Dex Files – Nick Riewoldt
Well, that was a train wreck! Round 12, 2015 – that will go down in history as my worst ever round of SuperCoach.
What a nightmare! Gray (C), TMAC, Lumumba, Thurlow, Simpson, Hamling, Selwood, Lewis, Stretch & Maric all produced sub 80 scores. Throw in the fact I only had 17 onfield… yep – 1514 points and a rank blowout to be now 5000+. Yuck.
Rage trades have ensued. Lumumba is Gone (NEVER AGAIN). Selwood was Gone (bought back in though). Maric I will forgive, (For now). Lewis… (WHAT. THE. *elevator music*…) I’m 50-50 on trading Tmac out, 37 was putrid!
Round 13, last bye round, thank *insert curse word here*! Most teams should – haha, well maybe – be approaching full premium status. This week trades should revolve around booting R13 rookies or underperforming “premium” players for the likes of R12 or R11 players.
Plenty of trades so far have revolved around the likes of Sloane, Hodge, Pendles, Smith etc…
Surprisingly, Nick Riewoldt has only 2.27% ownership – as most coaches have the likes of Swan, Gray, Buddy, Martin and/or Bont up forward and have pretty much a full premium forward setup.
For those of you – like our very own Lekdog – that have the testicular fortitude to pick him, Riewoldt has been rewarding in recent times (3 round average of 114.7SC).
Riewoldt is currently averaging 91 SC this season (worth $489,100). He was knocked out very early in the round 7 game vs Adelaide – surprisingly he was on track for 122SC from 100% ToG mind you! If we remove this from the equation; he would be averaging a very healthy 102.5 (worth $550,900).
Looking at Riewoldt’s numbers; his last 3 games’ output has been pretty similar to the previous 3 games (excluding the round 7 KO early in the game). Averaging 14.3 kicks, compared to 13, 18 disposals – 18.3, 72.9% efficiency – 69.7%, 10.6 marks – 10.3 (you get the picture).
Comparing these blocks of 3 games, his notable stat jumps are goal output (9 total, compared to 4), and marks inside 50 (3.3 average per game, compared to 2). These, coupled with the Saints winning against Melbourne and Brisbane give “Roo” his elevated SC scores in this time.
If we look at his average output in wins compared to losses this year (all stats are excluding the game he was KO’ed early in), we see a massive difference in Goal output, clangers, contested possessions and contested marks. The latter three I’d put down to harder opponents & more pressure per possession. Not to forget: 109SC in wins, and 89.5 in losses. See table below:
His stats from 2014 aren’t as easy to read. It’s public knowledge; the Saints were terrible last year. They were on the receiving end of 18 losses, by a total of 1054 points (an average loss of 58.6 points). 8 of those losses were greater than 10 goals.
The better news is – the Saints aren’t near as bad this year. Riewoldt managed to average almost 92SC in a laughable St. Kilda outfit in 2014, so in a better Saints team; he has a better chance to average around 100SC (which is what I expect from him).
In saying that, Saints have a moderately hard run home. Their finals are very difficult, with Fremantle, North, Geelong and Sydney respectively (West Coast in the final game). Until finals though; they face the Dogs this week, an underwhelming Essendon, injury hit Giants, Richmond, Melbourne and Port – which are all realistically winnable (depends which Richmond show up!).
In the last few years; Riewoldt has played a more roaming KPF role – similar to buddy – where he runs up the ground and charges into the forward 50 for opportunities at goal. This has allowed him to get the pill more, even when saints are getting hammered.
At $459k (priced to average 85); I have Riewoldt slightly under Buddy as a forward option. Not quite as explosive, but still a very good PoD option. Just ask Lekdog!