like JPK & have had him since day 1 but of late his scoring has been shocking, in his last 5 games he has averaged 90 – I would bring in someone like Neale or Mundy for Slooane, thats what im doing as I would be crazy choosing someone like Hannebery because I already have Parker & JPK. .
Quite a few people in the top 20 still have players like SAAD & OX in there defence which I think is a smart move.
Trade Dumont to non playing rookie with mid/def dpp so I can swing Hodge in there if need be? As well as make some good cash? Good idea? Also Zorko or Harvey?
need to see whole team
Trades this week:
Sloane -> Steele
Tarrant -> Deledio. 189k left in the bank. 11 trades remaining.
My team after these trades. Thoughts/ suggestions appreciated 🙂
Shaw, Hodge, Simpson, Newnes, Smith, Saad (Hamling, Whitecross)
Fyfe, Pendles, JPK, Parker, Lewis, Griffin, Cripps, Wallis (Kavangh, Steele <fwd>, McKenzie <def>)
Gray, Martin, Deledio, Mitchell, Swan, Mitch Clarke (Krakouer, Lonie)
.. and Goldstein Jacobs as Rucks. Almost wished I'd gone for Bilclavs as R2.
Gotta be one of the most impressive finds of the season. New breed of ruck.
Need to get another premo forward next week then it will be looking reasonably good.
Midfield is a bit weak. Like your forward and backline once clark is replaced.
I would suggest Goddard or Dalhaus.
Thanks mate, yeah I see myself upgrading Griffin Cripps and Wallis eventually.. To Priddis, Dangerfield and maybe Hannebury. Possibly will finish forward line with Dalhaus.
If i had Martin in my team, i would look at trading in Luey as my R3. He is priced at $232k so would only cost me $110k.
He has a 11BE, should score well having martin out and will cost you only 1 trade.
Can sit there the rest of the year as ruck backup, or if there is a price increase you can trade him out for some cash appreciation.
That is a very smart idea except for the fact that I'm down to 6 trades and have 2 more trades before full premo
Hi everyone, who do you think is the best forward to trade in for Robbie Tarrant? I have 449,900 all together.
The Bont. But if you want a real premium you need more cash
I cannot believe people are over looking GUNSTON he has only had 1 bad score and his break even is 133 so his price will be around $420k after round 14 is complete he will be my F6 thats for sure,
He has a average of 92 and his scores have been quite consistent this year with his scoring card looking like this: 70-101-100-91-135-96-98-91-113-86-22-108 if you take off his 22 and add his average of 92 his average then becomes 98 which is much better then having someone like Buddy who either scores crap or massive id rather consistency over franklin every day of the week.
Can’t argue with those stats, looks good, I’d consider if I had a spot available
Nice one Dex. Grabbed him last week. 96 was a good return. Hope he can keep it up
Need your help community.
Which option is better?
Dangerfield with 6 trades left
Armitage with 7 trades left
Thank you in advance
Option 2 with Armo.
Trades are crucial come finals/end of the year
Beams or Priddis
I like Priddis over Beams. Flip a coin though both good options
Priddis
Both
Need to replace Sloane.
Hanneberry, Parker or Mundy?
OR
Do another trade and get Priddis or Beams?
Get priddis if you have +10 trades.
If not get Hanneberry
Or wait a week for rocky
Hey guys. Been slack on supercoach this year. Still coming second in 2 leagues but have 20 trades left and NLneed to get moving. Any recommendations for fresh rookies at the moment
Lambert and Steele , both fwd/mid, both on the bubble
Plus josh glenn.
don’t forget him.
the world has.
Steele only played 1
Oh yeah, forgot they had the bye last week
Is anyone holding Sloane or is everyone just trading him
I'm doing a bit of a shark move and holding him for a while. Then if Gazza goes back to scoring like he was previously, I will pick him up, if he doesn't I will just pick up another super premo
Im holding this week due to bringing in mckernan
Hey Community
Thoughts on my team and plan?
6 trades and nothing in the bank
Def: Shaw, Gibbo, Ox, Simpson, Hooker, Smith (Lever, Hamling)
Mid: Fyfe, Pendles, Danger, Beams, Wines, Parker, JPK, Hodge (Boston, Lambert, Amon)
Ruc: Goldy, Nic Nat (Cox)
Fwd: Gray, Swan, Martin, Buddy, Goddard, Bont (Steele, Lamb)
Will look to trade in Ablett for Oxley via Hodge when Ablett's price goes down and to get the cash to afford this I will downgrade Lever.
This will leave me with 4 trades for any LTI's and for any luxury upgrades.
Thoughts?
Need a little help this week as I’ve almost complete my team
Shaw newnes Kolodjashnij hodge smith hamling lever Edwards
Fyfe pendles Selwood beams Parker Sloane Cripps Shiel Mckenzie dumont Boston
Goldy Maric cox
Gray dmartin swan Goddard dahlhause Edwards Steele lambert
11 trades left with 350k in chest
Obvious trades are Sloane out but do I go for a straight swap in jpk or look at a hanners/danger/priddis etc
And then there’s hamling/lever as my d6 do I choose to upgrade one of them now or downgrade dumont in the mids before he starts bleeding
Thanks community!
