Patch’s Panic Room – Round 10
This was supposed to be the calm before the storm. Oh no. Not at all. The byes are looming before us, yet as the cold fronts sink in, the wind still keeps kicking dirt into our eyes. Rockliff is gone, sucked into that vicious fire tornado from Mad Max.
The Bont is gone blown away in the wind. Watson, gone. The rookies are being slashed. Clark. Dan McKenzie. Jake Lever. The #KrakIsBack, but back to the rookie list. What’s worse, Jock has been hit not only with the loss of Rockliff, Krakouer and co., but also with Influenza. Get well soon mate!
Oh it’s horrific. Let’s get into it and rip it off like a band-aid.
Tom Rockliff is gone for 4-6. While they said that last time and he was back in 3, I have a sneaking suspicion the Lions will ensure he’s fully recovered before throwing him back out there. Do we trade? It looks like we might have to. The Byes are coming, and there is a strictly ‘no passengers’ ruling. However, we can hold for a week and reassess his injury, reassess the byes and reassess our place in the universe before moving him on next week. Also missing from Brisbane this week are Jed Adcock, Claye Beams and James Aish.
Rory Sloane is back. Thank god.
Everyone’s favourite mid-priced breakout kid, Marcus Bontempelli, misses this week with an adductor. As with every week, you’re in for the long haul. Hold him.
Hyped rookies Hugh Goddard (STK) and Jack Steele (GWS) have both been selected on extended benches. I hate extended benches, because we don’t know if they’ll play. I’d say both are a high chance to play, but I wouldn’t trade them in until I knew.
To counter that, Jake Lever, Dan McKenzie and Nathan Krakouer will miss. The first two have an rolled ankle and concussion respectively and should be back next week, while Krakouer is back on the rookie list. This means he can’t play unless Port upgrades him after round 12. On the bright side, he won’t lose cash. Mitch Clark has also done a calf, and will miss this week and possibly the next. Josh Glenn will return through the seconds, but should be back next week.
Adam Oxley has been named on an extended bench with significant competition for sports. Maynard, Kennedy, Broomhead (who scored 193 SC in the VFL last week) and Sam Dwyer are competing for very similar roles. I feel he will be dropped after last week’s performance.
The Carlton Football Club have their team back, with Judd, Murphy and Kreuzer all named. On the flipside, Gold Coast are even weaker this week as Matt Shaw and crucially Harley Bennell are out of their side this week, on top of their suspensions of Charlie Dixon and Jack Martin, who also has a hamstring injury.
Jobe Watson will miss a week or two, as will Dustin Fletcher for anyone who has him in a draft side (like myself).
Rumours swirling that Jordan Lewis is still in doubt, as is Andrew Swallow. There’s not likely to be confirmation on these two until 40 minutes before the bounce of their respective games. Being Sunday games will help them, but hanging like
For anyone who jumped on Taylor Adams as a mid-priced option, he misses with a toe injury this week.
There are holes all over the place in our Supercoach teams this week, and all holes need filling. This week I’m going to poke a stick at three guys I think are value and could fix some holes in your side.
Ollie Wines: this is as cheap as we’ll see him for the rest of the year. Take out his injury-impacted 76 – his lowest score for the year – and Wines is averaging 114.5. At $514’500, this is a lot of value. Referring back to the Jock Reynolds Preseason Magazine, Wines was identified as the Next Supercoach Beast, with his stats only marginally behind Nat Fyfe in Fyfe’s second year. Wines is in a strong squad, is incredibly durable (these 6 games are the only ones he’s missed in his career) and plays the type of game we Supercoaches love. Also has the round 13 bye.
Leigh Montagna has been written up extremely nice by Dex here. He’s averaging 114 from 4 games, having just come back from injury. At this stage, I am trading him in as a POD – only 0.9% of teams own him, and importantly for a Saints player, he averages more in losses than in wins. 3rd in line for the tag, too.
A mid-priced option to have burst out of the blocks in recent weeks is Mitch Wallis. Had an average of 87 in 2012 but since then he’s been in and out of the Bulldog’s side, playing as a tagger, a midfielder, spending time back and forward. It’s only now with Libba down that he’s stepped up in their midfield – but as a tagger. Averaging 89, but that goes to 104 when you remove the game against Hawthorn where he was taken off at half time unable to lean over. Contested ball magnet, but has been used as a tagger. His last three scores are 49, 115 and 153. Wallis would not be a keeper. I’d expect him to average 90-95 for the rest of the year, but with a BE of -42, he plays Port, BYE, Lions, Saints, Blues, Suns, Cats over the next few. (Shout out to Rhys on Twitter for mentioning that).
A lot of first gamers have breakevens above -50, but Robinson, Hamling, Boston, Glenn and Brooks by won’t have price rises until next week.
-42 Mitch Wallis
-19 Trent Dumont
-14 Connor Menadue
-6 Liam Duggan
5 Aaron vandenBerg
16 Jesse Hogan
21 Nic Naitanui
I’ve deliberately listed a lot of round 11 Dan Akyroyds who will drop in price this week, leaving us able to snaffle them after their bye. Delectable.
166 Eddie Betts
164 Jarryd Roughead
162 Rory Sloane
159 Josh P Kennedy
150 Bachar Houli
142 Shane Mumford
128 Brodie Smith
THE ROOKIE RUMBLE
Rookies are really starting to feel the strain this year after they more than pulled their own weight at the start of the season. We will be saying sad goodbyes to some of them in recent weeks. As mentioned in the news, Clark, Krakouer, McKenzie and Lever are all off the cards this week. Luckily, most of us only have one or two slots for rookies onfield now, with the top teams only 4 spots away from full premium. On the bright side, lots of them are community teams! Travis from the JR qualifier group is sitting at #4, while General Soreness is in 19th place and ready to hit the byes hard and climb up the rankings. Go guys!
Kamdyn McIntosh has been named on a wing, and you’d feel positive after last week if they weren’t playing Fremantle. Loop him if possible. Following last week’s effort, Adam Oxley looks in danger of the chop, especially with “Sweeper” Broomhead scoring 193 in the VFL last week, and if he does play he is screaming SNOT VEST.
A lot of these guys will no longer be in many teams, but will be listed anyway. We’re all going through stages of culling and cutting and we do it at different speeds. Miller is now the number two mid at Gold Coast behind Rischetelli. Who would have thought it in round three when Miller had scored two 30s? Boston gets up the list simply because of how depleted Gold Coast are. Zac O’Brien named on the ball for the Lions which is encouraging.
Irrelevant. Peter Wright comes into the Gold Coats side to match Keegan Brooksby, but we shouldn’t be trading into them at this stage.
This is where the carnage really hits home. No Clark, no Krakouer, no Salem and Bailey Dale isn’t doing much. Hulk Hogan the only real shining light down there this week. As mentioned, Steele a sub risk.
um… and that’s about it…
It’s a cruel game, community. Shout out to Lekdog for exploring the new frontier by doing a Periscope last night during team reveals. If you’re on the twitters, head over to @Lekblog and try and follow the links in tweets. Absolute champ. As well as sending out well-wishes to Jock, I’m also hoping Chicko finds some wisdom overseas during his travels.