Upgrade Sloane to a Priddis or another one you mentioned.
Downgrade dumont as you said and then next week upgrade down back and your at full Premo pretty much with a possible upgrade for cripps if someone becomes a must have e.g. Rocky/ GAJ
mckensie upgrade,
For?
Thoguhts on my midfield?
Fyfe, armitage, pendulbury, wines, lewis, heppell, gaff and parker thoughts?
Which trades should i do?
Slone to priddis
cripps-sidebottom
or
sloane to pendulbury
cripps to gaff thoughts?
Sloane to Pendlebury (only because he's cheaper) and hold Cripps for a couple of weeks while Ablett's price drops.
Thoughts about going t mitchell to crisp or roughead?
Don't trade him unless he's dropped
Thoughts?
Shaw, Hodge, Murphy, Simpson, Gibson, Newnes, Hamling, Pearce
Fyfe, Beams, Priddis, Parker, Selwood, Treloar, JPK, Rockliff, Lambert, Steele, Dumont
Goldstein, Maric, Read
Gray, Martin, Swan, Franklin, Dahlhaus, Lonie, McLean, Goddard
Was thinking going Dumont to a rookie not playing like WCE Adamson with DPP MID/DEF to swing with Hodge and Newnes then going Lonie to Harvey/Zorko. Thoughts?
I don’t think anderson DPP will work. If you need to swing Hodge to midfield, will mean you will need to use Hamling or Pearce on field. You would be better off having a better quality midfield bench player to bring on and leave Hodge in Defence.
Look at a Mid/Fwd DPP player
ive got 3 trades left and i still have oxley am i stuffed?
I reckon you are flying way ahead of pack.
(3 trades left also)
Mate rang me today 2 Trades left.
He’s fingered we’re flyin…
BANG.
Should i get sidebottom or pendulbury?
Pendlebury
Sidebum. Be different.
Max Gawn, or Patty Ryder
Mckernan
Excellent write up Dex! Have had hungry Hibbo since round 1, would have liked a bit more from him but is solid as solid gets.
sloane to jpk or sloane to hanebery i have 6 trades left and hanebery requires 2 trades. i am full premo cept 1 defender
my mid is fyfe, priddis, pendle, parker, sloane, selwood, wines, lewis
jpk for sure
Scott Selwood save some $
Only way t stay a rich guy
Grab one defender if you can. I reckon grab Luke Hodge to cover both lines (that is, if you don't already have him)
i have hodge already
hold dumont or bring in steele?
Docherty or Bob murphy?
Docherty likely to be out this week
Murphy
Bob
Hold Dale or bring in Steele? Also bringing in JPK for Sloane
How many trades you have left?
11 before making any
Nice, yer I don't know mate, maybe wait till next week and see how Steele scores again this week.
He has only played 1 game and won't go up in price this week.
is Dan McKenzie likely to get another game?
Probably not unless someone gets injured
Wake up this morning to see Harley plastered over the newspaper. What to do community? Hold or move on?
Get off him… He's on speed. They wont play him for the rest of the year.
Great write up Dex, had the man since the start, great he is now giving some output I had expected from the start, may it continue!
Cripps to gaff
or cripps to hannbery
Whats your midfield look like?
Fyfe Armitage parker lewis wines heppell cripps pendulbury
Sorry for the late reply mate, hope you got Hannebery
Should i sidebottom hes the definiton of a faallen premium?
Wait a week, he has a high breakeven. That is, too high to attain.
Sidey will get close to his BE this week
Harvey has Gastro. Still bring him in or wait?
With only 9 trades left I'm going Sloane up to Priddis and McIntosh down to a rookie.
Best downgrade option this week?
Can be on any line but I'm after good job security more than anything as my trades are so low.
I already have Steele and Lambert.
Neal-Bullen maybe. Not too many unfortunately. If you can afford Caloqhoun from Port he's a good option
Yeah he's pencilled in at the moment…he looks to be a Paul Roos type of player.
If you don't already have him, look at Beams or Pendlebury.
Got Pendles and prefer Priddis to Beams.
Also prefer Priddis over Beams.
Sad news, community. Jarryd Roughead returned a positive test for melanoma on his lip. He's successfully had the lesion removed but he's out indefinitely. Thoughts and prayers are with him for a speedy recovery.
Hey community,
Need your help.
I'm thinking of trading Sloane to Brandon Ellis, Scott Thompson or Gaff. Which one is best?
Also thinking of downgrading Dumont to someone, any suggestions? (already have Lambert and Steele)
My mid is: Fyfe, Pendles, Beames, Parker, JPK, Rockliff, Sloane, Cripps (Boston, Glenn, Dumont).
Thanks.
I like Gaff big POD and scoring well in a good side.